11 research outputs found

    Π€ΠΎΡ€ΠΌΠΈΡ€ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠ΅ цСнности Π² систСмС управлСния производствСнными Π°ΠΊΡ‚ΠΈΠ²Π°ΠΌΠΈ элСктроэнСргСтичСской ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΠΈ

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    ЦСлью ΡΡ‚Π°Ρ‚ΡŒΠΈ являСтся Ρ€Π°Π·Ρ€Π°Π±ΠΎΡ‚ΠΊΠ° ΠΌΠΎΠ΄Π΅Π»ΠΈ, ΠΎΠΏΠΈΡΡ‹Π²Π°ΡŽΡ‰Π΅ΠΉ процСсс формирования цСнности Π² систСмС управлСния производствСнными Π°ΠΊΡ‚ΠΈΠ²Π°ΠΌΠΈ элСктроэнСргСтичСской ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΠΈ. ΠžΠΏΡ€Π΅Π΄Π΅Π»ΡΡŽΡ‚ΡΡ ΠΊΠ»ΡŽΡ‡Π΅Π²Ρ‹Π΅ ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΠ±Π»Π΅ΠΌΡ‹, с ΠΊΠΎΡ‚ΠΎΡ€Ρ‹ΠΌΠΈ ΡΡ‚Π°Π»ΠΊΠΈΠ²Π°ΡŽΡ‚ΡΡ ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΠΈ элСктроэнСргСтичСской отрасли Π² ΡƒΠΏΡ€Π°Π²Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΠΈ производствСнными Π°ΠΊΡ‚ΠΈΠ²Π°ΠΌΠΈ с ΡƒΡ‡Π΅Ρ‚ΠΎΠΌ ΠΈΠ·ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΡŽΡ‰ΠΈΡ…ΡΡ условий внСшнСй срСды. ВыдСляСтся Π·Π½Π°Ρ‡ΠΈΠΌΠΎΡΡ‚ΡŒ развития цСнностного ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Ρ…ΠΎΠ΄Π° ΠΏΡ€ΠΈΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ‚Π΅Π»ΡŒΠ½ΠΎ ΠΊ ΡƒΠΏΡ€Π°Π²Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΡŽ производствСнными Π°ΠΊΡ‚ΠΈΠ²Π°ΠΌΠΈ. АнализируСтся Π²ΠΎΠ·ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎΡΡ‚ΡŒ прилоТСния ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ Ρ‚Π΅ΠΎΡ€ΠΈΠΈ систСм ΠΊ процСссу управлСния производствСнными Π°ΠΊΡ‚ΠΈΠ²Π°ΠΌΠΈ. ΠŸΡ€Π΅Π΄Π»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π° авторская модСль управлСния производствСнными Π°ΠΊΡ‚ΠΈΠ²Π°ΠΌΠΈ элСктроэнСргСтичСской ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΠΈ. Π­Π»Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½Ρ‚Ρ‹ Π½ΠΎΠ²ΠΈΠ·Π½Ρ‹ Π·Π°ΠΊΠ»ΡŽΡ‡Π°ΡŽΡ‚ΡΡ Π² Π²Ρ‹Π΄Π΅Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΠΈ Π΄Ρ€Π°ΠΉΠ²Π΅Ρ€ΠΎΠ² создания цСнности Π½Π° всСх уровнях ΠΊΠΎΡ€ΠΏΠΎΡ€Π°Ρ‚ΠΈΠ²Π½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ управлСния, Π° Ρ‚Π°ΠΊΠΆΠ΅ Π² использовании ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ систСмного ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Ρ…ΠΎΠ΄Π° для описания управлСния производствСнными Π°ΠΊΡ‚ΠΈΠ²Π°ΠΌΠΈ с Ρ‚ΠΎΡ‡ΠΊΠΈ зрСния ΠΎΡ‚ΠΊΡ€Ρ‹Ρ‚ΠΎΠΉ систСм

    Condition-based maintenance for systems with aging and cumulative damage based on proportional hazards model

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    This paper develops a condition-based maintenance (CBM) policy for systems subject to aging and cumulative damage. The cumulative damage is modeled by a continuous degradation process. Different from previous studies which assume that the system fails when the degradation level exceeds a specific threshold, this paper argues that the degradation itself does not directly lead to system failure, but increases the failure risk of the system. Proportional hazards model (PHM) is employed to characterize the joint effect of aging and cumulative damage. CBM models are developed for two cases: one assumes that the distribution parameters of the degradation process are known in advance, while the other assumes that the parameters are unknown and need to be estimated during system operation. In the first case, an optimal maintenance policy is obtained by minimizing the long-run cost rate. For the case with unknown parameters, periodic inspection is adopted to monitor the degradation level of the system and update the distribution parameters. A case study of Asphalt Plug Joint in UK bridge system is employed to illustrate the maintenance policy.The work described in this paper was partially supported by a theme-based project grant (T32-101/15-R) of University Grants Council, and a Key Project (71532008) supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China

    Reliability modeling and preventive maintenance of load-sharing systems with degrading components

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    This article presents certain new approaches to the reliability modeling of systems subject to shared loads. It is assumed that components in the system degrade continuously through an additive impact under load. The reliability assessment of such systems is often complicated by the fact that both the arriving load and the failure of components influence the degradation of the surviving components in a complex manner. The proposed approaches seek to ease this problem, by first deriving the time to prior failures and the arrival of random loads and then determining the number of failed components. Two separate models capable of analyzing system reliability as well as arriving at system maintenance and design decisions are proposed. The first considers a constant load and the other a cumulative load. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed models

    An imperfect maintenance policy for mission-oriented systems subject to degradation and external shocks

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    This paper develops a maintenance model for mission-oriented systems subject to natural degradation and external shocks. For mission-oriented systems which are used to perform safety-critical tasks, maintenance actions need to satisfy a range of constraints such as availability/reliability, maintenance duration and the opportunity of maintenance. Additionally, in developing maintenance policy, one needs to consider the natural degradation due to aging and wearing along with the external shocks due to variations of the operating environment. In this paper, the natural degradation is modeled as a Wiener process and the arrival of random shock as a homogeneous Poisson process. The damage caused by shocks is integrated into the degradation process, according to the cumulative shock model. Improvement factor model is used to characterize the impact of maintenance actions on system restoration. Optimal maintenance policy is obtained by minimizing the long-run cost rate. Finally, an example of subsea blowout preventer system is presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model

    A condition-based maintenance policy for degrading systems with age- and state-dependent operating cost

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    Most of the maintenance policies in existing publications assume that no cost is incurred as long as the system can undertake missions while little consideration has been devoted to the operating cost during system operation. However, in practice, the operating cost increases while the system ages and degrades even if a system is in a functioning state. This paper proposes a maintenance policy for a degrading system with age- and state-dependent operating cost, which increases with system age and degradation levels. Under such a setting, a replacement model is first developed to investigate the optimal preventive replacement policy. The replacement model is then extended to a repair-replacement model, in which imperfect repair is assumed to restore the system to the operating condition. Particularly, the repair model with controllable and uncontrollable repair levels is considered separately. The paper proves that the optimal maintenance policy is actually a monotone control limit policy, where the optimal control limits decrease monotonically with system age. Finally, a numerical example along with sensitivity analysis is presented to illustrate the optimal maintenance policy. The proposed model implies a more conservative maintenance policy, compared with the traditional model without the age- and state-dependent operating cost

    Maintenance scheduling for multicomponent systems with hidden failures

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    This paper develops a maintenance policy for a multicomponent system subject to hidden failures. Components of the system are assumed to suffer from hidden failures, which can only be detected at inspection. The objective of the maintenance policy is to determine the inspection intervals for each component such that the long-run cost rate is minimized. Due to the dependence among components, an exact optimal solution is difficult to obtain. Concerned with the intractability of the problem, a heuristic method named β€œbase interval approach” is adopted to reduce the computational complexity. Performance of the base interval approach is analyzed, and the result shows that the proposed policy can approximate the optimal policy within a small factor. Two numerical examples are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the policy

    A restless bandit approach for capacitated condition based maintenance scheduling

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    peer reviewedThis paper considers the maintenance scheduling problem of multiple non-identical machines deteriorating over time. The deterioration gradually decreases a machine’s performance, which results in revenue losses due to lower output quality. The maintenance cost is dependent on the degradation state, and the number of maintenance activities that can be carried out simultaneously is restricted by the number of maintenance workers. Our main goal is to propose a heuristic with low complexity that consistently produces solutions close to the optimal strategy for problems of real size. We cast the problem as a restless bandit problem and propose an index based heuristic (Whittle’s index policy) which can be computed efficiently. We also provide a lower bound that can be computed by linear programming. We numerically compare the performance of the index heuristic with alternative policies. In addition to achieving superior performance over failure-based and threshold policies, Whittle’s policy numerically converges to our lower bound when the number of machines is moderately high and/or maintenance workload is high

    Establishment of a novel predictive reliability assessment strategy for ship machinery

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    There is no doubt that recent years, maritime industry is moving forward to novel and sophisticated inspection and maintenance practices. Nowadays maintenance is encountered as an operational method, which can be employed both as a profit generating process and a cost reduction budget centre through an enhanced Operation and Maintenance (O&M) strategy. In the first place, a flexible framework to be applicable on complex system level of machinery can be introduced towards ship maintenance scheduling of systems, subsystems and components.;This holistic inspection and maintenance notion should be implemented by integrating different strategies, methodologies, technologies and tools, suitably selected by fulfilling the requirements of the selected ship systems. In this thesis, an innovative maintenance strategy for ship machinery is proposed, namely the Probabilistic Machinery Reliability Assessment (PMRA) strategy focusing towards the reliability and safety enhancement of main systems, subsystems and maintainable units and components.;In this respect, the combination of a data mining method (k-means), the manufacturer safety aspects, the dynamic state modelling (Markov Chains), the probabilistic predictive reliability assessment (Bayesian Belief Networks) and the qualitative decision making (Failure Modes and Effects Analysis) is employed encompassing the benefits of qualitative and quantitative reliability assessment. PMRA has been clearly demonstrated in two case studies applied on offshore platform oil and gas and selected ship machinery.;The results are used to identify the most unreliability systems, subsystems and components, while advising suitable practical inspection and maintenance activities. The proposed PMRA strategy is also tested in a flexible sensitivity analysis scheme.There is no doubt that recent years, maritime industry is moving forward to novel and sophisticated inspection and maintenance practices. Nowadays maintenance is encountered as an operational method, which can be employed both as a profit generating process and a cost reduction budget centre through an enhanced Operation and Maintenance (O&M) strategy. In the first place, a flexible framework to be applicable on complex system level of machinery can be introduced towards ship maintenance scheduling of systems, subsystems and components.;This holistic inspection and maintenance notion should be implemented by integrating different strategies, methodologies, technologies and tools, suitably selected by fulfilling the requirements of the selected ship systems. In this thesis, an innovative maintenance strategy for ship machinery is proposed, namely the Probabilistic Machinery Reliability Assessment (PMRA) strategy focusing towards the reliability and safety enhancement of main systems, subsystems and maintainable units and components.;In this respect, the combination of a data mining method (k-means), the manufacturer safety aspects, the dynamic state modelling (Markov Chains), the probabilistic predictive reliability assessment (Bayesian Belief Networks) and the qualitative decision making (Failure Modes and Effects Analysis) is employed encompassing the benefits of qualitative and quantitative reliability assessment. PMRA has been clearly demonstrated in two case studies applied on offshore platform oil and gas and selected ship machinery.;The results are used to identify the most unreliability systems, subsystems and components, while advising suitable practical inspection and maintenance activities. The proposed PMRA strategy is also tested in a flexible sensitivity analysis scheme
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