Enhancing Operation of a Sewage Pumping Station for Inter Catchment Wastewater Transfer by Using Deep Learning and Hydraulic Model

This paper presents a novel Inter Catchment Wastewater Transfer (ICWT) method for mitigating sewer overflow. The ICWT aims at balancing the spatial mismatch of sewer flow and treatment capacity of Wastewater Treatment Plant (WWTP), through collaborative operation of sewer system facilities. Using a hydraulic model, the effectiveness of ICWT is investigated in a sewer system in Drammen, Norway. Concerning the whole system performance, we found that the S{\o}ren Lemmich pump station plays a vital role in the ICWT framework. To enhance the operation of this pump station, it is imperative to construct a multi-step ahead water level prediction model. Hence, one of the most promising artificial intelligence techniques, Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), is employed to undertake this task. Experiments demonstrated that LSTM is superior to Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Feed-forward Neural Network (FFNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR)

Estimation of Real Power Transfer Allocation Using Intelligent Systems

This paper presents application artificial intelligent (AI) techniques, namely artificial neural network (ANN), adaptive neuro fuzzy interface system (ANFIS), to estimate the real power transfer between generators and loads. Since these AI techniques adopt supervised learning, it first uses modified nodal equation method (MNE) to determine real power contribution from each generator to loads. Then the results of MNE method and load flow information are utilized to estimate the power transfer using AI techniques. The 25-bus equivalent system of south Malaysia is utilized as a test system to illustrate the effectiveness of both AI methods compared to that of the MNE method. The mean squared error of the estimate of ANN and ANFIS power transfer allocation methods are 1.19E-05 and 2.97E-05, respectively. Furthermore, when compared to MNE method, ANN and ANFIS methods computes generator contribution to loads within 20.99 and 39.37msec respectively whereas the MNE method took 360msec for the calculation of same real power transfer allocation

Design of a Novel Convolutional Deep Network Model for Car Accident Prediction

Real-time collision risk estimation is thought to be essential to a sophisticated traffic management system. To swiftly determine accident probability is the goal of real-time crash risk prediction.  However, due to the complex traffic situation on urban arterials, urban arterials were rarely included in previous studies, which mostly focused on highways. This paper suggests using Convolutional Deep Network model (CDNM) to forecast the probability of vascular accidents in real time.  This model has the benefit of being able to use both LSTM and CNN.  CNN retrieves the time-invariant characteristics, while LSTM captures the data's long-term dependability. To estimate the likelihood of an accident, many sorts of data are used, including weather, traffic, and signal timing data. There are also many other data preparation methods employed. The problem of data imbalance is also addressed by normalization which oversamples the crash cases. Using a variety of measures, the CDNM is enhanced on the training data and assessed on the test data.  Five more benchmark models are constructed for model comparison. K-NN, ISVM, ANN, CNN, CNN-EVT and GAN are some of the models in this group. Experimental findings show that the proposed CDNM beats the competition in terms of sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, AUC and G-mean value. The findings of this paper demonstrate that CDNM can real-time prediction of crash risk at arterials

Neural Diagrammatic Reasoning

Diagrams have been shown to be effective tools for humans to represent and reason about complex concepts. They have been widely used to represent concepts in science teaching, to communicate workflow in industries and to measure human fluid intelligence. Mechanised reasoning systems typically encode diagrams into symbolic representations that can be easily processed with rule-based expert systems. This relies on human experts to define the framework of diagram-to-symbol mapping and the set of rules to reason with the symbols. This means the reasoning systems cannot be easily adapted to other diagrams without a new set of human-defined representation mapping and reasoning rules. Moreover such systems are not able to cope with diagram inputs as raw and possibly noisy images. The need for human input and the lack of robustness to noise significantly limit the applications of mechanised diagrammatic reasoning systems. A key research question then arises: can we develop human-like reasoning systems that learn to reason robustly without predefined reasoning rules? To answer this question, I propose Neural Diagrammatic Reasoning, a new family of diagrammatic reasoning systems which does not have the drawbacks of mechanised reasoning systems. The new systems are based on deep neural networks, a recently popular machine learning method that achieved human-level performance on a range of perception tasks such as object detection, speech recognition and natural language processing. The proposed systems are able to learn both diagram to symbol mapping and implicit reasoning rules only from data, with no prior human input about symbols and rules in the reasoning tasks. Specifically I developed EulerNet, a novel neural network model that solves Euler diagram syllogism tasks with 99.5% accuracy. Experiments show that EulerNet learns useful representations of the diagrams and tasks, and is robust to noise and deformation in the input data. I also developed MXGNet, a novel multiplex graph neural architecture that solves Raven Progressive Matrices (RPM) tasks. MXGNet achieves state-of-the-art accuracies on two popular RPM datasets. In addition, I developed Discrete-AIR, an unsupervised learning architecture that learns semi-symbolic representations of diagrams without any labels. Lastly I designed a novel inductive bias module that can be readily used in today’s deep neural networks to improve their generalisation capability on relational reasoning tasks.EPSRC Studentship and Cambridge Trust Scholarshi

Study on identification of nonlinear systems using Quasi-ARX models

制度:新 ; 報告番号:甲3660号 ; 学位の種類:博士(工学) ; 授与年月日:2012/9/15 ; 早大学位記番号:新6026Waseda Universit

Applying Deep Learning to the Ice Cream Vendor Problem: An Extension of the Newsvendor Problem

The Newsvendor problem is a classical supply chain problem used to develop strategies for inventory optimization. The goal of the newsvendor problem is to predict the optimal order quantity of a product to meet an uncertain demand in the future, given that the demand distribution itself is known. The Ice Cream Vendor Problem extends the classical newsvendor problem to an uncertain demand with unknown distribution, albeit a distribution that is known to depend on exogenous features. The goal is thus to estimate the order quantity that minimizes the total cost when demand does not follow any known statistical distribution. The problem is formulated as a mathematical programming problem and solved using a Deep Neural network approach. The feature-dependent demand data used to train and test the deep neural network is produced by a discrete event simulation based on actual daily temperature data, among other features