101 research outputs found

    Proxy-based 300-year High Arctic climate warming record from Svalbard

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    We used fossil Chironomidae assemblages and the transfer function approach to reconstruct summer air temperatures over the past 300 years from a High Arctic lake in Hornsund, Svalbard. Our aims were to compare reconstructed summer temperatures with observed (last 100 years) seasonal temperatures, to determine a potential climate warming break point in the temperature series and to assess the significance and rate of the climate warming trend at the study site. The reconstructed temperatures were consistent with a previous proxy record from Svalbard and showed good correlation with the meteorological observations from Bjornoya and Longyearbyen. From the current palaeoclimate record, we found a significant climate warming threshold in the 1930s, after which the temperatures rapidly increased. We also found that the climate warming trend was strong and statistically significant. Compared with the reconstructed Little Ice Age temperatures in late eighteenth century cooling culmination, the present day summer temperatures are >4 degrees C higher and the temperature increase since the 1930s has been 0.5 degrees C per decade. These results highlight the exceptionally rapid recent warming of southern Svalbard and add invaluable information on the seasonality of High Arctic climate change and Arctic amplification.Peer reviewe

    Epidemiology and associated risk factors of giardiasis in a peri-urban setting in New South Wales Australia

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    © 2018 Cambridge University Press. Giardiasis is one of the most important non-viral causes of human diarrhoea. Yet, little is known about the epidemiology of giardiasis in the context of developed countries such as Australia and there is a limited information about local sources of exposure to inform prevention strategies in New South Wales. This study aimed to (1) describe the epidemiology of giardiasis and (2) identify potential modifiable risk factors associated with giardiasis that are unique to south-western Sydney, Australia. A 1:2 matched case-control study of 190 confirmed giardiasis cases notified to the South-Western Local Health District Public Health Unit from January to December 2016 was employed to investigate the risk factors for giardiasis. Two groups of controls were selected to increase response rate; Pertussis cases and neighbourhood (NBH) controls. A matched analysis was carried out for both control groups separately. Variables with a significant odds ratio (OR) in the univariate analysis were placed into a multivariable regression for each matched group, respectively. In the regression model with the NBH controls, age and sex were controlled as potential confounders. Identified risk factors included being under 5 years of age (aOR = 7.08; 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.02-49.36), having a household member diagnosed with a gastrointestinal illness (aOR = 15.89; 95% CI 1.53-164.60) and having contact with farm animals, domestic animals or wildlife (aOR = 3.03; 95% CI 1.08-8.54). Cases that travelled overseas were at increased risk of infection (aOR = 19.89; 95% CI 2.00-197.37) when compared with Pertussis cases. This study provides an update on the epidemiology and associated risk factors of a neglected tropical disease, which can inform enhanced surveillance and prevention strategies in the developed metropolitan areas

    Multidimensional simple waves in fully relativistic fluids

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    A special version of multi--dimensional simple waves given in [G. Boillat, {\it J. Math. Phys.} {\bf 11}, 1482-3 (1970)] and [G.M. Webb, R. Ratkiewicz, M. Brio and G.P. Zank, {\it J. Plasma Phys.} {\bf 59}, 417-460 (1998)] is employed for fully relativistic fluid and plasma flows. Three essential modes: vortex, entropy and sound modes are derived where each of them is different from its nonrelativistic analogue. Vortex and entropy modes are formally solved in both the laboratory frame and the wave frame (co-moving with the wave front) while the sound mode is formally solved only in the wave frame at ultra-relativistic temperatures. In addition, the surface which is the boundary between the permitted and forbidden regions of the solution is introduced and determined. Finally a symmetry analysis is performed for the vortex mode equation up to both point and contact transformations. Fundamental invariants and a form of general solutions of point transformations along with some specific examples are also derived.Comment: 21 page

    A 5500-year oxygen isotope record of high arctic environmental change from southern Spitsbergen

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    The oxygen isotope composition of chironomid head capsules in a sediment core spanning the past 5500 years from Lake Svartvatnet in southern Spitsbergen was used to reconstruct the oxygen isotope composition of lake water (O-18(lw)) and local precipitation. The O-18(lw) values display shifts from the baseline variability consistent with the timing of recognized historical climatic episodes, such as the Roman Warm Period, the Dark Ages Cold Period and the Little Ice Age'. The highest values of the record, ca. 3 parts per thousand above modern O-18(lw) values, occur at ca. 1900-1800 cal. yr BP. Three negative excursions increasing in intensity toward the present, at 3400-3200, 1250-1100, and 350-50 cal. yr BP, are tentatively linked to roughly synchronous episodes of increased glacier activity and general cold spells around the northern North Atlantic. Their manifestation in the Svartvatnet O-18(lw) record not only testify to the sensitivity and potential of high Arctic lacustrine O-18(chir) records in tracking terrestrial climate evolution but also highlight nonlinear dynamics within the northern North Atlantic hydroclimatic system. The Little Ice Age' period at 350-50 cal. yr BP displays a remarkable 8-9 parts per thousand drop in O-18(lw) values, construed to predominantly represent significantly decreased winter temperatures during a period of increased seasonal differences and extended sea ice cover inducing changes in moisture source regions.Peer reviewe

    Giardiasis notifications are associated with socioeconomic status in Sydney, Australia: a spatial analysis.

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    OBJECTIVE: In developed countries prolonged symptoms due to, or following, Giardia intestinalis infection can have a significant impact on the quality of life. In this research, we investigate the presence of a socioeconomic status (SES) gradient in the reporting of giardiasis in South West Sydney Local Health District (SWSLHD), New South Wales (NSW), Australia, across geographic scales. METHODS: We used a large database, spatial-cluster analysis and a linear model. RESULTS: Firstly, we found one spatial cluster of giardiasis in one of the most advantaged neighbourhoods of SWSLHD. Secondly, rates of giardiasis notifications were significantly and consistently lower in SWSLHD compared to an unnamed advantaged Local Health District and NSW over multiple years. Finally, we found an overall significant positive dose-response relationship between counts of giardiasis and area-level SES. CONCLUSIONS: Lower reporting in disadvantaged areas may represent true differences in incidence across SES groups or may result from differential use of health services and reporting. Implications for public health: If the disparities result from differential use of health services, research should be directed toward identifying barriers and facilitators of use. If disparities result from a true difference in incidence, then the behavioural mediators between SES and giardiasis should be identified and addressed
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