Proceedings of the Conference on Human and Economic Resources

Climate change is one of the main challenges in agro-meteorological researches. In recent years, high temperature and moisture stresses caused a reduction in crop yield at some regions of Iran. In present study the climate change of Moghan plain located at the north-west of Iran was investigated using the meteorological data from 1986 to 2000. Results showed that annual total precipitation and average temperature were as 258.9 mm and 14.99 °C, respectively. The minimum and maximum temperatures were occurred in January and July and high variation was for February. From year to year, the minimum, mean and maximum temperature varied slightly. Total precipitation was increasing in months of a year. The high variation belonged to October with trend slope of 2.95 and indicating an increasing about 3 mm to the annually total precipitation. The maximum and minimum of precipitation occurred for autumn and spring seasons and were as 81.83 and 40.59 mm, respectively.climate change, Moghan plain, Iran

A Bayesian real-time electric vehicle charging strategy for mitigating renewable energy fluctuations

A novel pricing and scheduling mechanism is proposed here for Plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) charging/discharging to track and synchronize with a renewable power generation pattern. Moreover, the proposed mechanism can be used in the demand-side management and ancillary service applications, respectively for the peak shaving and frequency regulation responding. We design a fully distributed stochastic optimization mechanism using Bayesian pure strategic repeated game by which the PEVs optimally schedule their demands. We also use a mixed Bayesian-diffusion Kalman filtering strategy for the customers to collaboratively estimate and track the stochastic price and regulation signals for the upcoming scheduling window. In the proposed paper all the characteristics of the PEVs, as well as the uncertainty about their deriving patterns are considered. As our framework converges to an equilibrium even with incomplete information, is agent-based, and the agents share the information only with their optional neighbors, it is scale-free, robust, and secure

A robust scalable demand-side management based on diffusion-ADMM strategy for smart grid

Demand-side management (DSM) involves a group of programs, initiatives, and technologies designed to encourage consumers to modify their level and pattern of electricity usage. This is performed following methods such as financial incentives and behavioral change through education. While the objective of the DSM is to achieve a balance between energy production and demand, effective and efficient implementation of the program rests within effective use of emerging Internet of things (IoT) concept for online interactions. Here, a novel DSM framework based on diffusion and alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) strategies, repeated under a model predictive control (MPC) protocol, is proposed. On the demand side, the customers autonomously and by cooperation with their immediate neighbors estimate the baseline price in real time. Based on the estimated price signal, the customers schedule their energy consumption using the ADMM cost-sharing strategy to minimize their incommodity level. On the supply side, the utility company determines the price parameters based on the customers real-time behavior to make a profit and prevent the infrastructure overload. The proposed mechanism is capable of tracking drifts in the optimal solution resulting from the changes in supply/demand sides. Moreover, it considers all classes of appliances by formulating the DSM problem as a mixed-integer programming (MIP) problem. Numerical examples are provided to show the effectiveness of the proposed framework

Responding to physical and psychological health impacts of disasters: Case study of the Iranian disaster rehabilitation plan Agir en réponse aux conséquences physiques et psychologiques des catastrophes naturelles: �tude de cas du plan de relèvement post-catastrophe en Iran

This paper describes the process of developing a national pre-disaster plan for physical health and psychological rehabilitation of disaster-stricken communities. Data gathered from a literature review and expert panel discussions informed the process of drawing up unified definitions of physical and psychological health rehabilitation, carrying out stakeholder and STEEP-V analyses, and assigning the responsible organization and the collaborative organizations for each task. The Ministry of Health and the Welfare Organization were selected as the two responsible organizations. Integrated management at all levels, and sharing information, education and funding, were identified as ways to improve stakeholders� participation and collaboration. A system is needed for evaluating the implementation of the disaster rehabilitation plan, using valid and reliable indicators. © 2016, World Health Organization. All rights reserved

Experimental Investigation of Leakage Flow Rate and Fluidisation beneath Polyethylene Pipes in Non-Uniform Soils

This is the final version. Available on open access from MDPI via the DOI in this recordData Availability Statement: Some or all of the data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.Soil fluidisation around buried pipes is one of the water leakage effects that has a direct influence on the ultimate failure of pipelines. In this research, using a laboratory model, the fluidisation caused by water leakage from three cracks with three lengths (14, 17, and 20 mm) and a 3 mm diameter hole for five pressures (1.5–5.5 bar) in non-uniform soils has been evaluated. The experiments were carried out both for pipes buried in soil, as well as exposed pipes. In the buried pipe tests, leakage flow rate, fluidisation, and mobile bed zone dimensions were investigated. The results showed that the increase in leakage flow rate due to an increase in pressure and crack length in exposed pipes is higher than in buried pipes. The exponent of the leakage–pressure relationship was obtained between 0.40 and 0.47 for the hole and between 0.8 and 1.9 in the crack. Observing different development patterns for fluidisation and mobile bed zones in cracks and holes, new relationships are presented for the height, width, and cross-sectional area of the leakage zones

Non-integrability of the mixmaster universe

We comment on an analysis by Contopoulos et al. which demonstrates that the governing six-dimensional Einstein equations for the mixmaster space-time metric pass the ARS or reduced Painlev\'{e} test. We note that this is the case irrespective of the value, $I$, of the generating Hamiltonian which is a constant of motion. For $I < 0$ we find numerous closed orbits with two unstable eigenvalues strongly indicating that there cannot exist two additional first integrals apart from the Hamiltonian and thus that the system, at least for this case, is very likely not integrable. In addition, we present numerical evidence that the average Lyapunov exponent nevertheless vanishes. The model is thus a very interesting example of a Hamiltonian dynamical system, which is likely non-integrable yet passes the reduced Painlev\'{e} test.Comment: 11 pages LaTeX in J.Phys.A style (ioplppt.sty) + 6 PostScript figures compressed and uuencoded with uufiles. Revised version to appear in J Phys.

Kovalevski exponents and integrability properties in class A homogeneous cosmological models

Qualitative approach to homogeneous anisotropic Bianchi class A models in terms of dynamical systems reveals a hierarchy of invariant manifolds. By calculating the Kovalevski Exponents according to Adler - van Moerbecke method we discuss how algebraic integrability property is distributed in this class of models. In particular we find that algebraic nonintegrability of vacuum Bianchi VII_0 model is inherited by more general Bianchi VIII and Bianchi IX vacuum types. Matter terms (cosmological constant, dust and radiation) in the Einstein equations typically generate irrational or complex Kovalevski exponents in class A homogeneous models thus introducing an element of nonintegrability even though the respective vacuum models are integrable.Comment: arxiv version is already officia

Unusual Presentation of a Rare Tumor of the Dorsal Surface of the Foot

Calcifying aponeurotic fibroma (CAF) was originally described by Keasbey in 1953 as juvenile aponeurotic fibroma, most commonly occurring in the palms of the hands and soles of the feet in children and adolescents. It usually presents as a firm, painless mass without preceding trauma. We report a case of this rare condition with an unusual presentation in a 60-year-old woman affecting the dorsal surface of the foot. It is a relatively benign condition with a good prognosis following complete surgical excision. It may have a slightly increased incidence in males. The accurate diagnosis is based only on histology but it is essential to differentiate it from other sinister lesions such as fibrosarcoma that may lead to amputation