11 research outputs found
Designing emergency response networks for hazardous materials transportation
Cataloged from PDF version of article.Undesirable consequences of dangerous goods incidents can be mitigated by quick arrival of specialized response
teams at the accident site. We present a novel methodology to determine the optimal design of a specialized team
network so as to maximize its ability to respond to such incidents in a region. We show that this problem can be
represented via a maximal arc-covering model.We discuss two formulations for the maximal arc-covering problem,
a known one and a new one. Through computational experiments, we establish that the known formulation has
excessive computational requirements for large-scale problems, whereas the alternative model constitutes a basis
for an efficient heuristic. The methodology is applied to assess the emergency response capability to transport
incidents, that involve gasoline, in Quebec and Ontario. We point out the possibility of a significant improvement
via relocation of the existing specialized teams, which are currently stationed at the shipment origins.
2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved
Hazmats Transportation Network Design Model with Emergency Response under Complex Fuzzy Environment
A bilevel optimization model for a hazardous materials transportation network design is presented which considers an emergency response teams location problem. On the upper level, the authority designs the transportation network to minimize total transportation risk. On the lower level, the carriers first choose their routes so that the total transportation cost is minimized. Then, the emergency response department locates their emergency service units so as to maximize the total weighted arc length covered. In contrast to prior studies, the uncertainty associated with transportation risk has been explicitly considered in the objective function of our mathematical model. Specifically, our research uses a complex fuzzy variable to model transportation risk. An improved artificial bee colony algorithm with priority-based encoding is also applied to search for the optimal solution to the bilevel model. Finally, the efficiency of the proposed model and algorithm is evaluated using a practical case and various computing attributes
Hazardous Materials Transportation: a Literature Review and an Annotated Bibliography
The hazardous materials transportation poses risks to life, health,
property, and the environment due to the possibility of an unintentional release.
We present a bibliographic survey on this argument paying particular attention to the road transportation. We attempt to encompass both theoretical and application
oriented works. Research on this topic is spread over the broad spectrum of computer science and the literature has an operations research and quantitative risk
assessment focus. The models present in the literature vary from simple risk equations to set of differential equations. In discussing the literature, we present and compare the underlying assumptions, the model specifications and the derived results. We use the previous perspectives to critically cluster the papers in the literature into a classification scheme
OPTIMIZATION OF RAILWAY TRANSPORTATION HAZMATS AND REGULAR COMMODITIES
Transportation of dangerous goods has been receiving more attention in the realm of academic and scientific research during the last few decades as countries have been increasingly becoming industrialized throughout the world, thereby making Hazmats an integral part of our life style. However, the number of scholarly articles in this field is not as many as those of other areas in SCM. Considering the low-probability-and-high-consequence (LPHC) essence of transportation of Hazmats, on the one hand, and immense volume of shipments accounting for more than hundred tons in North America and Europe, on the other, we can safely state that the number of scholarly articles and dissertations have not been proportional to the significance of the subject of interest. On this ground, we conducted our research to contribute towards further developing the domain of Hazmats transportation, and sustainable supply chain management (SSCM), in general terms.
Transportation of Hazmats, from logistical standpoint, may include all modes of transport via air, marine, road and rail, as well as intermodal transportation systems. Although road shipment is predominant in most of the literature, railway transportation of Hazmats has proven to be a potentially significant means of transporting dangerous goods with respect to both economies of scale and risk of transportation; these factors, have not just given rise to more thoroughly investigation of intermodal transportation of Hazmats using road and rail networks, but has encouraged the competition between rail and road companies which may indeed have some inherent advantages compared to the other medium due to their infrastructural and technological backgrounds. Truck shipment has ostensibly proven to be providing more flexibility; trains, per contra, provide more reliability in terms of transport risk for conveying Hazmats in bulks.
In this thesis, in consonance with the aforementioned motivation, we provide an introduction into the hazardous commodities shipment through rail network in the first chapter of the thesis. Providing relevant statistics on the volume of Hazmat goods, number of accidents, rate of incidents, and rate of fatalities and injuries due to the incidents involving Hazmats, will shed light onto the significance of the topic under study. As well, we review the most pertinent articles while putting more emphasis on the state-of-the-art papers, in chapter two. Following the discussion in chapter 3 and looking at the problem from carrier company’s perspective, a mixed integer quadratically constraint problem (MIQCP) is developed which seeks for the minimization of transportation cost under a set of constraints including those associating with Hazmats. Due to the complexity of the problem, the risk function has been piecewise linearized using a set of auxiliary variables, thereby resulting in an MIP problem. Further, considering the interests of both carrier companies and regulatory agencies, which are minimization of cost and risk, respectively, a multiobjective MINLP model is developed, which has been reduced to an MILP through piecewise linearization of the risk term in the objective function. For both single-objective and multiobjective formulations, model variants with bifurcated and nonbifurcated flows have been presented. Then, in chapter 4, we carry out experiments considering two main cases where the first case presents smaller instances of the problem and the second case focuses on a larger instance of the problem.
Eventually, in chapter five, we conclude the dissertation with a summary of the overall discussion as well as presenting some comments on avenues of future work
Gestão de riscos ambientais no transporte ferroviário de produtos perigosos em Santa Catarina, Brasil
Dissertação (Mestrado) - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Centro Tecnologico, Programa de Pós-graduação em Engenharia Civil, Florianópolis, 2011Dentre as várias vertentes exploratórias do tema Gestão de Riscos Ambientais, destacam-se os riscos decorrentes das atividades de Transporte de Produtos Perigosos. A importância do tema está: na diversidade de produtos perigosos existentes; na importância deles para o desenvolvimento da sociedade; no aumento do consumo destes produtos e, principalmente, por estar cada uma dessas substâncias associadas a um perigo em potencial. O foco no Transporte Ferroviário se dá pelo fato de que este modal tem uma representatividade significativa na logística do transporte brasileiro e existe uma tendência nacional de crescimento do setor. Tem como características importantes, a alta competitividade de transporte para grandes volumes e a longas distâncias. Comparado ao transporte rodoviário, é mais econômico, pouco poluente e mais seguro. Porém, o Transporte Ferroviário de Produtos Perigosos - TFPP tem outra peculiaridade: um acidente neste modal pode acarretar em conseqüências catastróficas devido aos grandes volumes transportados simultaneamente, além de que geralmente a malha férrea passa por diferentes áreas, algumas com relevante importância ecológica e/ou sócio-econômica. Em vista das lacunas existentes em termos de informações para a prática da gestão no Brasil, a pesquisa apresenta um panorama do TFPP em Santa Catarina, como uma contribuição à administração governamental e às gerências ferroviárias na Gestão de Riscos Ambientais.Among the various aspects of exploratory theme Environmental Risk Management, highlighted the risks arising from the activities of Transport of Dangerous Goods. The importance of the theme is: the diversity of existing hazardous products, in their importance in the development of society, the increasing consumption of these products and, particularly, for each substance to be associated with a potential danger. The focus on rail transport is due to the fact that this modal has a significant representation in the Brazilian transportation logistics and there is a national trend of growth in the sector. Its important features, the high competitiveness of transport for large volumes and long distances. Compared to road transport, is more economical, less polluting and safer. However, the Railway Transport of Dangerous Goods - TFPP has another peculiarity: a modal in this accident can result in catastrophic consequences due to large volumes transported simultaneously, and that generally the mesh railway passes through different areas, some with significant ecological importance and / or socio-economic status. In view of the gaps in terms of information for the practice of management in Brazil, the survey presents an overview of TFPP in Santa Catarina, as a contribution to government administration and to train managers in the Management of Environmental Risk
Disaster management and its economic implications
Das Ziel dieser Arbeit ist es, aktuelle Forschungsschwerpunkte im Bereich des
Katastrophenmanagements in der Operational Research Literatur aufzuzeigen.
Katastrophenmanagement umfasst in diesem Zusammenhang einerseits Naturkatastrophen
wie geophysikalische und hydro-meteorologische Katastrophen, technologische Katastrophen
wie industrielle Unfälle, Transportunfälle und sonstige Unfälle, und andererseits die
verschiedenen Formen des Terrorismus, allgemeinen Terrorismus sowie Bioterrorismus. Da
die Anzahl und das Ausmaß von Katastrophen immer weiter zunehmen ist auch eine immer
größere Notwendigkeit für die Entwicklung, den Einsatz und die wirtschaftliche Beurteilung
der jeweiligen Strategien gegeben.
Der erste Teil dieser Arbeit gibt einen Überblick über die Literatur im Bereich des
Katastrophenmanagements und umfasst Simulation, Katastrophenmanagement in
Krankenhäusern und die Rolle von Versicherungen im Katastrophenmanagementprozess. Im
zweiten Teil wird eine Taxonomie entwickelt, deren Kategorien auf den Modellen und
Ergebnissen der Literatur beruhen. Einerseits werden allgemeine Modelleigenschaften wie die
Ebene im Katastrophenmanagementprozess, der Modelltyp und die Anwendungsgebiete der
Modelle untersucht. Andererseits stellen die Art der Intervention und die Anwendbarkeit für
die unterschiedlichen Katastrophenklassen weitere Kategorien der Taxonomie dar. Es wurden
90 Artikel, die beispielhaft für die Forschungsrichtungen im Bereich des
Katastrophenmanagements der letzten 25 Jahre stehen, ausgewählt, und entsprechend den
jeweiligen Kategorien der Taxonomie zugeordnet.
Das Hauptaugenmerk der Taxonomie liegt auf der wirtschaftlichen Analyse, die
wirksamkeitsbezogene, ressourcenbezogene und kostenbezogene Parameter umfasst. Es wird
gezeigt ob und welche wirtschaftliche Analyse wie beispielsweise die Kosten-Nutzwert-
Analyse, die Kosten-Wirksamkeits-Analyse und die Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse angewendet
wird um die in den Artikeln beschriebenen Interventionen zu evaluieren.
Es wird gezeigt, dass erhebliche Verbesserungen für die verschiedenen Katastrophentypen
und in den verschiedenen Situationen erzielt werden können. Eingeschränkte
Datenverfügbarkeit schränkt in vielen Fällen die Einsetzbarkeit der Modelle in realen
Situationen ein. Im Allgemeinen ist erkennbar, dass Kooperation und Koordination zwischen
den beteiligten Einheiten ausschlaggebend für den zeitgerechten und effizienten Einsatz der knappen Ressourcen sind. Oftmals erzielt der gemeinsame Einsatz mehrerer Maßnahme ein
deutlich besseres Ergebnis als der Einsatz von lediglich einem einzigen Instrument.
Die Taxonomie unterstreicht dass trotz der großen Fülle an Literatur im Bereich des
Katastrophenmanagements nur wenige Autoren auf die Kosten-Nutzwert-Analyse, die
Kosten-Wirksamkeits-Analyse und die Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse als Hilfsmittel zur
wirtschaftlichen Analyse zurückgreifen. In Zukunft, um Interventionen erfolgreich evaluieren
zu können oder die beste aus mehreren Interventionen bestimmen zu können wird es immer
wichtiger werden, diese Art von wirtschaftlichen Analysen anzuwenden.This thesis intends to demonstrate current research directions in the field of disaster management in the Operational Research literature. Disaster management in this context comprises the management of natural, such as geophysical and hydro-meteorological, and technological disasters, such as industrial accidents, transportation accidents, and
miscellaneous accidents, as well as the management of the different terrorism forms, general
terrorism and bioterrorism. As the occurrence of disasters is getting more and more frequent
and the accumulated loss of these events is getting higher and higher, there is a strong need
for the development, implication and economic evaluation of strategies to counter these
disasters.
In the first part of the thesis, a general overview of the literature is given, including a focus on
simulation, disaster management in hospitals, and the role of insurances in the disaster
management process. The second part encompasses the taxonomy which focuses on models
and outcomes presented in the literature. As a result of the review of the literature, appropriate
categories for the disaster management taxonomy are derived. On the one hand, an overview
of general model features, i.e., the level of disaster management, model type and methods of
application is given. On the other hand, the type of intervention used and the practicability for
different disaster types are discussed. 90 papers, illustrative main examples of the research
directions of the last 25 years, were selected for deeper investigation and classified according
to the main criteria analyzed in the articles.
The main focus of the taxonomy lies on the economic analysis, which encompasses
effectiveness-related, resource-related, and cost-related parameters and shows the type of
economic analysis used in the literature. We analyze whether economic analysis, i.e., costutility,
cost-effectiveness, and cost-benefit are used to investigate different interventions and
what type of analysis has been chosen by the authors.
Policy implications and results show that considerable improvements can be achieved for
different disastrous events and in different situations. Limited data availability constrains the
outcomes of the models and their applicability to real-world situations. In general,
cooperation and coordination of the entities involved are crucial to guarantee timely and efficient assignment of scarce resources. Furthermore, different authors confirm that a
combination of various measures often achieves a better outcome than if tools are used
autonomously.
The taxonomy has underlined that although there exists a vast disaster management literature
dealing with various problems related to mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery
from disasters, there are only a few authors evaluating the actions taken through economic
analyses such cost-utility, cost-effectiveness, or cost-benefit analysis.
In the future, to be able to evaluate interventions, or to figure out the most effective
intervention among several interventions, it is crucial to stronger rely on the abovementioned
economic analyses
Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Risk Analizi Yapılarak Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemi İle Güzergâh Belirlenmesi
TEHLİKELİ MADDE TAŞIMACILIĞINDA RİSK ANALİZİ YAPILARAK
COĞRAFİ BİLGİ SİSTEMİ İLE GÜZERGÂH BELİRLENMESİ
Şükrü UZUNDAĞ
Doktora Tezi, İşletme Anabilim Dalı
Tez Danışmanı: Doç. Dr. Hüseyin ŞENKAYAS
2020, XXX+ 200 sayfa
Dünyadaki ekonomik büyüme ve teknolojik gelişmelere paralel olarak tüm sanayi
sektöründeki gelişmeler neticesinde gerekli olan ticari ürünlerin hammaddesi olan tehlikeli
maddelerin kullanılması son yıllarda artış göstermiştir. Tehlikeli madde taşımacılığı 1970’li
yıllardan günümüze kadar üzerinde sürekli çalışılan bir konu olmuştur. Özellikle tehlikeli
madde taşımacılığı esnasında karşılaşılabilecek tüm riskleri en küçükleme konusu hem
kamu kurumlarının hem de firmaların dikkatini çekmiştir.
Çalışmada ulusal ve uluslarası mühimmat ve patlayıcı taşımacılığı yapan bir kamu
kurumunda tüm riskleri (nüfus yoğunluğu, kaza olasılığı, trafik yoğunluğu, terör/sabotaj)
dikkate alarak coğrafi bilgi sistemi ArcMap 10.2.2 programı vasıtasıyla riskleri en
küçükleyen en uygun güzergâhları bulmak amaçlanmıştır. Çalışmada kullanılan bölge için
elde edilen tüm veriler CBS’ye girişi yapılmış ve şebeke tasarlanmış müteakiben nüfus
yoğunluğu, zaman, mesafe, trafik yoğunluğu ve terör verilerine göre en uygun güzergâhlar
tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca uzman personel görüşleri alınarak oluşturulan risk kriterleri
belirlenen üç senaryoya göre AHP kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir.
AHP tekniği ile belirlenen risk kriterlerinin ağırlık dereceleri hesaplanmış ve Çok
Kriterli Karar Verme yöntemlerinden olan VİKOR ve MOORA ile tüm yol dilimlerine ait
girilen değerler analiz edilmiştir. Elde edilen değerler neticesinde karar verme aracı olan
coğrafi bilgi sistemi ile risklerin minimize edildiği en uygun güzergâhlar bulunmuştur. Son
olarak tehlikeli madde taşımacılığında oluşabilecek anlık durumlara karşı dinamik olarak en
uygun güzergâhlar elde edilmiştir.İÇİNDEKİLER
KABUL VE ONAY SAYFASI..............................................................................................iii
BİLİMSEL ETİK BİLDİRİM SAYFASI................................................................................ v
ÖZET.....................................................................................................................................vii
ABSTRACT ...........................................................................................................................ix
ÖNSÖZ...................................................................................................................................xi
SİMGELER DİZİNİ............................................................................................................xvii
ŞEKİLLER DİZİNİ..............................................................................................................xix
ÇİZELGELER DİZİNİ.........................................................................................................xxi
FOTOĞRAFLAR DİZİNİ..................................................................................................xxiii
FORMÜLLER DİZİNİ........................................................................................................ xxv
EKLER DİZİNİ.................................................................................................................xxvii
KISALTMALAR DİZİNİ ..................................................................................................xxix
GİRİŞ....................................................................................................................................... 1
1. BÖLÜM.............................................................................................................................. 4
1. KAVRAMSAL VE KURAMSAL ÇERÇEVE................................................................... 4
1.1. Tehlikeli Maddeler ve Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığı ................................................. 4
1.2. Tehlikeli Maddelerin Sınıflandırılması........................................................................ 8
1.2.1. Sınıf 1: Patlayıcı ve Patlayıcı İçeren Madde ve Nesneler................................ 10
1.2.2. Sınıf 2: Gazlar.................................................................................................. 12
1.2.3. Sınıf 3: Yanıcı Sıvı Maddeler.......................................................................... 14
1.2.4. Sınıf 4: Yanıcı Katı Maddeler.......................................................................... 16
1.2.5. Sınıf 5: Yakıcı (Oksitleyici) ve Organik Peroksit Maddeler ........................... 18
1.2.6. Sınıf 6: Zehirleyici ve Bulaşıcı Maddeler........................................................ 20
1.2.7. Sınıf 7: Radyoaktif Maddeler .......................................................................... 21
1.2.8. Sınıf 8: Aşındırıcı Maddeler............................................................................ 22
1.2.9. Sınıf 9: Farklı Tehlikeleri Olan Maddeler ....................................................... 23
xiv
1.3. Tehlikeli Maddelerin Paketlenmesi........................................................................... 24
1.4. Tehlikeli Maddelerin Yüklenmesi ve Boşaltılması ................................................... 27
1.5. Tehlikeli Maddelerin Taşınmasında Kullanılan Araçlar........................................... 29
1.5.1. Kara Yollarında Kullanılan Araçlar ................................................................ 30
1.5.2. Deniz Yollarında Kullanılan Araçlar .............................................................. 30
1.5.3. Demir Yollarında Kullanılan Araçlar.............................................................. 31
1.5.4. Hava Yollarında Kullanılan Araçlar................................................................ 31
1.6. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığına İlişkin Mevzuat...................................................... 32
1.6.1. Tehlikeli Maddelerin Kara Yolu ile Taşınmasına Yönelik Çok Taraflı
Avrupa Anlaşması (ADR)................................................................................ 32
1.6.2. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Sınırlı Taşıma Kuralları ............................ 34
1.7. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Meydana Gelen Kaza ve Ekonomik Durum ....... 35
1.8. Mühimmat ve Patlayıcıların Taşınması..................................................................... 37
1.8.1. Mühimmat ve Patlayıcıların Taşınmasında Sınırlamalar................................ 39
1.8.2. Mühimmat ve Patlayıcı Maddelerin İşaretlenmesi.......................................... 42
1.8.3. Mühimmat ve Patlayıcıların Karayolu ile Taşınması...................................... 43
1.8.4. Mühimmat ve Patlayıcıların Demiryolu ile Taşınması ................................... 46
1.8.5. Mühimmat ve Patlayıcıların Denizyolu ile Taşınması.................................... 46
1.8.6. Mühimmat ve Patlayıcıların Havayolu ile Taşınması ..................................... 47
1.9. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Literatür Araştırması ........................................... 47
2. BÖLÜM............................................................................................................................ 59
2. TEHLİKELİ MADDE TAŞIMACILIĞINDA RİSK ANALİZİ YAPILMASI VE
GÜZERGAH SEÇİMİNDE KULLANILABİLECEK YÖNTEMLER...................... 59
2.1. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Risk Analizi......................................................... 59
2.1.1. Riskin Tanımı ve Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığımda Kullanılan Risk Analiz
Modelleri.......................................................................................................... 59
2.1.2. Nüfusa Etki Risk Modeli................................................................................. 63
2.1.3. Olaylı Kaza Olma Olasılığı ............................................................................. 64
xv
2.1.4. Terör Risk Analizi ........................................................................................... 65
2.2. Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemi Yöntemi ile Risk Analizi ........................................................ 65
2.2.1. Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemi ....................................................................................... 65
2.2.2. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında CBS Analizi............................................... 66
2.2.3. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemi ile Risk Analizi
Yöntemi............................................................................................................ 68
2.3. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Çok Kriterli Karar Verme Teknikleri.................. 69
2.3.1. Analitik Hiyerarşi Süreci – AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) Yöntemi ...... 74
2.3.2. VIKOR Yöntemi (Vise Kriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno
Resenje)............................................................................................................ 84
2.3.3. MOORA Yöntemi (Multi-Objective Optimization by Ratio Analysis) .......... 89
3. BÖLÜM............................................................................................................................ 93
3. TEHLİKELİ MADDE TAŞIMACILIĞINDA RİSK ANALİZİ YAPILARAK
COĞRAFİ BİLGİ SİSTEMİ İLE GÜZERGAH BELİRLENMESİ............................ 93
3.1. Çalışmanın Uygulama Alanı...................................................................................... 93
3.2. Çalışmanın Amacı, Kapsamı ve Önemi..................................................................... 94
3.3. Çalışmanın Yöntemi .................................................................................................. 97
3.4. Çalışma İçin Kullanılacak Araç ve Mühimmat Cinsi.............................................. 100
3.5. Çalışma ile İlgili Verilerin Toplanması ve Girilmesi .............................................. 101
3.5.1. CBS’ye Mesafe ve Zaman Verilerin Girilmesi ............................................. 102
3.5.2. Trafik Yoğunluğu Verilerin Girilmesi........................................................... 104
3.5.3. Kaza Sayısı Verilerin Girilmesi..................................................................... 106
3.5.4. Nüfus Verilerin Girilmesi.............................................................................. 109
3.5.5. Terör Verilerin Girilmesi............................................................................... 110
3.6. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında CBS Kullanılarak Şebeke Oluşturulması .......... 111
3.6.1. CBS’de Mesafe ve Zaman Verileri Kullanılarak En Uygun Güzergâhın
Tespit Edilmesi............................................................................................... 113
3.6.2. Nüfus Verileri Kullanılarak En Uygun Güzergâhın Tespit Edilmesi............ 117
3.6.3. Kaza Sayısı Verileri Kullanılarak En Uygun Güzergâhın Tespit Edilmesi... 119
xvi
3.6.4. Trafik Yoğunluk Verileri Kullanılarak En Uygun Güzergâhın Tespit
Edilmesi ......................................................................................................... 120
3.6.5. Terör Verileri Kullanılarak En Uygun Güzergâhın Tespit Edilmesi ............ 121
3.7. Risk Kriterlerin Belirlenmesi ve Ağırlıkların Hesaplanması .................................. 122
3.7.1. Karar Vericilerin, Risk Kriterlerin Belirlenmesi ve Kriter Değerlendirme
Anketinin Yapılması ...................................................................................... 122
3.7.2. AHP Tekniği ile Risk Kriter Ağırlıklarının Tespit Edilmesine Yönelik
Uygulama....................................................................................................... 124
3.8. Çok Kriterli Karar Verme Yöntemi ile Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında
Güzergâh Belirlenmesi.......................................................................................... 127
3.8.1. VİKOR Yöntemi ile Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Güzergâh
Belirlenmesi ................................................................................................... 128
3.8.2. MOORA Yöntemi ile Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Güzergâh
Belirlenmesi ................................................................................................... 136
3.9. Tehlikeli Madde Taşımacılığında Anlık Durumlar ile Karşılaşıldığında Güzergâh
Belirlenmesi .......................................................................................................... 143
4. SONUÇ VE ÖNERİLER.............................................................................................. 145
5. KAYNAKLAR............................................................................................................... 151
6. EKLER........................................................................................................................... 165
ÖZGEÇMİŞ....................................................................................................................... 19