33 research outputs found
International Production Networks and Economic Growth: The Case of the Western Balkan Countries
The globalization of the world economy has given rise to new trade patterns through the intensification of international production networks (IPNs). This phenomenon has enabled countries to undertake more in-depth specialization in niche parts of the production chain, with important benefits for their economic activity and growth. The Western Balkan countries are no exception. With their recent integration into global markets, an increasingly large share of their trade flows entail intermediate goods that are eventually processed and exported. This article analyzes the impact of different degrees of participation in IPNs on the economic performance of the Western Balkan countries, thereby testing the hypothesis that trade created by international fragmentation of production may generate effects on economic growth beyond the beneficial influence of total or final goods trade. The article focuses on the period 2002â2013. The results, using a set of panel data models, show that the degree of involvement in IPNs significantly affects economic performance, which partly explains the observed differences in the growth rates of the Western Balkan countries. We also find that the positive influence of processing trade on economic growth is greater than the traditional gains of an increase in foreign demand
Fragmentation and parts and components trade in the Western Balkan countries
As a consequence of the increasing globalization and integration of the worldâs
markets, there has been an intensive process of international fragmentation of
the production over the last few decades. This phenomenon whereby previously
integrated productive activities are segmented and internationally spread is
reflected in the rapid increase in parts and components trade, growing at higher
rates than final goods trade. In this process, the Western Balkan countries
(WBC) have not been an exception. With their recent integration into the global
markets, the WBC have witnessed growth in parts and components trade that
has even exceeded the world average. This paper examines the determinants of
the trade that stems from the international fragmentation of production in the
WBC. Using a panel data set of disaggregated bilateral trade flows, we estimate
gravity equations for the period 2000-2009. Our findings support the hypothesis
drawn from the theory of fragmentation that trade in parts and components is
motivated by labor cost differences and by geographical and proximity reasons.
The relevance of additional service link costs, as well as the influence of
institutional similarity and infrastructure quality or political-economic agreements
is also confirmed by our empirical research
Is the road to regional integration paved with pollution convergence?
This paper evaluates the impact of free trade agreements (FTAs) on carbon dioxide emissions convergence for a cross-section of 182 countries over the period 1980 to 2008, paying particular attention to Mediterranean and European Union countries. In order to overcome the endogeneity problem of the FTA variable, a propensity score matching approach is first used to match country pairs. Next the convergence properties of relative CO2 emissions are examined for the whole panel and for the matched sample using difference-in-difference techniques. The main results indicate that CO2 emissions of the pairs of countries that belong to an FTA tend to converge, and do so at a higher rate for more advanced integration agreements. In particular, we find that emissions converge more rapidly for NAFTA and EU-27 countries than for Euro-Med countries.Pollution haven hypothesis, convergence, CO2 emissions, Euro-med Agreements, difference-in-difference.
The impact of FTAs on MENA trade
The present work analyses the impact of free trade agreements (FTAs) on the improvement of trade flows for ten Middle East and North African Countries (MENA) for the period 1990-2010. An extended gravity model is estimated to analyse the average and individual impact of six FTAs (four North-South-FTAs and three South- South-FTAs) on exports and imports of Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Jordan, Israel, Lebanon, Syria and Turkey. The trade effect of the customs union between Turkey and the EU is also analysed. With the aim of obtaining more information about the real impact of the agreement, the analysis is undertaken not only for aggregated trade but also for trade in industrial products and trade in agricultural products separately. In this way, the fact that the text of such agreements distinguishes between industrial and non-industrial products to establish schedules of liberalization is taken into account. The findings indicate that the Euromed FTA has a positive and significant impact on exports from the EU to MENA countries but not the other way around. The only agreement that has a positive and significant impact on both imports and exports is the customs union between the EU and Turkey
The impact of FTAs on MENA trade in agricultural and industrial products
This article analyses the impact of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) on Middle East and North African Countries (MENA) trade for the period 1994â2010. The analysis distinguishes between industrial and agricultural trade to take into account the different liberalization schedules. An augmented gravity model is estimated using up-to-date panel data techniques to control for all time-invariant bilateral factors that influence bilateral trade as well as for the so-called multilateral resistance factors. We also control for the endogeneity of the agreements and test for self-selection bias due to the presence of zero trade in our sample. The main findings indicate that NorthâSouth-FTAs and SouthâSouth-FTAs have a differential impact in terms of increasing trade in MENA countries, with the former being more beneficial in terms of exports for MENA countries, but both showing greater global market integration. We also find that FTAs that include agricultural products, in which MENA countries have a clear comparative advantage, have more favourable effects for these countries than those only including industrial products.The authors would like to thank the financial support obtained from the Universitat Jaume
I, P1.1B2013-06, PREDOC/2009/55 and E-2012-09
Relationship between logistics infraestructure and trade: Evidence from Spanish regional exports
Geographical factors and transport infrastructure are two of the key determinants that influence international competitiveness. In this sense, the quality of such infrastructure and how widespread it is, the distribution and capacity of logistics facilities in a country, as well as the number of private operators and their degree of specialisation, all play an increasingly important role in the design of business strategies aimed at increasing a countryâs share of the international market. Until recently, however, availability and access to logistics services have been considered secondary factors when defining business competitiveness. This paper estimates an augmented gravity model of trade that specifically includes logistics and transport infrastructure indicators as explanatory variables. The model is estimated by using bilateral exports from 19 Spanish regions to 64 destinations (45 countries and 19 Spanish regions) with data for the period 2003â2007. The findings show that logistics is indeed important for the analysis of trade flows in goods and they highlight the importance of logistics measures at the regional level. In particular, the number, size and quality of logistics facilities positively influence export flows
A Two-Methodology Comparison Study of a Spatial Gravity Model in the Context of Interregional Trade Flows
This paper argues that the introduction of spatial interactions to model the determinants
of origin-destination (OD) flows can potentially result in excessive contiguity. To
explain flows between OD regions, it is not only what happens in the origin and
destination that is relevant, but also what happens in their neighbouring regions.
However, what happens if there is a high degree of overlap between origin neighbouring
areas and destination neighbouring areas? The paper presents an empirical illustration to
re-examine the evidence presented in previous research (AlamĂĄ-Sabater et a., 2013) and more closely analyses the territorial level, focusing on the case of interregional trade of goods at the NUTS3 level (Spanish provinces). We then use two different methodologies within the framework of a spatial gravity equation for interregional trade modelling. The findings confirm the importance of spatial dependence on trade flows and in particular that logistics decisions within a province affect shipments from contiguous provinces
La relación entre el Comercio Interregional y la conectividad del transporte en España. Un anålisis de dependencia espacial
This article analyzes the influence of transport connectivity on trade flows between regions from the perspective of spatial dependence. To do this, we consider two neighborhood criteria in a spatially autoregressive gravity model. The first geographic criteria is first-contiguity , and secondly we incorporate transport connectivity. The results show the importance of logistics platforms to meet the demand for transport infrastructure in the Spanish regions. Since it is not common to have disaggregated database on trade flows within a country, or regional indicators of the degree of development of logistics, this also justifies the need for progress in the achievement of such information for other regions and countries.Este artĂculo analiza la influencia de la conectividad del transporte sobre los flujos comerciales entre regiones desde una perspectiva de dependencia espacial. Para ello, se consideran dos criterios de vecindad en un modelo de gravedad autorregresivo espacial. En primer lugar, se considera el criterio geogrĂĄfico de contigĂŒidad de primer orden y, en segundo lugar, se incorpora la conectividad del transporte. Los resultados obtenidos constatan la importancia de las plataformas logĂsticas para satisfacer la demanda de infraestructura de transporte en las regiones españolas. El artĂculo tambiĂ©n justifica la necesidad de avanzar en la consecuciĂłn de bases de datos desagregadas sobre flujos de comercio dentro de un paĂs y de indicadores regionales del grado de desarrollo logĂstico para otros territorios y paĂses
GlobalitzacioÌ econoÌmica i comerç internacional: una revisioÌ a la llum de la crisi
LâĂșltim quart del segle XX ha sigut testimoni dâun procĂ©s de globalitzaciĂł econĂČmica que ha intensificat els intercanvis comercials mundials. Aquesta expansiĂł sâha vist bruscament interrompuda aquests Ășltims anys com a conseqĂŒĂšncia de la crisi econĂČmica actual. La recuperaciĂł dels fluxos internacionals de mercaderies en un marc de liberalitzaciĂł comercial serĂ un element crucial per apuntalar lâeixida futura de la crisi. AixĂ com la superaciĂł dels forts desequilibris macroeconĂČmics que han estat presents en lâĂșltima dĂšcada.El Ășltimo cuarto del siglo XX ha sido testigo de un proceso de globalizaciĂłn econĂłmica que ha intensificado los intercambios comerciales mundiales. Esta expansiĂłn se ha visto bruscamente interrumpida estos Ășltimos años como consecuencia de la crisis econĂłmica actual. La recuperaciĂłn de los flujos internacionales de mercancĂas en un marco de liberalizaciĂłn comercial serĂĄ un elemento crucial para apuntalar la salida futura de la crisis. AsĂ como la superaciĂłn de los fuertes desequilibrios macroeconĂłmicos que han estado presentes en la Ășltima dĂ©cada.The last quarter of the twentieth century has witnessed a process of economic globalization that has intensified world trade. This expansion has been sharply interrupted in recent years due to the current economic crisis. The recovery of international flows of goods in a context of trade liberalization is a crucial element underpinning the future output of the crisis, as well as overcoming the strong macroeconomic imbalances that have been present in the last decade