Synoptic scale climatic forcing of multispecies fish recruitment patterns in Chesapeake Bay

Five fishery independent data sets were used to investigate multispecies fish recruitment patterns in Chesapeake Bay (1966--1997). Despite differences in sampling gear, sampled habitat, collection methods, and sampling sites, the strongest multispecies recruitment patterns within each data set (revealed by separate principal components analyses) depict a negative relationship between recruitment of spring spawning anadromous fishes and fall-winter continental shelf spawning species. This pattern dominates both low and high frequency components of the multispecies data. Because these two species groups utilize freshwater and oligohaline reaches of the Bay and its tributaries as springtime nursery areas, this Chesapeake Bay Anadromous-Shelf Spawner (CBASS) recruitment pattern was compared to spring climatic variability in the Mid Atlantic region. Using principal components analysis, cluster analysis, and a gridded sea level pressure (SLP) data set, an objective circulation classification technique identified ten synoptic-scale SLP patterns responsible for spring (Mar--May) weather conditions and interannual seasonal climate variability. Classification and regression tree modeling, ordinary least squares, and least trimmed squares regression were used to compare covariability between the CBASS recruitment pattern and the thirty (3 months x 10 patterns) monthly frequency pressure pattern time series. March frequencies of two regional pressure patterns, the Azores-Bermuda and Ohio Valley high pressure systems, were found to account for a large portion of the CBASS pattern\u27s variability. Spring conditions in March, brought on by an early appearance of the Azores-Bermuda High, favor recruitment of shelf spawners while prolonged winter conditions, brought on by a relative dominance of the Ohio Valley high, favor anadromous spawning success. These observations are supported by an analysis of March temperature and precipitation anomaly patterns for the continental U.S. Analyses of hydro-climatic, species specific zooplankton density, and juvenile fish abundance variables for three Bay tributaries demonstrate that the timing of the winter--spring transition differentially influences nursery area habitat suitability in a pattern consistent with the climate-CBASS recruitment relationships described in this study. The climate-recruitment relationships described in this study represent a multivariate variant of Cushing\u27s Match-Mismatch hypothesis

Ultra-Low Amplitude Cepheids in the Large Magellanic Cloud

The MACHO variables of LMC Field 77 that lie in the vicinity of the Cepheid instability strip are reexamined. Among the 144 variables that we identify as Cepheids we find 14 that have Fourier amplitudes <0.05 mag in the MACHO red band, of which 7 have an amplitude <0.006 mag : we dub the latter group of stars ultra-low amplitude (ULA) Cepheids. The variability of these objects is verified by a comparison of the MACHO red with the MACHO blue lightcurves and with those of the corresponding OGLE LMC stars. The occurrence of ULA Cepheids is in agreement with theory. We have also discovered 2 low amplitude variables whose periods are about a factor of 5--6 smaller than those of F Cepheids of equal apparent magnitude. We suggest that these objects are Cepheids undergoing pulsations in a surface mode and that they belong to a novel class of Strange Cepheids (or Surface Mode Cepheids) whose existence was predicted by Buchler et al. (1997).Comment: 4 pages, 5 figures, slightly revised, to appear in ApJ Letter

Strange Cepheids and RR Lyrae

Strange modes can occur in radiative classical Cepheids and RR Lyrae models. These are vibrational modes that are trapped near the surface as a result of a 'potential barrier' caused by the sharp hydrogen partial ionization region. Typically the modal number of the strange mode falls between the 7th and 12th overtone, depending on the astrophysical parameters of the equilibrium stellar models (L, M, \Teff, X, Z). Interestingly these modes can be linearly unstable outside the usual instability strip, in which case they should be observable as new kinds of variable stars, 'strange Cepheids' or 'strange RR Lyrae' stars. The present paper reexamines the linear stability properties of the strange modes by taking into account the effects of an isothermal atmosphere, and of turbulent convection. It is found that the linear vibrational instability of the strange modes is resistant to both of these effects. Nonlinear hydrodynamic calculations indicate that the pulsation amplitude of these modes is likely to saturate at the millimagnitude level. These modes should therefore be detectable albeit not without effort.Comment: 6 pages, 7 figures, submitted to Ap

Running up the Bid: Modeling Seller Opportunism in Internet Auctions

Although the Internet is great for transferring information, transactions in Internet auctions have a greater information asymmetry than corresponding transactions in traditional environments because current auction market mechanisms allow the seller to remain anonymous and to easily change identities. Buyers must rely on the seller\u27s description of a product and ability to deliver the product as promised. Internet auction environments make opportunistic behavior more attractive to sellers because the chance of detection and punishment is decreased. In this research, we examine auction data to see the effect of opportunism in the online auction environment

Distributed Colony-Level Algorithm Switching for Robot Swarm Foraging

Swarm robotics utilizes a large number of simple robots to accomplish a task, instead of a single complex robot. Communications constraints often force these systems to be distributed and leaderless, placing restrictions on the types of algorithms which can be executed by the swarm. The performance of a swarm algorithm is affected by the environment in which the swarm operates. Different environments may call for different algorithms to be chosen, but often no single robot has enough information to make this decision. In this paper, we focus on foraging as a multi-robot task and present two distributed foraging algorithms, each of which performs best for different food locations. We then present a third adaptive algorithm in which the swarm as a whole is able to choose the best algorithm for the given situation by combining individual-level and distributed colony-level algorithm switching. We show that this adaptive method combines the bene ts of the other methods, and yields the best overall performance.Engineering and Applied Science

Modulations in Multi-Periodic Blue Variables in the LMC

As shown by Mennickent, et al(2003), a subset of the blue variable stars in the Large Magellanic Cloud exhibit brightness variability of small amplitude in the period range 2.4 to 16 days as well as larger amplitude variability with periods of 140 to 600 days, with a remarkably tight relation between the long and the short periods. Our re-examination of these objects has led to the discovery of additional variability. The Fourier spectra of 11 of their 30 objects have 3 or 4 peaks above the noise level and a linear relation of the form f_a = 2(f_b - f_L) among three of the frequencies. An explanation of this relation requires an interplay between the binary motion and that of a third object. The two frequency relations together with the Fourier amplitude ratios pose a challenging modeling problem.Comment: 4 pages, 3 figures, Astrophysical Journal (in press

Sediment dispersal and redistributive processes in axial and transverse deep-time source-to-sink systems of marine rift basins: Dampier Sub-basin, Northwest Shelf, Australia

Morphological scaling relationships between source‐to‐sink segments have been widely explored in modern settings, however, deep‐time systems remain difficult to assess due to limited preservation of drainage basins and difficulty in quantifying complex processes that impact sediment dispersals. Integration of core, well‐logs and 3‐D seismic data across the Dampier Sub‐basin, Northwest Shelf of Australia, enables a complete deep‐time source‐to‐sink study from the footwall (Rankin Platform) catchment to the hanging wall (Kendrew Trough) depositional systems in a Jurassic late syn‐rift succession. Hydrological analysis identifies 24 drainage basins on the J50.0 (Tithonian) erosional surface, which are delimited into six drainage domains confined by NNE‐SSW trending grabens and their horsts, with drainage domain areas ranging between 29 and 156 km2. Drainage outlets of these drainage domains are well preserved along the Rankin Fault System scarp, with cross‐sectional areas ranging from 0.08 to 0.31 km2. Corresponding to the six drainage domains, sedimentological and geomorphological analysis identifies six transverse submarine fan complexes developing in the Kendrew Trough, ranging in areas from 43 to 193 km2. Seismic geomorphological analysis reveals over 90‐km‐long, slightly sinuous axial turbidity channels, developing in the lower topography of the Kendrew Trough which erodes toe parts of transverse submarine fan complexes. Positive scaling relationships exist between drainage outlet spacing and drainage basin length, and drainage outlet cross‐sectional area and drainage basin area, which indicates the geometry of drainage outlets can provide important constraints on source area dimensions in deep‐time source‐to‐sink studies. The broadly negative bias of fan area to drainage basin area ratios indicates net sediment losses in submarine fan complexes caused by axial turbidity current erosion. Source‐to‐sink sediment balance studies must be done with full evaluating of adjacent source‐to‐sink systems to delineate fans and their associated up‐dip drainages, to achieve an accurate tectonic and sedimentologic picture of deep‐time basins.publishedVersio