Are there enormous age-trends in stable carbon isotope ratios of oak tree rings?

We test a recent prediction that stable carbon isotope ratios from UK oaks will display age-trends of more than 4‰ per century by measuring >5400 carbon isotope ratios from the late-wood alpha-cellulose of individual rings from 18 modern oak trees and 50 building timbers spanning the 9th to 21st centuries. After a very short (c.5 years) juvenile phase with slightly elevated values, the number of series that show rising and falling trends is almost equal (33:35) and the average trend is almost zero. These results are based upon measuring and averaging the trends in individual time-series; the ‘mean of the slopes’ approach. We demonstrate that the more conventional ‘slope of the mean’ approach can produce strong but spurious ‘age-trends’ even when the constituent series are flat, with zero slope and zero variance. We conclude that it is safe to compile stable carbon isotope chronologies from UK oaks without de-trending. The isotope chronologies produced in this way are not subject to the ‘segment length curse’, which applies to growth measurements, such as ring width or density, and have the potential to retain very long-term climate signals

Absence of Age‐Related Trends in Stable Oxygen Isotope Ratios From Oak Tree Rings

The potential for age‐related trends in the stable oxygen isotope ratios of latewood alpha cellulose was investigated in samples of living oak trees and historic building timbers from the UK. When the series are examined individually, it is clear that the strongest trends in individual trees and timbers reflect concurrent trends in climate. Nonclimatic trends are very small and represent random noise that can be removed by averaging. If the same data are analyzed using the more conventional approach of aligning the series by ring number and fitting a regression line, so that the magnitude of the age trend is based on the slope of the mean and the statistical significance on the correlation coefficient, the results are very different. We demonstrate that this conventional approach regularly produces spurious age trends with grossly inflated probabilities, because of offsets in the mean values of series of different length. We conclude that there is no need to detrend stable oxygen isotope series from individual trees or timbers of oak from the UK and that to do so would remove important climatic information. Long isotope chronologies can safely be constructed by combining data from multiple individual trees, or by pooling material from trees prior to chemical treatment and isotopic measurement. Age‐related trends may occur in other species or in other regions, but where they have been identified using the conventional “slope of the mean” approach they should be reassessed using the “mean of the slope” approach.</p

Short-lived juvenile effects observed in stable carbon and oxygen isotopes of UK oak trees and historic building timbers

Stable carbon (δ13C) and oxygen (δ18O) isotope ratios were measured on the latewood α-cellulose of individual oak (Quercus robur L, Q. petraea Liebl.) samples from living trees and historic building timbers. This represents the type of material available to produce long tree-ring chronologies for north-western Europe including the UK and Ireland. Results from the juvenile rings, those located closest to the pith, were compared with results from equivalent sections (representing the same calendar years) from independent master isotope chronologies that do not contain any juvenile wood, allowing any juvenile offsets and trends to be separated from those caused by environmental change. Oak timbers from archaeological sources are often relatively short (<100 years). Therefore, removing the first 50 rings, as is typical for Pinus sp., would severely constrain the material available for chronology construction. The aim of this study was to determine the magnitude and duration of juvenile effects, including the detection of trends, offsets and their influence upon signal strength. The results show clearly that juvenile effects for oak from central England are very small and short-lived and that removing merely the first five rings closest to the pith is sufficient to avoid them. This result greatly increases the potential for building long and well-replicated stable isotope chronologies using archived oak samples from historic building timbers, allowing high-resolution climate reconstructions to be produced for the highly-populated regions, where oak is abundant and which are currently under-represented in regional palaeoclimate reconstructions

Natural History, Microbes and Sequences: Shouldn't We Look Back Again to Organisms?

The discussion on the existence of prokaryotic species is reviewed. The demonstration that several different mechanisms of genetic exchange and recombination exist has led some to a radical rejection of the possibility of bacterial species and, in general, the applicability of traditional classification categories to the prokaryotic domains. However, in spite of intense gene traffic, prokaryotic groups are not continuously variable but form discrete clusters of phenotypically coherent, well-defined, diagnosable groups of individual organisms. Molecularization of life sciences has led to biased approaches to the issue of the origins of biodiversity, which has resulted in the increasingly extended tendency to emphasize genes and sequences and not give proper attention to organismal biology. As argued here, molecular and organismal approaches that should be seen as complementary and not opposed views of biology

Stable oxygen isotopes in Romanian oak tree rings record summer droughts and associated large-scale circulation patterns over Europe

We present the first annual oxygen isotope record (1900 – 2016) from the latewood (LW) cellulose of oak trees (Quercus robur) from NW Romania. As expected, the results correlate negatively with summer relative humidity, sunshine duration and precipitation and positively with summer maximum temperature. Spatial correlation analysis reveals a clear signal reflecting drought conditions at a European scale. Interannual variability is influenced by large-scale atmospheric circulation and by surface temperatures in the North Atlantic Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea. There is considerable potential to produce long and well-replicated oak tree ring stable isotope chronologies in Romania which would allow reconstructions of both regional drought and large-scale circulation variability over southern and central Europe

Late Holocene spatiotemporal hydroclimatic variability over Fennoscandia inferred from tree-rings

There is a broad scientific consensus that the global climate is changing, and that human activity is a significant factor contributing to the change. The response of the hydrological cycle to the warming is far reaching, including increases in the intensification and frequency of extreme hydroclimatological events. The underlying physical mechanisms driving this changes are poorly understood, and the observational record, which rarely predates the 20th century, is too short to resolve the full range of natural moisture variability or make predictions of longer-term hydroclimatic patterns. Tree-rings provide precisely dated and annually resolved paleoclimatic archives, which can be used to infer climate in the pre-instrumental era. Focused on the Fennoscandian region, the core efforts of this dissertation work are (1) to examine the potential of Fennoscandian tree-ring data as proxies of past moisture variability, (2) to increase the network of moisture sensitive tree-ring chronologies in the region, and finally (3) to combine the newly sampled data with already existing dendrochronological material to develop a first spatiotemporal reconstruction of Fennoscandian hydroclimatic variability spanning over the past millennium. A unique network of twenty-seven moisture sensitive chronologies was provided for southern and central Scandinavia. A subset of the network, combined with existing tree-ring data, was used to produce the first regional hydroclimatic reconstruction, as expressed by the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), for southeastern Sweden, spanning the last 350 years. The reconstruction revealed decadal scale alterations in wet and dry regimes, and proved xeric-site tree-ring data from the region to contain valuable hydroclimatic information. Moreover, a pilot study using Scots pine tree-ring carbon (δ13C) and oxygen (δ18O) measurements from the central Scandinavian mountains assessed the potential of each record as a proxy of local moisture conditions. Results showed that both isotope ratios recorded the moisture signal strongly enough to be used as a proxy of past hydroclimatic conditions. Based on these results, the potential of using multi-parameter tree-ring data (including ring-width, maximum latewood density, stable isotopes) from Fennoscandia to make spatiotemporal reconstructions of past moisture variability was first tested, and then applied to produce an “atlas” of past hydroclimatic conditions, defined by the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), spanning back to 1000 CE. The resulting reconstruction gave a unique opportunity to examine the frequency, severity, persistence, and spatial characteristics of Fennoscandian climate variability in the context of the last 1000 years. The reconstruction highlighted the 17th century as an epoch of frequent severe and widespread hydroclimatic anomalies, and the 15th-16th centuries as surprisingly free from any spatially extensive droughts/pluvials. No explicit shifts towards more frequent and intense extremes over the region were observed in the reconstructed data over the most recent century. Moreover, the analysis suggests that the spatial hydroclimatic patterns over Fennoscandia may be divided into two major modes, remarkably stable over the past seven centuries, and that the controls on these patterns may come from the summer North Atlantic Oscillation

Are there enormous age-trends in stable carbon isotope ratios of oak tree rings?

We test a recent prediction that stable carbon isotope ratios from UK oaks will display age-trends of more than 4‰ per century by measuring >5400 carbon isotope ratios from the late-wood alpha-cellulose of individual rings from 18 modern oak trees and 50 building timbers spanning the 9th to 21st centuries. After a very short (c.5 years) juvenile phase with slightly elevated values, the number of series that show rising and falling trends is almost equal (33:35) and the average trend is almost zero. These results are based upon measuring and averaging the trends in individual time-series; the ‘mean of the slopes’ approach. We demonstrate that the more conventional ‘slope of the mean’ approach can produce strong but spurious ‘age-trends’ even when the constituent series are flat, with zero slope and zero variance. We conclude that it is safe to compile stable carbon isotope chronologies from UK oaks without de-trending. The isotope chronologies produced in this way are not subject to the ‘segment length curse’, which applies to growth measurements, such as ring width or density, and have the potential to retain very long-term climate signals

Absence of age‐related trends in stable oxygen isotope ratios from oak tree rings

The potential for age‐related trends in the stable oxygen isotope ratios of latewood alpha cellulose was investigated in samples of living oak trees and historic building timbers from the UK. When the series are examined individually, it is clear that the strongest trends in individual trees and timbers reflect concurrent trends in climate. Nonclimatic trends are very small and represent random noise that can be removed by averaging. If the same data are analyzed using the more conventional approach of aligning the series by ring number and fitting a regression line, so that the magnitude of the age trend is based on the slope of the mean and the statistical significance on the correlation coefficient, the results are very different. We demonstrate that this conventional approach regularly produces spurious age trends with grossly inflated probabilities, because of offsets in the mean values of series of different length. We conclude that there is no need to detrend stable oxygen isotope series from individual trees or timbers of oak from the UK and that to do so would remove important climatic information. Long isotope chronologies can safely be constructed by combining data from multiple individual trees, or by pooling material from trees prior to chemical treatment and isotopic measurement. Age‐related trends may occur in other species or in other regions, but where they have been identified using the conventional “slope of the mean” approach they should be reassessed using the “mean of the slope” approach.</p