Investigation of the Weather Conditions During the Collapse of the Morandi Bridge in Genoa on 14 August 2018 Using Field Observations and WRF Model

On 14 August 2018, Morandi Bridge in Genoa, Italy, collapsed to the ground that was 40 m below. This tragedy killed 43 people. Preliminary investigations indicated poor design, questionable building practices, and insufficient maintenance\u2014or a combination of these factors\u2014as a possible cause of the collapse. However, around the collapse time, a thunderstorm associated with strong winds, lightning, and rain also developed over the city. While it is unclear if this thunderstorm played a role in the collapse, the present study examines the weather conditions before and during the bridge collapse. The study particularly focuses on the analysis of a downburst that was observed around the collapse time and a few kilometers away from the bridge. Direct and remote sensing measurements are used to describe the evolution of the thunderstorm during its approached from the sea to the city. The Doppler lidar measurements allowed the reconstruction of the gust front shape and the evaluation of its displacement velocity of 6.6 m s 121 towards the lidar. The Weather Research and Forecasting simulations highlighted that it is still challenging to forecast localized thunderstorms with operational setups. The study has shown that assimilation of radar reflectivity improves the timing and reconstruction of the gust front observed by local measurements

Investigation of the weather conditions during the collapse of the Morandi Bridge in Genoa on 14 August 2018

On 14 August 2018, Morandi Bridge in Genoa, Italy, collapsed sending vehicles and tons of rubble to the ground about 40\u2009m below and killing 43 people. Preliminary investigations indicated poor design, questionable building practices and insufficient maintenance or a combination of these factors as a possible cause of collapse. However, at the time of collapse, a thunderstorm associated with strong winds, lightning and rain was developed over the city. While it is still not clear whether or not it played a role in this disaster, the present paper documents the weather conditions during the collapse and analyzes in detail a downburst that occurred at the time of the collapse a few kilometers from the bridge. The thunderstorm is analyzed using direct and remote measurements in an attempt to describe the evolution of the cumulonimbus cloud as it approached the coast from the sea. The detected downburst is investigated using a lidar scanner and the anemometric network in the Port of Genoa. The paper shows that the unique lidar measurements enabled a partial reconstruction of the gust front shape and displacement velocity. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulations, carried out with three different forcing conditions, forecasted the cumuliform convection at larger scales but did not accurately replicate the downburst signature at the surface that was measured by radar, lidar, and anemometers. This result demonstrates that the localized wind conditions during the collapse time could not be operationally forecasted

Reconstruction of cloud geometry using a scanning cloud radar

Clouds are one of the main reasons of uncertainties in the forecasts of weather and climate. In part, this is due to limitations of remote sensing of cloud microphysics. Present approaches often use passive spectral measurements for the remote sensing of cloud microphysical parameters. Large uncertainties are introduced by three-dimensional (3-D) radiative transfer effects and cloud inhomogeneities. Such effects are largely caused by unknown orientation of cloud sides or by shadowed areas on the cloud. Passive ground-based remote sensing of cloud properties at high spatial resolution could be crucially improved with this kind of additional knowledge of cloud geometry. To this end, a method for the accurate reconstruction of 3-D cloud geometry from cloud radar measurements is developed in this work. Using a radar simulator and simulated passive measurements of model clouds based on a large eddy simulation (LES),the effects of different radar scan resolutions and varying interpolation methods are evaluated. In reality, a trade-off between scan resolution and scan duration has to be found as clouds change quickly. A reasonable choice is a scan resolution of 1 to 2\degree. The most suitable interpolation procedure identified is the barycentric interpolation method. The 3-D reconstruction method is demonstrated using radar scans of convective cloud cases with the Munich miraMACS, a 35 GHz scanning cloud radar. As a successful proof of concept, camera imagery collected at the radar location is reproduced for the observed cloud cases via 3-D volume reconstruction and 3-D radiative transfer simulation. Data sets provided by the presented reconstruction method will aid passive spectral ground-based measurements of cloud sides to retrieve microphysical parameters

Reconstruction of cloud geometry using a scanning cloud radar

Clouds are one of the main reasons of uncertainties in the forecasts of weather and climate. In part, this is due to limitations of remote sensing of cloud microphysics. Present approaches often use passive spectral measurements for the remote sensing of cloud microphysical parameters. Large uncertainties are introduced by three-dimensional (3-D) radiative transfer effects and cloud inhomogeneities. Such effects are largely caused by unknown orientation of cloud sides or by shadowed areas on the cloud. Passive ground-based remote sensing of cloud properties at high spatial resolution could be crucially improved with this kind of additional knowledge of cloud geometry. To this end, a method for the accurate reconstruction of 3-D cloud geometry from cloud radar measurements is developed in this work. Using a radar simulator and simulated passive measurements of model clouds based on a large eddy simulation (LES),the effects of different radar scan resolutions and varying interpolation methods are evaluated. In reality, a trade-off between scan resolution and scan duration has to be found as clouds change quickly. A reasonable choice is a scan resolution of 1 to 2\degree. The most suitable interpolation procedure identified is the barycentric interpolation method. The 3-D reconstruction method is demonstrated using radar scans of convective cloud cases with the Munich miraMACS, a 35 GHz scanning cloud radar. As a successful proof of concept, camera imagery collected at the radar location is reproduced for the observed cloud cases via 3-D volume reconstruction and 3-D radiative transfer simulation. Data sets provided by the presented reconstruction method will aid passive spectral ground-based measurements of cloud sides to retrieve microphysical parameters

A review of high impact weather for aviation meteorology

This review paper summarizes current knowledge available for aviation operations related to meteorology and provides suggestions for necessary improvements in the measurement and prediction of weather-related parameters, new physical methods for numerical weather predictions (NWP), and next-generation integrated systems. Severe weather can disrupt aviation operations on the ground or in-flight. The most important parameters related to aviation meteorology are wind and turbulence, fog visibility, aerosol/ash loading, ceiling, rain and snow amount and rates, icing, ice microphysical parameters, convection and precipitation intensity, microbursts, hail, and lightning. Measurements of these parameters are functions of sensor response times and measurement thresholds in extreme weather conditions. In addition to these, airport environments can also play an important role leading to intensification of extreme weather conditions or high impact weather events, e.g., anthropogenic ice fog. To observe meteorological parameters, new remote sensing platforms, namely wind LIDAR, sodars, radars, and geostationary satellites, and in situ instruments at the surface and in the atmosphere, as well as aircraft and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles mounted sensors, are becoming more common. At smaller time and space scales (e.g., < 1 km), meteorological forecasts from NWP models need to be continuously improved for accurate physical parameterizations. Aviation weather forecasts also need to be developed to provide detailed information that represents both deterministic and statistical approaches. In this review, we present available resources and issues for aviation meteorology and evaluate them for required improvements related to measurements, nowcasting, forecasting, and climate change, and emphasize future challenges

Near-Surface Vortex Structure in a Tornado and in a Sub-Tornado-Strength Convective-Storm Vortex Observed by a Mobile, W-Band Radar during VORTEX2

Abstract As part of the Second Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment (VORTEX2) field campaign, a very high-resolution, mobile, W-band Doppler radar collected near-surface (≤200 m AGL) observations in an EF-0 tornado near Tribune, Kansas, on 25 May 2010 and in sub-tornado-strength vortices near Prospect Valley, Colorado, on 26 May 2010. In the Tribune case, the tornado's condensation funnel dissipated and then reformed after a 3-min gap. In the Prospect Valley case, no condensation funnel was observed, but evidence from the highest-resolution radars in the VORTEX2 fleet indicates multiple, sub-tornado-strength vortices near the surface, some with weak-echo holes accompanying Doppler velocity couplets. Using high-resolution Doppler radar data, the authors document the full life cycle of sub-tornado-strength vortex beneath a convective storm that previously produced tornadoes. The kinematic evolution of these vortices, from genesis to decay, is investigated via ground-based velocity track display (GBVTD) analysis of the W-band velocity data. It is found that the azimuthal velocities in the Tribune tornado fluctuated in concert with the (dis)appearance of the condensation funnel. However, the dynamic pressure drop associated with the retrieved azimuthal winds was not sufficient to account for the condensation funnel. In the Prospect Valley case, the strongest and longest-lived sub-tornado-strength vortex exhibited similar azimuthal velocity structure to the Tribune tornado, but had weaker azimuthal winds. In both cases, the radius of maximum azimuthal wind was inversely related to the wind speed, and changes in the axisymmetric azimuthal component of velocity were consistent with independent indicators of vortex intensification and decay

Horizontal Vortex Tubes near a Simulated Tornado: Three-Dimensional Structure and Kinematics

Supercell thunderstorms can produce a wide spectrum of vortical structures, ranging from midlevel mesocyclones to small-scale suction vortices within tornadoes. A less documented class of vortices are horizontally-oriented vortex tubes near and/or wrapping about tornadoes, that are observed either visually or in high-resolution Doppler radar data. In this study, an idealized numerical simulation of a tornadic supercell at 100 m grid spacing is used to analyze the three-dimensional (3D) structure and kinematics of horizontal vortices (HVs) that interact with a simulated tornado. Visualizations based on direct volume rendering aided by visual observations of HVs in a real tornado reveal the existence of a complex distribution of 3D vortex tubes surrounding the tornadic flow throughout the simulation. A distinct class of HVs originates in two key regions at the surface: around the base of the tornado and in the rear-flank downdraft (RFD) outflow and are believed to have been generated via surface friction in regions of strong horizontal near-surface wind. HVs around the tornado are produced in the tornado outer circulation and rise abruptly in its periphery, assuming a variety of complex shapes, while HVs to the south-southeast of the tornado, within the RFD outflow, ascend gradually in the updraft.The first author is supported by the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES), Grant number 88881.129505/2016-01 of the “Programa de Doutorado Pleno no Exterior” (DPE – 3830) under the Brazilian Ministry of Education. The second author is supported NSF Grant AGS-1261776 and NOAA VORTEX-SE Grant NA17OAR4590188. Open Access fees paid for in whole or in part by the University of Oklahoma Libraries.Ye

Conceptual design of an airborne laser Doppler velocimeter system for studying wind fields associated with severe local storms

An airborne laser Doppler velocimeter was evaluated for diagnostics of the wind field associated with an isolated severe thunderstorm. Two scanning configurations were identified, one a long-range (out to 10-20 km) roughly horizontal plane mode intended to allow probing of the velocity field around the storm at the higher altitudes (4-10 km). The other is a shorter range (out to 1-3 km) mode in which a vertical or horizontal plane is scanned for velocity (and possibly turbulence), and is intended for diagnostics of the lower altitude region below the storm and in the out-flow region. It was concluded that aircraft flight velocities are high enough and severe storm lifetimes are long enough that a single airborne Doppler system, operating at a range of less than about 20 km, can view the storm area from two or more different aspects before the storm characteristics change appreciably

3-D Cloud Morphology and Evolution Derived from Hemispheric Stereo Cameras

Clouds play a key role in the Earth-atmosphere system as they reflect incoming solar radiation back to space, while absorbing and emitting longwave radiation. A significant challenge for observation and modeling pose cumulus clouds due to their relatively small size that can reach several hundreds up to a few thousand meters, their often complex 3-D shapes and highly dynamic life-cycle. Common instruments employed to study clouds include cloud radars, lidar-ceilometers, (microwave-)radiometers, but also satellite and airborne observations (in-situ and remote), all of which lack either sufficient sensitivity or a spatial or temporal resolution for a comprehensive observation. This thesis investigates the feasibility of a ground-based network of hemispheric stereo cameras to retrieve detailed 3-D cloud geometries, which are needed for validation of simulated cloud fields and parametrization in numerical models. Such camera systems, which offer a hemispheric field of view and a temporal resolution in the range of seconds and less, have the potential to fill the remaining gap of cloud observations to a considerable degree and allow to derive critical information about size, morphology, spatial distribution and life-cycle of individual clouds and the local cloud field. The technical basis for the 3-D cloud morphology retrieval is the stereo reconstruction: a cloud is synchronously recorded by a pair of cameras, which are separated by a few hundred meters, so that mutually visible areas of the cloud can be reconstructed via triangulation. Location and orientation of each camera system was obtained from a satellite-navigation system, detected stars in night sky images and mutually visible cloud features in the images. The image point correspondences required for 3-D triangulation were provided primarily by a dense stereo matching algorithm that allows to reconstruct an object with high degree of spatial completeness, which can improve subsequent analysis. The experimental setup in the vicinity of the Jülich Observatory for Cloud Evolution (JOYCE) included a pair of hemispheric sky cameras; it was later extended by another pair to reconstruct clouds from different view perspectives and both were separated by several kilometers. A comparison of the cloud base height (CBH) at zenith obtained from the stereo cameras and a lidar-ceilometer showed a typical bias of mostly below 2% of the lidar-derived CBH, but also a few occasions between 3-5%. Typical standard deviations of the differences ranged between 50 m (1.5 % of CBH) for altocumulus clouds and between 7% (123 m) and 10% (165 m) for cumulus and strato-cumulus clouds. A comparison of the estimated 3-D cumulus boundary at near-zenith to the sensed 2-D reflectivity profiles from a 35-GHz cloud radar revealed typical differences between 35 - 81 m. For clouds at larger distances (> 2 km) both signals can deviate significantly, which can in part be explained by a lower reconstruction accuracy for the low-contrast areas of a cloud base, but also with the insufficient sensitivity of the cloud radar if the cloud condensate is dominated by very small droplets or diluted with environmental air. For sequences of stereo images, the 3-D cloud reconstructions from the stereo analysis can be combined with the motion and tracking information from an optical flow routine in order to derive 3-D motion and deformation vectors of clouds. This allowed to estimate atmospheric motion in case of cloud layers with an accuracy of 1 ms-1 in velocity and 7° to 10° in direction. The fine-grained motion data was also used to detect and quantify cloud motion patterns of individual cumuli, such as deformations under vertical wind-shear. The potential of the proposed method lies in an extended analysis of life-cycle and morphology of cumulus clouds. This is illustrated in two show cases where developing cumulus clouds were reconstructed from two different view perspectives. In the first case study, a moving cloud was tracked and analyzed, while being subject to vertical wind shear. The highly tilted cloud body was captured and its vertical profile was quantified to obtain measures like vertically resolved diameter or tilting angle. The second case study shows a life-cycle analysis of a developing cumulus, including a time-series of relevant geometric aspects, such as perimeter, vertically projected area, diameter, thickness and further derived statistics like cloud aspect ratio or perimeter scaling. The analysis confirms some aspects of cloud evolution, such as the pulse-like formation of cumulus and indicates that cloud aspect ratio (size vs height) can be described by a power-law functional relationship for an individual life-cycle.Wolken haben einen maßgeblichen Einfluss auf den Strahlungshaushalt der Erde, da sie solare Strahlung effektiv reflektieren, aber von der Erde emittierte langwellige Strahlung sowohl absorbieren als auch ihrerseits wieder emittieren. Darüber hinaus stellen Cumulus-Wolken wegen ihrer verhältnismäßig kleinen Ausdehnung von wenigen hundert bis einigen tausend Metern sowie ihres dynamischen Lebenszyklus nach wie vor eine große Herausforderung für Beobachtung und Modellierung dar. Gegenwärtig für deren Erforschung im Einsatz befindliche Instrumente wie Lidar-Ceilometer, Wolkenradar, Mikrowellenradiometer oder auch satellitengestützte Beobachtungen stellen die für eine umfassende Erforschung dieser Wolken erforderliche räumliche und zeitliche Abdeckung nicht zur Verfügung. In dieser Arbeit wird untersucht, inwieweit eine bodengebundene Beobachtung von Wolken mit hemisphärisch projizierenden Wolkenkameras geeignet ist detaillierte 3-D Wolkengeometrien zu rekonstruieren um daraus Informationen über Größe, Morphologie und Lebenszyklus einzelner Wolken und des lokalen Wolkenfeldes abzuleiten. Grundlage für die Erfassung der 3-D Wolkengeometrien in dieser Arbeit ist die 3-D Stereorekonstruktion, bei der eine Wolke von jeweils zwei im Abstand von mehreren Hundert Metern aufgestellten, synchron aufnehmenden Kameras abgebildet wird. Beidseitig sichtbare Teile einer Wolke können so mittels Triangulation rekonstruiert werden. Fischaugen-Objektive ermöglichen das hemisphärische Sichtfeld der Wolkenkameras. Während die Positionsbestimmung der Kameras mit Hilfe eines Satelliten-Navigationssystems durchgeführt wurde, konnte die absolute Orientierung der Kameras im Raum mit Hilfe von detektierten Sternen bestimmt werden, die als Referenzpunkte dienten. Die für eine Stereoanalyse wichtige relative Orientierung zweier Kameras wurde anschließend unter Zuhilfenahme von Punktkorrespondenzen zwischen den Stereobildern verfeinert. Für die Stereoanalyse wurde primär ein Bildanalyse-Algorithmus eingesetzt, welcher sich durch eine hohe geometrische Vollständigkeit auszeichnet und auch 3-D Informationen für Bildregionen mit geringem Kontrast liefert. In ausgewählten Fällen wurden die so rekonstruierten Wolkengeometrien zudem mit einem präzisen Mehrbild-Stereo-Verfahren verglichen. Eine möglichst vollständige 3-D Wolkengeometrie ist vorteilhaft für eine darauffolgende Analyse, die eine Segmentierung und Identifizierung einzelner Wolken, deren raum-zeitliche Verfolgung oder die Ableitung geometrischer Größen umfasst. Der experimentelle Aufbau im Umfeld des Jülich Observatory for Cloud Evolution (JOYCE) umfasste zuerst eine, später zwei Stereokameras, die jeweils mehrere Kilometer entfernt installiert wurden um unterschiedliche Wolkenpartien rekonstruieren zu können. Ein Vergleich zwischen Stereorekonstruktion und Lidar-Ceilometer zeigte typische Standardabweichungen der Wolkenbasishöhendifferenz von 50 m (1.5 %) bei mittelhoher Altocumulus-Bewölkung und 123 m (7 %) bis 165 m (10 %) bei heterogener Cumulus- und Stratocumulus-Bewölkung. Gleichzeitig wich die rekonstruierte Wolkenbasishöhe im Durchschnitt meist nicht weiter als 2 %, in Einzelfällen 3-5 % vom entsprechenden Wert des Lidars ab. Im Vergleich zur abgeleiteten Cumulus-Morphologie aus den 2-D Reflektivitätsprofilen des Wolkenradars, zeigten sich im Zenit-Bereich typische Differenzen zwischen 35 und 81 m. Bei weiter entfernten Wolken (> 2 km) können sich Stereorekonstruktion und Reflektivitätssignal stark unterscheiden, was neben einer abnehmenden geometrischen Genauigkeit der Stereorekonstruktion in kontrastarmen Bereichen insbesondere mit einer oftmals unzureichenden Sensitivität des Radars bei kleinen Wolkentröpfchen erklärt werden kann, wie man sie an der Wolkenbasis und in den Randbereichen von Wolken findet. Die Kombination von Stereoanalyse und der Bewegungsinformation innerhalb einer Bildsequenz erlaubt die Bestimmung von Wolkenzug- und -deformationsvektoren. Neben der Verfolgung einzelner Wolkenstrukturen und der Erfassung von Wolkendynamik (beispielsweise der Deformation von Wolken durch Windscherung), kann im Fall von stratiformen Wolken Windgeschwindigkeit und -richtung abgeschätzt werden. Ein Vergleich mit Beobachtungen eines Wind-Lidars zeigte hierfür typische Abweichungen der Windgeschwindigkeit von 1 ms-1 und der Windrichtung von 7° to 10°. Ein besonderer Mehrwert der Methode liegt in einer tiefergehenden Analyse von Morphologie und Lebenszyklus von Cumulus-Wolken. Dies wurde anhand zweier exemplarischer Fallstudien gezeigt, in denen die 3-D-Rekonstruktionen zweier entfernt aufgestellter Stereokameras kombiniert wurden. Im ersten Fall wurde ein sich unter vertikaler Windscherung entwickelnder Cumulus von zwei Seiten aufgenommen, was eine geometrische Erfassung des stark durch Scherung geneigten Wolkenkörpers ermöglichte. Kennwerte wie Vertikalprofil, Neigungswinkel der Wolke und Durchmesser einzelner Höhenschichten wurden abgeschätzt. Der zweite Fall zeigte eine statistische Analyse eines sich entwickelnden Cumulus über seinen Lebenszyklus hinweg. Dies erlaubte die Erstellung einer Zeitreihe mit relevanten Kennzahlen wie äquivalenter Durchmesser, vertikale Ausdehnung, Perimeter oder abgeleitete Größen wie Aspektrate oder Perimeter-Skalierung. Während die Analyse bisherige Ergebnisse aus Simulationen und satellitengestützten Beobachtungen bestätigt, erlaubt diese aber eine Erweiterung auf die Ebene individueller Wolken und der Ableitung funktionaler Zusammenhänge wie zum Beispiel dem Verhältnis von Wolkendurchmesser und vertikaler Dimension