Dimensionamento do agronegócio do café no Brasil.

Resumo: O objetivo deste estudo foi dimensionar o agronegócio do café no Brasil, seus indicadores e os impactos econômicos das exportações, por meio da matriz de insumo-produto com enfoque produto x produto do ano de 2017. A cadeia produtiva foi dividida em insumos agropecuários, produção de café em grão, café beneficiado (indústria) e serviços. Os resultados mostraram que o agronegócio do café geraram 30,7 bilhões de reais de renda e 695 mil empregos diretos e indiretos, com médias salariais que variaram entre 5 mil (setor agrícola) e 33 mil reais (comércio e serviços). O agregado com maior participação na geração de valor foi o serviço, com 47% do produto interno bruto (PIB Café), e a produção agrícola foi responsável por 50% dos empregos. As exportações de café em grão somaram 13,6 bilhões de reais e geraram 303 mil empregos diretos e indiretos, 11 bilhões de reais de renda (PIB) e 729 milhões de reais em impostos líquidos. As exportações de café beneficiado somaram 1,5 bilhão de reais, com a geração de 25 mil empregos, 1,2 bilhão de reais de renda e 159 milhões de reais em impostos. A aproximação dos elos da cadeia tem potencial para aumentar a diferenciação de produtos, agregação de valor e geração de emprego e renda. Abstract: The objective of this study was to measure the coffee agribusiness in Brazil, its indicators, and the economic impacts of exports, using the input-product matrix with a product x product focus for the year 2017. The production chain was divided into agricultural inputs, production of coffee beans, processed coffee (industry), and services. The results showed that the agribusiness of coffee generated 30.7 billion reais of income and 695 thousand direct and indirect jobs, with average wages that varied between 5,000 (agricultural sector) and 33 thousand reais (trade and services). The service sector was the aggregate with the largest share in the generation of value, with 47% of the gross domestic product (GDP Coffee), and the agricultural production was responsible for 50% jobs. Exports of coffee beans totaled 13.6 billion reais and generated 303 thousand direct and indirect jobs, 11 billion reais in income (GDP), and 729 million reais in net taxes. Exports of processed coffee totaled 1.5 billion reais with the generation of 25 thousand jobs, 1.2 billion reais of income, and 159 million reais of taxes. The approximation of the links in the chain has the potential to increase the product differentiation, adding value, and to generate jobs and income.Título em inglês: Measuring the coffee agribusiness in Brazil

Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto a Partir De Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais

The goal of this study is to present and to analyze a methodology to estimate Input-Output Matrices using preliminary data from the Brazilian National Accounts. This methodology is tested for the years of 1994 and 1996, where the results obtained from the input-output matrices (definitive version) available from IBGE are compared with the matrices estimated using the proposed methodology. The results analyzed refer to: a) type I production multipliers; b) Rasmussen-Hirschman backward and forward linkages; and c) Pure backward and forward linkages. Based on statistical methods (correlation indexes), the results show that the estimated matrices are similar to the ones released by IBGE. As so, this methodology can be used to estimate Brazilian national input-output matrices for the time periods where there are only preliminary data, and the economic structural analysis made with the estimated matrices are valid for the years analyzed

Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto a Partir De Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais

The goal of this study is to present and to analyze a methodology to estimate Input-Output Matrices using preliminary data from the Brazilian National Accounts. This methodology is tested for the years of 1994 and 1996, where the results obtained from the input-output matrices (definitive version) available from IBGE are compared with the matrices estimated using the proposed methodology. The results analyzed refer to: a) type I production multipliers; b) Rasmussen-Hirschman backward and forward linkages; and c) Pure backward and forward linkages. Based on statistical methods (correlation indexes), the results show that the estimated matrices are similar to the ones released by IBGE. As so, this methodology can be used to estimate Brazilian national input-output matrices for the time periods where there are only preliminary data, and the economic structural analysis made with the estimated matrices are valid for the years analyzed

Análise exploratória de dados espaciais da produção de café no estado do Paraná, 1980-2018.

Resumo: O objetivo deste estudo foi realizar a análise exploratória dos dados espaciais (Aede) da produção de café dos municípios do estado do Paraná, no período 1980-2018. A fonte dos dados foi o Instituto Paranaense de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Ipardes). Nesse período, a produtividade da cultura do café no estado do Paraná aumentou de cerca de 900 para 1.500 kg ha-1, com tendência de crescimento de 16,48 kg ha-1 por ano. A introdução de novas tecnologias na década de 1990 propiciou menor risco aos produtores, e o aumento da produtividade implicou a redução do custo médio da saca de café e o aumento da competitividade. No período de análise, ocorreu o deslocamento da maior parte da área colhida e da produção para as Mesorregiões Norte Pioneiro e Norte Central, que passaram a concentrar a produção e os municípios mais produtivos. Verificou-se uma autocorrelação espacial da produtividade dos municípios, e identificaram-se agrupamentos espaciais Alto-Alto dos municípios localizados, principalmente, nas Mesorregiões Norte Pioneiro e Norte Central do estado do Paraná, no ano de 2018. Abstract: The objective of this study was to carry out an exploratory analysis of spatial data (AEDE) for coffee production in municipalities of Paraná state, Brazil, in the period 1980-2018. The data source was the Instituto Paranaense de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Ipardes). In that period, the productivity of the coffee culture in Parana state increased from about 900 to 1,500 kg ha-1, with a growth trend of 16.48 kg ha-1 per year. The introduction of new technologies in the 1990 decade provided less risk to producers, and the increase of productivity implied the reduction of the average cost of coffee bag and the increase of competitiveness. In the period analysed, most of the harvested area and production moved to the Mesoregions Norte Pioneiro and Norte Central, which started to concentrate the production and more productive municipalities. A spatial autocorrelation was found for the municipalities? productivity, and Alto-Alto spatial clusters were identified for the municipalities located mainly in the Paraná state Mesoregions North Pioneiro and Central North, in 2018.Título em inglês: Exploratory analysis of spatial data of the coffee production in Paraná state, 1980-2018

Interações sinérgicas e transbordamento do efeito multiplicador de produção das grandes regiões do Brasil

The objective of this paper is to estimate and analyze the level of synergetic interactions and overflow of production multiplier effect of the sectors between the five regions (South, Southwest, Center west, North and Northwest) and the Rest of Brazil, using estimated input-output inter-regional systems in the year 1999. The results are: a) the output of North Region is the most dependent of commerce between this and the Rest of Brazil (29%) follow by the Northwest Region (25%), Center West (24%) and South (16%); b) the Region Southwest is the less dependent of sells to the Rest of Brazil, those represented 11%; c) 13% of the Rest of Brazil�s output depended of the commerce of input (goods and services) between this and the Southwest Region, this is the biggest value between the Brazil Regions; d) in the period between 1995/99, the dependency of the Regions South, Southwest and Center West of the Rest of Brazil decreased, while the commerce between the Regions North and Northwest with the Rest of Brazil increased, e) the biggest overflow effect occurs in the sectors of Regions Center West (22% average) and North (average 19%); and f) the overflow effect of the Rest of Brazil to the Region Southwest was the biggest value, 10

Interações sinérgicas e transbordamento do efeito multiplicador de produção das grandes regiões do Brasil

The objective of this paper is to estimate and analyze the level of synergetic interactions and overflow of production multiplier effect of the sectors between the five regions (South, Southwest, Center west, North and Northwest) and the Rest of Brazil, using estimated input-output inter-regional systems in the year 1999. The results are: a) the output of North Region is the most dependent of commerce between this and the Rest of Brazil (29%) follow by the Northwest Region (25%), Center West (24%) and South (16%); b) the Region Southwest is the less dependent of sells to the Rest of Brazil, those represented 11%; c) 13% of the Rest of Brazil�s output depended of the commerce of input (goods and services) between this and the Southwest Region, this is the biggest value between the Brazil Regions; d) in the period between 1995/99, the dependency of the Regions South, Southwest and Center West of the Rest of Brazil decreased, while the commerce between the Regions North and Northwest with the Rest of Brazil increased, e) the biggest overflow effect occurs in the sectors of Regions Center West (22% average) and North (average 19%); and f) the overflow effect of the Rest of Brazil to the Region Southwest was the biggest value, 10

Mudanças estruturais da economia mineira e do restante do Brasil: uma análise de insumo-produto para o período 1996-2003

The input-output matrix is a framework widely used to analyze the productivity structure and the industry interdependence both in national and regional terms. Thus, it is an important feature in the planning process. However, the construction is costly and the publication, sometimes, is made with a lag. Therefore, this paper upgrades the input-output matrix for Minas Gerais State and the rest of Brazil (BDMG and FIPE, 2002) for the period between 1997 and 2003. Based on those matrices, it will be possible to analyze the changes occurred on Minas Gerais and in the rest of Brazil. In order to verify the characteristics of Minas Gerais State we will use the production multiplier and the idea of backward and forward linkages

Criação e Destruição de Empregos no Setor Primário no Brasil entre 2000 e 2009

The objective of this paper is to analyze the employment variation in primary sector between the years 2000-2009 in Brazil. We used the methodology of input-output through the structural decomposition of the employment variation divided into effects of employment intensity, technology, demand structure, demand growth and total net variation. The main results showed that between the periods studied, there was a decrease of 773 thousand jobs in the sector of Agriculture and Extraction. We also find that the Agriculture, Forestry and Lumbering, and Livestock and Fishing sectors were the responsible for the employment decrease through the intensity effect. Looking at the total job variation, we found out that a significant amount of jobs were created in the Oil and Natural Gas and Iron sectors. Despite of that, and mostly because these sectors have a minor participation in the Brazilian primary sector, this employment increase was not enough to counterbalance the job decrease in the other sectors