Point-to-Surface Upscaling Algorithms for Snow Depth Ground Observations

To validate the accuracy of snow depth products retrieved from passive microwave remote sensing data with a high confidence level, the verification method based on points of ground observation is subject to great uncertainty, due to the scale effect. Thus, it is necessary to use a point-to-surface scale transformation method to obtain the relative ground truth at the remote sensing pixel scale. In this study, by using the snow depth ground observations at different observation scales, the upscaling methods are conducted based on simple average (SA), geostatistical, Bayes maximum entropy (BME), and random forest (RF) algorithms. In addition, the cross-validation of the leave-one-out method is employed to validate the upscaling results. The results show that the SA algorithm is seriously inadequate for estimating snow depth variation in space, and is only suitable for regions with relatively flat terrain and small variation of snow depth. The BME algorithm can introduce prior knowledge and perform kernel smoothing on observed data, and the upscaling result is superior to geostatistical and RF algorithms, especially when the observed data is insufficient, and outliers appear. The results of the study are expected to provide a reference for developing a point-to-surface upscaling method based on snow depth ground observations, and to further solve the uncertainties caused by scale effects in snow depth and other land surface parameter inversion and validation, by using remote sensing data

Ground Deformation and Permafrost Degradation in the Source Region of the Yellow River, in the Northeast of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

The source region of the Yellow River (SRYR) is situated on the permafrost boundary in the northeast of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), which is an area highly sensitive to climate change. As a result of increasing global temperatures, the permafrost in this region has undergone significant degradation. In this study, we utilized Sentinel-1 to obtain ground surface deformation data in the SRYR from June 2017 to January 2022. We then analyzed the differences in terrain deformation under various environmental conditions. Our findings indicated an overall subsidence trend in the SRYR, with a long-term deformation velocity of −4.2 mm/a and seasonal deformation of 8.85 mm. Furthermore, the results showed that terrain deformation varied considerably from region to region, and that the Huanghe’ yan sub-basin with the highest permafrost coverage among all sub-basins significantly higher subsidence rates than other regions. Topography strongly influenced ground surface deformation, with flat slopes exhibiting much higher subsidence rates and seasonal deformation. Moreover, the ground temperature and ground ice richness played a certain role in the deformation pattern. This study also analyzed regional deformation details from eight boreholes and one profile line covering different surface conditions, revealing the potential for refining the permafrost boundary. Overall, the results of this study provide valuable insights into the evolution of permafrost in the SRYR region

Spatiotemporal Variations of Soil Temperature at 10 and 50 cm Depths in Permafrost Regions along the Qinghai-Tibet Engineering Corridor

Soil temperature plays an essential role in the permafrost thermal state and degradation process. Especially the soil temperatures at 10 cm and 50 cm depths in the active layer, which are much easier to be observed in situ, have great effects on the surface water cycles and vegetation, and could be used as the upper boundary for permafrost models to simulate the thermal state of the permafrost and active layer thicknesses. However, due to the limitations of the observation data, there are still large uncertainties in the soil temperature data, including at these two depths, in the permafrost region of Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP). In this study, we evaluated and calibrated the applicability of four daily shallow soil temperature datasets (i.e., MERRA-2, GLDAS-Noah, ERA5-Land, and CFSR) by using the in situ soil temperature data from eight observation sites from 2004 to 2018 in the permafrost region along the Qinghai–Tibet Engineering Corridor. The results revealed that there were different uncertainties for all four sets of reanalysis data, which were the largest (Bias = −2.44 °C) in CFSR and smallest (Bias= −0.43 °C) in GLDAS-Noah at depths of 10 cm and 50 cm. Overall, the reanalysis datasets reflect the trends of soil temperature, and the applicability of reanalysis data at 50 cm depth is better than at 10 cm depth. Furthermore, the GLDAS-Noah soil temperatures were recalibrated based on our observations using multiple linear regression and random forest models. The accuracy of the corrected daily soil temperature was significantly improved, and the RMSE was reduced by 1.49 °C and 1.28 °C at the depth of 10 cm and 50 cm, respectively. The random forest model performed better in the calibration of soil temperature data from GLDAS-Noah. Finally, the warming rates of soil temperature were analyzed, which were 0.0994 °C/a and 0.1005 °C/a at 10 cm and 50 cm depth from 2004 to 2018, respectively