8 research outputs found
Rupturas en productos y servicios de unidades de información
Presents the characterization of the so-called Generation K and its location within the various generations that serve libraries in general today. It expresses the challenges and challenges that are opened and possible solutions to them
Rupturas en productos y servicios de unidades de información
Presents the characterization of the so-called Generation K and its location within the various generations that serve libraries in general today. It expresses the challenges and challenges that are opened and possible solutions to them
Sobre Patrimonio
Some heritage concepts are described and some aspects related to their socio-cultural importance are analyzed
Sobre Patrimonio
Some heritage concepts are described and some aspects related to their socio-cultural importance are analyzed
Capacitación del personal de las Bibliotecas del ITESM-Zona Metropolitana de Monterrey en actividades de catalogación : propuesta de elaboración de un manual de autoaprendizaje para empleados de nuevo ingreso
The present work must like objective show the developed process to determine the construction of a self-training manual of the personnel of the new entrance for the cataloguing areas in the Libraries of ITESM, Zona Metropolitana de Monterrey, that at the moment is 7. The importance is demonstrated on the one hand less than of determining the needs of information for that type of personnel, being realized an investigation between personnel entered with 2 years of antiquity in the Libraries above indicated, in the mentioned area. It is used the qualitative method and the described interview (located or of depth) to be able to determine the elements necessary to integrate in a self-training manual. The manual is designed, mediating previous consultations with the own interviewed people, and test with 9 people of the Libraries of the area, but without knowledge of cataloguing (or minimums). Also the Manual in its version for tutor with 3 supervisors tries on and the compilation of the information is realized on the experience for its evaluation. With the experience and information available, as a result of this pilot test one concludes in general terms that the Manual is a tool of effective self-training, that must be fit according to the feedback received by the participants of the test for an effective putting in practice in initial processes of training of Cataloguing in the ITESM-ZMM
Uso e impacto de las tesis realizadas en el ITESM Campus Monterrey: estudio sobre las presentadas en el año 2002
This paper describes the analysis of use of the thesis, in the CIB Campus Monterrey, and the access to paper and digitized versions
Sustento de las tareas escolares: Estudio basado en 164 trabajos
The study of the possible products in academic process is an area of educational knowledge that comes being approached by special interest in the last times. One of them is the measurement of the impact of the investment in bibliographical resources destined to the student population in universities. The present work investigates on the documentation that sustains the students' works of the Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Monterrey. The research was based on the analysis of bibliographical references of 164 works gathered from computers of access to students available in room SIB (in the Library of the Campus), during the school period August-December 2007. The results show that 41% of the analyzed works mention some type of existing bibliographical resource in library. It is possible to detach of this exploratory work the need to increase the percentage obtained by means of the collaboration with the academy
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Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Background
Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternative scenarios assessing disease burden trajectories if selected sets of risk factors were eliminated from current levels by 2050.
Methods
Using forecasts of major drivers of health such as the Socio-demographic Index (SDI; a composite measure of lag-distributed income per capita, mean years of education, and total fertility under 25 years of age) and the full set of risk factor exposures captured by GBD, we provide cause-specific forecasts of mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by age and sex from 2022 to 2050 for 204 countries and territories, 21 GBD regions, seven super-regions, and the world. All analyses were done at the cause-specific level so that only risk factors deemed causal by the GBD comparative risk assessment influenced future trajectories of mortality for each disease. Cause-specific mortality was modelled using mixed-effects models with SDI and time as the main covariates, and the combined impact of causal risk factors as an offset in the model. At the all-cause mortality level, we captured unexplained variation by modelling residuals with an autoregressive integrated moving average model with drift attenuation. These all-cause forecasts constrained the cause-specific forecasts at successively deeper levels of the GBD cause hierarchy using cascading mortality models, thus ensuring a robust estimate of cause-specific mortality. For non-fatal measures (eg, low back pain), incidence and prevalence were forecasted from mixed-effects models with SDI as the main covariate, and YLDs were computed from the resulting prevalence forecasts and average disability weights from GBD. Alternative future scenarios were constructed by replacing appropriate reference trajectories for risk factors with hypothetical trajectories of gradual elimination of risk factor exposure from current levels to 2050. The scenarios were constructed from various sets of risk factors: environmental risks (Safer Environment scenario), risks associated with communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases (CMNNs; Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination scenario), risks associated with major non-communicable diseases (NCDs; Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario), and the combined effects of these three scenarios. Using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways climate scenarios SSP2-4.5 as reference and SSP1-1.9 as an optimistic alternative in the Safer Environment scenario, we accounted for climate change impact on health by using the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change temperature forecasts and published trajectories of ambient air pollution for the same two scenarios. Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy were computed using standard methods. The forecasting framework includes computing the age-sex-specific future population for each location and separately for each scenario. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for each individual future estimate were derived from the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of distributions generated from propagating 500 draws through the multistage computational pipeline.
Findings
In the reference scenario forecast, global and super-regional life expectancy increased from 2022 to 2050, but improvement was at a slower pace than in the three decades preceding the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning in 2020). Gains in future life expectancy were forecasted to be greatest in super-regions with comparatively low life expectancies (such as sub-Saharan Africa) compared with super-regions with higher life expectancies (such as the high-income super-region), leading to a trend towards convergence in life expectancy across locations between now and 2050. At the super-region level, forecasted healthy life expectancy patterns were similar to those of life expectancies. Forecasts for the reference scenario found that health will improve in the coming decades, with all-cause age-standardised DALY rates decreasing in every GBD super-region. The total DALY burden measured in counts, however, will increase in every super-region, largely a function of population ageing and growth. We also forecasted that both DALY counts and age-standardised DALY rates will continue to shift from CMNNs to NCDs, with the most pronounced shifts occurring in sub-Saharan Africa (60·1% [95% UI 56·8–63·1] of DALYs were from CMNNs in 2022 compared with 35·8% [31·0–45·0] in 2050) and south Asia (31·7% [29·2–34·1] to 15·5% [13·7–17·5]). This shift is reflected in the leading global causes of DALYs, with the top four causes in 2050 being ischaemic heart disease, stroke, diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, compared with 2022, with ischaemic heart disease, neonatal disorders, stroke, and lower respiratory infections at the top. The global proportion of DALYs due to YLDs likewise increased from 33·8% (27·4–40·3) to 41·1% (33·9–48·1) from 2022 to 2050, demonstrating an important shift in overall disease burden towards morbidity and away from premature death. The largest shift of this kind was forecasted for sub-Saharan Africa, from 20·1% (15·6–25·3) of DALYs due to YLDs in 2022 to 35·6% (26·5–43·0) in 2050. In the assessment of alternative future scenarios, the combined effects of the scenarios (Safer Environment, Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination, and Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenarios) demonstrated an important decrease in the global burden of DALYs in 2050 of 15·4% (13·5–17·5) compared with the reference scenario, with decreases across super-regions ranging from 10·4% (9·7–11·3) in the high-income super-region to 23·9% (20·7–27·3) in north Africa and the Middle East. The Safer Environment scenario had its largest decrease in sub-Saharan Africa (5·2% [3·5–6·8]), the Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario in north Africa and the Middle East (23·2% [20·2–26·5]), and the Improved Nutrition and Vaccination scenario in sub-Saharan Africa (2·0% [–0·6 to 3·6]).
Interpretation
Globally, life expectancy and age-standardised disease burden were forecasted to improve between 2022 and 2050, with the majority of the burden continuing to shift from CMNNs to NCDs. That said, continued progress on reducing the CMNN disease burden will be dependent on maintaining investment in and policy emphasis on CMNN disease prevention and treatment. Mostly due to growth and ageing of populations, the number of deaths and DALYs due to all causes combined will generally increase. By constructing alternative future scenarios wherein certain risk exposures are eliminated by 2050, we have shown that opportunities exist to substantially improve health outcomes in the future through concerted efforts to prevent exposure to well established risk factors and to expand access to key health interventions