148 research outputs found
Dimensionnement hydrologique des retenues collinaires en Algérie
Dans les pays semi-arides et méditerranéens, la production agricole peut être intensifiée par la création de nombreuses retenues collinaires. Une série de manuels a été réalisée en Algérie afin de permettre la construction rapide, et suivant des règles homogènes, de centaines de retenues collinaires. Il a été ainsi élaboré en particulier un manuel pour le dimensionnement hydrologique des retenues dont les principes sont exposés dans le présent article. Des abaques normalisés présentant en compte les apports moyens des bassins versants ont été préparés suivant une variante généralisée du modèle MORAN, en utilisant les chroniques d'observations des stations hydrométriques des diverses unités géographiques. Il a été construit, pour leur mise en application, des cartes des isolignes relatives aux apports annuels moyens et aux apports annuels de fréquence 80% au dépassement. (Résumé d'auteur
Multi-criteria decision support for the revitalisation of river floodplains
Ecological revitalisation of river floodplains has become a very actual issue worldwide. It has been recognised that floodplains have the potential to become ecologically very productive areas inhabited by many valuable and rare species. Floodplains also play an important role in regional and even in continental context. Namely, beyond their own ecological values floodplains are also important as far as migration and spreading of species are concerned.Only very few natural floodplains have been left along the major regulated rivers of Europe. Thus, revitalisation of the existing ones has a special importance. Some of the revitalisation objectives can be achieved by means of administrative measures but there are several problems, which need active engineering intervention. These problems to be remedied are the results of adverse changes in hydrological conditions, which are the most influencing abiotic factors for floodplain ecosystems. The general problem of desiccation for example has been caused by the decreasing water levels in the rivers, following widespread river training since the 19 thcentury.Thus, the key to ecological revitalisation of river floodplains is improving the water regime. This is proposed to be implemented by transfonning the water conveyance infrastructure in an appropriate manner. Measures like enlarging and/or narrowing floodplain-channels, erecting summer dikes, installing and operating sluices are envisaged for this purpose. Because of the requirements of flood control, navigation and land uses, and also because of conflicts between the envisaged ecological objectives, floodplain revitalisation is inevitably a decision problem with conflicting multiple objectives and multiple stakeholders forming a Decision Making Group (DMG). The task of the DMG is to identify a compromise solution, with satisfactory achievements of all objectives.This dissertation has been conceived as to develop a computer based Decision Support System (DSS) that assists the DMG in searching for compromise solutions for the ecological revitalisation of river floodplains. The search takes place in a discrete decision space where the alternative solutions are specific combinations of water control measures mentioned above.The proposed DSS is based on the Evolutionary SEquential Multi-Objective Problem Solving (ESEMOPS) method developed by Bogardi & Sutanto [1994]. ESEMOPS actually solves a series of surrogate optimisation problems. These surrogate problems seek a minimum of the deviations between the actual aspiration levels of the DMG regarding the individual objectives and their respective achievements through optimisation. It is important to emphasise that surrogate optimisation problems are not substitutes for an explicit expression of the DMG's preference function. By comparing and analysing the solutions of these problems the DMG only gains information concerning the set of feasible solutions, and learns about the interrelationships (trade-offs) between the applied evaluation criteria. These interrelationships are estimated by alternatively treating some objectives as constraints thus enforcing their achievement. On the basis of intermediate results, the DMG modifies its preference structure (by modifying the aspiration levels) and repeats the surrogate optimisation processes. This iterative-interactive search goes on until the DMG declares a certain solution as the best compromise solution for the given problem.Surrogate optimisation problems are solved with the help of a Genetic Algorithms (GA) based search technique. The major advantage of GA is that it relies exclusively on information already available in the input (population of alternative solutions), and output (surrogate objective values) of criteria evaluations throughout the search towards the optimum of the actual surrogate problem.During each GA run a high number of alternative solutions has to be evaluated according to the selected criteria. Criteria evaluation is carried out with the help of a complex modelling system. The most important module of this system is a hydrodynamic model, which enables to simulate the water regime on the floodplain. The applied model is called FOK, which has been developed by the author. FOK belongs to the family of unsteady cell-type floodplain models. Its most pronounced feature is the extremely high simulation speed, which is required by the DSS in order to complete the GA searches within reasonable time limits. The high calculation speed has been achieved with the help of adaptive time step and model configuration control and with that of applying pre-calculated 'delivery functions' for flow calculations in the floodplain-channels. FOK is also enabled to cope with supercritical flow conditions, which may frequently occur in such channels.Output of the F0K model (water level time series on the floodplain) are input for ecological models. which help to estimate the achievements of ecological criteria. Ecological models embedded into the DSS are ranging from the physiologically based MEGAPLANT model [Scheffer et al., 1993] simulating the growth of water plants to habitat evaluation models for fish and for waders. These habitat models have been formulated by, adopting existing habitat modelling approaches to the unsteady hydrological conditions of floodplains.The DSS has been tested on a case study problem. The selected area is a sub-system of the Danube riparian Gemenc floodplain in Hungary. The identified ecological objectives prescribe the improvement of conditions for typical alluvial wet ecosystems. Special attention is paid on improving habitat conditions for fish and for waders like the famous black stork (Ciconia nigra) . The set of criteria formulated for the ecological objectives have been supplemented with criteria representing cost minimisation and timber production. This latter is an important economical use of the area, which has to be taken into consideration in the future as well, After identifying the decision and criteria spaces a decision making 'game' has been played with the help of the ESEMOPS based DSS, The purpose of the game was to locate a best compromise solution according to the foreseen preferences of a potential DMG dealing with the revitalisation of the Gemenc floodplain.It can thus be concluded that developing such a DSS is quite an interdisciplinary task involving the disciplines of ecology, fluid mechanics, numerical modelling, statistics and operations research. Accordingly, the key contribution of the present dissertation is the new, interdisciplinary concept that forms the basis of the proposed DSS. The major challenges that had to be faced during the development of the DSS were selection, adaptation and integration of techniques from the different disciplines.</p
ANALYSE DES SÉRIES DES DONNÉS DES DÉBITS DES COURS D'EAU DANS LE DOMAIN DES ÉTIAGES
The discharges of the water courses are generated by the procedure of the precipitation
- which is an easily analysable stochastic procedure. The procedure of the discharges is
transformed by the boundary conditions of the water system. Consequently the procedure
is a very complicated structured stochastic procedure. The Cramer-Leadbetter crossing
method was constructed for analysis of such complicated stochastic procedures. For the
water management purposes it is needed to complete the random variables introduced
by Cramer and Leadbetter with the sum and extrem values of these parameters. Finally
the stochastic procedure will be characterised by the series of condition al probability
distribution of 17 random variables defined by the different crossing levels.
To complete the information the Poissonian structure of the highwaters and the
exponential character of the recession curves were used. A special tank model was used
to deduce analytical formulas for the distribution functions of these 17 random variables.
Two more sophisticated models were constructed - these models the condition al prob-
ability functions can be estimated by numerical algorithms with help of the adequate
software
ANALYSE DES SÉRIES DES DONNÉS DES DÉBITS DES COURS D'EAU DANS LE DOMAIN DES ÉTIAGES
The discharges of the water courses are generated by the procedure of the precipitation
- which is an easily analysable stochastic procedure. The procedure of the discharges is
transformed by the boundary conditions of the water system. Consequently the procedure
is a very complicated structured stochastic procedure. The Cramer-Leadbetter crossing
method was constructed for analysis of such complicated stochastic procedures. For the
water management purposes it is needed to complete the random variables introduced
by Cramer and Leadbetter with the sum and extrem values of these parameters. Finally
the stochastic procedure will be characterised by the series of condition al probability
distribution of 17 random variables defined by the different crossing levels.
To complete the information the Poissonian structure of the highwaters and the
exponential character of the recession curves were used. A special tank model was used
to deduce analytical formulas for the distribution functions of these 17 random variables.
Two more sophisticated models were constructed - these models the condition al prob-
ability functions can be estimated by numerical algorithms with help of the adequate
software
Current Results of the EC-sponsored Catchment Modelling (CatchMod) Cluster
To support the Water Framework Directive implementation, much research has been commissioned at both national and European levels. CatchMod is a cluster of these projects, which is focusing on the development of computational catchment models and related tools. This paper presents an overview of the results of the CatchMod cluster to dat
Insula Insolita – Szigetköz és Bős-Nagymaros párhuzamos története
A közlemény célja a szigetközi ártér és a Bős-Nagymaros Vízlépcsőrendszer (BNV) párhuzamos történetének bemutatása és a történet tanulságainak levonása. A BNV-t megelőző idők árvízvédelmi és folyószabályozási munkáinak mellékhatásaként, továbbá a Duna fokozott szennyezőanyag terhelése miatt, súlyos degradációs folyamatok indultak be a Szigetközben, melyek megállítása és visszafordítása a BNV egyik fontos célkitűzése volt. A múlt század nyolcvanas éveiben kialakult mozgalmak a környezetvédelem jelszavát hirdetve, ám hamis érvekre hivatkozva a BNV megvalósításának megakadályozását tűzték ki célul. Ezek a mozgalmak, köszönhetően a rendszerváltás idejére kiépített politikai befolyásuknak, végül elérték a céljukat: a BNV beruházását magyar részről egyoldalúan felfüggesztették, majd végleg leállították. Szlovákia azonban, mint a nemzetközi beruházás másik résztvevője, nem adta fel a projektet és a magyar fél kiszállásából adódó kényszerhelyzethez alkalmazkodva, egyoldalúan kivitelezte azt. Ennek következménye lett a szigetközi Duna szakasz 30 évvel ezelőtti elterelése. A BNV magyar részről történő leállítása súlyos károkat okozott Magyarországnak: az anyagi, szellemi és erkölcsi károkozáson túl, az ország de facto elvesztette a beruházás tárgyában Szlovákia ellen indított nemzetközi pert és még az elkészült mű által megtermelt megújuló energiából sem részesedik. Az elmúlt évtizedek során végzett monitoring tevékenység egyértelműen cáfolta a vízlépcsőellenes mozgalom ökológiai katasztrófát vizionáló álláspontját. A szigetközi hullámtér talaj- és felszíni vizeinek minőségi és mennyiségi viszonyaiban degradáció helyett javulás történt ‒ még a BNV előtti időkhöz képest is. Ez a javulás a Duna vízminőségében beállt pozitív változásoknak, valamint a Szigetközben kiépült vízpótló-rendszernek köszönhető. A vízpótló-rendszer kiépítésével a magyar vízügyi szolgálat újfent bebizonyította, hogy képes nagyszerű teljesítmények elérésére
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