Tourism demand forecasting using a novel high-precision fuzzy time series model

[[abstract]]Fuzzy time series model has been developed to either improve forecasting accuracy or reduce computation time, whereas a residul analysis in order to improve its forecasting performance is still lack of consideration. In this paper, we propose a novel Fourier method to revise the analysis of residual terms, and then we illustrate it to forecast the Japanese tourists visiting in Taiwan per year. The forecasting results show that our proposed method can derive the best forecasting performance as well as the smallest forecasting error of MAPE in the training sets; in the testing sets, the proposed model is also better to fit the future trend than some forecasting models.[[incitationindex]]EI[[booktype]]電子版[[booktype]]紙

Relaxation of classical many-body hamiltonians in one dimension

The relaxation of Fourier modes of hamiltonian chains close to equilibrium is studied in the framework of a simple mode-coupling theory. Explicit estimates of the dependence of relevant time scales on the energy density (or temperature) and on the wavenumber of the initial excitation are given. They are in agreement with previous numerical findings on the approach to equilibrium and turn out to be also useful in the qualitative interpretation of them. The theory is compared with molecular dynamics results in the case of the quartic Fermi-Pasta-Ulam potential.Comment: 9 pag. 6 figs. To appear in Phys.Rev.

Multidimensional Facets of Perceived Risk in Mobile Travel Booking

Despite the growing prevalence of smartphones in daily life and travel context, travellers still perceive an extent of risk associated with using their smartphone to book travel products. In order to alleviate or reduce perceived risk, it is important to better understand the dimensions of and the factors that contribute to perceived risk. This study analysed 411 responses from an online panel to examine perceived risk in mobile travel booking and identified the following facets: time risk, financial risk, performance risk, privacy/security risk, psychological risk, physical risk, and device risk. Several antecedents of perceived risk were identified. Perceived collection of personal information via smartphones contributes positively, while consumer innovativeness, trust, and visibility contribute negatively to perceived risk. Further, the predictive validity of perceived risk is confirmed as it significantly explains perceived usefulness, attitude, and behavioural intention in mobile travel booking. Implications to manage perceived risk and its antecedents are provided

Initial Experience with Radical Prostatectomy Following Holmium Laser Enucleation of the Prostate

BACKGROUND: Although an increasing number of prostate cancer (PCa) patients received holmium laser enucleation of the prostate (HoLEP) previously for benign prostatic obstruction (BPO), there is still no evidence regarding the outcomes of radical prostatectomy (RP) in this setting. OBJECTIVE: To assess functional and oncological results of RP in PCa patients who received HoLEP for BPO previously in a contemporary multi-institutional cohort. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 95 patients who underwent RP between 2011 and 2019 and had a history of HoLEP were identified in two institutions. Functional as well as oncological follow-up was prospectively assessed and retrospectively analyzed. INTERVENTION: RP following HoLEP compared with RP without previous transurethral surgery. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Patients with complete follow-up data were matched with individuals with no history of BPO surgery using propensity score matching. Complications were assessed using the Clavien-Dindo scale. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: The median follow-up was 50.5 mo. We found no significant impact of previous HoLEP on positive surgical margin rate (14.0% [HoLEP] vs 18.8% [no HoLEP], p =  0.06) and biochemical recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.32-1.70, p =  0.4). Patients with a history of HoLEP had increased 1-yr urinary incontinence rates after RP. After adjusting for confounders, no significant impact of previous HoLEP was found (odds ratio [OR] 0.87, 95% CI 0.74-1.01; p = 0.07). Previous HoLEP did not hamper 1-yr erectile function recovery (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.05-1.43; p =  0.01). Limitations include retrospective design and small sample size. CONCLUSIONS: RP after previous HoLEP is surgically feasible, with low complication rates and no negative impact on biochemical recurrence-free survival. However, in a multivariable analysis, we observed significantly worse 1-yr continence rates in patients after previous HoLEP. PATIENT SUMMARY: In the current study, we assessed the oncological and functional outcomes of radical prostatectomy in patients who underwent holmium laser enucleation of the prostate (HoLEP) previously due to prostatic bladder outlet obstruction. A history of HoLEP did not hamper oncological results, 1-yr continence, and erectile function recovery

Digitally Continuous Multivalued Functions, Morphological Operations and Thinning Algorithms

In a recent paper (Escribano et al. in Discrete Geometry for Computer Imagery 2008. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 4992, pp. 81–92, 2008) we have introduced a notion of continuity in digital spaces which extends the usual notion of digital continuity. Our approach, which uses multivalued functions, provides a better framework to define topological notions, like retractions, in a far more realistic way than by using just single-valued digitally continuous functions. In this work we develop properties of this family of continuous functions, now concentrating on morphological operations and thinning algorithms. We show that our notion of continuity provides a suitable framework for the basic operations in mathematical morphology: erosion, dilation, closing, and opening. On the other hand, concerning thinning algorithms, we give conditions under which the existence of a retraction F:X⟶X∖D guarantees that D is deletable. The converse is not true, in general, although it is in certain particular important cases which are at the basis of many thinning algorithms

Human MLL/KMT2A gene exhibits a second breakpoint cluster region for recurrent MLL–USP2 fusions

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, CNPq: PQ-2017#305529/2017-0Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, DFG: MA 1876/12-1Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung: 88881.136091/2017-01RVO-VFN64165, 26/203.214/20172018.070.1Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro, AIRC: IG2015, 17593Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior, CAPESCancer Australia: PdCCRS1128727CancerfondenBarncancerfondenVetenskapsrÃ¥det, VRCrafoordska StiftelsenKnut och Alice Wallenbergs StiftelseLund University Medical Faculty FoundationXiamen University, XMU2014S0617-74-30019C7838/A15733Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung, SNSF: 31003A_140913CNIBInstitut National Du Cancer, INCaR01 NCI CA167824National Institutes of Health, NIH: S10OD0185222016/2017, 02R/2016AU 525/1-1Deutschen Konsortium für Translationale Krebsforschung, DKTK70112951Smithsonian Institution, SIIsrael Science Foundation, ISFAustrian Science Fund, FWF: W1212SFB-F06107, SFB-F06105Acknowledgements BAL received a fellowship provided by CAPES and the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation (#88881.136091/2017-01). ME is supported by CNPq (PQ-2017#305529/2017-0) and FAPERJ-JCNE (#26/203.214/2017) research scholarships, and ZZ by grant RVO-VFN64165. GC is supported by the AIRC Investigator grant IG2015 grant no. 17593 and RS by Cancer Australia grant PdCCRS1128727. This work was supported by grants to RM from the “Georg und Franziska Speyer’sche Hochsschulstiftung”, the “Wilhelm Sander foundation” (grant 2018.070.1) and DFG grant MA 1876/12-1.Acknowledgements This work was supported by The Swedish Childhood Cancer Foundation, The Swedish Cancer Society, The Swedish Research Council, The Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, BioCARE, The Crafoord Foundation, The Per-Eric and Ulla Schyberg Foundation, The Nilsson-Ehle Donations, The Wiberg Foundation, and Governmental Funding of Clinical Research within the National Health Service. Work performed at the Center for Translational Genomics, Lund University has been funded by Medical Faculty Lund University, Region Skåne and Science for Life Laboratory, Sweden.Acknowledgements This work was supported by the Fujian Provincial Natural Science Foundation 2016S016 China and Putian city Natural Science Foundation 2014S06(2), Fujian Province, China. Alexey Ste-panov and Alexander Gabibov were supported by Russian Scientific Foundation project No. 17-74-30019. Jinqi Huang was supported by a doctoral fellowship from Xiamen University, China.Acknowledgments This work was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation (grant 31003A_140913; OH) and the Cancer Research UK Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre Network, Cardiff ECMCI, grant C7838/A15733. We thank N. Carpino for the Sts-1/2 double-KO mice.Acknowledgements This work was supported by the French National Cancer Institute (INCA) and the Fondation Française pour la Recherche contre le Myélome et les Gammapathies (FFMRG), the Intergroupe Francophone du Myélome (IFM), NCI R01 NCI CA167824 and a generous donation from Matthew Bell. This work was supported in part through the computational resources and staff expertise provided by Scientific Computing at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. Research reported in this paper was supported by the Office of Research Infrastructure of the National Institutes of Health under award number S10OD018522. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health. The authors thank the Association des Malades du Myélome Multiple (AF3M) for their continued support and participation. Where authors are identified as personnel of the International Agency for Research on Cancer / World Health Organization, the authors alone are responsible for the views expressed in this article and they do not necessarily represent the decisions, policy or views of the International Agency for Research on Cancer / World Health Organization.We are indebted to all members of our groups for useful discussions and for their critical reading of the manuscript. Special thanks go to Silke Furlan, Friederike Opitz and Bianca Killing. F.A. is supported by the Deutsche For-schungsgemeinschaft (DFG, AU 525/1-1). J.H. has been supported by the German Children’s Cancer Foundation (Translational Oncology Program 70112951), the German Carreras Foundation (DJCLS 02R/2016), Kinderkrebsstiftung (2016/2017) and ERA PerMed GEPARD. Support by Israel Science Foundation, ERA-NET and Science Ministry (SI). A. B. is supported by the German Consortium of Translational Cancer Research, DKTK. We are grateful to the Jülich Supercomputing Centre at the Forschungszemtrum Jülich for granting computing time on the supercomputer JURECA (NIC project ID HKF7) and to the “Zentrum für Informations-und Medientechnologie” (ZIM) at the Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf for providing computational support to H. G. The study was performed in the framework of COST action CA16223 “LEGEND”.Funding The work was supported by the Austrian Science Fund FWF grant SFB-F06105 to RM and SFB-F06107 to VS and FWF grant W1212 to VS