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PERSIANN-CNN: Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks-Convolutional Neural Networks
Abstract
Accurate and timely precipitation estimates are critical for monitoring and forecasting natural disasters such as floods. Despite having high-resolution satellite information, precipitation estimation from remotely sensed data still suffers from methodological limitations. State-of-the-art deep learning algorithms, renowned for their skill in learning accurate patterns within large and complex datasets, appear well suited to the task of precipitation estimation, given the ample amount of high-resolution satellite data. In this study, the effectiveness of applying convolutional neural networks (CNNs) together with the infrared (IR) and water vapor (WV) channels from geostationary satellites for estimating precipitation rate is explored. The proposed model performances are evaluated during summer 2012 and 2013 over central CONUS at the spatial resolution of 0.08° and at an hourly time scale. Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN)–Cloud Classification System (CCS), which is an operational satellite-based product, and PERSIANN–Stacked Denoising Autoencoder (PERSIANN-SDAE) are employed as baseline models. Results demonstrate that the proposed model (PERSIANN-CNN) provides more accurate rainfall estimates compared to the baseline models at various temporal and spatial scales. Specifically, PERSIANN-CNN outperforms PERSIANN-CCS (and PERSIANN-SDAE) by 54% (and 23%) in the critical success index (CSI), demonstrating the detection skills of the model. Furthermore, the root-mean-square error (RMSE) of the rainfall estimates with respect to the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Stage IV gauge–radar data, for PERSIANN-CNN was lower than that of PERSIANN-CCS (PERSIANN-SDAE) by 37% (14%), showing the estimation accuracy of the proposed model
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Daytime precipitation estimation using bispectral cloud classification system
Two previously developed Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN) algorithms that incorporate cloud classification system (PERSIANN-CCS) and multispectral analysis (PERSIANN-MSA) are integrated and employed to analyze the role of cloud albedo from Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-12 (GOES-12) visible (0.65 μm) channel in supplementing infrared (10.7 mm) data. The integrated technique derives finescale (0.04° × 0.04° latitudelongitude every 30 min) rain rate for each grid box through four major steps: 1) segmenting clouds into a number of cloud patches using infrared or albedo images; 2) classification of cloud patches into a number of cloud types using radiative, geometrical, and textural features for each individual cloud patch; 3) classification of each cloud type into a number of subclasses and assigning rain rates to each subclass using a multidimensional histogram matching method; and 4) associating satellite gridbox information to the appropriate corresponding cloud type and subclass to estimate rain rate in grid scale. The technique was applied over a study region that includes the U.S. landmass east of 115°W. One reference infrared-only and three different bis-pectral (visible and infrared) rain estimation scenarios were compared to investigate the technique's ability to address two major drawbacks of infrared-only methods: 1) underestimating warm rainfall and 2) the inability to screen out no-rain thin cirrus clouds. Radar estimates were used to evaluate the scenarios at a range of temporal (3 and 6 hourly) and spatial (0.04°, 0.08°, 0.12°, and 0.24° latitude-longitude) scales. Overall, the results using daytime data during June-August 2006 indicate that significant gain over infrared-only technique is obtained once albedo is used for cloud segmentation followed by bispectral cloud classification and rainfall estimation. At 3-h, 0.04° resolution, the observed improvement using bispectral information was about 66% for equitable threat score and 26% for the correlation coefficient. At coarser 0.24° resolution, the gains were 34% and 32% for the two performance measures, respectively. © 2010 American Meteorological Society
TaLAM: Mapping Land Cover in Lowlands and Uplands with Satellite Imagery
End-of-Project ReportThe Towards Land Cover Accounting and Monitoring (TaLAM) project is part of Ireland’s response to creating a national land cover mapping programme. Its aims are to demonstrate how the new digital map of Ireland, Prime2, from Ordnance Survey Ireland (OSI), can be combined with satellite imagery to produce land cover maps
A multi-sensor approach for volcanic ash cloud retrieval and eruption characterization: the 23 November 2013 Etna lava fountain
Volcanic activity is observed worldwide with a variety of ground and space-based
remote sensing instruments, each with advantages and drawbacks. No single system can give
a comprehensive description of eruptive activity, and so, a multi-sensor approach is required. This
work integrates infrared and microwave volcanic ash retrievals obtained from the geostationary
Meteosat Second Generation (MSG)-Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI),
the polar-orbiting Aqua-MODIS and ground-based weather radar. The expected outcomes are
improvements in satellite volcanic ash cloud retrieval (altitude, mass, aerosol optical depth and
effective radius), the generation of new satellite products (ash concentration and particle number
density in the thermal infrared) and better characterization of volcanic eruptions (plume altitude,
total ash mass erupted and particle number density from thermal infrared to microwave). This
approach is the core of the multi-platform volcanic ash cloud estimation procedure being developed
within the European FP7-APhoRISM project. The Mt. Etna (Sicily, Italy) volcano lava fountaining
event of 23 November 2013 was considered as a test case. The results of the integration show the
presence of two volcanic cloud layers at different altitudes. The improvement of the volcanic ash
cloud altitude leads to a mean difference between the SEVIRI ash mass estimations, before and after
the integration, of about the 30%. Moreover, the percentage of the airborne “fine” ash retrieved from
the satellite is estimated to be about 1%–2% of the total ash emitted during the eruption. Finally,
all of the estimated parameters (volcanic ash cloud altitude, thickness and total mass) were also
validated with ground-based visible camera measurements, HYSPLIT forward trajectories, Infrared
Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) satellite data and tephra deposits
FOUR YEARS OF UNMANNED AERIAL SYSTEM IMAGERY REVEALS VEGETATION CHANGE IN A SUB-ARCTIC MIRE DUE TO PERMAFROST THAW
Warming trends in sub-arctic regions have resulted in thawing of permafrost which in turn induces change in vegetation across peatlands both in areal extent and composition. Collapse of palsas (i.e. permafrost plateaus) has also been correlated with increases in methane (CH4) emission to the atmosphere. Vegetation change provides new microenvironments that promote CH4 production and emission, specifically through plant interactions and structure. By quantifying the changes in vegetation at the landscape scale, we will be able to scale the impact of thaw on CH4 emissions in these complex climate-sensitive northern ecosystems. We combine field-based measurements of vegetation composition and Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) high resolution (3 cm) imagery to characterize vegetation change in a sub-arctic mire. The objective of this study is to analyze how vegetation from Stordalen Mire, Abisko, Sweden, has changed over time in response to permafrost thaw. At Stordalen Mire, we flew a fixed-wing UAS in July of each of four years, 2014 through 2017, over a 1 km x 0.5 km area. High precision GPS ground control points were used to georeference the imagery. Randomized square-meter plots were measured for vegetation composition and individually classified into one of five vegetation cover types, each representing a different stage of permafrost degradation. Using these training data, each year of imagery was classified by cover type in Google Earth Engine using a Random Forest Classifier. Textural information was extracted from the imagery, which provided additional spatial context information and improved classification accuracy. Twenty five percent of the training data were held back from the classification and used for validation, while the remaining seventy five percent of the training data were used to classify the imagery. The overall classification accuracy for 2014-2017 was 80.6%, 79.1%, 82.0%, and 82.9%, respectively. Percent cover across the landscape was calculated from each classification map and compared between years. Hummock sites, representing intact permafrost, decreased coverage by 9% from 2014-2017, while semi-wet sites increased coverage by 18%. This four-year comparison of vegetation cover indicated a rapid response to permafrost thaw. The use of a UAS allowed us to effectively capture the spatial heterogeneity of a northern peatland ecosystem. Estimation of vegetation cover types is vital in our understanding of the evolution of northern peatlands and their future role in the global carbon cycle
Satellite-based precipitation estimation using watershed segmentation and growing hierarchical self-organizing map
This paper outlines the development of a multi-satellite precipitation estimation methodology that draws on techniques from machine learning and morphology to produce high-resolution, short-duration rainfall estimates in an automated fashion. First, cloud systems are identified from geostationary infrared imagery using morphology based watershed segmentation algorithm. Second, a novel pattern recognition technique, growing hierarchical self-organizing map (GHSOM), is used to classify clouds into a number of clusters with hierarchical architecture. Finally, each cloud cluster is associated with co-registered passive microwave rainfall observations through a cumulative histogram matching approach. The network was initially trained using remotely sensed geostationary infrared satellite imagery and hourly ground-radar data in lieu of a dense constellation of polar-orbiting spacecraft such as the proposed global precipitation measurement (GPM) mission. Ground-radar and gauge rainfall measurements were used to evaluate this technique for both warm (June 2004) and cold seasons (December 2004-February 2005) at various temporal (daily and monthly) and spatial (0.04 and 0.25) scales. Significant improvements of estimation accuracy are found classifying the clouds into hierarchical sub-layers rather than a single layer. Furthermore, 2-year (2003-2004) satellite rainfall estimates generated by the current algorithm were compared with gauge-corrected Stage IV radar rainfall at various time scales over continental United States. This study demonstrates the usefulness of the watershed segmentation and the GHSOM in satellite-based rainfall estimations
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