Building Seismic Fragilities Using Response Surface Metamodels

Building fragility describes the likelihood of damage to a building due to random ground motions. Conventional methods for computing building fragilities are either based on statistical extrapolation of detailed analyses on one or two specific buildings or make use of Monte Carlo simulation with these models. However, the Monte Carlo technique usually requires a relatively large number of simulations in order to obtain a sufficiently reliable estimate of the fragilities, and it quickly becomes impractical to simulate the required thousands of dynamic time-history structural analyses for physics-based analytical models. An alternative approach for carrying out the structural simulation is explored in this work. The use of Response Surface Methodology in connection with the Monte Carlo simulations simplifies the process of fragility computation. More specifically, a response surface is sought to predict the structural response calculated from complex dynamic analyses. Computational cost required in a Monte Carlo simulation will be significantly reduced since the simulation is performed on a polynomial response surface function, rather than a complex dynamic model. The methodology is applied to the fragility computation of an unreinforced masonry (URM) building located in the New Madrid Seismic Zone. Different rehabilitation schemes for this structure are proposed and evaluated through fragility curves. Response surface equations for predicting peak drift are generated and used in the Monte Carlo simulation. Resulting fragility curves show that the URM building is less likely to be damaged from future earthquakes when rehabilitation is properly incorporated. The thesis concludes with a discussion of an extension of the methodology to the problem of computing fragilities for a collection of buildings of interest. Previous approaches have considered uncertainties in material properties, but this research incorporates building parameters such as geometry, stiffness, and strength variabilities as well as nonstructural parameters (age, design code) over an aggregation of buildings in the response surface models. Simulation on the response surface yields the likelihood of damage to a group of buildings under various earthquake intensity levels. This aspect is of interest to governmental agencies or building owners who are responsible for planning proper mitigation measures for collections of buildings.Ph.D.Committee Chair: Goodno, Barry; Committee Member: Craig, James; Committee Member: DesRoches, Reginald; Committee Member: Ellingwood, Bruce; Committee Member: White, Donal

Strategies, Practices, and Challenges for Interagency Co-Authorship in an International Science and Development Program

No abstract availabl

Response Modification Applications for Essential Facilities

This study examined the application of passive energy dissipation systems for response modification of essential facilities in the Mid-America region. Essential facilities are defined as buildings that support functions related to post-earthquake emergency response and disaster management. For such buildings simply insuring life safety and preventing collapse are not sufficient, and the buildings must remain operational during or suitable for immediate occupancy after a major earthquake. A regional inventory of essential facilities (MAE Center project SE-1) revealed that unreinforced masonry (URM) is the most common type of construction for essential facilities, and such material is well known to be highly vulnerable to strong earthquakes. As a result, response modification for this type of building, and particularly for low-rise firehouses, was the focus of this study.National Science Foundation EEC-9701785published or submitted for publicatio

Correction: Han et al. Interpolation-Based Fusion of Sentinel-5P, SRTM, and Regulatory-Grade Ground Stations Data for Producing Spatially Continuous Maps of PM2.5 Concentrations Nationwide over Thailand. Atmosphere 2022, 13, 161

In the original publication [...

Interpolation-Based Fusion of Sentinel-5P, SRTM, and Regulatory-Grade Ground Stations Data for Producing Spatially Continuous Maps of PM_2.5 Concentrations Nationwide over Thailand

Atmospheric pollution has recently drawn significant attention due to its proven adverse effects on public health and the environment. This concern has been aggravated specifically in Southeast Asia due to increasing vehicular use, industrial activity, and agricultural burning practices. Consequently, elevated PM2.5 concentrations have become a matter of intervention for national authorities who have addressed the needs of monitoring air pollution by operating ground stations. However, their spatial coverage is limited and the installation and maintenance are costly. Therefore, alternative approaches are necessary at national and regional scales. In the current paper, we investigated interpolation models to fuse PM2.5 measurements from ground stations and satellite data in an attempt to produce spatially continuous maps of PM2.5 nationwide over Thailand. Four approaches are compared, namely the inverse distance weighted (IDW), ordinary kriging (OK), random forest (RF), and random forest combined with OK (RFK) leveraging on the NO2, SO2, CO, HCHO, AI, and O3 products from the Sentinel-5P satellite, regulatory-grade ground PM2.5 measurements, and topographic parameters. The results suggest that RFK is the most robust, especially when the pollution levels are moderate or extreme, achieving an RMSE value of 7.11 μg/m3 and an R2 value of 0.77 during a 10-day long period in February, and an RMSE of 10.77 μg/m3 and R2 and 0.91 during the entire month of March. The proposed approach can be adopted operationally and expanded by leveraging regulatory-grade stations, low-cost sensors, as well as upcoming satellite missions such as the GEMS and the Sentinel-5

Rapid Assessment of Fragilities for Collections of Buildings and Geostructures

This report describes the results of research to develop a way to rapidly assess the fragility of structures and geostructures over a specified region. Structural performance under future earthquakes cannot be predicted with certainty. This is primarily due to the fact that an earthquake is a random phenomenon in nature, but another source of uncertainty comes from the structures themselves. For an individual structure or geostructure, the uncertainty arises largely from material properties and construction methods, but for a collection of structures whose individual characteristics are not known, additional uncertainty arises from macro-level parameters such as structural type, base planform, orientation, as well as vertical and planform irregularities, and the applicable design codes. Since detailed analysis of each structure or geostructure in the collection is impractical, this report addresses the problem by developing a methodology based on the use of computationally efficient metamodels to represent the overall structural behavior of the collection. In particular, response surface metamodels are developed using a Design of Experiments approach to select the most influential parameters. Monte Carlo simulation is carried out using probability distributions for the parameters that are characteristic of the target collection of structures or geostructures, and the fragility of the collection is estimated from the computed responses.National Science Foundation EEC-9701785published or submitted for publicatio

Assessment of Large-Scale Seasonal River Morphological Changes in Ayeyarwady River Using Optical Remote Sensing Data

Monitoring morphologically dynamic rivers over large spatial domains at an adequate frequency is essential for informed river management to protect human life, ecosystems, livelihoods, and critical infrastructures. Leveraging the advancements in cloud-based remote sensing data processing through Google Earth Engine (GEE), a web-based, freely accessible seasonal river morphological monitoring system for Ayeyarwady River, Myanmar was developed through a collaborative process to assess changes in river morphology over time and space. The monitoring system uses Landsat satellite data spanning a 31-year long period (1988–2019) to map river planform changes along 3881.4 km of river length including Upper Ayeyarwady, Lower Ayeyarwady, and Chindwin. It is designed to operate on a seasonal timescale by comparing pre-monsoon and post-monsoon channel conditions to provide timely information on erosion and accretion areas for the stakeholders to support planning and management. The morphological monitoring system was validated with 85 reference points capturing the field conditions in 2019 and was found to be reliable for operational use with an overall accuracy of 89%. The average eroded riverbank area was calculated at around 45, 101, and 134 km2 for Chindwin, Upper Ayeyarwady, and Lower Ayeyarwady, respectively. The historical channel change assessment aided us to identify and categorize river reaches according to the frequency of changes. Six hotspots of riverbank erosion were identified including near Mandalay city, the confluence of Upper Ayeyarwady and Chindwin, near upstream of Magway city, downstream of Magway city, near Pyay city, and upstream of the Ayeyarwady delta. The web-based monitoring system simplifies the application of freely available remote sensing data over the large spatial domain to assess river planform changes to support stakeholders’ operational planning and prioritizing investments for sustainable Ayeyarwady River management

Assessment of Large-Scale Seasonal River Morphological Changes in Ayeyarwady River Using Optical Remote Sensing Data

Monitoring morphologically dynamic rivers over large spatial domains at an adequate frequency is essential for informed river management to protect human life, ecosystems, livelihoods, and critical infrastructures. Leveraging the advancements in cloud-based remote sensing data processing through Google Earth Engine (GEE), a web-based, freely accessible seasonal river morphological monitoring system for Ayeyarwady River, Myanmar was developed through a collaborative process to assess changes in river morphology over time and space. The monitoring system uses Landsat satellite data spanning a 31-year long period (1988–2019) to map river planform changes along 3881.4 km of river length including Upper Ayeyarwady, Lower Ayeyarwady, and Chindwin. It is designed to operate on a seasonal timescale by comparing pre-monsoon and post-monsoon channel conditions to provide timely information on erosion and accretion areas for the stakeholders to support planning and management. The morphological monitoring system was validated with 85 reference points capturing the field conditions in 2019 and was found to be reliable for operational use with an overall accuracy of 89%. The average eroded riverbank area was calculated at around 45, 101, and 134 km2 for Chindwin, Upper Ayeyarwady, and Lower Ayeyarwady, respectively. The historical channel change assessment aided us to identify and categorize river reaches according to the frequency of changes. Six hotspots of riverbank erosion were identified including near Mandalay city, the confluence of Upper Ayeyarwady and Chindwin, near upstream of Magway city, downstream of Magway city, near Pyay city, and upstream of the Ayeyarwady delta. The web-based monitoring system simplifies the application of freely available remote sensing data over the large spatial domain to assess river planform changes to support stakeholders’ operational planning and prioritizing investments for sustainable Ayeyarwady River management