Advances in Methodology and Applications of Decision Support Systems

These Proceedings are composed of a selection of papers of the Workshop on Advances in Methodology and Applications of Decision Support Systems, organized by the System and Decision Sciences (SDS) Program of IIASA and the Japan Institute of Systems Research (JISR). The workshop was held at IIASA on August 20-22, 1990. The Methodology of Decision Analysis (MDA) Project of the SDS Program focuses on a system-analytical approach to decision support and is devoted to developing methodology, software and applications of decision support systems concentrated primarily around interactive systems for data analysis, interpretation and multiobjective decisionmaking, including uncertainty analysis and group decision making situations in both their cooperative and noncooperative aspects. The objectives of the research on decision support systems (DSS) performed in cooperation with the MDA Project are to: compare various approaches to decision support systems; advance theory and methodology of decision support; convert existing theories and methodologies into usable (simple to use, user-friendly and robust) tools that could easily be used in solving real-life problems. A principal characteristic of decision support systems is that they must be tuned to specific decision situations, to complex real-life characteristics of every application. Even if the theory and methodology of decision support is quite advanced, every application might provide impulses for further theoretical and methodological advances. Therefore the principle underlying this project is that theoretical and methodological research should be strongly connected to the implementation and applications of its results to sufficiently complicated, real-life examples. This approach results in obtaining really applicable working tools for decision support. The papers for this Proceedings have been selected according to the above summarized framework of the research activities. Therefore, the papers deal both with theoretical and methodological problems and with real-life applications

Large scale dynamic systems

Classes of large scale dynamic systems were discussed in the context of modern control theory. Specific examples discussed were in the technical fields of aeronautics, water resources and electric power

First Annual Workshop on Space Operations Automation and Robotics (SOAR 87)

Several topics relative to automation and robotics technology are discussed. Automation of checkout, ground support, and logistics; automated software development; man-machine interfaces; neural networks; systems engineering and distributed/parallel processing architectures; and artificial intelligence/expert systems are among the topics covered

The management of complexity in project management – a qualitative and quantitative case study of certified project managers in Germany

With the increased globalization and expansion of the markets worldwide, companies have to struggle with increased competition. Therefore, organisations have begun to offer advantages such as a personalisation of products to potential customers. Market conditions and legal policies can make it challenging to predict whether those ad-vantages can be realized. Project managers are often in the position of having to fulfil these requirements; in continuously changing influencing factors that make tasks diffi-cult to manage. These circumstances create complexity. Frequently, managers are una-ware that complexity has created problems in a specific project. Often, the traditional standards of project management no longer provide a sufficient support to managers of complex projects. This research investigates how current standards of project management address com-plexity, and whether a supplement is necessary. Complexity strengtheners are investi-gated. One standard Project Management Institute (PMI) is selected as an example to analyze the influence of strengtheners on PM-processes. A funnel model is developed based on these research findings. This is aimed to help managers in their daily practice and support them in categorizing the complexity of their projects. Based on this model, managers should be able to recognize the actual strengtheners of complexity and which processes of their project are affected. Finally, a possible adaption of the standard is re-searched. A proposition for a new comprehensive guide is designed to support manag-ers carrying out complex projects. The key managerial implication of this research is the development of a five-step model for handling complexity in projects: forming, storming, norming, performing, and ad-journing. Furthermore, the intent of this thesis is to make a valid contribution to the management literature. For handling complexity the new funnel model should close the gap between the recognition of complexity in a project and underlying causes. The new five-step model thus provides project managers helpful guidelines for handling complex projects. This research applies a mixed method, consisting of a survey (quantitative method) and focus interviews (qualitative method) with experts of project management (PMI) in Germany. There are approximately 4.900 PMI certified project managers in Germany; more than 170 participated in the survey (3.6%). This is considered sufficient to provide reliable results for this research. Further, three focus interviews deepen the knowledge and validate the results of the survey: Complexity is an actual problem in project man-agement. Existing standards are sufficient for project management, but complexity can-not be standardized. This thesis proposes to help project managers to resolve project complexity by providing guidelines for navigating through complex projects

Eighth International Workshop on Laser Ranging Instrumentation

The Eighth International Workshop for Laser Ranging Instrumentation was held in Annapolis, Maryland in May 1992, and was sponsored by the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland. The workshop is held once every 2 to 3 years under differing institutional sponsorship and provides a forum for participants to exchange information on the latest developments in satellite and lunar laser ranging hardware, software, science applications, and data analysis techniques. The satellite laser ranging (SLR) technique provides sub-centimeter precision range measurements to artificial satellites and the Moon. The data has application to a wide range of Earth and lunar science issues including precise orbit determination, terrestrial reference frames, geodesy, geodynamics, oceanography, time transfer, lunar dynamics, gravity and relativity

Datacenter management for on-site intermittent and uncertain renewable energy sources

Les technologies de l'information et de la communication sont devenues, au cours des dernières années, un pôle majeur de consommation énergétique avec les conséquences environnementales associées. Dans le même temps, l'émergence du Cloud computing et des grandes plateformes en ligne a causé une augmentation en taille et en nombre des centres de données. Pour réduire leur impact écologique, alimenter ces centres avec des sources d'énergies renouvelables (EnR) apparaît comme une piste de solution. Cependant, certaines EnR telles que les énergies solaires et éoliennes sont liées aux conditions météorologiques, et sont par conséquent intermittentes et incertaines. L'utilisation de batteries ou d'autres dispositifs de stockage est souvent envisagée pour compenser ces variabilités de production. De par leur coût important, économique comme écologique, ainsi que les pertes énergétiques engendrées, l'utilisation de ces dispositifs sans intégration supplémentaire est insuffisante. La consommation électrique d'un centre de données dépend principalement de l'utilisation des ressources de calcul et de communication, qui est déterminée par la charge de travail et les algorithmes d'ordonnancement utilisés. Pour utiliser les EnR efficacement tout en préservant la qualité de service du centre, une gestion coordonnée des ressources informatiques, des sources électriques et du stockage est nécessaire. Il existe une grande diversité de centres de données, ayant différents types de matériel, de charge de travail et d'utilisation. De la même manière, suivant les EnR, les technologies de stockage et les objectifs en termes économiques ou environnementaux, chaque infrastructure électrique est modélisée et gérée différemment des autres. Des travaux existants proposent des méthodes de gestion d'EnR pour des couples bien spécifiques de modèles électriques et informatiques. Cependant, les multiples combinaisons de ces deux parties rendent difficile l'extrapolation de ces approches et de leurs résultats à des infrastructures différentes. Cette thèse explore de nouvelles méthodes pour résoudre ce problème de coordination. Une première contribution reprend un problème d'ordonnancement de tâches en introduisant une abstraction des sources électriques. Un algorithme d'ordonnancement est proposé, prenant les préférences des sources en compte, tout en étant conçu pour être indépendant de leur nature et des objectifs de l'infrastructure électrique. Une seconde contribution étudie le problème de planification de l'énergie d'une manière totalement agnostique des infrastructures considérées. Les ressources informatiques et la gestion de la charge de travail sont encapsulées dans une boîte noire implémentant un ordonnancement sous contrainte de puissance. La même chose s'applique pour le système de gestion des EnR et du stockage, qui agit comme un algorithme d'optimisation d'engagement de sources pour répondre à une demande. Une optimisation coopérative et multiobjectif, basée sur un algorithme évolutionnaire, utilise ces deux boîtes noires afin de trouver les meilleurs compromis entre les objectifs électriques et informatiques. Enfin, une troisième contribution vise les incertitudes de production des EnR pour une infrastructure plus spécifique. En utilisant une formulation en processus de décision markovien (MDP), la structure du problème de décision sous-jacent est étudiée. Pour plusieurs variantes du problème, des méthodes sont proposées afin de trouver les politiques optimales ou des approximations de celles-ci avec une complexité raisonnable.In recent years, information and communication technologies (ICT) became a major energy consumer, with the associated harmful ecological consequences. Indeed, the emergence of Cloud computing and massive Internet companies increased the importance and number of datacenters around the world. In order to mitigate economical and ecological cost, powering datacenters with renewable energy sources (RES) began to appear as a sustainable solution. Some of the commonly used RES, such as solar and wind energies, directly depends on weather conditions. Hence they are both intermittent and partly uncertain. Batteries or other energy storage devices (ESD) are often considered to relieve these issues, but they result in additional energy losses and are too costly to be used alone without more integration. The power consumption of a datacenter is closely tied to the computing resource usage, which in turn depends on its workload and on the algorithms that schedule it. To use RES as efficiently as possible while preserving the quality of service of a datacenter, a coordinated management of computing resources, electrical sources and storage is required. A wide variety of datacenters exists, each with different hardware, workload and purpose. Similarly, each electrical infrastructure is modeled and managed uniquely, depending on the kind of RES used, ESD technologies and operating objectives (cost or environmental impact). Some existing works successfully address this problem by considering a specific couple of electrical and computing models. However, because of this combined diversity, the existing approaches cannot be extrapolated to other infrastructures. This thesis explores novel ways to deal with this coordination problem. A first contribution revisits batch tasks scheduling problem by introducing an abstraction of the power sources. A scheduling algorithm is proposed, taking preferences of electrical sources into account, though designed to be independent from the type of sources and from the goal of the electrical infrastructure (cost, environmental impact, or a mix of both). A second contribution addresses the joint power planning coordination problem in a totally infrastructure-agnostic way. The datacenter computing resources and workload management is considered as a black-box implementing a scheduling under variable power constraint algorithm. The same goes for the electrical sources and storage management system, which acts as a source commitment optimization algorithm. A cooperative multiobjective power planning optimization, based on a multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MOEA), dialogues with the two black-boxes to find the best trade-offs between electrical and computing internal objectives. Finally, a third contribution focuses on RES production uncertainties in a more specific infrastructure. Based on a Markov Decision Process (MDP) formulation, the structure of the underlying decision problem is studied. For several variants of the problem, tractable methods are proposed to find optimal policies or a bounded approximation