Breast cancer therapy for BRCA1 carriers: moving towards platinum standard?

Recently Byrski et al. reported the first-ever breast cancer (BC) study, which specifically selected BRCA1-carriers for the neoadjuvant treatment and used monotherapy by cisplatin instead of conventional schemes. Although the TNM staging of the recruited patients was apparently more favorable than in most of published neoadjuvant trials, the results of Byrski et al. clearly outperform any historical data. Indeed, 9 of 10 BRCA1-associated BC demonstrated complete pathological response to the cisplatin treatment, i.e. these women have good chances to be ultimately cured from the cancer disease. High sensitivity of BRCA1-related tumors to platinating agents has been discussed for years, but it took almost a decade to translate convincing laboratory findings into first clinical observations. With increasing stratification of tumor disease entities for molecular subtypes and rapidly growing armamentarium of cancer drugs, it is getting technically and ethically impossible to subject all promising treatment options to the large randomized prospective clinical trials. Therefore, alternative approaches for initial drugs evaluation are highly required, and one of the choices is to extract maximum benefit from already available collections of biological material and medical charts. For example, many thousands of BC patients around the world have already been subjected to second- or third-line therapy with platinum agents, but the association between BRCA status and response to the treatment has not been systematically evaluated in these women. While potential biases of retrospective studies are widely acknowledged, it is frequently ignored that the use of archival collections may provide preliminary answers for long-standing questions within days instead of years. However, even elegantly-designed, small-sized, hypothesis-generating retrospective studies may require multicenter efforts and somewhat cumbersome logistics, that may explain the surprising lack of historical data on the platinum-based treatment of BC in BRCA1 carriers

Statistical Inference for Valued-Edge Networks: Generalized Exponential Random Graph Models

Across the sciences, the statistical analysis of networks is central to the production of knowledge on relational phenomena. Because of their ability to model the structural generation of networks, exponential random graph models are a ubiquitous means of analysis. However, they are limited by an inability to model networks with valued edges. We solve this problem by introducing a class of generalized exponential random graph models capable of modeling networks whose edges are valued, thus greatly expanding the scope of networks applied researchers can subject to statistical analysis

Risk-Targeted Selection of Agricultural Holdings for Post-Epidemic Surveillance: Estimation of Efficiency Gains

Current post-epidemic sero-surveillance uses random selection of animal holdings. A better strategy may be to estimate the benefits gained by sampling each farm and use this to target selection. In this study we estimate the probability of undiscovered infection for sheep farms in Devon after the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak using the combination of a previously published model of daily infection risk and a simple model of probability of discovery of infection during the outbreak. This allows comparison of the system sensitivity (ability to detect infection in the area) of arbitrary, random sampling compared to risk-targeted selection across a full range of sampling budgets. We show that it is possible to achieve 95% system sensitivity by sampling, on average, 945 farms with random sampling and 184 farms with risk-targeted sampling. We also examine the effect of ordering samples by risk to expedite return to a disease-free status. Risk ordering the sampling process results in detection of positive farms, if present, 15.6 days sooner than with randomly ordered sampling, assuming 50 farms are tested per day

A minimum estimate for the incidence of gastric cancer in Eastern Kenya

We documented available information concerning incident cases of gastric cancer in part of Kenya's Eastern Province between 1991 and 1993. By reviewing the records of all major health facilities in the area, 200 cases of gastric carcinoma were found giving an annual average crude incidence rate of 7.01 per 100 000 males and 3.7 for females (world age-standardised rates, 14.3 for males and 7.1 for females). There is likely to be underascertainment of cases especially among those aged over 65 years. Previous incidence estimates for the same area of Kenya were reviewed and a 10-fold increase in the recorded indirectly standardised incidence rate between the periods 1965–70 and 1991–93 was noted but this may be due to improved diagnostic facilities. The recent rates in this part of Kenya are comparable to Eastern European rates and similar to those recorded in other highland regions of Africa. © 2001 Cancer Research Campaig

Electronic states and phases of KxC60 from photoemission and X-ray absorption spectroscopy

HIGH-resolution photoemission and soft X-ray absorption spectroscopies have provided valuable information on the electronic structure near the Fermi energy in the superconducting copper oxide compounds 1-4, helping to constrain the possible mechanisms of superconductivity. Here we describe the application of these techniques to K(x)C60, found recently to be superconducting below 19.3 K for x almost-equal-to 3 (refs 5-7). The photoemission and absorption spectra as a function of x can be fitted by a linear combination of data from just three phases, C60, K3C60, and K6C60, indicating that there is phase separation in our samples. The photoemission spectra clearly show a well defined Fermi edge in the K3C60 phase with a density of states of 5.2 x 10(-3) electrons eV-1 angstrom-3 and an occupied-band width of 1.2 eV, suggesting that this phase may be a weakly coupled BCS-like (conventional) superconductor. The C1s absorption spectra show large non-rigid-band shifts between the three phases with half and complete filling, in the K3C60 and K6C60 phases respectively, of the conduction band formed from the lowest unoccupied molecular orbital of C60. These observations clearly demonstrate that the conduction band has C 2p character. The non-rigid-band shift coupled with the anomalous occupied-band width implies that there is significant mixing of the electronic states of K and C60 in the superconducting phase

Automatic mapping of atoms across both simple and complex chemical reactions

Mapping atoms across chemical reactions is important for substructure searches, automatic extraction of reaction rules, identification of metabolic pathways, and more. Unfortunately, the existing mapping algorithms can deal adequately only with relatively simple reactions but not those in which expert chemists would benefit from computer's help. Here we report how a combination of algorithmics and expert chemical knowledge significantly improves the performance of atom mapping, allowing the machine to deal with even the most mechanistically complex chemical and biochemical transformations. The key feature of our approach is the use of few but judiciously chosen reaction templates that are used to generate plausible "intermediate" atom assignments which then guide a graph-theoretical algorithm towards the chemically correct isomorphic mappings. The algorithm performs significantly better than the available state-of-the-art reaction mappers, suggesting its uses in database curation, mechanism assignments, and - above all - machine extraction of reaction rules underlying modern synthesis-planning programs

Comparison of Bayesian and frequentist approaches in modelling risk of preterm birth near the Sydney Tar Ponds, Nova Scotia, Canada

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>This study compares the Bayesian and frequentist (non-Bayesian) approaches in the modelling of the association between the risk of preterm birth and maternal proximity to hazardous waste and pollution from the Sydney Tar Pond site in Nova Scotia, Canada.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>The data includes 1604 observed cases of preterm birth out of a total population of 17559 at risk of preterm birth from 144 enumeration districts in the Cape Breton Regional Municipality. Other covariates include the distance from the Tar Pond; the rate of unemployment to population; the proportion of persons who are separated, divorced or widowed; the proportion of persons who have no high school diploma; the proportion of persons living alone; the proportion of single parent families and average income. Bayesian hierarchical Poisson regression, quasi-likelihood Poisson regression and weighted linear regression models were fitted to the data.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>The results of the analyses were compared together with their limitations.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>The results of the weighted linear regression and the quasi-likelihood Poisson regression agrees with the result from the Bayesian hierarchical modelling which incorporates the spatial effects.</p

Reconciliation of halogen-induced ozone loss with the total-column ozone record

The observed depletion of the ozone layer from the 1980s onwards is attributed to halogen source gases emitted by human activities. However, the precision of this attribution is complicated by year-to-year variations in meteorology, that is, dynamical variability, and by changes in tropospheric ozone concentrations. As such, key aspects of the total-column ozone record, which combines changes in both tropospheric and stratospheric ozone, remain unexplained, such as the apparent absence of a decline in total-column ozone levels before 1980, and of any long-term decline in total-column ozone levels in the tropics. Here we use a chemistry–climate model to estimate changes in halogen-induced ozone loss between 1960 and 2010; the model is constrained by observed meteorology to remove the effects of dynamical variability, and driven by emissions of tropospheric ozone precursors to separate out changes in tropospheric ozone. We show that halogen-induced ozone loss closely followed stratospheric halogen loading over the studied period. Pronounced enhancements in ozone loss were apparent in both hemispheres following the volcanic eruptions of El Chichon and, in particular, Mount Pinatubo, which significantly enhanced stratospheric aerosol loads. We further show that approximately 40% of the long-term non-volcanic ozone loss occurred before 1980, and that long-term ozone loss also occurred in the tropical stratosphere. Finally, we show that halogen-induced ozone loss has declined by over 10% since stratospheric halogen loading peaked in the late 1990s, indicating that the recovery of the ozone layer is well underway