A multi-agent model for assessing electricity tariffs

This paper describes the framework for modelling a multi-agent approach for assessing dynamic pricing of electricity and demand response. It combines and agent-based model with decision-making data, and a standard load-flow model. The multi-agent model described here represents a tool in investigating not only the relation between different dynamic tariffs and consumer load profiles, but also the change in behaviour and impact on low-voltage electricity distribution networks.The authors acknowledge the contribution of the EPSRC Transforming Energy Demand Through Digital Innovation Programme, grant agreement numbers EP/I000194/1 and EP/I000119/1, to the ADEPT project

Spontaneous wave generation at strongly strained density fronts

AbstractA simple analytical model is presented describing the spontaneous generation of inertia–gravity waves at density fronts subjected to strong horizontal strain rates. The model considers fronts of arbitrary horizontal and vertical structure in a semi-infinite domain, with a single boundary at the ocean surface. Waves are generated because of the acceleration of the steady uniform strain flow around the density front, analogous to the generation of lee waves via flow over a topographic ridge. Significant wave generation only occurs for sufficiently strong strain rates α > 0.2f and sharp fronts H/L > 0.5f/N, where f is the Coriolis parameter, N is the stratification, and H and L are the height and width scales of the front, respectively. The frequencies of the generated waves are entirely determined by the strain rate. The lowest-frequency wave predicted to be generated via this mechanism has a Lagrangian frequency ω = 1.93f as measured in a reference frame moving with the background strain flow. The model is intended as a first-order description of wave generation at submesoscale (1 to 10 km wide) fronts where large strain rates are commonplace. The analytical model compares well with fully nonlinear numerical simulations of the submesoscale regime.CJS was supported by a Gates Cambridge Scholarship. JRT was supported by a grant from the Natural Environment Research Council, Award NE/J010472/1.This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from the American Meteorological Society via http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-15-0043.

Factors determining short- and long-term survival after orthotopic liver homotransplantation in the dog

Without azathioprine therapy, the operative risk with orthotopic liver transplantation is small. Twenty-two of 23 animals survived 2 days or more, and 19 for 6 days or longer. All eventually died of rejection within 10 days. Changes in homograft histology and function were similar to those previously reported, with cellular infiltration and hepatocyte necrosis which was heavily concentrated in the centrilobular areas. In individual experiments, there was little evidence of immunologically induced segmental hepatic arterial or portal venous occlusion; hepatocyte loss was homogeneous, and fibrinoid vascular lesions were uncommon. There was, however, some evidence of damage to the sinusoidal endothelium by adherent mononuclear cells. The changing character of the mononuclear infiltration of the homograft was reflected by widespread proliferation of similar cells in the host lymphoid tissue. Specific changes in other host organs were not noted. Some of the biochemical and histologic alterations caused by unmodified rejection can also be produced by azathioprine. In 18 nontransplanted dogs, acute rises in SGOT, SGPT, and alkaline phosphatase, unaccompanied by hyperbilirubinemia, were noted within a few days after beginning administration of this agent. Although these abnormalities tended to regress within the 40 day period of observation, more than two thirds of the livers showed histologic evidence of centrilobular hepatocyte damage or necrosis-often with intrahepatic cholestasis, but always without mononuclear cell infiltration. The hepatotoxicity was not prevented by methionine. Weight loss and progressive anemia also occurred. Lymphoid tissue was depleted. The mortality from the toxicity study was 33 percent. The use of azathioprine to mitigate rejection increased the early mortality after homotransplantation, 32 of 116 dogs dying within the first week (28 percent), most commonly of pulmonary complications. The 84 animals living longer than 7 days had a greatly potentiated homograft survival, exceeding 25 days in 44 dogs, and 50 days in 24. Fifteen animals are still alive from 62 to 324 days postoperatively. Six dogs had all drugs stopped after 116 to 123 days. Only 1 has had a clinically evident late rejection and 5 are still alive from 63 to 204 days later. Three of these animals had repeat biopsies 77 to 182 days after cessation of therapy; one homograft which was normal at 4 months remained so 6 months later, another had an improved histologic appearance, and the third had deteriorated. The longest mean survival was in those animals receiving adjuvant therapy with L-methionine or S35-methionine, but the variability of the results was so great that a statistically significant advantage of these agents could not be demonstrated. Soon after operation red cell survival was decreased, but in chronic survivors there was no evidence of a grafthost reaction. There was great variability in the vigor of rejection, ranging from the uncontrollable (29 percent) to the clinically undetectable (23 percent). Most of the animals (49 percent) had some biochemical evidence of rejection which proved to be spontaneously reversible, to a greater or lesser degree, since intensification of immunosuppressive therapy was not required. These findings correlate well with the histologic studies. In virtually all animals, azathioprine delayed the onset of rejection but in those dying in the second and third postoperative weeks, the pathologic stigmas of rejection were very similar to the untreated controls. As in the untreated animals, the number of proliferating large pyroninophilic cells in the host's lymphoid tissues was roughly proportional to the number of mononuclear cells invading the homograft liver. After this time, the predominant histologic features in most animals were those of repair and regeneration, with either absent or relatively minor degrees or continuing destruction. Since the major rejection damage was centrizonal, the healing was most prominent in these areas with interconecting fibrosis around the central veins, centrilobular bile canalicular dilatation and cholestasis, and pseudolobule formation. In some of the homografts, increased connective tissue was also present in the portal tracts, but in others including the longest survivor there were no residual abnormalities whatever. In azathioprine-treated animals, damage to the vessels in the homograft portal tracts was found in only one liver. With electron microscopy there was some evidence of damage to the sinusoidal endothelium by adherent mononuclear cells, a finding which could be analogous to that described by Kountz and co-workers11 in the peritubular capillaries of renal homografts. If immunologically mediated hemodynamic alterations play an important role in liver homograft rejection by interrupting the blood supply to the hepatocytes, it seems most likely that they occur at this intrasinusoidal capillary level rather than in the larger vessels. © 1965

Changes in the severity and subtype of Guillain-Barré syndrome admitted to a specialist Neuromedical ICU over a 25 year period

We report a retrospective review of 110 patients with acute Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) admitted to a specialised intensive care unit (ICU) in a tertiary referral centre over a 25 year period, the start of which coincided with the widespread introduction of plasma exchange (PE) and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG). The results were analysed by comparing 52 patients admitted in the first decade (1991-2000; Group 1) with 58 patients admitted between 2001-2014 (Group 2). Patients in both groups were comparable with respect to age and sex, and had a similar incidence and range of ICU complications. They received a comparable range of immunomodulatory treatments including IVIG and PE. However, the delay from presentation to referral to the tertiary ICU was longer in patients in Group 2. They also required mechanical ventilation for a longer duration, and had longer ICU and hospital stays. In Group 2, there was a higher incidence of axonal neuropathy (51%, compared to 24% in Group 1). Despite the longer delay to referral, the prevalence of axonal neuropathy and the duration of ventilation, overall mortality showed a downward trend (Group 1: 13.5%; Group 2: 5.2%). There was no late mortality in either group after step-down to neuro-rehabilitation or following discharge home or to the referring hospital. The rehabilitation outcomes were similar. This data show a shift in the pattern of referral to a tertiary referral ICU between the first and second decades following the wider availability of IVIG and PE for the treatment of GBS. The possible causes and implications of these findings are discussed

Student Research Projects With Industrial Impact

Abstract This paper describes six final year undergraduate research projects supported by a collaboration between the Whittle Laboratory at the University of Cambridge and Reaction Engines (RE), a UK aerospace company. The collaboration is now in its fourth year of projects relating to RE's synergetic air breathing rocket engine (SABRE). The approach taken in these projects combines modern teaching pedagogy with a best practice methodology for industrial-academic collaboration and a well established framework for structuring research problems. This paper explains how the three methodologies are tailored and adapted for use with final year undergraduate research projects. The approach is mapped on to an annual project cycle which begins with the industry and academic partners deciding which topics to investigate and proceeds through student selection, the project work itself and concludes with student assessment and end-of-year reporting. The projects combine analytical, computational and experimental work and have covered counter-rotating turbomachinery, S-ducts in compressors and Helium Turbine design, all of which are topics of primary importance to the design of SABRE. Following descriptions of each of the six completed projects, the impact of the work and lessons learned are considered from the point of view of the students, the industrial partner and the academic supervisors. Overall, the students found the work extremely engaging and have all been encouraged to pursue careers in engineering, either in industry or through postgraduate study. For the industry partner the collaboration provides expertise and an approach which is not available in-house as well providing a “second look” at key technical questions. For the academics involved, the opportunity to lead research on a “real” problem with an industrial partner has proved highly motivating as well as providing opportunities for personal and career development.The student projects were funded by Reaction Engine

Effects of vaccination with altered peptide ligand on chronic pain in experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis, an animal model of multiple sclerosis

Neuropathic pain is a chronic symptom of multiple sclerosis (MS) and affects nearly half of all MS sufferers. A key instigator of this pain is the pro-inflammatory response in MS. We investigated the behavioural effects of immunisation with a mutant peptide of myelin basic protein (MBP), termed altered peptide ligand (APL), known to initiate immune deviation from a pro-inflammatory state to an anti-inflammatory response in experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE), an animal model of MS. Male and female Lewis rats were injected with vehicle control or with varying doses of 50 or 100 µg guinea pig MBP in combination with or without APL. APL-treated animals established significantly lower disease severity compared to encephalitogenic MBP-treated animals. Animals with EAE developed mechanical, but not thermal pain hypersensitivity. Mechanical pain sensitivities were either improved or normalised during periods of clinical disease in male and female APL-treated animals as compared to the encephalitogenic group. No significant changes to thermal latency were observed upon co-immunisation with APL. Together these data indicate that APL ameliorates disease states and selectively mediates an analgesic effect on EAE animals

Effective Behavior Change Techniques in Asthma Self-Care Interventions: Systematic Review and Meta-Regression

This article may not exactly replicate the final version published in the APA journal. It is not the copy of record.APA Journals®Objectives: The purpose of this study is to update previous systematic reviews of interventions targeting asthma self-care in adults with asthma, and to use meta-regression to examine the association between the use of specific behavior change techniques and intervention effectiveness. Methods: Electronic bibliographies were searched systematically to identify randomized controlled trials of interventions targeting asthma self-care. Intervention content was coded using a published taxonomy of behavior change techniques. For trials with a low-to-moderate risk of bias, study outcomes were pooled using random effects meta-analysis. Associations between intervention content and effect size were explored using meta-regression. Results: Meta-analysis of 38 trials (7883 patients) showed that interventions targeting asthma self-care reduced symptoms (standardized mean difference [SMD] = -0.38 [-0.52, -0.24]) and unscheduled health care use (odds ratio [OR] = 0.71 [0.56 to 0.90]) and increased adherence to preventive medication (OR = 2.55 [2.11 to 3.10]). meta-regression analyses found that "active involvement of participants" was associated with a reduction in unscheduled health care use (OR = 0.50 vs. 0.79). Inclusion of "stress management" techniques was associated with an increase in asthma symptoms (SMD = 0.01 vs. -0.44). Existing recommendations about the "optimal" content of asthma self-care interventions were tested but were not supported by the data. Conclusions: Interventions targeting asthma self-care are effective. Active involvement of participants is associated with increased intervention effectiveness, but the use of stress management techniques may be counterproductive. Taxonomy-based systematic reviews using meta-regression have potential for identifying techniques associated with increased effectiveness in behavioral interventions. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2013 APA, all rights reserved)

Algorithms for the self-optimisation of chemical reactions

Self-optimising chemical systems have experienced a growing momentum in recent years, with the evolution of self-optimising platforms leading to their application for reaction screening and chemical synthesis. With the desire for improved process sustainability, self-optimisation provides a cheaper, faster and greener approach to the chemical development process. The use of such platforms aims to enhance the capabilities of the researcher by removing the need for labor-intensive experimentation, allowing them to focus on more challenging tasks. The establishment of these systems have enabled opportunities for self-optimising platforms to become a key element of a laboratory’s repertoire. To enable the wider adoption of self-optimising chemical platforms, this review summarises the history of algorithmic usage in chemical reaction self-optimisation, detailing the functionality of the algorithms and their applications in a way that is accessible for chemists and highlights opportunities for the further exploitation of algorithms in chemical synthesis moving forward

How Does a Delay Between Temperate Running Exercise and Hot-Water Immersion Alter the Acute Thermoregulatory Response and Heat-Load?

Hot-water immersion following exercise in a temperate environment can elicit heat acclimation in endurance-trained individuals. However, a delay between exercise cessation and immersion is likely a common occurrence in practice. Precisely how such a delay potentially alters hot-water immersion mediated acute physiological responses (e.g., total heat-load) remains unexplored. Such data would aid in optimizing prescription of post-exercise hot-water immersion in cool environments, relative to heat acclimation goals. Twelve male recreational runners (mean ± SD; age: 38 ± 13 years, height: 180 ± 7 cm, body mass: 81 ± 13.7 kg, body fat: 13.9 ± 3.5%) completed three separate 40-min treadmill runs (18°C), followed by either a 10 min (10M), 1 h (1H), or 8 h (8H) delay, prior to a 30-min hot-water immersion (39°C), with a randomized crossover design. Core and skin temperatures, heart rate, sweat, and perceptual responses were measured across the trials. Mean core temperature during immersion was significantly lower in 1H (37.39 ± 0.30°C) compared to 10M (37.83 ± 0.24°C; p = 0.0032) and 8H (37.74 ± 0.19°C; p = 0.0140). Mean skin temperature was significantly higher in 8H (32.70 ± 0.41°C) compared to 10M (31.93 ± 0.60°C; p = 0.0042) at the end of the hot-water immersion. Mean and maximal heart rates were also higher during immersion in 10M compared to 1H and 8H (p < 0.05), despite no significant differences in the sweat or perceptual responses. The shortest delay between exercise and immersion (10M) provoked the greatest heat-load during immersion. However, performing the hot-water immersion in the afternoon (8H), which coincided with peak circadian body temperature, provided a larger heat-load stimulus than the 1 h delay (1H)