Some considerations on the partial credit model

The Partial Credit Model (PCM) is sometimes interpreted as a model for stepwise solution of polytomously scored items, where the item parameters are interpreted as difficulties of the steps. It is argued that this interpretation is not justified. A model for stepwise solution is discussed. It is shown that the PCM is suited to model sums of binary responses which are not supposed to be stochastically independent. As a practical result, a statistical test of stochastic independence in the Rasch model is derived.

Detection of embryo mortality and hatch using thermal differences among incubated chicken eggs

Accurate diagnosis of both the stage of embryonic mortality and the hatch process in incubated eggs is a fundamental component in troubleshooting and hatchery management. However, traditional methods disturb incubation, destroy egg samples, risk contamination, are time and labour-intensive and require specialist knowledge and training. Therefore, a new method to accurately detect embryonic mortality and hatching time would be of significant interest for the poultry industry if it could be done quickly, cheaply and be fully integrated into the process. In this study we have continuously measured individual eggshell temperatures and the corresponding micro-environmental air temperatures throughout the 21 days of incubation using standard low-cost temperature sensors. Moreover, we have quantified the thermal interaction between eggs and air by calculating thermal profile changes (temperature drop time, drop length and drop magnitude) that allowed us to detect four categories of egg status (infertile/early death, middle death, late death and hatch) during incubation. A decision tree induction classification model accurately (93.3%) predicted the status of 105 sampled eggs in comparison to the classical hatch residue breakout analyses. With this study we have provided a major contribution to the optimisation of incubation processes by introducing an alternative method for the currently practiced hatch residue breakout analyses.status: publishe

Characterisation of the vaginal microflora of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) positive and negative women in a sub-urban population of Kenya

Lactobacilli predominate normal vaginal microflora and are important in maintenance of vaginal health. The current study set out to identify and compare culture isolates of vaginal microflora of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) positive (HIV+ ) and HIV negative (HIV- ) women at different phases during menstrual cycle from a sub-urban population of Kenya. Seventy four (74) women, 41 HIV+ and 33 HIV- , followed up two consecutive menstrual cycles, had high vaginal swabs taken to prepare Gram stains for six visits and anaerobic cultures for four. All 751 isolates identified by t-DNA polymerase chain reaction (PCR) belong to 51 species. Species cultured more frequently in HIV+ participants were: Lactobacillus jensenii (p=0.01), Lactobacillus iners (p=0.02), Gardnerella vaginalis (p=0.01) and Peptoniphilus lacrimalis (p=0.01). Species cultured more frequently in HIV- women were Dialister micraerophilus (p=0.02) and Streptococcus agalactiae (p=0.04). Lactobacillus predominating both groups were Lactobacilli crispatus, L. jensenii, L. iners and Lactobacilli vaginalis. Bacterial vaginosis (BV) was equally high in HIV+ and HIV- women. Lactobacillus and BV-associated species were cultured more frequently in HIV+ women. Minor species differences were found. Predominant Lactobacillus in culture were L. crispatus, L. iners, L. jensenii and L. vaginalis. These women had lower concentrations of lactobacilli in vaginal microflora than observed in previous studies of Caucasian women

Development and validation of A quasi-dimensional model for (M)Ethanol-Fuelled SI engines

RESEARCH OBJECTIVE - The use of methanol and ethanol in spark-ignition engines forms an interesting approach to decarbonizing transport and securing domestic energy supply. Experimental work has produced promising results, however, the full potential of light alcohols in modern engine technology remains to be explored. Today, this can be addressed at low cost using system simulations of the whole engine, provided that the employed models account for the effect of the fuel on engine operation. The goal of current work is to develop an engine cycle model that can accurately predict performance, efficiency, pollutant emissions and knock onset in state-of-the-art neat alcohol engines. METHODOLOGY - Two-zone thermodynamic engine modeling, in combination with 1D gas dynamics, is put forward as a useful tool for cheap and fast optimization of engines. Typically, this model class derives the mass burning rate of fuel from turbulent combustion models. A fundamental building block of turbulent combustion models is an expression for the laminar burning velocity of the fuel-air-residuals mixture at instantaneous cylinder pressure and temperature. This physicochemical property basically groups the contribution of the chemical reactions (of the fuel) to combustion. Consequently, an important part of our study consisted of calculating (using chemical kinetics) and measuring the laminar burning velocity of methanol and ethanol at engine-like conditions. In order to validate the developed engine model, its predictions were compared against a database of experimental results obtained on three different flex-fuel and dedicated alcohol engines. RESULTS - Comparison of the experimental and simulated cylinder, intake and exhaust pressure traces confirmed the predictive power of our engine model for methanol-fuelled engines. A wide variety of engine operating points were accurately reproduced thanks to a new laminar burning velocity correlation, which correctly accounts for changes in pressure, temperature, mixture richness and residual ratio. The Flame Closure Model of Zimont-Lipatnikov emerged as the most widely applicable model from a comparison of several turbulent combustion models. With regard to the gas dynamics it proved necessary to include a fuel puddling submodel to take the cooling effect due to alcohol injection into consideration. LIMITATIONS - The developed model was successfully validated for normal combustion in port-injected neat methanol engines. The validation of the routines for ethanol combustion and engines with direct injection is part of ongoing work. Now that normal combustion can be accurately simulated, further work will look at the prediction of pollutant emissions and knock onset in these engines. NOVELTY - This paper presents the first recent attempt to model the application of neat alcohols in modern and anticipated future engine technologies. Compared to previous work the effects of in-cylinder and mixture conditions on the combustion are more accurately predicted thanks to the inclusion of a new and widely validated laminar burning velocity correlation. In contrast to other studies, the current experimental database also includes measurements on turbocharged, high compression ratio engines with elevated amounts of EGR, which is representative of future dedicated alcohol engines. CONCLUSIONS - The current work focused on adapting the various submodels of quasi-dimensional engine codes to the properties of light alcohols. The developed simulation tools can be used with confidence to optimize current and future engines running on neat methanol and ethanol. This work also forms the starting point for an extension of the modelling concepts to alcohol-gasoline blends, which hold more industrial relevance

The development of a 16S rRNA gene based PCR for the identification of Streptococcus pneumoniae and comparison with four other species specific PCR assays

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p><it>Streptococcus pneumoniae </it>is one of the most frequently encountered pathogens in humans but its differentiation from closely related but less pathogenic streptococci remains a challenge.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>This report describes a newly-developed PCR assay (Spne-PCR), amplifying a 217 bp product of the 16S rRNA gene of <it>S. pneumoniae</it>, and its performance compared to other genotypic and phenotypic tests.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>The new PCR assay designed in this study, proved to be specific at 57°C for <it>S. pneumoniae</it>, not amplifying <it>S. pseudopneumoniae </it>or any other streptococcal strain or any strains from other upper airway pathogenic species. PCR assays (psaA, LytA, ply, spn9802-PCR) were previously described for the specific amplification of <it>S. pneumoniae</it>, but <it>psaA</it>-PCR was the only one found not to cross-react with <it>S. pseudopneumoniae</it>.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Spne-PCR, developed for this study, and psaA-PCR were the only two assays which did not mis-identify <it>S. pseudopneumoniae </it>as <it>S. pneumoniae</it>. Four other PCR assays and the AccuProbe assay were unable to distinguish between these species.</p