Disaggregation of spatial rainfall fields for hydrological modelling

International audienceMeteorological models generate fields of precipitation and other climatological variables as spatial averages at the scale of the grid used for numerical solution. The grid-scale can be large, particularly for GCMs, and disaggregation is required, for example to generate appropriate spatial-temporal properties of rainfall for coupling with surface-boundary conditions or more general hydrological applications. A method is presented here which considers the generation of the wet areas and the simulation of rainfall intensities separately. For the first task, a nearest-neighbour Markov scheme, based upon a Bayesian technique used in image processing, is implemented so as to preserve the structural features of the observed rainfall. Essentially, the large-scale field and the previously disaggregated field are used as evidence in an iterative procedure which aims at selecting a realisation according to the joint posterior probability distribution. In the second task the morphological characteristics of the field of rainfall intensities are reproduced through a random sampling of intensities according to a beta distribution and their allocation to pixels chosen so that the higher intensities are more likely to be further from the dry areas. The components of the scheme are assessed for Arkansas-Red River basin radar rainfall (hourly averages) by disaggregating from 40 km x 40 km to 8 km x 8 km. The wet/dry scheme provides a good reproduction both of the number of correctly classified pixels and the coverage, while the intensitiy scheme generates fields with an adequate variance within the grid-squares, so that this scheme provides the hydrologist with a useful tool for the downscaling of meteorological model outputs. Keywords: Rainfall, disaggregation, General Circulation Model, Bayesian analysi

First-order transition of tethered membranes in 3d space

We study a model of phantom tethered membranes, embedded in three-dimensional space, by extensive Monte Carlo simulations. The membranes have hexagonal lattice structure where each monomer is interacting with six nearest-neighbors (NN). Tethering interaction between NN, as well as curvature penalty between NN triangles are taken into account. This model is new in the sense that NN interactions are taken into account by a truncated Lennard-Jones potential including both repulsive and attractive parts. The main result of our study is that the system undergoes a first-order crumpling transition from low temperature flat phase to high temperature crumpled phase, in contrast with early numerical results on models of tethered membranes.Comment: 5 pages, 6 figure

The effect of dung beetle size on soil nutrient mobilization in an afrotropical forest

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Evidence of phenotypic plasticity along an altitudinal gradient in the dung beetle Onthophagus proteus

High altitude insects are an ecologically specialized group and possess a suite of adaptions which allow persistence in the inhospitable conditions often associated with mountain tops. Changes in body coloration and reductions or increases in body size are thought to be examples of such adaptions. Melanic individuals, or individuals containing high levels of eumelanin, possess several traits which increase resistance to ultraviolet radiation and desiccation, while aiding thermoregulation. Trait variation is often observed in dung beetles and is associated with dimorphism and sexual selection. In this study, we identified trait changes which occur across an altitudinal gradient by measuring morphological colour and body size traits in a montane insect

Folding transition of the triangular lattice in a discrete three--dimensional space

A vertex model introduced by M. Bowick, P. Di Francesco, O. Golinelli, and E. Guitter (cond-mat/9502063) describing the folding of the triangular lattice onto the face centered cubic lattice has been studied in the hexagon approximation of the cluster variation method. The model describes the behaviour of a polymerized membrane in a discrete three--dimensional space. We have introduced a curvature energy and a symmetry breaking field and studied the phase diagram of the resulting model. By varying the curvature energy parameter, a first-order transition has been found between a flat and a folded phase for any value of the symmetry breaking field.Comment: 11 pages, latex file, 2 postscript figure

Random walks on combs

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Deconfinement transition and string tensions in SU(4) Yang-Mills Theory

We present results from numerical lattice calculations of SU(4) Yang-Mills theory. This work has two goals: to determine the order of the finite temperature deconfinement transition on an $N_t = 6$ lattice and to study the string tensions between static charges in the irreducible representations of SU(4). Motivated by Pisarski and Tytgat's argument that a second-order SU($\infty$) deconfinement transition would explain some features of the SU(3) and QCD transitions, we confirm older results on a coarser, $N_t = 4$, lattice. We see a clear two-phase coexistence signal, characteristic of a first-order transition, at $8/g^2 = 10.79$ on a $6\times 20^3$ lattice, on which we also compute a latent heat of $\Delta\epsilon\approx 0.6 \epsilon_{SB}$. Computing Polyakov loop correlation functions we calculate the string tension at finite temperature in the confined phase between fundamental charges, $\sigma_1$, between diquark charges, $\sigma_2$, and between adjoint charges $\sigma_4$. We find that $1 < \sigma_2/\sigma_1 < 2$, and our result for the adjoint string tension $\sigma_4$ is consistent with string breaking.Comment: 10 pages with included figures. For version 2: New calculation and discussion of latent heat added; 2 new figures and 1 new table. Typo in abstract corrected for v3. To appear in Physical Review