6 research outputs found

    Dynamic ridge polynomial neural network with Lyapunov function for time series forecasting

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    The ability to model the behaviour of arbitrary dynamic system is one of the most useful properties of recurrent networks. Dynamic ridge polynomial neural network (DRPNN) is a recurrent neural network used for time series forecasting. Despite the potential and capability of the DRPNN, stability problems could occur in the DRPNN due to the existence of the recurrent feedback. Therefore, in this study, a su cient condition based on an approach that uses adaptive learning rate is developed by introducing a Lyapunov function. To compare the performance of the proposed solution with the existing solution, which is derived based on the stability theorem for a feedback network, we used six time series, namely Darwin sea level pressure, monthly smoothed sunspot numbers, Lorenz, Santa Fe laser, daily Euro/Dollar exchange rate and Mackey-Glass time-delay di erential equation. Simulation results proved the stability of the proposed solution and showed an average 21.45% improvement in Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) with respect to the existing solution. Furthermore, the proposed solution is faster than the existing solution. This is due to the fact that the proposed solution solves network size restriction found in the existing solution and takes advantage of the calculated dynamic system variable to check the stability, unlike the existing solution that needs more calculation steps

    Revisit Neural Network based Load Forecasting

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    Department of Finance and Education of Guangdong Province 2016 [202]: Key Discipline Construction Program, China; Education Department of Guangdong Province: New and Integrated Energy System Theory and Technology Research Group [Project Number 2016KCXTD022]

    Recurrent error-based ridge polynomial neural networks for time series forecasting

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    Time series forecasting has attracted much attention due to its impact on many practical applications. Neural networks (NNs) have been attracting widespread interest as a promising tool for time series forecasting. The majority of NNs employ only autoregressive (AR) inputs (i.e., lagged time series values) when forecasting time series. Moving-average (MA) inputs (i.e., errors) however have not adequately considered. The use of MA inputs, which can be done by feeding back forecasting errors as extra network inputs, alongside AR inputs help to produce more accurate forecasts. Among numerous existing NNs architectures, higher order neural networks (HONNs), which have a single layer of learnable weights, were considered in this research work as they have demonstrated an ability to deal with time series forecasting and have an simple architecture. Based on two HONNs models, namely the feedforward ridge polynomial neural network (RPNN) and the recurrent dynamic ridge polynomial neural network (DRPNN), two recurrent error-based models were proposed. These models were called the ridge polynomial neural network with error feedback (RPNN-EF) and the ridge polynomial neural network with error-output feedbacks (RPNN-EOF). Extensive simulations covering ten time series were performed. Besides RPNN and DRPNN, a pi-sigma neural network and a Jordan pi-sigma neural network were used for comparison. Simulation results showed that introducing error feedback to the models lead to significant forecasting performance improvements. Furthermore, it was found that the proposed models outperformed many state-of-the-art models. It was concluded that the proposed models have the capability to efficiently forecast time series and that practitioners could benefit from using these forecasting models

    A recurrent emotional CMAC neural network controller for vision-based mobile robots

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    Vision-based mobile robots often suffer from the difficulties of high nonlinear dynamics and precise positioning requirements, which leads to the development demand of more powerful nonlinear approximation in controlling and monitoring of mobile robots. This paper proposes a recurrent emotional cerebellar model articulation controller (RECMAC) neural network in meeting such demand. In particular, the proposed network integrates a recurrent loop and an emotional learning mechanism into a cerebellar model articulation controller (CMAC), which is implemented as the main component of the controller module of a vision-based mobile robot. Briefly, the controller module consists of a sliding surface, the RECMAC, and a compensator controller. The incorporation of the recurrent structure in a slide model neural network controller ensures the retaining of the previous states of the robot to improve its dynamic mapping ability. The convergence of the proposed system is guaranteed by applying the Lyapunov stability analysis theory. The proposed system was validated and evaluated by both simulation and a practical moving-target tracking task. The experimentation demonstrated that the proposed system outperforms other popular neural network-based control systems, and thus it is superior in approximating highly nonlinear dynamics in controlling vision-based mobile robots
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