15 research outputs found
Bringing the Nature Futures Framework to life: creating a set of illustrative narratives of nature futures
To halt further destruction of the biosphere, most people and societies around the globe need to transform their relationships with nature. The internationally agreed vision under the Convention of Biological Diversity—Living in harmony with
nature—is that “By 2050, biodiversity is valued, conserved, restored and wisely used, maintaining ecosystem services,
sustaining a healthy planet and delivering benefts essential for all people”. In this context, there are a variety of debates
between alternative perspectives on how to achieve this vision. Yet, scenarios and models that are able to explore these
debates in the context of “living in harmony with nature” have not been widely developed. To address this gap, the Nature
Futures Framework has been developed to catalyse the development of new scenarios and models that embrace a plurality
of perspectives on desirable futures for nature and people. In this paper, members of the IPBES task force on scenarios and
models provide an example of how the Nature Futures Framework can be implemented for the development of illustrative
narratives representing a diversity of desirable nature futures: information that can be used to assess and develop scenarios
and models whilst acknowledging the underpinning value perspectives on nature. Here, the term illustrative refects the
multiple ways in which desired nature futures can be captured by these narratives. In addition, to explore the interdependence
between narratives, and therefore their potential to be translated into scenarios and models, the six narratives developed here
were assessed around three areas of the transformative change debate, specifcally, (1) land sparing vs. land sharing, (2) Half
Earth vs. Whole Earth conservation, and (3) green growth vs. post-growth economic development. The paper concludes with
an assessment of how the Nature Futures Framework could be used to assist in developing and articulating transformative
pathways towards desirable nature futures
Tecnologia, energia y medio ambiente : potencialidades y limitaciones internacionales para una reestructuracion energetica sostenible y retos para Mexico
Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining alternative futures of climate and society to facilitate integrated research and consistent assessment to inform policy. Here we assess how well this framework is working and what challenges it faces. We synthesize insights from scenario-based literature, community discussions and recent experience in assessments, concluding that the framework has been widely adopted across research communities and is largely meeting immediate needs. However, some mixed successes and a changing policy and research landscape present key challenges, and we recommend several new directions for the development and use of this framework
Publisher Correction: Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
Correction to: Nature Climate Change https://doi-org.proxy.library.uu.nl/10.1038/s41558-020-00952-0, published online 25 November 2020
Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining alternative futures of climate and society to facilitate integrated research and consistent assessment to inform policy. Here we assess how well this framework is working and what challenges it faces. We synthesize insights from scenario-based literature, community discussions and recent experience in assessments, concluding that the framework has been widely adopted across research communities and is largely meeting immediate needs. However, some mixed successes and a changing policy and research landscape present key challenges, and we recommend several new directions for the development and use of this framework
Publisher Correction: Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
In the version of this Perspective originally published, the footnote of Table 1 incorrectly described the meanings of symbols in the table, and the tick marks paired with obeli symbols should have been + signs. The symbols have been amended, as has the footnote, which now reads “Tick marks indicate recommendations made to address the issue in the indicated column; + signs indicate benefits to additional issues”. The online versions of the Perspective have been corrected.</p
Bringing the Nature Futures Framework to life: creating a set of illustrative narratives of nature futures
To halt further destruction of the biosphere, most people and societies around the globe need to transform their relationships with nature. The internationally agreed vision under the Convention of Biological Diversity—Living in harmony with nature—is that “By 2050, biodiversity is valued, conserved, restored and wisely used, maintaining ecosystem services, sustaining a healthy planet and delivering benefits essential for all people”. In this context, there are a variety of debates between alternative perspectives on how to achieve this vision. Yet, scenarios and models that are able to explore these debates in the context of “living in harmony with nature” have not been widely developed. To address this gap, the Nature Futures Framework has been developed to catalyse the development of new scenarios and models that embrace a plurality of perspectives on desirable futures for nature and people. In this paper, members of the IPBES task force on scenarios and models provide an example of how the Nature Futures Framework can be implemented for the development of illustrative narratives representing a diversity of desirable nature futures: information that can be used to assess and develop scenarios and models whilst acknowledging the underpinning value perspectives on nature. Here, the term illustrative reflects the multiple ways in which desired nature futures can be captured by these narratives. In addition, to explore the interdependence between narratives, and therefore their potential to be translated into scenarios and models, the six narratives developed here were assessed around three areas of the transformative change debate, specifically, (1) land sparing vs. land sharing, (2) Half Earth vs. Whole Earth conservation, and (3) green growth vs. post-growth economic development. The paper concludes with an assessment of how the Nature Futures Framework could be used to assist in developing and articulating transformative pathways towards desirable nature futures