Scoping potential routes to UK civil unrest via the food system: Results of a structured expert elicitation

We report the results of a structured expert elicitation to identify the most likely typesof potential food system disruption scenarios for the UK, focusing on routes to civil unrest. Wetake a backcasting approach by defining as an end-point a societal event in which 1 in 2000 peoplehave been injured in the UK, which 40% of experts rated as “Possible (20–50%)”, “More likely thannot (50–80%)” or “Very likely (>80%)” over the coming decade. Over a timeframe of 50 years, thisincreased to 80% of experts. The experts considered two food system scenarios and ranked theirplausibility of contributing to the given societal scenario. For a timescale of 10 years, the majorityidentified a food distribution problem as the most likely. Over a timescale of 50 years, the expertswere more evenly split between the two scenarios, but over half thought the most likely route tocivil unrest would be a lack of total food in the UK. However, the experts stressed that the variouscauses of food system disruption are interconnected and can create cascading risks, highlighting theimportance of a systems approach. We encourage food system stakeholders to use these results intheir risk planning and recommend future work to support prevention, preparedness, response andrecovery planning

An examination of Canon Liddon's Bampton lectures on the divinity of Our Lord and Saviour Jesus Christ.

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Sanderson & Sons Factory

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Orchard, Chorley Wood, Hearts

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Turner, S. C. House

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Priors Field

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Broadleys

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Foster House

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Defence of the Rev. Charles Voysey, B.A., Vicar of Healaugh : on the hearing of the charges of heresy preferred against him in the Chancery Court of York on the 1st December 1869,

Cover title.; Electronic reproduction. Canberra, A.C.T. : National Library of Australia, 2011