52 research outputs found

    Estimating Passenger Demand Using Machine Learning Models: A Systematic Review

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    This article investigated machine learning models used to estimate passenger demand. These models have the potential to provide valuable insights into passenger trip behaviour and other inferences. The estimate of passenger demand using machine learning model research and the methodologies used are fragmented. To synchronise these studies, this paper conducts a systematic review of machine learning models to estimate passenger demand. The review investigates how passenger demand is estimated using machine learning models. A comprehensive search strategy is conducted across the three main online publishing databases to locate 911 unique records. Relevant record titles, abstracts, and publication information are extracted, leaving 102 articles. Furthermore, articles are evaluated according to eligibility requirements. This procedure yields 21 full-text papers for data extraction. 3 research thematic questions covering passenger data collection techniques, passenger demand interventions, and intervention performance are reviewed in detail. The results of this study suggest that mobility records, LSTM-based models, and performance metrics play a critical role in conducting passenger demand prediction studies. The model evaluation was mostly restricted to 3 performance metrics which needs improved metric for evaluation. Furthermore, the review determined an overreliance on the longand short-term memory model to estimate passenger demand. Therefore, minimising the limitation of the LSTM model will generally improve the estimation models. Furthermore, having an acceptable trainset to avoid overfitting is crucial. In addition, it is advisable to consider multiple metrics to have a more comprehensive evaluation

    Coordinated control and network integration of wave power farms

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    Significant progress has been made in the development of wave energy converters (WECs) during recent years, with prototypes and farms of WECs being installed in different parts of the world. With increasing sizes of individual WECs and farms, it becomes necessary to consider the impacts of connecting these to the electricity network and to investigate means by which these impacts may be mitigated. The time-varying and the unpredictable nature of the power generated from wave power farms supplemented by the weak networks to which most of these farms will be connected to, makes the question of integrating a large quantity of wave power to the network more challenging. The work reported here focuses on the fluctuations in the rms-voltage introduced by the connection of wave power farms. Two means to reduce these rms-voltage fluctuations are proposed. In the first method, the physical placement of the WECs within a farm is selected prior to the development of the farm to reduce the fluctuations in the net real power generated. It is shown that spacing the WECs or the line of WECs within a farm at a distance greater than half the peak wavelength and orienting the farm at 90◩ to the dominant wave direction produces a much smoother power output. The appropriateness of the following conclusions has been tested and proven for a wave power farm developed off the Outer Hebrides, using real wave field and network data. The second method uses intelligent reactive power control algorithms, which have already been tested with wind and hydro power systems, to reduce voltage fluctuations. The application of these intelligent control methods to a 6 MW wave power farm connected to a realistic UK distribution network verified that these approaches improve the voltage profile of the distribution network and help the connection of larger farms to the network, without any need for network management or upgrades. Using these control methods ensured the connection of the wave power farm to the network for longer than when the conventional control methods are used, which is economically beneficial for the wave power farm developer. The use of such intelligent voltage - reactive power (volt/VAr) control methods with the wave power farm significantly affects the operation of other onshore voltage control devices found prior to the connection of the farm. Thus, it is essential that the control of the farm and the onshore control devices are coordinated. A voltage estimation method, which uses a one-step-ahead demand predictor, is used to sense the voltage downstream of the substation at the bus where the farm is connected. The estimator uses only measurements made at the substation and historical demand data. The estimation method is applied to identify the operating mode of a wave power farm connected to a generic 11 kV distribution network in the UK from the upstream substation. The developed method introduced an additional level of control and can be used at rural substations to optimise the operation of the network, without any new addition of measuring devices or communication means

    IEEE Access Special Section Editorial: Big Data Technology and Applications in Intelligent Transportation

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    During the last few years, information technology and transportation industries, along with automotive manufacturers and academia, are focusing on leveraging intelligent transportation systems (ITS) to improve services related to driver experience, connected cars, Internet data plans for vehicles, traffic infrastructure, urban transportation systems, traffic collaborative management, road traffic accidents analysis, road traffic flow prediction, public transportation service plan, personal travel route plans, and the development of an effective ecosystem for vehicles, drivers, traffic controllers, city planners, and transportation applications. Moreover, the emerging technologies of the Internet of Things (IoT) and cloud computing have provided unprecedented opportunities for the development and realization of innovative intelligent transportation systems where sensors and mobile devices can gather information and cloud computing, allowing knowledge discovery, information sharing, and supported decision making. However, the development of such data-driven ITS requires the integration, processing, and analysis of plentiful information obtained from millions of vehicles, traffic infrastructures, smartphones, and other collaborative systems like weather stations and road safety and early warning systems. The huge amount of data generated by ITS devices is only of value if utilized in data analytics for decision-making such as accident prevention and detection, controlling road risks, reducing traffic carbon emissions, and other applications which bring big data analytics into the picture

    Energy Management Systems for Optimal Operation of Electrical Micro/Nanogrids

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    Energy management systems (EMSs) are nowadays considered one of the most relevant technical solutions for enhancing the efficiency, reliability, and economy of smart micro/nanogrids, both in terrestrial and vehicular applications. For this reason, the recent technical literature includes numerous technical contributions on EMSs for residential/commercial/vehicular micro/nanogrids that encompass renewable generators and battery storage systems (BSS) The volume “Energy Management Systems for Optimal Operation of Electrical Micro/Nanogrids”, was released as a Special Issue of the journal Energies, published by MDPI, with the aim of expanding the knowledge on EMSs for the optimal operation of electrical micro/nanogrids by presenting topical and high-quality research papers that address open issues in the identified technical field. The volume is a collection of seven research papers authored by research teams from several countries, where different hot topics are accurately explored. The reader will have the possibility to benefit from original scientific results concerning, in particular, the following key topics: distribution systems; smart home/building; battery energy storage; demand uncertainty; energy forecasting; model predictive control; real-time control, microgrid planning; and electrical vehicles

    Development of predictive energy management strategies for hybrid electric vehicles

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    2017 Fall.Includes bibliographical references.Studies have shown that obtaining and utilizing information about the future state of vehicles can improve vehicle fuel economy (FE). However, there has been a lack of research into the impact of real-world prediction error on FE improvements, and whether near-term technologies can be utilized to improve FE. This study seeks to research the effect of prediction error on FE. First, a speed prediction method is developed, and trained with real-world driving data gathered only from the subject vehicle (a local data collection method). This speed prediction method informs a predictive powertrain controller to determine the optimal engine operation for various prediction durations. The optimal engine operation is input into a high-fidelity model of the FE of a Toyota Prius. A tradeoff analysis between prediction duration and prediction fidelity was completed to determine what duration of prediction resulted in the largest FE improvement. Results demonstrate that 60-90 second predictions resulted in the highest FE improvement over the baseline, achieving up to a 4.8% FE increase. A second speed prediction method utilizing simulated vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication was developed to understand if incorporating near-term technologies could be utilized to further improve prediction fidelity. This prediction method produced lower variation in speed prediction error, and was able to realize a larger FE improvement over the local prediction method for longer prediction durations, achieving up to 6% FE improvement. This study concludes that speed prediction and prediction-informed optimal vehicle energy management can produce FE improvements with real-world prediction error and drive cycle variability, as up to 85% of the FE benefit of perfect speed prediction was achieved with the proposed prediction methods

    Alternative Sources of Energy Modeling, Automation, Optimal Planning and Operation

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    An economic development model analyzes the adoption of alternative strategy capable of leveraging the economy, based essentially on RES. The combination of wind turbine, PV installation with new technology battery energy storage, DSM network and RES forecasting algorithms maximizes RES integration in isolated islands. An innovative model of power system (PS) imbalances is presented, which aims to capture various features of the stochastic behavior of imbalances and to reduce in average reserve requirements and PS risk. Deep learning techniques for medium-term wind speed and solar irradiance forecasting are presented, using for first time a specific cloud index. Scalability-replicability of the FLEXITRANSTORE technology innovations integrates hardware-software solutions in all areas of the transmission system and the wholesale markets, promoting increased RES. A deep learning and GIS approach are combined for the optimal positioning of wave energy converters. An innovative methodology to hybridize battery-based energy storage using supercapacitors for smoother power profile, a new control scheme and battery degradation mechanism and their economic viability are presented. An innovative module-level photovoltaic (PV) architecture in parallel configuration is introduced maximizing power extraction under partial shading. A new method for detecting demagnetization faults in axial flux permanent magnet synchronous wind generators is presented. The stochastic operating temperature (OT) optimization integrated with Markov Chain simulation ascertains a more accurate OT for guiding the coal gasification practice

    Convergence of Intelligent Data Acquisition and Advanced Computing Systems

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    This book is a collection of published articles from the Sensors Special Issue on "Convergence of Intelligent Data Acquisition and Advanced Computing Systems". It includes extended versions of the conference contributions from the 10th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Data Acquisition and Advanced Computing Systems: Technology and Applications (IDAACS’2019), Metz, France, as well as external contributions

    Data-driven methods to improve resource utilization, fraud detection, and cyber-resilience in smart grids

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    This dissertation demonstrates that empirical models of generation and consumption, constructed using machine learning and statistical methods, improve resource utilization, fraud detection, and cyber-resilience in smart grids. The modern power grid, known as the smart grid, uses computer communication networks to improve efficiency by transporting control and monitoring messages between devices. At a high level, those messages aid in ensuring that power generation meets the constantly changing power demand in a manner that minimizes costs to the stakeholders. In buildings, or nanogrids, communications between loads and centralized controls allow for more efficient electricity use. Ultimately, all efficiency improvements are enabled by data, and it is vital to protect the integrity of the data because compromised data could undermine those improvements. Furthermore, such compromise could have both economic consequences, such as power theft, and safety-critical consequences, such as blackouts. This dissertation addresses three concerns related to the smart grid: resource utilization, fraud detection, and cyber-resilience. We describe energy resource utilization benefits that can be achieved by using machine learning for renewable energy integration and also for energy management of building loads. In the context of fraud detection, we present a framework for identifying attacks that aim to make fraudulent monetary gains by compromising consumption and generation readings taken by meters. We then present machine learning, signal processing, and information-theoretic approaches for mitigating those attacks. Finally, we explore attacks that seek to undermine the resilience of the grid to faults by compromising generators' ability to compensate for lost generation elsewhere in the grid. Redundant sources of measurements are used to detect such attacks by identifying mismatches between expected and measured behavior
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