A simple rule to determine which insolation cycles lead to interglacials

The pacing of glacial–interglacial cycles during the Quaternary period (the past 2.6 million years) is attributed to astronomically driven changes in high-latitude insolation. However, it has not been clear how astronomical forcing translates into the observed sequence of interglacials. Here we show that before one million years ago interglacials occurred when the energy related to summer insolation exceeded a simple threshold, about every 41,000 years. Over the past one million years, fewer of these insolation peaks resulted in deglaciation (that is, more insolation peaks were ‘skipped’), implying that the energy threshold for deglaciation had risen, which led to longer glacials. However, as a glacial lengthens, the energy needed for deglaciation decreases. A statistical model that combines these observations correctly predicts every complete deglaciation of the past million years and shows that the sequence of interglacials that has occurred is one of a small set of possibilities. The model accounts for the dominance of obliquity-paced glacial–interglacial cycles early in the Quaternary and for the change in their frequency about one million years ago. We propose that the appearance of larger ice sheets over the past million years was a consequence of an increase in the deglaciation threshold and in the number of skipped insolation peaks.P.C.T. acknowledges funding from a Leverhulme Trust Research Project Grant (RPG-2014-417). M.C. and T.M. acknowledge support from the Belgian Policy Office under contract BR/121/A2/STOCHCLIM. E.W.W. is funded under a Royal Society Research Professorship and M.C. is a senior research scientist with the Belgian National Fund of Scientific Research

ENSO-like forcing on oceanic primary production during the Late Pleistocene

International audienceLate Pleistocene changes in oceanic primary productivity along the equator in the Indian and Pacific oceans are revealed by quantitative changes in nanoplankton communities preserved in nine deep-sea cores. We show that variations in equatorial productivity are primarily caused by glacial-interglacial variability and by precession-controlled changes in the east-west thermodine slope of the Indo-Pacific. The precession-controlled variations in productivity are linked to processes similar to the Southern Oscillation phenomenon, and they precede changes in the oxygen isotopic ratio, which indicates that they are not the result of ice sheet fluctuations. The 30,000-year spectral peak in the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean productivity records is also present in the Antarctica atmospheric CO2 record, suggesting an important rote for equatorial biological productivity in modifying atmospheric CO2

Extraction of high-resolution carbonate data for palaeoclimate reconstruction

TEMPORAL variations in the calcium carbonate content of deepsea sediments provide direct stratigraphic as well as important palaeoenvironmental information relating to the global carbon cycle. Here I present an algorithm that allows carbonate content and porosity to be accurately predicted from saturated bulk density in equatorial pelagic carbonates. Applying the algorithm to continuous laboratory measurements of density made on DSDP and OOP cores yields a nearly continuous carbonate record for the upper ˜200 m of the sediment section. Long, ultra-high-resolution carbonate curves of this type should yield new insight into the evolution of the carbon chemistry of the oceans, as well as the role of external (Milankovitch) forcing in the development of the carbonate system. The algorithm can also be applied to quantitative, high-resolution seismic data, thereby enabling detailed carbonate records to be extracted from remotely derived geophysical data

A Direct Link Between The China Loess And Marine Delta-o-18 Records - Aeolian Flux To The North Pacific

Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/62988/1/340296a0.pd

On the Structure and Origin of Major Glaciation Cycles .2. the 100,000-year Cycle

Climate over the past million years has been dominated by glaciation cycles with periods near 23,000, 41,000, and 100,000 years. In a linear version of the Milankovitch theory, the two shorter cycles can be explained as responses to insolation cycles driven by precession and obliquity. But the 100,000-year radiation cycle (arising from eccentricity variation) is much too small in amplitude and too late in phase to produce the corresponding climate cycle by direct forcing. We present phase observations showing that the geographic progression of local responses over the 100,000-year cycle is similar to the progression in the other two cycles, implying that a similar set of internal climatic mechanisms operates in all three. But the phase sequence in the 100,000-year cycle requires a source of climatic inertia having a time constant (similar to 15,000 years) much larger than the other cycles (similar to 5,000 years). Our conceptual model identifies massive northern hemisphere ice sheets as this larger inertial source. When these ice sheets, forced by precession and obliquity, exceed a critical size, they cease responding as linear Milankovitch slaves and drive atmospheric and oceanic responses that mimic the externally forced responses. In our model, the coupled system acts as a nonlinear amplifier that is particularly sensitive to eccentricity-driven modulations in the 23,000-year sea level cycle. During an interval when sea level is forced upward from a major low stand by a Milankovitch response acting either alone or in combination with an internally driven, higher-frequency process, ice sheets grounded on continental shelves become unstable, mass wasting accelerates, and the resulting deglaciation sets the phase of one wave in the train of 100,000-year oscillations. Whether a glacier or ice sheet influences the climate depends very much on the scale....The interesting aspect is that an effect on the local climate can still make an ice mass grow larger and larger, thereby gradually increasing its radius of influence