risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension insights from the griphon study

BACKGROUND Approaches to risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) include the noninvasive French risk assessment approach (number of low-risk criteria based on the European Society of Cardiology and European Respiratory Society guidelines) and Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL) 2.0 risk calculator. The prognostic and predictive value of these methods for morbidity/mortality was evaluated in the predominantly prevalent population of GRIPHON, the largest randomized controlled trial in PAH. METHODS GRIPHON randomized 1,156 patients with PAH to selexipag or placebo. Post-hoc analyses were performed on the primary composite end-point of morbidity/mortality by the number of low-risk criteria (World Health Organization functional class I-II; 6-minute walk distance >440 m; N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide RESULTS Both the number of low-risk criteria and the REVEAL 2.0 risk category were prognostic for morbidity/mortality at baseline and any time-point during the study. Patients with 3 low-risk criteria at baseline had a 94% reduced risk of morbidity/mortality compared to patients with 0 low-risk criteria and were all categorized as low-risk by REVEAL 2.0. The treatment effect of selexipag on morbidity/mortality was consistent irrespective of the number of low-risk criteria or the REVEAL 2.0 risk category at any time-point during the study. Selexipag-treated patients were more likely to increase their number of low-risk criteria from baseline to week 26 than placebo-treated patients (odds ratio 1.69, p = 0.0002); similar results were observed for REVEAL 2.0 risk score. CONCLUSIONS These results support the association between risk profile and long-term outcome and suggest that selexipag treatment may improve risk profile

Probabilistic modeling for clickstream analysis

Abstract. Our aim is to explore the possibility of performing site-centric clickstream analysis by means of probabilistic modelling. We consider the clickstream originating from a given Web site as a Markovian sequence taking values in the site's page-space. An extra page is added which represents the rest of the Web and is used to determine clickstream fractures (i.e. multiple visits). Different models for the memory of Web surfers and for their heterogeneity are investigated. As an example, the methodology is then applied to data originating from an e-commerce site

Bronchodilatory effects of NVA237, a once daily long-acting muscarinic antagonist, in COPD patients

NVA237 is a novel, once-daily inhaled long-acting muscarinic antagonist administered via a dry powder inhaler. This study aimed to assess the 24-hour bronchodilatory effect following 14 days of treatment with inhaled NVA237 in patients with mild, moderate or severe COPD. This was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, two-period, crossover, multicenter study. A total of 33 patients (≥40 years; smoking history of ≥10 pack-years) were randomized to receive NVA237 50 µg once daily followed by placebo or placebo followed by NVA237 50 µg for 14 days. Treatment periods were separated by a 7–14 day washout period. The primary variable was the mean forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) derived from the area under the curve (AUC) between 0 and 24 hour post-dose on Day 14. The 24-h FEV1 profiles showed a consistent bronchodilator effect for NVA237 versus placebo on Day 14. Least square (LS) mean difference in FEV1 AUC0–24 h values between NVA237 and placebo was 163 mL (p<0.001). There were significant increases in mean FEV1 AUC0–12 h (LS mean difference 165 mL, p=0.001) and FEV1 AUC12–24 h (161 mL, p<0.001) versus placebo. NVA237 significantly improved peak FEV1 (by 208 mL, p<0.001) and trough FEV1 (by 154 mL, p=0.003) versus placebo on Day 14. NVA237 was well tolerated; all adverse events were mild or moderate in intensity and not related to study drug. NVA237 50 μg once daily was well tolerated and showed significant and sustained 24-hour bronchodilation in patients with COP

Some uses of predictive probability of success in clinical drug development

Predictive probability of success is a (subjective) Bayesian evaluation of the prob- ability of a future successful event in a given state of information. In the context of pharmaceutical clinical drug development, successful events relate to the accrual of positive evidence on the therapy which is being developed, like demonstration of su- perior efficacy or ascertainment of safety. Positive evidence will usually be obtained via standard frequentist tools, according to the regulations imposed in the world of pharmaceutical development.Within a single trial, predictive probability of success can be identified with expected power, i.e. the evaluation of the success probability of the trial. Success means, for example, obtaining a significant result of a standard superiority test.Across trials, predictive probability of success can be the probability of a successful completion of an entire part of clinical development, for example a successful phase III development in the presence of phase II data.Calculations of predictive probability of success in the presence of normal data with known variance will be illustrated, both for within-trial and across-trial predictions

Once-daily NVA237 improves exercise tolerance from the first dose in patients with COPD: The GLOW3 trial

INTRODUCTION: Exercise limitation, dynamic hyperinflation, and exertional dyspnea are key features of symptomatic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We assessed the effects of glycopyrronium bromide (NVA237), a once-daily, long-acting muscarinic antagonist, on exercise tolerance in patients with moderate to severe COPD. METHODS: Patients were randomized to a cross-over design of once-daily NVA237 50 μg or placebo for 3 weeks, with a 14-day washout. Exercise endurance, inspiratory capacity (IC) during exercise, IC and expiratory volumes from spirometry, plethysmographic lung volumes, leg discomfort and dyspnea under exercise (Borg scales), and transition dyspnea index were measured on Days 1 and 21 of treatment. The primary endpoint was endurance time during a submaximal constant-load cycle ergometry test on Day 21. RESULTS: A total of 108 patients were randomized to different treatment groups (mean age, 60.5 years; mean post-bronchodilator, forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV(1)] 57.1% predicted). Ninety-five patients completed the study. On Day 21, a 21% difference in endurance time was observed between patients treated with NVA237 and those treated with placebo (P < 0.001); the effect was also significant from Day 1, with an increase of 10%. Dynamic IC at exercise isotime and trough FEV(1) showed significant and clinically relevant improvements from Day 1 of treatment that were maintained throughout the study. This was accompanied by inverse decreases in residual volume and functional residual capacity. NVA237 was superior to placebo (P < 0.05) in decreasing leg discomfort (Borg CR10 scale) on Day 21 and exertional dyspnea on Days 1 and 21 (transition dyspnea index and Borg CR10 scale at isotime). The safety profile of NVA237 was similar to that of the placebo. CONCLUSION: NVA237 50 μg once daily produced immediate and significant improvement in exercise tolerance from Day 1. This was accompanied by sustained reductions in lung hyperinflation (indicated by sustained and significant improvements in IC at isotime), and meaningful improvements in trough FEV(1) and dyspnea. Improvements in exercise endurance increased over time, suggesting that mechanisms beyond improved lung function may be involved in enhanced exercise tolerance. (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01154127)

Everolimus in Combination with Pemetrexed in Patients with Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Previously Treated with Chemotherapy A Phase I Study Using a Novel, Adaptive Bayesian Dose-Escalation Model

Introduction: Pemetrexed is an established second-line therapy for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Everolimus has previously been shown to have some clinical activity when used as a single agent in NSCLC. The aim of this phase I study was to evaluate the safety and feasibility of combining pemetrexed with everolimus in patients with NSCLC who had disease progression after one previous treatment. Methods: Patients with stage IIIb/IV NSCLC and one previous chemotherapy regimen were enrolled. A Bayesian dose-escalation model was used to determine the feasible doses of daily or weekly everolimus combined with pemetrexed (500 mg/m(2) q3w). The primary end point was rate of cycle 1 dose-limiting toxicities (DLTs). Secondary end points included safety, relative dose intensity of pemetrexed, pharmacokinetics, and tumor response. Results: Twenty-four patients received daily everolimus (2.5, 5, 7.5, or 10 mg) and 19 received weekly everolimus (30 or 50 mg) with pemetrexed. Cycle 1 DLTs in the daily regimen included febrile neutropenia, neutropenia, rash/pruritus, and thrombocytopenia; in the weekly regimen, DLTs included neutropenia and stomatitis. The most frequent grade 3/4 adverse events were neutropenia, dyspnea, and thrombocytopenia. Three partial responses were observed with everolimus 5 mg/d and two with 50 mg/wk. Pharmacokinetics did not suggest an influence of everolimus on pemetrexed parameters; pemetrexed resulted in a minor decrease in everolimus exposure with both daily and weekly regimens. Conclusions: Everolimus 5 mg/d or 50 mg/wk with the standard regimen of pemetrexed are feasible dosages in patients with stage IIIb/IV NSCLC

Genetic polymorphisms affecting the phenotypic expression of familial hypercholesterolemia

The clinical expression of heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is highly variable even in patients carrying the same LDL receptor (LDL-R) gene mutation. This variability might be due to environmental factors as well as to modifying genes affecting lipoprotein metabolism. We investigated Apo E (epsilon2, epsilon3, epsilon4), MTP (-493G/T), Apo B (-516C/T), Apo A-V (-1131T/C), HL (-514C/T and -250G/A), FABP-2 (A54T), LPL (D9N, N291S, S447X) and ABCA1 (R219K) polymorphisms in 221 unrelated FH index cases and 349 FH relatives with defined LDL-R gene mutations. We found a significant and independent effect of the following polymorphisms on: (i) plasma LDL-C (Apo E, MTP and Apo 13); (ii) plasma HDL-C (HL, FABP-2 and LPL S447X); (iii) plasma triglycerides (Apo E and Apo AN). In subjects with coronary artery disease (CAD+), the prevalence of FABP-2 54TT genotype was higher (16.5% versus 5.2%) and that of ABCA1219RK and KK genotypes lower (33.0% versus 51.5%) than in subjects with no CAD. Independent predictors of increased risk of CAD were male sex, age, arterial hypertension, LDL-C level and FABP-2 54TT genotype, and of decreased risk the 219RK and KK genotypes of ABCA1. These findings show that several common genetic variants influence the lipid phenotype and the CAD risk in FH heterozygotes. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved

Correction: Jansa et al. Hospitalisation Is Prognostic of Survival in Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension. <i>J. Clin. Med.</i> 2022, <i>11</i>, 6189

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Hospitalisation Is Prognostic of Survival in Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension

This analysis investigated the prognostic value of hospitalisation in chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) using data from the Czech Republic, wherein pulmonary endarterectomy (PEA) was the only targeted treatment option until 2015. Using a landmark method, this analysis quantified the association between a first CTEPH-related hospitalisation event occurring before 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month landmark timepoints and subsequent all-cause mortality in adult CTEPH patients diagnosed between 2003 and 2016 in the Czech Republic. Patients were stratified into operable and inoperable, according to PEA eligibility. CTEPH-related hospitalisations were defined as non-elective. Hospitalisations related to CTEPH diagnosis, PEA, balloon pulmonary angioplasty, or clinical trial participation were excluded. Of 436 patients who survived to &ge;3 months post diagnosis, 309 were operable, and 127 were inoperable. Sex- and age-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) showed CTEPH-related hospitalisation was a statistically significant prognostic indicator of mortality at 3, 9, and 12 months in inoperable patients, with an approximately 2-fold increased risk of death in the hospitalisation group (HRs [95% CI] ranging from 1.98 [1.06&ndash;3.70] to 2.17 [1.01&ndash;4.63]). There was also a trend of worse survival probabilities in the hospitalisation groups for operable patients, with the difference most pronounced at 3 months, with a 76% increased risk of death (adjusted HR [95% CI] 1.76 [1.15&ndash;2.68]). This first analysis on the prognostic value of CTEPH-related hospitalisations demonstrates that a first CTEPH-related hospitalisation is prognostic of mortality in CTEPH, particularly for inoperable patients. These patients may benefit from medical and/or interventional therapy