Intercontinental transport of pollution manifested in the variability and seasonal trend of springtime O3 at northern middle and high latitudes

Observations (0–8 km) from the Tropospheric Ozone Production about the Spring Equinox (TOPSE) experiment are analyzed to examine air masses contributing to the observed variability of springtime O3 and its seasonal increase at 40°–85°N over North America. Factor analysis using the positive matrix factorization and principal component analysis methods is applied to the data set with 14 chemical tracers (O3, NOy, PAN, CO, CH4, C2H2, C3H8, CH3Cl, CH3Br, C2Cl4, CFC-11, HCFC-141B, Halon-1211, and 7Be) and one dynamic tracer (potential temperature). Our analysis results are biased by the measurements at 5–8 km (70% of the data) due to the availability of 7Be measurements. The identified tracer characteristics for seven factors are generally consistent with the geographical origins derived from their 10 day back trajectories. Stratospherically influenced air accounts for 14 ppbv (35–40%) of the observed O3 variability for data with O3concentrations \u3c100 ppbv at middle and high latitudes. It accounts for about 2.5 ppbv/month (40%) of the seasonal O3 trend at midlatitudes but for only 0.8 ppbv/month (\u3c20%) at high latitudes, likely reflecting more vigorous midlatitude dynamical systems in spring. At midlatitudes, reactive nitrogen-rich air masses transported through Asia are much more significant (11 ppbv in variability and 3.5 ppbv/month in trend) than other tropospheric contributors. At high latitudes the O3 variability is significantly influenced by air masses transported from lower latitudes (11 ppbv), which are poor in reactive nitrogen. The O3 trend, in contrast, is largely defined by air masses rich in reactive nitrogen transported through Asia and Europe across the Pacific or the Arctic (3 ppbv/month). The influence from the stratospheric source is more apparent at 6–8 km, while the effect of O3 production and transport within the troposphere is more apparent at lower altitudes. The overall effect of tropospheric photochemical production, through long-range transport, on the observed O3 variability and its seasonal trend is more important at high latitudes relative to more photochemically active midlatitudes

Ozone depletion events observed in the high latitude surface layer during the TOPSE aircraft program

During the Tropospheric Ozone Production about the Spring Equinox (TOPSE) aircraft program, ozone depletion events (ODEs) in the high latitude surface layer were investigated using lidar and in situ instruments. Flight legs of 100 km or longer distance were flown 32 times at 30 m altitude over a variety of regions north of 58° between early February and late May 2000. ODEs were found on each flight over the Arctic Ocean but their occurrence was rare at more southern latitudes. However, large area events with depletion to over 2 km altitude in one case were found as far south as Baffin Bay and Hudson Bay and as late as 22 May. There is good evidence that these more southern events did not form in situ but were the result of export of ozone-depleted air from the surface layer of the Arctic Ocean. Surprisingly, relatively intact transport of ODEs occurred over distances of 900–2000 km and in some cases over rough terrain. Accumulation of constituents in the frozen surface over the dark winter period cannot be a strong prerequisite of ozone depletion since latitudes south of the Arctic Ocean would also experience a long dark period. Some process unique to the Arctic Ocean surface or its coastal regions remains unidentified for the release of ozone-depleting halogens. There was no correspondence between coarse surface features such as solid ice/snow, open leads, or polynyas with the occurrence of or intensity of ozone depletion over the Arctic or subarctic regions. Depletion events also occurred in the absence of long-range transport of relatively fresh “pollution” within the high latitude surface layer, at least in spring 2000. Direct measurements of halogen radicals were not made. However, the flights do provide detailed information on the vertical structure of the surface layer and, during the constant 30 m altitude legs, measurements of a variety of constituents including hydroxyl and peroxy radicals. A summary of the behavior of these constituents is made. The measurements were consistent with a source of formaldehyde from the snow/ice surface. Median NOx in the surface layer was 15 pptv or less, suggesting that surface emissions were substantially converted to reservoir constituents by 30 m altitude and that ozone production rates were small (0.15–1.5 ppbv/d) at this altitude. Peroxyacetylnitrate (PAN) was by far the major constituent of NOy in the surface layer independent of the ozone mixing ratio

Ozone, aerosol, potential vorticity, and trace gas trends observed at high‐latitudes over North America from February to May 2000

Ozone (O3) and aerosol scattering ratio profiles were obtained from airborne lidar measurements on thirty‐eight flights over seven deployments covering the latitudes of 40°–85°N between 4 February and 23 May 2000 as part of the Tropospheric Ozone Production about the Spring Equinox (TOPSE) field experiment. Each deployment started from Broomfield, Colorado, with bases in Churchill, Canada, and on most deployments, Thule Air Base, Greenland. Nadir and zenith lidar O3 measurements were combined with in situ O3 measurements to produce vertically continuous O3 profiles from near the surface to above the tropopause. Potential vorticity (PV) distributions along the flight track were obtained from several different meteorological analyses. Ozone, aerosol, and PV distributions were used together to identify the presence of pollution plumes and stratospheric intrusions. Ozone was found to increase in the middle free troposphere (4–6 km) at high latitudes (60°–85°N) by an average of 4.6 ppbv/mo (parts per billion by volume per month) from about 54 ppbv in early February to over 72 ppbv in mid‐May. The average aerosol scattering ratios at 1064 nm in the same region increased rapidly at an average rate of 0.36/mo from about 0.38 to over 1.7. Ozone and aerosol scattering were highly correlated over the entire field experiment, and PV and beryllium (7Be) showed no significant positive trend over the same period. The primary cause of the observed O3 increase in the mid troposphere at high latitudes was determined to be the photochemical production of O3 in pollution plumes with less than 20% of the increase from stratospherically‐derived O3

The Meandering Margin of the Meteorological Moist Tropics

Bimodally distributed column water vapor (CWV) indicates a well‐defined moist regime in the Tropics, above a margin value near 48 kg m−2 in current climate (about 80% of column saturation). Maps reveal this margin as a meandering, sinuous synoptic contour bounding broad plateaus of the moist regime. Within these plateaus, convective storms of distinctly smaller convective and mesoscales occur sporadically. Satellite data composites across the poleward most margin reveal its sharpness, despite the crude averaging: precipitation doubles within 100 km, marked by both enhancement and deepening of cloudiness. Transported patches and filaments of the moist regime cause consequential precipitation events within and beyond the Tropics. Distinguishing synoptic flows that cross the margin from flows that move the margin is made possible by a novel satellite‐based Lagrangian CWV tendency estimate. Climate models do not reliably reproduce the observed bimodal distribution, so studying the moist mode's maintenance processes and the margin‐zone air mass transformations, guided by the Lagrangian tendency product, might importantly constrain model moist process treatments. Plain Language Summary Satellite snapshots indicate that tropical column‐integrated water vapor (CWV) in the atmosphere has broad, almost‐uniform moist regions, with sharp edges or margins that meander and move. This structure comprises a bimodal frequency distribution, an important qualitative distinction that justifies the term "regime." Deep convective storms and rainfall are largely confined inside the moist regime, where they are quite sporadic. In some places, the margin of the moist regime is observed to be moved by the wind, but in other places the wind flows across the margin, with air columns undergoing a rapid moistening as they cross the narrow marginal zone. The continued maintenance of this quasi‐uniform vapor regime (despite spotty, intense losses in rain events), and of the sharpness of its margins, implies that convective and dynamical processes act in very concerted ways. We show that this concerted process coupling is nontrivial, since current climate models variously lack or exaggerate the bimodality of the CWV frequency distribution. A new data set for identifying regions of cross‐margin flows (air column transformations) is offered. Key Points Column water vapor has a bimodal distribution, defining moist‐regime air masses revealed to be synoptic in scale, with sharp margins The margin of the moist regime meanders; morphed satellite data show where winds move the margin versus where they cross it while undergoing air mass transformation Maintenance of the moist regime and its sharp margins implies constraints on moist convection processes, which are shown to be erroneous in some current climate model

Winter-spring evolution and variability of HOx reservoir species, hydrogen peroxide, ad methyl hydroperoxide, in the northern middle to high latitudes

The Tropospheric Ozone Production about the Spring Equinox (TOPSE) experiment examined the evolution of tropospheric chemical compositions from February to May 2000 over North America, 40 to 85 N. Hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) and methyl hydroperoxide (CH3OOH) were investigated using instrumental observations aboard the NCAR C-130 research aircraft. Primary TOPSE results indicate both photochemistry and atmospheric dynamics are critical factors controlling the variability of peroxides in this region. From February to May, H2O2 and CH3OOH mixing ratios increased with the greatest relative changes at mid-altitudes. H2O2 ranged from below the detection limit (BDL = 25 pptv) to 380 pptv in winter and from BDL to 1330 pptv during spring. Winter measurements of CH3OOH were from BDL (35 pptv) to 740 pptv with higher levels of BDL to 1400 pptv measured during spring. Peroxides also decreased with latitude at all altitudes. These findings are consistent with those expected from photochemical theory. Evidence also supports a source of CH3OOH to the Arctic from the transport of subtropical air masses. Air mass back trajectories and GOES-derived specific humidity products indicate transport of moist tropical air to the study region coincides with elevated levels of CH3OOH up to 940 pptv. The concurrence of this transport regime with episodic elevated CH3OOH events suggests a source of HOx to the Arctic. However, evidence from this study shows CH3OOH does not greatly contribute to total HOx production which is dominated primarily by reactions of O(lD) and H2O at low latitudes and CH2O at high latitudes

Objective Satellite Methods including AI algorithms reviewed for the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10)

Here we explore the latest four years (2019-2022) of using satellite data to objectively analyze tropical cyclones (TC) and issue recommendations for improved analysis. We first discuss new methods of direct retrieval from SAR and geostationary imagers. Next, we survey some of the most prominent new techniques in AI and discuss their major capabilities (especially accuracy in nonlinear TC behavior, characterization of model uncertainty and creation of synthetic satellite imagery) and limitations (especially lack of transparency and limited amount of training data). We also identify concerns with biases and unlabeled uncertainties in the Best Track records as being a first-order limitation for further progress in objective methods. The article concludes with recommendations to improve future objective methods, especially in the area of more accurate and reliable training data sets