Heliospheric modulation of the interstellar dust flow on to Earth

Aims. Based on measurements by the Ulysses spacecraft and high-resolution modelling of the motion of interstellar dust (ISD) through the heliosphere we predict the ISD flow in the inner planetary system and on to the Earth. This is the third paper in a series of three about the flow and filtering of the ISD. Methods. Micrometer- and sub-micrometer-sized dust particles are subject to solar gravity and radiation pressure as well as to interactions with the interplanetary magnetic field that result in a complex size-dependent flow pattern of ISD in the planetary system. With high-resolution dynamical modelling we study the time-resolved flux and mass distribution of ISD and the requirements for detection of ISD near the Earth. Results. Along the Earth orbit the density, speed, and flow direction of ISD depend strongly on the Earth's position and the size of the interstellar grains. A broad maximum of the ISD flux (2x10^{-4}/m^2/s of particles with radii >~0.3\mu m) occurs in March when the Earth moves against the ISD flow. During this time period the relative speed with respect to the Earth is highest (~60 km/s), whereas in September when the Earth moves with the ISD flow, both the flux and the speed are lowest (<~10 km/s). The mean ISD mass flow on to the Earth is ~100 kg/year with the highest flux of ~3.5kg/day occurring for about 2 weeks close to the end of the year when the Earth passes near the narrow gravitational focus region downstream from the Sun. The phase of the 22-year solar wind cycle has a strong effect on the number density and flow of sub-micrometer-sized ISD particles. During the years of maximum electromagnetic focussing (year 2031 +/- 3) there is a chance that ISD particles with sizes even below 0.1\mu m can reach the Earth. Conclusions. We demonstrate that ISD can be effectively detected, analysed, and collected by space probes at 1 AU distance from the Sun.Comment: 17 pages, 17 figure

Dynamics of the Solar System Meteoroid Population

The purpose of this study is to develop an understanding of the observability of small-scale dynamical Solar System features in meteor orbit radar data, particularly with reference to mean motion resonance effects. Particular focus is placed on the presence of `resonant swarms' in meteoroid streams: the resonant swarm at the 7:2 Jovian mean-motion resonance is used as an example, as it best satisfies radar observability criterion. Furthermore, evidence for this structure exists in visual meteor data. The radar dataset used for this study is that of the Canadian Meteor Orbit Radar (CMOR) as this dataset contains the largest number of meteoroid stream particles. The aim here is to determine whether the Taurid resonant swarm is observable in datasets produced by radars such as CMOR, or what improvements in individual orbital uncertainties are necessary for positive detection to be possible. The observability of the Taurid swarm in radar data depends on the limitations of the radar data (in terms of the individual measurement uncertainties); and on the properties of the resonance itself. Both aspects are investigated in this thesis. A statistical study is first conducted to assess whether evidence for the swarm exists in a dataset containing CMOR Northern and Southern Taurids from the years 2002 to 2007. It is found that the level of variations present is consistent with that expected due to random fluctuations: there is no evidence for a statistically significant resonant feature at the location of the 7:2 Jovian resonance. Additionally, the observability of various sizes of resonant peak for different sizes of dataset and for different levels of measurement uncertainties is investigated by addition of a modelled resonant feature to the data, followed by replacement of individual meteors by Gaussian profiles to simulate the effect of orbital uncertainties. It is clear that the level of broadening resulting from the uncertainties of the CMOR data used will not allow the observation of a resonant peak of the expected size. Detection is expected to be more likely in a `swarm encounter year' (a year in which the geometry between the resonant swarm and Earth is favourable to detection). The velocity uncertainties of a meteor orbit radar (similar to CMOR) need to be improved by a factor of 5 to 10 (relative to the CMOR uncertainties) in order to detect a resonant swarm that is composed of ~30% to ~5% (respectively) of the total number of observed Taurids in a swarm encounter year. An improvement significantly greater than a factor of ~10 is unlikely to result in a significant improvement in the ability to detect the resonant swarm. It is expected that a factor of 10 improvement in radar measurement uncertainties is achievable with the current techniques of radar systems and signal processing. These statistical tests require knowledge of the resonant width of the 7:2 Jovian resonance in semi-major axis, as this provides the size of the resonant feature of interest. Such resonant or libration widths can be determined analytically for orbits with low eccentricities. As Taurid orbits have high eccentricities (e~0.83), a hierarchical N-body integrator is used to examine the dynamics in the region of the 7:2 resonance, and determine a resonant width of (0.047±0.005) AU. To verify this method the standard analytic equations and a semi-analytic method are compared (at low eccentricities) with the numerical resonant width values: the agreement is within 10% for eccentricities below 0.4. It is important to know what proportion of radar Taurids are expected to be resonant in a swarm year in order to evaluate the observability of the swarm in radar data. One important factor that may affect this is the mass distribution of particles in the swarm. This is investigated by ejecting particles in multiple directions from three model comets: the first with a mass and orbit in agreement with those of the current 2P/Encke; the second with 2P/Encke mass and an orbit matching that of the proposed proto-Encke object; and a third with the mass and orbit of proto-Encke. The resulting orbits are examined to determine what proportion will land within the 7:2 resonance, for a range of particle masses and densities. The instantaneous effect of radiation pressure on the orbits of ejected particles is also considered. However, it is difficult to determine accurate capture percentage values due to the uncertainty surrounding cometary ejection mechanisms. Nevertheless, it is found that capture of Taurids into the 7:2 resonance by all comets is possible. Using comparisons between the percentages of visual-sized and radar-sized particles captured, it is determined that in weak swarm years (in which only 20% of visual meteoroids detected are resonant) only 4% to 5% of observed visual Taurids are expected to be resonant. Such a swarm would be on the edge of observability. However, in stronger swarm years (such as 2005), the resonant proportion will exceed that required for detection with a reduction in CMOR measurement uncertainties of a factor of ten

Collisional lifetimes of meteoroids

International audienceCollisions of meteoroids with interplanetary dust grain fragments particles, dispersing larger particles amongst lower mass intervals. Here we use the method of Grün et al. (1985) and the IMEM interplanetary dust model to calculate the collisional lifetimes for different orbits, and for particles in different meteor showers. The timescales are usually long - of order 10^4 years for 1mm grains on Jupiter-family and Hally-type comet orbits. However, near-sun orbits particles suffer more frequent collisions and therefore have much shorter lifetimes. We discuss factors that affect the accuracy of these calculations

Collisional lifetimes of meteoroids

International audienceCollisions of meteoroids with interplanetary dust grain fragments particles, dispersing larger particles amongst lower mass intervals. Here we use the method of Grün et al. (1985) and the IMEM interplanetary dust model to calculate the collisional lifetimes for different orbits, and for particles in different meteor showers. The timescales are usually long - of order 10^4 years for 1mm grains on Jupiter-family and Hally-type comet orbits. However, near-sun orbits particles suffer more frequent collisions and therefore have much shorter lifetimes. We discuss factors that affect the accuracy of these calculations

Collisional lifetimes of meteoroids

International audienceCollisions of meteoroids with interplanetary dust grain fragments particles, dispersing larger particles amongst lower mass intervals. Here we use the method of Grün et al. (1985) and the IMEM interplanetary dust model to calculate the collisional lifetimes for different orbits, and for particles in different meteor showers. The timescales are usually long - of order 10^4 years for 1mm grains on Jupiter-family and Hally-type comet orbits. However, near-sun orbits particles suffer more frequent collisions and therefore have much shorter lifetimes. We discuss factors that affect the accuracy of these calculations

The Interplanetary Meteoroid Environment for eXploration

International audienceThe Interplanetary Meteoroid Environment for eXploration (IMEX) project, funded by the European Space Agency (ESA), aims to characterize dust trails and streams produced by comets in the inner solar system. The goal is to predict meteor showers at any position or time in the solar system, such as at specific spacecraft or planets. This model will allow for the assessment of the dust impact hazard to spacecraft, which is important because hypervelocity impacts of micrometeoroids can damage or destroy spacecraft or their subsystems through physical damage or electromagnetic effects. Such considerations are particularly important in the context of human exploration of the solar system. Additionally, such a model will allow for scientific study of specific trails and their connections to observed dust phenomena, such as cometary trails and new meteor showers at Earth

Update on recent-past and near-future meteor shower outbursts on the Earth and on Mars

International audienceA meteor shower outburst has been predicted on Earth on May 29th 2014 by several authors (Lyytinen and Jenniskens 2006, Ye and Wiegert 2014, Vaubaillon 2014), caused by comet 209P/LINEAR (2004 CB). At the time we are writing this abstract, we are still two months ahead of the event. If observed, the shower will radiate from a point in Camelopardalids. The event is predicted to be observable during the night in North America. The influence of planetary resonances are examined for this particular outburst

Update on recent-past and near-future meteor shower outbursts on Earth and on Mars

International audienceThis work presents a brief reflection on the 2014 Camelopardalids and the Mars encounter with comet C/2013 A1 Siding Spring expected in October 2014. These two events were first thought to display an exceptional amount of meteors and later works showed that it would not be the case, at least in optical wavelength. Observation biases and low activity of the comet can explain those differences, but care must be taken when announcing any future meteor shower and close co-operation with other scientists is needed to strengthen the case

The Interplanetary Meteoroid Environment for eXploration

International audienceThe Interplanetary Meteoroid Environment for eXploration (IMEX) project, funded by the European Space Agency (ESA), aims to characterize dust trails and streams produced by comets in the inner solar system. The goal is to predict meteor showers at any position or time in the solar system, such as at specific spacecraft or planets. This model will allow for the assessment of the dust impact hazard to spacecraft, which is important because hypervelocity impacts of micrometeoroids can damage or destroy spacecraft or their subsystems through physical damage or electromagnetic effects. Such considerations are particularly important in the context of human exploration of the solar system. Additionally, such a model will allow for scientific study of specific trails and their connections to observed dust phenomena, such as cometary trails and new meteor showers at Earth