The contingency of voter learning: how election debates influence voters’ ability and accuracy to position parties in the 2010 Dutch election campaign

Election campaigns are expected to inform voters about parties’ issue positions, thereby increasing voters’ ability to influence future policy and thus enhancing the practice of democratic government. We argue that campaign learning is not only contingent on voters’ characteristics and different sources of information, but also on how parties communicate their issue positions in election debates. We combine a two-wave panel survey with content analysis data of three televised election debates. In cross-classified multilevel auto-regression models we examine the influence of these debates in the 2010 Dutch parliamentary election campaign on voters’ knowledge of the positions of eight parties on three issues. The Dutch multiparty system allows us to separate voters’ ability to position parties from their accuracy in ordering these parties. We reach three main conclusions. First, this study shows that voters become more able and accurate during the campaign. However, these campaign learning effects erode after the elections. Second, whereas voters’ attention to campaigns consistently contributes to their ability to position parties, its effect on accuracy is somewhat less consistent. Third, televised election debates contribute to what voters learn. Parties that advocate their issue positions in the debates stimulate debate viewers’ ability to position these parties on these issues. In the face of the complexity of campaigns and debates in multiparty systems, campaigns are more likely to boost voters’ subjective ability to position parties than their accuracy

Liefde voor het Openbaar Bestuur en Liefde voor de Bestuurskunde

Arthur Ringeling heeft in zijn afscheidsrede van 28 september 2007 aan de Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam een terugblik gegeven op de langdurige studiereis die hij op het vakgebied der bestuurskunde heeft afgelegd. Zijn academische studiereis in de bestuurskunde nam een aanvang met zijn studie politicologie aan de Vrije Universiteit van Amsterdam, welke hij in 1969 afrondde. Daarna verhuisde de protestantse Amsterdammer naar het katholieke Zuiden om aan de katholieke Universiteit van Nijmegen wetenschappelijk medewerker te worden en in 1978 met succes een proefschrift te verdedigen over ‘beleidsvrijheid van ambtenaren’. In 1981 werd hij benoemd tot hoogleraar aan de Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, waar hij in 1983 zijn oratie uitsprak met de titel ‘De Instrumenten van het Beleid’. In 1987 was hij betrokken bij het onderzoek van de parlementaire enquêtecommissie rond de paspoortaffaire. In 1992 verbleef hij een ‘sabbatical year’ op de School of Public and Environmental Affairs (SPEA) aan de Indiana University te Bloomington. In 1993 publiceerde hij zijn bekende boek ‘Het imago van de overheid’. En zoals we hierna zullen zien, ondernam hij daarna nog allerlei activiteiten die hem tot een bestuurskundige maakten die zowel in de wetenschap als de praktijk van het Nederlandse openbaar bestuur naam en faam heeft gemaakt

Sensitivity of SDI for experimental errors

Silt density index (SDI) testing is a widely-accepted method for estimating the rate at which colloidal and particle fouling will occur in water purification systems when using reverse osmosis (RO) or nanofiltration (NF) membranes. However, the SDI has several deficiencies. For example, the SDI has no linear relationship with the particle concentration, is not based on any fouling mechanism, and is not corrected for temperature, pressure and membrane resistance. The accuracy and reproducibility of the SDI is often questioned. In this study, mathematical models were developed to investigate the sensitivity of SDI for the following types of errors: errors due to inaccurate lab or field equipment, systematic errors, and errors resulting from artifacts and personal observations and experience. The mathematical results were verified experimentally. Both the mathematical models and experimental results show that the membrane resistance RM has the highest impact on the SDI results. The allowable ASTM variation in RM is responsible for a deviation in SDI between 2.29 and 3.98 at a level of SDI = 3. Besides that, a 1 s error in measuring the time to collect the second sample t2 results in ±0.07 at SDIO = 3. The artifacts and personal experience also influence the SDI results. The total error in measuring SDI was estimated to be equal to ±2.11 in the field and only ±0.4 in the lab in level of SDIO = 3. Furthermore, several recommendations are mentioned based on these theoretical results and our personal experience. This study demonstrates the sensitivity of the SDI for errors in RM and the accuracy of the equipments, and explains the difficulties in reproducing SDI results for the same water

Removal of polar organic micropollutants by pilot-scale reverse osmosis drinking water treatment

The robustness of reverse osmosis (RO) against polar organic micropollutants (MPs) was investigated in pilot-scale drinking water treatment. Experiments were carried in hypoxic conditions to treat a raw anaerobic riverbank filtrate spiked with a mixture of thirty model compounds. The chemicals were selected from scientific literature data based on their relevance for the quality of freshwater systems, RO permeate and drinking water. MPs passage and the influence of permeate flux were evaluated with a typical low-pressure RO membrane and quantified by liquid chromatography coupled to high-resolution mass spectrometry. A strong inverse correlation between size and passage of neutral hydrophilic compounds was observed. This correlation was weaker for moderately hydrophobic MPs. Anionic MPs displayed nearly no passage due to electrostatic repulsion with the negatively charged membrane surface, whereas breakthrough of small cationic MPs could be observed. The passage figures observed for the investigated set of MPs ranged from less than 1%-25%. Statistical analysis was performed to evaluate the relationship between physicochemical properties and passage. The effects of permeate flux were more pronounced for small neutral MPs, which displayed a higher passage after a pressure drop

Comparative genome analysis of a large Dutch Legionella pneumophila strain collection identifies five markers highly correlated with clinical strains

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Discrimination between clinical and environmental strains within many bacterial species is currently underexplored. Genomic analyses have clearly shown the enormous variability in genome composition between different strains of a bacterial species. In this study we have used <it>Legionella pneumophila</it>, the causative agent of Legionnaire's disease, to search for genomic markers related to pathogenicity. During a large surveillance study in The Netherlands well-characterized patient-derived strains and environmental strains were collected. We have used a mixed-genome microarray to perform comparative-genome analysis of 257 strains from this collection.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Microarray analysis indicated that 480 DNA markers (out of in total 3360 markers) showed clear variation in presence between individual strains and these were therefore selected for further analysis. Unsupervised statistical analysis of these markers showed the enormous genomic variation within the species but did not show any correlation with a pathogenic phenotype. We therefore used supervised statistical analysis to identify discriminating markers. Genetic programming was used both to identify predictive markers and to define their interrelationships. A model consisting of five markers was developed that together correctly predicted 100% of the clinical strains and 69% of the environmental strains.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>A novel approach for identifying predictive markers enabling discrimination between clinical and environmental isolates of <it>L. pneumophila </it>is presented. Out of over 3000 possible markers, five were selected that together enabled correct prediction of all the clinical strains included in this study. This novel approach for identifying predictive markers can be applied to all bacterial species, allowing for better discrimination between strains well equipped to cause human disease and relatively harmless strains.</p

Anti-thymocyte globulin with CsA and MMF as GVHD prophylaxis in nonmyeloablative HLA-mismatched allogeneic HCT

Nonmyeloablative regimens are used for allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) of older or medically unfit patients, but successful outcome is still hindered by graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), especially in the setting of HLA-mismatched HCT. New GVHD prophylaxis strategies are emerging, including the triple drug strategy, that improve the GVHD-free and relapse-free survival (GRFS). Because the impact of ATG in HLA-mismatched Flu-TBI-based nonmyeloablative HCT has not been investigated, we did a retrospective analysis in three Dutch centers. 67 patients were evaluable, with a median age of 56 years. Overall survival, relapse-free survival and GRFS at 4 years were 52%, 43%, and 38%, respectively. NRM findings and cumulative incidence of relapse at 4 years were 26% and 31%, respectively. At 1-year grade II-IV had occurred in 40% of the patients, and the incidence of moderate-severe chronic GVHD incidence was 16%. Acknowledging the limitations of retrospective analyses, we conclude that the use of ATG for HLA-mismatched truly nonmyeloablative Flu-TBI HCT is feasible and results in acceptable long term outcomes, especially with regards to GRFS. We consider ATG in combination with cyclosporin and mycophenolate mofetil as an alternative for the triple drug strategy that uses sirolimus for GVHD prophylaxis in this particular setting

EEG revealed improved vigilance regulation after stress exposure under Nx4: A randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, cross-over trial

ObjectivesVigilance is characterized by alertness and sustained attention. The hyper-vigilance states are indicators of stress experience in the resting brain. Neurexan (Nx4) has been shown to modulate the neuroendocrine stress response. Here, we hypothesized that the intake of Nx4 would alter brain vigilance states at rest.MethodIn this post-hoc analysis of the NEURIM study, EEG recordings of three, 12 min resting-state conditions in 39 healthy male volunteers were examined in a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, cross-over clinical trial. EEG was recorded at three resting-state sessions: at baseline (RS0), after single-dose treatment with Nx4 or placebo (RS1), and subsequently after a psychosocial stress task (RS2). During each resting-state session, each 2-s segment of the consecutive EEG epochs was classified into one of seven different brain states along a wake-sleep continuum using the VIGALL 2.1 algorithm.ResultsIn the post-stress resting-state, subjects exhibited a hyper-stable vigilance regulation characterized by an increase in the mean vigilance level and by more rigidity in the higher vigilance states for a longer period of time. Importantly, Nx4-treated participants exhibited significantly lower mean vigilance level compared to placebo-treated ones. Also, Nx4- compared to placebo-treated participants spent comparably less time in higher vigilance states and more time in lower vigilance states in the post-stress resting-state.ConclusionStudy participants showed a significantly lower mean vigilance level in the post-stress resting-state condition and tended to stay longer in lower vigilance states after treatment with Nx4. These findings support the known stress attenuation effect of Nx4