5 research outputs found

    Normalised intrinsic mortality risk in liver transplantation: European Liver Transplant Registry study

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    Background No model exists for liver transplantation to estimate the mortality risk in a given patient, and no standard by which to assess performance in different centres. We investigated the intrinsic mortality risk in the absence of known mortality risk factors, Methods We identified mortality risk factors and risk ratios quantified in data from the European Liver Transplant Registry (22 089 patients at 102 centres in 18 countries) registered from 1988 to 1997. To develop a model of the intrinsic risk and the risk ratios for specific factors, univariate and multivariate analyses were done separately for the overall population, for adults, and for children younger than 15 years, and the number of deaths were estimated, We validated the model by comparing mortality in patients without risk factors with the model-adjusted mortality in patients with risk factors. Findings Overall 5-year and 8-year actuarial survival was 66% (95% CI 65-66) and 61% (60-62). 65% of deaths occurred within 6 months, Retransplantation, transplantation for cancer, acute liver failure, fewer than 20 split-liver grafts per year, and a centre workload of fewer than 25 transplants per year were the main risk factors of 12 identified factors, 1-year and 5-year death rates among adults with no risk factors were similar to model estimates (15 [13-16] vs 14% [13-15], and 22 (20-24) vs 23% [21-24]). Corresponding data for paediatric transplants were 9% (7-12) compared with 11% (9-12) and 13% (10-17) compared with 14% (11-16). The reduction of mortality risk in high-volume centres was even greater in patients without risk factors (48 vs 23%, p<0.001). Interpretation The normalised intrinsic mortality risk can be combined with the relative risk ratios of known risk factors to better estimate the mortality risk of a given procedure in a given patient. Centres can assess performance by removing potential bias of donor and recipient selection

    Corticosteroid-free immunosuppression with tacrolimus following induction with daclizumab: a large randomized clinical study

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    This open, randomized (1 : 1), multicenter, 3-month study compared a dual tacrolimus plus steroids (Tac / steroids) regimen with a steroid-free immunosuppressive regimen of tacrolimus following daclizumab induction therapy (Tac / Dac) in adult liver transplant recipients. The full analysis set comprised 347 patients in the Tac / steroids group and 351 in the Tac / Dac group. Mean tacrolimus dose during month 3 was 0.11 mg/kg/day in both groups; mean whole-blood trough levels during month 3 were 10.9 ng/mL (Tac / steroids) and 10.6 ng/mL (Tac / Dac). The incidence of biopsy-confirmed acute rejection that required treatment was similar in both groups: 26.5% in the Tac / steroids group and 25.4% in the Tac / Dac group (P = .727). However, the incidence of biopsy-confirmed corticosteroid-resistant acute rejection was higher in the Tac / steroids group than in the Tac / Dac group (6.3 vs. 2.8%; P = .027). Kaplan-Meier estimates of graft survival (92.2 vs. 90.5%) and patient survival (94.5 vs. 93.7%) were similar in both groups. While also the overall adverse event profiles were similar, the incidences of diabetes mellitus (15.3 vs. 5.7%, respectively; P < .001) and cytomegalovirus infection (11.5 vs. 5.1%, respectively; P = .002) were higher in the Tac / steroids group compared with the Tac / Dac group. Mean cholesterol levels increased by 16% in the Tac / steroids group, but were unchanged in the Tac / Dac group during the study. In conclusion, tacrolimus monotherapy following daclizumab induction is an effective and safe regimen, with an advantage over concomitant steroid-maintenance therapy in terms of a lower incidence of diabetes and viral infection, and a lower incidence of steroid-resistant acute rejection
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