Classifying Firms’ Performance Using Data Mining Approaches

Superior prediction and classification in determining company’s performance are major concern for practitioners and academic research in providing useful or important information to the shareholders and potential investors for investment decision. Generally, the normal practice to analysed firm’s performance are based on financial indicators reported in the company’s annual report including the balance sheet, income and cash flow statements. In this work, a few popular and important benchmarking machine learning techniques for the data mining including neural networks, support vector machine, rough set theory, discriminant analysis, logistic regression, decision table, sequential minimal optimization and decision tree have been tested as to classify firm’s performance. The data mining techniques produce high classification rate that is more than 92%. This work also has reduced total number of ratios to be evaluated due to long processing time and large processing resources. Finally, the CA/TA, S/TA, E/TA, GM, FC, PBT/TA, and EPS have been considered for of the final reduced financial ratios. The results show that the 7 reduced ratios are comparable as the common 24 ratios. And to the still produce high classification rate and able classify the firm’s performance

Multi-agent hybrid mechanism for financial risk management

Purpose: The goal of this study was to propose the multi-agent mechanism to forecast the corporate financial distress. Design/methodology/approach: This study utilized numerous methods, namely random subspace method, discriminant analysis and decision tree to construct the multi-agent forecasting model. Findings: The study shows a superior forecasting performance. Originality/value: The use of multi-agent model to predict the corporate financial distress.Peer Reviewe

Forecasting Financial Distress With Machine Learning – A Review

Purpose – Evaluate the various academic researches with multiple views on credit risk and artificial intelligence (AI) and their evolution.Theoretical framework – The study is divided as follows: Section 1 introduces the article. Section 2 deals with credit risk and its relationship with computational models and techniques. Section 3 presents the methodology. Section 4 addresses a discussion of the results and challenges on the topic. Finally, section 5 presents the conclusions.Design/methodology/approach – A systematic review of the literature was carried out without defining the time period and using the Web of Science and Scopus database.Findings – The application of computational technology in the scope of credit risk analysis has drawn attention in a unique way. It was found that the demand for identification and introduction of new variables, classifiers and more assertive methods is constant. The effort to improve the interpretation of data and models is intense.Research, Practical & Social implications – It contributes to the verification of the theory, providing information in relation to the most used methods and techniques, it brings a wide analysis to deepen the knowledge of the factors and variables on the theme. It categorizes the lines of research and provides a summary of the literature, which serves as a reference, in addition to suggesting future research.Originality/value – Research in the area of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning is recent and requires attention and investigation, thus, this study contributes to the opening of new views in order to deepen the work on this topic

Improved particle swarm optimization algorithm for multi-reservoir system operation

AbstractIn this paper, a hybrid improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) algorithm is proposed for the optimization of hydroelectric power scheduling in multi-reservoir systems. The conventional particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is improved in two ways: (1) The linearly decreasing inertia weight coefficient (LDIWC) is replaced by a self-adaptive exponential inertia weight coefficient (SEIWC), which could make the PSO algorithm more balanceable and more effective in both global and local searches. (2) The crossover and mutation idea inspired by the genetic algorithm (GA) is imported into the particle updating method to enhance the diversity of populations. The potential ability of IPSO in nonlinear numerical function optimization was first tested with three classical benchmark functions. Then, a long-term multi-reservoir system operation model based on IPSO was designed and a case study was carried out in the Minjiang Basin in China, where there is a power system consisting of 26 hydroelectric power plants. The scheduling results of the IPSO algorithm were found to outperform PSO and to be comparable with the results of the dynamic programming successive approximation (DPSA) algorithm

Un análisis bibliométrico de la predicción de quiebra empresarial con Machine Learning

The aim of this article is to present a bibliometric analysis on the use that Machine Learning (ML) techniques have had in the process of predicting business bankruptcy through the review of the Web of Science database. This exercise provides information on the initiation and adaptation process of such techniques. For this, the different ml techniques applied in the bankruptcy prediction model are identified. As a result, 327 documents are obtained, of which they are clas­sified by performance evaluation measure, the area under the curve (AUC) and precision (ACC), these being the most used in the classification process. In ad­dition, the relationship between researchers, institutions and countries with the largest number of applications of this type is identified. The results show how the XGBoost, SVM, Smote, RF and D algorithms present a much greater predictive capacity than traditional methodologies; focused on a time horizon before the event given its greater precision. Similarly, financial and non-financial variables contribute favorably to said estimate.El objetivo de este artículo es presentar un análisis bibliométrico sobre el uso que han tenido las técnicas de Machine Learning (ML) en el proceso de predic­ción de quiebra empresarial a través de la revisión de la base de datos Web of Science. Este ejercicio brinda información sobre el inicio y el proceso de adap­tación de dichas técnicas. Para ello, se identifican las diferentes técnicas de ml aplicadas en modelo de predicción de quiebras. Se obtiene como resultado 327 documentos, los cuales se clasifican por medida de evaluación del desempe­ño, área bajo la curva (AUC) y precisión (ACC), por ser las más utilizadas en el proceso de clasificación. Además, se identifica la relación entre investigadores, instituciones y países con mayor número de aplicaciones de este tipo. Los re­sultados evidencian que los algoritmos XGBoost, SVM, Smote, RFY DT presentan una capacidad predictiva mucho mayor que las metodologías tradicionales, en­focados en un horizonte de tiempo antes del suceso dada su mayor precisión. Así mismo, las variables financieras y no financieras contribuyen de manera favorable a dicha estimación

Redes neurais, lógica nebulosa e algoritmos genéticos: aplicações e possibilidades em finanças e contabilidade

There are problems in Finance and Accounting that can not be easily solved by means of traditional techniques (e.g. bankruptcy prediction and strategies for investing in common stock). In these situations, it is possible to use methods of Artificial Intelligence. This paper analyzes empirical works published in international journals between 2000 and 2007 that present studies about the application of Neural Networks, Fuzzy Logic and Genetic Algorithms to problems in Finance and Accounting. The objective is to identify and quantify the relationships established between the available techniques and the problems studied by the researchers. Analyzing 258 papers, it was noticed that the most used technique is the Artificial Neural Network. The most researched applications are from the field of Finance, especially those related to stock exchanges (forecasting of common stock and indices prices).Existem problemas em Finanças e Contabilidade que não podem ser resolvidos facilmente através de técnicas tradicionais - por exemplo, previsão de falências e estratégias para negociação em bolsas de valores. Nestes casos, uma das alternativas é o uso de métodos de inteligência computacional. Este artigo analisa pesquisas empíricas publicadas em periódicos internacionais entre 2000 e 2007 que apresentam estudos sobre a aplicação de redes neurais, lógica nebulosa e algoritmos genéticos a problemas da área de Finanças e Contabilidade. O objetivo é identificar e quantificar as relações estabelecidas entre as tecnologias disponíveis e os problemas estudados pelos pesquisadores. Analisando-se 258 artigos, percebeu-se que a técnica mais utilizada é a rede neural artificial. As aplicações mais pesquisadas são de Finanças, especialmente aquelas relacionadas a bolsas de valores (previsão de cotações de ações e de índices)

Third CLIPS Conference Proceedings, volume 1

Expert systems are computed programs which emulate human expertise in well defined problem domains. The potential payoff from expert systems is high: valuable expertise can be captured and preserved, repetitive and/or mundane tasks requiring human expertise can be automated, and uniformity can be applied in decision making processes. The C Language Integrated Production Systems (CLIPS) is an expert system building tool, developed at the Johnson Space Center, which provides a complete environment for the development and delivery of rule and/or object based expert systems. CLIPS was specifically designed to provide a low cost option for developing and deploying expert system applications across a wide range of hardware platforms. The development of CLIPS has helped to improve the ability to deliver expert systems technology throughout the public and private sectors for a wide range of applications and diverse computing environments

EVAL mission requirements, phase 1

The aspects of NASA's applications mission were enhanced by utilization of shuttle/spacelab, and payload groupings which optimize the cost of achieving the mission goals were defined. Preliminary Earth Viewing Application Laboratory (EVAL) missions, experiments, sensors, and sensor groupings were developed. The major technological EVAL themes and objectives which NASA will be addressing during the 1980 to 2,000 time period were investigated. Missions/experiments which addressed technique development, sensor development, application development, and/or operational data collection were considered as valid roles for EVAL flights

Aeronautical Engineering: A special bibliography with indexes, supplement 61

This bibliography lists 418 reports, articles, and other documents introduced into the NASA scientific and technical information system in August 1975

Accountant\u27s business manual, 2006, volume 2

https://egrove.olemiss.edu/aicpa_guides/2814/thumbnail.jp