Atención a las advertencias: se prevén más desplazamientos para Afganistán

Actualmente existen muchas pruebas que apuntan hacia la probabilidad de que se produzca otra ola de desplazamientos en Afganistán. Ignorar estas advertencias y no actuar en consecuencia podría suponer pagar un alto precio en el futuro, tanto a nivel financiero como en términos humanitarios

Realidades urbanas de mujeres y niñas desplazadas

Un creciente número de PDI vive en asentamientos informales en los principales centros urbanos de Afganistán, sin embargo, las formas en las cuales las mujeres y niñas desplazadas son vulnerables en tales asentamientos no son suficientemente entendidas y abordadas

Synergy in Early Warning Conterence: Background

This article has information on the conference Synergy in Early Warning organized recently by the Prevention/ Early Warning Unit in Toronto, Canada. Included are: background on the issues, a brief outline with the abstracts of the papers delivered and the contact addresses of the authors.Cet article fournit des informations sur le colloque Synergie en Alerte Préventive organisé récemment par l'Unité Prévention/Alerte Préventive de Toronto, Canada. Y figurent: l'historique des problèmes, un synopsis du colloque incluant les résumés des communications présentées, et les adresses permettant de contacter les auteurs

Towards the Development of an Early Warning/Response Network

This article outlines a proposal put forth by the Prevention/Early Warning Unit at the Centrefor Refugee Studies, York University. The article describes the problems with early warning and how an early warning network (EWNET) can address these existing difficulties. This EWNET is described as an academic- NGO-policy consortium that over a period of a few years will become self-sufficient through the involvement of business. Utilizing the Internet, EWNET will collect information from all over the world, analyze and disseminate such information. The link to policy makers and the importance of properly communicating alerts are discussed. While a central management team oversees EWNET, there are several units working on administration, sales and research. Furthermore, the research unit is broken down into indicator, communication, response and area study research; the latter being linked to twenty crises area nodes. This structure assures that EWNET will comprise a broad resource network as well as the links necessary for sending uniform early warning signals.Rédigé sous l'égide de l'Unité pour la détection et la prévention des conflits du Centre d'études sur les Réfugies de l'Université York, cet article fait état des principaux problèmes existant en matière d'alerte préventive et propose la création d'un consortium réunissant des experts oeuvrant dans le domine de la recherche et au sein d'organisations non-gouvernementales afin de faire face à ces difficultés. Etabli sur Internet, le Réseau EWNET, destiné à être autonome sur le plan financier d'ici quelques années grâce à l'apport de capitaux privés, doit rassembler, analyser et disséminer des informations en provenance de toutes les parties du monde en matière d'alerte rapide et de prévention des conflits. Structuré autour d'une équipe principale de supervision, EWNET est constitué de plusieurs sous-unités fonctionnelles travaillant sur les aspects de l'administration, du financement et de la recherche d'indicateurs, la communication de l'information, la formulation de réponses aux problèmes rencontré et l'étude de situations régionales dans une vingtaine de régions conflictuelles. Cette structure vise à assurer au réseau une capacité d'action globale tout en lui garantissant la cohésion nécessaire à l'envoi effectif de signaux d'alerte. Les problèmes rencontrés dans la réalisation de cette tâche ainsi que la question des liens à établir et du travail de sensibilisation à effectuer auprès des décideurs politiques sont aussi évoqués

Issues in Quantitative Modelling in the Early Warning of Refugee Migration

This article discusses the problems associated with indicator analysis for the purpose of early warning. While the authors endorse the idea of quantitative EWM, they are sceptical of the understanding that many have of what EW analysis entails. In this article, they identify the limits of quantitative EW analysis and address many of the major problems that confront those who are committed to quantitative EW analysis. In particular, the authors discuss the following issues that need to be addressed when engaging in quantitative early warning analysis: the problem of "late warning;" problems of contextual sensitivity; problems of temporal development; data availability and measurement; and problems with the definition of the appropriate unit of analysis.Cet article traite des problèmes rattachés à l'utilisation d'indicateurs en matière d'alerte préventive. Tout en faisant état de la pertinence de l'élaboration de modèle quantitatifs, les auteurs émettent des doutes à propos des conclusions obtenues à partir de ces analyses. Les limites de ces modèles et les principaux obstacles rencontrés dans la conduite de ces analyses sont identifiés. Les problèmes rattachés à une alerte lancée en retard, au caractère évolutif des situations conflictuelles, à la disponibilité et à l'évaluation de l'information, à la définition et au choix de la méthode d'analyse appropriée ainsi qu'à l'article et à la susceptibilité des parties impliquées sont évoqués de manière particulière

Military Intervention and the Protection of Civilians in Afghanistan

Streaming video requires RealPlayer to view.The University Archives has determined that this item is of continuing value to OSU's history.Susanne Schmeidl is the co-founder and senior advisor (research/peacebuilding) of the Tribal Liaison Office in Afghanistan. She is also a visiting fellow at the Asia-Pacific College of Diplomacy at The Australian National University and non-resident research associate at the Centre for Peace and Conflict Studies of the University of Otago, New Zealand. Schmeidl has worked on Afghanistan since 2000. She managed the swisspeace office in Kabul between 2002 and 2005, supporting civil society development and civilian peacebuilding mainly through the Afghan Civil Society Forum, which she co-founded. Since 2007 she has spent about five months each year in Afghanistan. Her work experience spans the sectors of academia/university, non-governmental organizations, and the United Nations, combining academic analysis and practice in the areas of civilian peace building, early warning, and conflict prevention. She has written more than 40 research publications in the areas of early warning/conflict prevention, civilian peacebuilding/state building, protracted displacement, human security, and gender and civil society. Her most recent publications and research focus on the impact on the private security sector on the local peacebuilding process, a critique of top-down state building and displacement in Afghanistan. Schmeidl received her M.A. and Ph.D. in sociology from The Ohio State University.The Ohio State University. Department of SociologyOhio State University. Mershon Center for International Security StudiesOhio State University. Middle East Studies CenterEvent Web page, streaming video, event photo

International capacity building to achieve SDG6 : insights from longitudinal analysis of five water operator partnerships

In pursuit of the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6, water operator partnerships (WOPs) have grown in popularity. However, the literature supporting their effectiveness is lacking. We conducted mid-term interviews and surveys with five participating utilities in a Viet Nam–Australia WOP, followed by post-programme interviews with two managing associations and 10 utilities. We found that while partnerships initially focused on technical training, the need for broader institutional learning emerged as participants gained experience. Communication and relationship-building were consistently reported as success factors for achieving desired outcomes. Expanding the scope to involve governance and policy organizations, together with funding to collaboratively implement upgrades, could enhance future programmes