Dynamic Dilemma Zone Protection System: A Smart Machine Learning Based Approach to Countermeasure Drivers\u27s Yellow Light Dilemma

Drivers’ indecisions within the dilemma zone (DZ) during the yellow interval is a major safety concern of a roadway network. The present study develops a systematic framework of a machine learning (ML) based dynamic dilemma zone protection (DZP) system to protect drivers from potential intersection crashes due to such indecisions. For this, the present study first develops effective methods of quantifying DZ using important site-specific characteristics of signalized intersections. By this method, high-risk intersections in terms of DZ crashes could be identified using readily available intersection site-specific characteristics. Afterward, the present study develops an innovative framework for predicting driver behavior under varying DZ conditions using ML methods. The framework utilizes multiple ML techniques to process vehicle attribute data (e.g., speed, location, and time-of-arrival) collected at the onset of the yellow indication, and eventually predict drivers’ stop-or-go decisions based on the data. The DZP system discussed in the present study has two major components that work with synergy to ensure the total safety of a DZ affected vehicle: dynamic green extension (DGE), and dynamic green protection (DRP) system. Based on the continuous vehicle tracking data, the DGE system uninterruptedly monitors vehicle within the DZ and xiv predict vehicles that may face the decision dilemma if there is a sudden transition from green signal to yellow. After detecting such vehicles, the DGE system provides an exact amount of extended green time so that the detected vehicles could safely clear the intersection without any hesitation. There could be some vehicles that may end up running the red light due to various limitations. In this case, the DRP system provides an extended amount of all-red extensions after predicting potential red light running vehicles to nullify the likelihood of any intersection crashes. After the development, the DZP system is then implemented in several selected intersections in Alabama. Performance assessments are accomplished for the to see the safety and operation impact of the DZP system in implemented sites. The comprehensive assessment of the DGE system is accomplished with ten performance measures, which include percent green arrivals, percent yellow arrivals, percent red arrivals, dilemma zone length, and red-light running vehicles before and after the system implementation. Results show that the DGE system could significantly improve the overall intersection safety and efficiency. A short-term study on performance assessment of DRP systems shows that such a driver behavior prediction method could effectively predict 100% red-light-runners as well as efficiently provide the required amount of clearance time without hampering overall intersection efficiency. Based on the outcomes from the performance assessments of the DGE and DRP systems, it is safe to say the machine learning based DZP system would be able to promote intersection safety by protecting the dilemma zone impacted vehicles from potential intersection crashes as well as enhance the operational performance of intersections by intelligently allocate exact right-of-way to the vehicles and reducing the overall delays

Classification of road users detected and tracked with LiDAR at intersections

Data collection is a necessary component of transportation engineering. Manual data collection methods have proven to be inefficient and limited in terms of the data required for comprehensive traffic and safety studies. Automatic methods are being introduced to characterize the transportation system more accurately and are providing more information to better understand the dynamics between road users. Video data collection is an inexpensive and widely used automated method, but the accuracy of video-based algorithms is known to be affected by obstacles and shadows and the third dimension is lost with video camera data collection. The impressive progress in sensing technologies has encouraged development of new methods for measuring the movements of road users. The Center for Road Safety at Purdue University proposed application of a LiDAR-based algorithm for tracking vehicles at intersections from a roadside location. LiDAR provides a three-dimensional characterization of the sensed environment for better detection and tracking results. The feasibility of this system was analyzed in this thesis using an evaluation methodology to determine the accuracy of the algorithm when tracking vehicles at intersections. According to the implemented method, the LiDAR-based system provides successful detection and tracking of vehicles, and its accuracy is comparable to the results provided by frame-by-frame extraction of trajectory data using video images by human observers. After supporting the suitability of the system for tracking, the second component of this thesis focused on proposing a classification methodology to discriminate between vehicles, pedestrians, and two-wheelers. Four different methodologies were applied to identify the best method for implementation. The KNN algorithm, which is capable of creating adaptive decision boundaries based on the characteristics of similar observations, provided better performance when evaluating new locations. The multinomial logit model did not allow the inclusion of collinear variables into the model. Overfitting of the training data was indicated in the classification tree and boosting methodologies and produced lower performance when the models were applied to the test data. Despite ANOVA analysis not supporting superior performance by a competitor, the objective of classifying movements at intersections under diverse conditions was achieved with the KNN algorithm and was chosen as the method to implement with the existing algorithm

Automatic Turning Movements Identification System: Intersection Error Analysis

To lessen congestion at intersections, traffic identification systems are placed at roadway intersections in order to collect vehicle data. These traffic identification systems include various types of detectors that can identify the presence of vehicles in real-time. However, these detectors can only detect their presence and not their turning movements. To fix this issue, The University of Akron has developed a program that can automatically identify vehicle turning movements and is called the Automatic Turning Movement Identification System, or ATMIS. ATMIS uses mathematical algorithms to compute the vehicle’s turning movements based on a sink and feed detector paring. During traffic simulations while using ATMIS, it was found that it could not adequately compute certain vehicle behaviors and turning movements resulting in output errors. To determine the specific traffic events that are causing the output errors in ATMIS, traffic simulations were conducted on two different geometric intersections in Traffic in Cities Simulation Model, VISSIM, software. The turning movements accurately calculated by ATMIS and also the turning movement output errors were recorded and analyzed for both intersection simulations. Once all ATMIS errors were identified in the output, the simulations were conducted once again for a further in depth analysis of each error. Simulations were altered to a slower rate in order to analyze and visually capture each individual turning movement error. The error information was documented and organized in such a way to recommend possible solutions to increase the accuracy of the ATMIS software

Simulation of the Impact of Connected and Automated Vehicles at a Signalized Intersection

Intersections are locations with higher likelihood of crash occurences and sources of traffic congestion as they act as bottlenecks compared with other parts of the roadway networks. Consequently, connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) can help to improve the efficiency of the roadways by reducing traffic congestion and traffic delays. Since CAVs are expected to take control from drivers (human control) in making many important decisions, thus they are expected to minimize driver (human) errors in driving tasks. Therefore, CAVs potential benefits of eliminating driver error include an increase in safety (crash reduction), smooth vehicle flow to reduce emissions, and reduce congestion in all roadway networks. Since CAV implementations are currently in early stages, researchers have found that the use of traffic modeling and simulation can assist decision makers by quantifying the impact of increasing levels of CAVs, helping to identify the effect this will have on future transportation facilities. The main objective of the current study was to simulate the potential impacts CAVs may have on traffic flow and delay at a typical urban signalized intersection. Essentially, to use a microscopic traffic simulation software to test future CAV technology within a virtual environment, by testing different levels of CAVs with their associated behaviors across several scenarios simulated. This study tested and simulated the impact of CAVs compared with conventional vehicles at a signalized intersection. Specifically, I analyzed and compared the operations of the signalized intersection when there are only conventional vehicles, conventional vehicles mixed with CAVs, and when there are only CAVs

ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF BICYCLE TREATMENTS ON BICYCLE SAFETY: A MULTI-METHODS APPROACH

Compared to other modes, bicyclists are disproportionally affected by crashes considering their low mode share. There is evidence that crashes between bicyclists and motorized vehicle take place at road segments and signalized intersections where bicycle treatments (e.g., bike lanes) are present, urging for in-dept analysis of the safety impact of the various bicycle treatment types. Additionally, it is important to identify sensor types that have the potential to advance field data collection and traffic monitoring in multi-modal road environments. In this dissertation, three approaches, namely crash analysis, traffic conflict analysis, and analysis of driver speeding and glancing behavior, were implemented to investigate the safety impact of bicycle treatments at the segment- and the intersection-levels on bicycle safety. Prediction models were developed to predict bicycle-motorized vehicle crashes at road segments and signalized intersections, and traffic conflicts between straight-going bicyclists and right-turning vehicles at signalized intersections. Driver speeding and glancing behavior was analysed for the segment and the intersection levels. A mode classification framework to classify trajectories recorded using a radar-based sensor was developed to test the feasibility of using radar-based sensors in field studies. The findings of this dissertation contribute to bicycle safety research in terms of quantifying the safety impact of various bicycle treatment types and how to assess and also, by showing how to assess bicycle safety. The findings of this research have the potential to stand as a valuable tool for transportation policymakers and officials in charge of establishing safe bicycle networks

Assessing the Impact of Bicycle Infrastructure and Modal Shift on Traffic Operations and Safety Using Microsimulation

A transportation system designed to prioritize the mobility of automobiles cannot accommodate the growing number of road users. The Complete Streets policy plays a crucial part in transforming streets to accommodate multiple modes of transportation, especially active modes like biking and walking. Complete streets are referred to as streets designed for everyone and enable safety and mobility to all users. A strategy of complete streets transformation is to connect isolated complete street segments to form a complete network that improves active mobility and public transit ridership. This research assessed the impact of efficiently and equitably connecting and expanding the biking network using dedicated lanes on the safety and operation of the network in Atlanta, Georgia. These connections are aimed at increasing the multimodal use of the streets in midtown and downtown Atlanta and achieving the mobility and public health goals through the integration of various modes of travel. The evaluation was done by modeling a well-calibrated and validated network of Midtown and Downtown Atlanta in VISSIM using existing travel demand and traffic design conditions (i.e., the baseline or Scenario 0). A total of three different conditions: existing, proposed, and alternative conditions, were modeled to see the effectiveness of bike infrastructure design improvement and expansion. Three scenarios were then modeled as variations of modal demand of the different condition models. Scenarios modeled are based on input from the City and Community stakeholders. Using the trajectory data from microsimulation, the surrogate safety assessment model (SSAM) from FHWA was used to analyze the safety effect on the bike infrastructure improvement and expansion. Results of this study showed a positive impact of complete streets transformation on the streets of Midtown and Downtown Atlanta. These impacts are quantified in this thesis

Simulating the Impact of Traffic Calming Strategies

This study assessed the impact of traffic calming measures to the speed, travel times and capacity of residential roadways. The study focused on two types of speed tables, speed humps and a raised crosswalk. A moving test vehicle equipped with GPS receivers that allowed calculation of speeds and determination of speed profiles at 1s intervals were used. Multi-regime model was used to provide the best fit using steady state equations; hence the corresponding speed-flow relationships were established for different calming scenarios. It was found that capacities of residential roadway segments due to presence of calming features ranged from 640 to 730 vph. However, the capacity varied with the spacing of the calming features in which spacing speed tables at 1050 ft apart caused a 23% reduction in capacity while 350-ft spacing reduced capacity by 32%. Analysis showed a linear decrease of capacity of approximately 20 vphpl, 37 vphpl and 34 vphpl when 17 ft wide speed tables were spaced at 350 ft, 700 ft, and 1050 ft apart respectively. For speed hump calming features, spacing humps at 350 ft reduced capacity by about 33% while a 700 ft spacing reduced capacity by 30%. The study concludes that speed tables are slightly better than speed humps in terms of preserving the roadway capacity. Also, traffic calming measures significantly reduce the speeds of vehicles, and it is best to keep spacing of 630 ft or less to achieve desirable crossing speeds of less or equal to 15 mph especially in a street with schools nearby. A microscopic simulation model was developed to replicate the driving behavior of traffic on urban road diets roads to analyze the influence of bus stops on traffic flow and safety. The impacts of safety were assessed using surrogate measures of safety (SSAM). The study found that presence of a bus stops for 10, 20 and 30 s dwell times have almost 9.5%, 12%, and 20% effect on traffic speed reductions when 300 veh/hr flow is considered. A comparison of reduction in speed of traffic on an 11 ft wide road lane of a road diet due to curbside stops and bus bays for a mean of 30s with a standard deviation of 5s dwell time case was conducted. Results showed that a bus stop bay with the stated bus dwell time causes an approximate 8% speed reduction to traffic at a flow level of about 1400 vph. Analysis of the trajectories from bust stop locations showed that at 0, 25, 50, 75, 100, 125, 150, and 175 feet from the intersection the number of conflicts is affected by the presence and location of a curbside stop on a segment with a road diet

Evaluating the reliability of automatically generated pedestrian and bicycle crash surrogates

Vulnerable road users (VRUs), such as pedestrians and bicyclists, are at a higher risk of being involved in crashes with motor vehicles, and crashes involving VRUs also are more likely to result in severe injuries or fatalities. Signalized intersections are a major safety concern for VRUs due to their complex and dynamic nature, highlighting the need to understand how these road users interact with motor vehicles and deploy evidence-based countermeasures to improve safety performance. Crashes involving VRUs are relatively infrequent, making it difficult to understand the underlying contributing factors. An alternative is to identify and use conflicts between VRUs and motorized vehicles as a surrogate for safety performance. Automatically detecting these conflicts using a video-based systems is a crucial step in developing smart infrastructure to enhance VRU safety. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation conducted a study using video-based event monitoring system to assess VRU and motor vehicle interactions at fifteen signalized intersections across Pennsylvania to improve VRU safety performance. This research builds on that study to assess the reliability of automatically generated surrogates in predicting confirmed conflicts using advanced data-driven models. The surrogate data used for analysis include automatically collectable variables such as vehicular and VRU speeds, movements, post-encroachment time, in addition to manually collected variables like signal states, lighting, and weather conditions. The findings highlight the varying importance of specific surrogates in predicting true conflicts, some being more informative than others. The findings can assist transportation agencies to collect the right types of data to help prioritize infrastructure investments, such as bike lanes and crosswalks, and evaluate their effectiveness