The perimeter of uniform and geometric words: a probabilistic analysis

Let a word be a sequence of $n$ i.i.d. integer random variables. The perimeter $P$ of the word is the number of edges of the word, seen as a polyomino. In this paper, we present a probabilistic approach to the computation of the moments of $P$. This is applied to uniform and geometric random variables. We also show that, asymptotically, the distribution of $P$ is Gaussian and, seen as a stochastic process, the perimeter converges in distribution to a Brownian motionComment: 13 pages, 7 figure

A refined and asymptotic analysis of optimal stopping problems of Bruss and Weber

The classical secretary problem has been generalized over the years into several directions. In this paper we confine our interest to those generalizations which have to do with the more general problem of stopping on a last observation of a specific kind. We follow Dendievel, (where a bibliography can be found) who studies several types of such problems, mainly initiated by Bruss and Weber. Whether in discrete time or continuous time, whether all parameters are known or must be sequentially estimated, we shall call such problems simply "Bruss-Weber problems". Our contribution in the present paper is a refined analysis of several problems in this class and a study of the asymptotic behaviour of solutions. The problems we consider center around the following model. Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n$ be a sequence of independent random variables which can take three values: $\{+1,-1,0\}.$ Let p:=\P(X_i=1), p':=\P(X_i=-1), \qt:=\P(X_i=0), p\geq p', where p+p'+\qt=1. The goal is to maximize the probability of stopping on a value $+1$ or $-1$ appearing for the last time in the sequence. Following a suggestion by Bruss, we have also analyzed an x-strategy with incomplete information: the cases $p$ known, $n$ unknown, then $n$ known, $p$ unknown and finally $n,p$ unknown are considered. We also present simulations of the corresponding complete selection algorithm.Comment: 22 pages, 19 figure

Tail estimates for the Brownian excursion area and other Brownian areas

Several Brownian areas are considered in this paper: the Brownian excursion area, the Brownian bridge area, the Brownian motion area, the Brownian meander area, the Brownian double meander area, the positive part of Brownian bridge area, the positive part of Brownian motion area. We are interested in the asymptotics of the right tail of their density function. Inverting a double Laplace transform, we can derive, in a mechanical way, all terms of an asymptotic expansion. We illustrate our technique with the computation of the first four terms. We also obtain asymptotics for the right tail of the distribution function and for the moments. Our main tool is the two-dimensional saddle point method.Comment: 34 page

The Adaptive Sampling Revisited

The problem of estimating the number $n$ of distinct keys of a large collection of $N$ data is well known in computer science. A classical algorithm is the adaptive sampling (AS). $n$ can be estimated by $R.2^D$, where $R$ is the final bucket (cache) size and $D$ is the final depth at the end of the process. Several new interesting questions can be asked about AS (some of them were suggested by P.Flajolet and popularized by J.Lumbroso). The distribution of $W=\log (R2^D/n)$ is known, we rederive this distribution in a simpler way. We provide new results on the moments of $D$ and $W$. We also analyze the final cache size $R$ distribution. We consider colored keys: assume that among the $n$ distinct keys, $n_C$ do have color $C$. We show how to estimate $p=\frac{n_C}{n}$. We also study colored keys with some multiplicity given by some distribution function. We want to estimate mean an variance of this distribution. Finally, we consider the case where neither colors nor multiplicities are known. There we want to estimate the related parameters. An appendix is devoted to the case where the hashing function provides bits with probability different from $1/2$

The maximum of Brownian motion with parabolic drift

We study the maximum of a Brownian motion with a parabolic drift; this is a random variable that often occurs as a limit of the maximum of discrete processes whose expectations have a maximum at an interior point. We give series expansions and integral formulas for the distribution and the first two moments, together with numerical values to high precision.Comment: 37 page

Monotone runs of uniformly distributed integer random variables: A probabilistic analysis

AbstractUsing a Markov chain approach and a polyomino-like description, we study some asymptotic properties of monotone increasing runs of uniformly distributed integer random variables. We analyze the limiting trajectories, which after suitable normalization, lead to a Brownian motion, the number of runs, which is asymptotically Gaussian, the run length distribution, the hitting time to a large length k run, which is asymptotically exponential, and the maximum run length which is related to the Gumbel extreme-value distribution function. A preliminary application to DNA analysis is also given