Analysis of a spatial Lotka-Volterra model with a finite range predator-prey interaction

We perform an analysis of a recent spatial version of the classical Lotka-Volterra model, where a finite scale controls individuals' interaction. We study the behavior of the predator-prey dynamics in physical spaces higher than one, showing how spatial patterns can emerge for some values of the interaction range and of the diffusion parameter.Comment: 7 pages, 7 figure

Variation in care in the management of children with Crohn's disease: Data from a multicenter inception cohort study

Background: Variation in care is common in medical practice. Reducing variation in care is shown to improve quality and increase favorable outcomes in chronic diseases. We sought to identify factors associated with variation in care in children with newly diagnosed Crohn's disease (CD). Methods: Prospectively collected data from a 28-site multicenter inception CD cohort were analyzed for variations in diagnostic modalities, treatment, and follow-up monitoring practices, along with complicated disease outcomes over 3 years in 1046 children. Generalized linear mixed effects models were used to investigate the intercenter variations in each outcome variable. Results: The mean age at diagnosis was 12 years, and 25.9% were nonwhite. The number of participants ranged from 5 to 112 per site. No variation existed in the initial diagnostic approach. When medication exposure was analyzed, steroid exposure varied from 28.6% to 96.9% (P 0.99). Use of immunomodulators (IMs) varied among centers both within 90 days (P < 0.01) and during 3 years of follow-up (P < 0.01). A significant variation was seen at the geographic level with follow-up small bowel imaging and colonoscopy surveillance after initial therapy. Conclusions: Intercenter variation in care was seen with the initial use of steroids and anti-TNF, but there was no difference in total 3-year exposure to these drugs. Variation in the initiation and long-term use of IMs was significant among sites, but further research with objective measures is needed to explain this variation of care. Small bowel imaging or repeat colonoscopy in CD patients was not uniformly performed across sites. As our data show the widespread existence of variation in care and disease monitoring at geographic levels among pediatric CD patients, future implementation of various practice strategies may help reduce the variation in care

RICORS2040 : The need for collaborative research in chronic kidney disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a silent and poorly known killer. The current concept of CKD is relatively young and uptake by the public, physicians and health authorities is not widespread. Physicians still confuse CKD with chronic kidney insufficiency or failure. For the wider public and health authorities, CKD evokes kidney replacement therapy (KRT). In Spain, the prevalence of KRT is 0.13%. Thus health authorities may consider CKD a non-issue: very few persons eventually need KRT and, for those in whom kidneys fail, the problem is 'solved' by dialysis or kidney transplantation. However, KRT is the tip of the iceberg in the burden of CKD. The main burden of CKD is accelerated ageing and premature death. The cut-off points for kidney function and kidney damage indexes that define CKD also mark an increased risk for all-cause premature death. CKD is the most prevalent risk factor for lethal coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and the factor that most increases the risk of death in COVID-19, after old age. Men and women undergoing KRT still have an annual mortality that is 10- to 100-fold higher than similar-age peers, and life expectancy is shortened by ~40 years for young persons on dialysis and by 15 years for young persons with a functioning kidney graft. CKD is expected to become the fifth greatest global cause of death by 2040 and the second greatest cause of death in Spain before the end of the century, a time when one in four Spaniards will have CKD. However, by 2022, CKD will become the only top-15 global predicted cause of death that is not supported by a dedicated well-funded Centres for Biomedical Research (CIBER) network structure in Spain. Realizing the underestimation of the CKD burden of disease by health authorities, the Decade of the Kidney initiative for 2020-2030 was launched by the American Association of Kidney Patients and the European Kidney Health Alliance. Leading Spanish kidney researchers grouped in the kidney collaborative research network Red de Investigación Renal have now applied for the Redes de Investigación Cooperativa Orientadas a Resultados en Salud (RICORS) call for collaborative research in Spain with the support of the Spanish Society of Nephrology, Federación Nacional de Asociaciones para la Lucha Contra las Enfermedades del Riñón and ONT: RICORS2040 aims to prevent the dire predictions for the global 2040 burden of CKD from becoming true

Factors associated with early outcomes following standardised therapy in children with ulcerative colitis (PROTECT): a multicentre inception cohort study

Background Previous retrospective studies of paediatric ulcerative colitis have had limited ability to describe disease progression and identify predictors of treatment response. In this study, we aimed to identify characteristics associated with outcomes following standardised therapy after initial diagnosis. Methods The PROTECT multicentre inception cohort study was based at 29 centres in the USA and Canada and included paediatric patients aged 4?17 years who were newly diagnosed with ulcerative colitis. Guided by the Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis Activity Index (PUCAI), patients received initial standardised treatment with mesalazine (PUCAI 10?30) oral corticosteroids (PUCAI 35?60), or intravenous corticosteroids (PUCAI ò65). The key outcomes for this analysis were week 12 corticosteroid-free remission, defined as PUCAI less than 10 and taking only mesalazine, and treatment escalation during the 12 study weeks to anti-tumour necrosis factor à (TNFà) agents, immunomodulators, or colectomy among those initially treated with intravenous corticosteroids. We identified independent predictors of outcome through multivariable logistic regression using a per-protocol approach. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01536535. Findings Patients were recruited between July 10, 2012, and April 21, 2015. 428 children initiated mesalazine (n=136), oral corticosteroids (n=144), or intravenous corticosteroids (n=148). Initial mean PUCAI was 31ú1 (SD 13ú3) in children initiating with mesalazine, 50ú4 (13ú8) in those initiating oral corticosteroids, and 66ú9 (13ú7) in those initiating intravenous corticosteroids (p<0ú0001 for between-group comparison). Week 12 outcome data were available for 132 patients who initiated with mesalazine, 141 with oral corticosteroids, and 143 with intravenous corticosteroids. Corticosteroid-free remission with the patient receiving mesalazine treatment only at 12 weeks was achieved by 64 (48%) patients in the mesalazine group, 47 (33%) in the oral corticosteroid group, and 30 (21%) in the intravenous corticosteroid group (p<0ú0001). Treatment escalation was required by nine (7%) patients in the mesalazine group, 21 (15%) in the oral corticosteroid group, and 52 (36%) in the intravenous corticosteroid group (p<0ú0001). Eight patients, all of whom were initially treated with intravenous corticosteroids, underwent colectomy. Predictors of week 12 corticosteroid-free remission were baseline PUCAI less than 35 (odds ratio 2ú44, 95% CI 1ú41?4ú22; p=0ú0015), higher baseline albumin by 1 g/dL increments among children younger than 12 years (4ú05, 1ú90?8ú64; p=0ú00030), and week 4 remission (6ú26, 3ú79?10ú35; p<0ú0001). Predictors of treatment escalation by week 12 in patients initially treated with intravenous corticosteroids included baseline total Mayo score of 11 or higher (2ú59, 0ú93?7ú21; p=0ú068 [retained in model due to clinical relevance]), rectal biopsy eosinophil count less than or equal to 32 cells per high power field (4ú55, 1ú62?12ú78; p=0ú0040), rectal biopsy surface villiform changes (3ú05, 1ú09?8ú56; p=0ú034), and not achieving week 4 remission (30ú28, 6ú36?144ú20; p<0ú0001). Interpretation Our findings provide guidelines to assess the response of children newly diagnosed with ulcerative colitis to standardised initial therapy and identify predictors of treatment response and failure. These data suggest that additional therapeutic interventions might be warranted to improve early outcomes, especially in patients presenting with severe disease and requiring intravenous corticosteroids. Funding National Institutes of Health

Clinical and biological predictors of response to standardised paediatric colitis therapy (PROTECT): a multicentre inception cohort study

Background: Lack of evidence-based outcomes data leads to uncertainty in developing treatment regimens in children who are newly diagnosed with ulcerative colitis. We hypothesised that pretreatment clinical, transcriptomic, and microbial factors predict disease course. Methods: In this inception cohort study, we recruited paediatric patients aged 4?17 years with newly diagnosed ulcerative colitis from 29 centres in the USA and Canada. Patients initially received standardised mesalazine or corticosteroids, with pre-established criteria for escalation to immunomodulators (ie, thiopurines) or anti-tumor necrosis factor-à (TNFà) therapy. We used RNA sequencing to define rectal gene expression before treatment, and 16S sequencing to characterise rectal and faecal microbiota. The primary outcome was week 52 corticosteroid-free remission with no therapy beyond mesalazine. We assessed factors associated with the primary outcome using logistic regression models of the per-protocol population. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01536535. Findings: Between July 10, 2012, and April 21, 2015, of 467 patients recruited, 428 started medical therapy, of whom 400 (93%) were evaluable at 52 weeks and 386 (90%) completed the study period with no protocol violations. 150 (38%) of 400 participants achieved week 52 corticosteroid-free remission, of whom 147 (98%) were taking mesalazine and three (2%) were taking no medication. 74 (19%) of 400 were escalated to immunomodulators alone, 123 (31%) anti-TNFà therapy, and 25 (6%) colectomy. Low baseline clinical severity, high baseline haemoglobin, and week 4 clinical remission were associated with achieving week 52 corticosteroid-free remission (n=386, logistic model area under the curve [AUC] 0ú70, 95% CI 0ú65?0ú75; specificity 77%, 95% CI 71?82). Baseline severity and remission by week 4 were validated in an independent cohort of 274 paediatric patients with newly diagnosed ulcerative colitis. After adjusting for clinical predictors, an antimicrobial peptide gene signature (odds ratio [OR] 0ú57, 95% CI 0ú39?0ú81; p=0ú002) and abundance of Ruminococcaceae (OR 1ú43, 1ú02?2ú00; p=0ú04), and Sutterella (OR 0ú81, 0ú65?1ú00; p=0ú05) were independently associated with week 52 corticosteroid-free remission. Interpretation: Our findings support the utility of initial clinical activity and treatment response by 4 weeks to predict week 52 corticosteroid-free remission with mesalazine alone in children who are newly diagnosed with ulcerative colitis. The development of personalised clinical and biological signatures holds the promise of informing ulcerative colitis therapeutic decisions. Funding: US National Institutes of Health

A novel architecture enabling the visual implementation of Web of Things applications

The concept of Internet of Things is becoming one of the key aspects for the future Internet, where embedded devices will be responsible for collecting data from the surrounding environment and making them available to useful mash-up applications. In order to guarantee a high feasibility of this scenario, it would be appropriate to have a flexible and intuitive architecture for the implementation of such applications without knowing specific details about the constrained hardware and operating system. Therefore, in this work, a software system for the graphical development of mash-up applications, dedicated to Wireless Sensor Networks, was designed and implemented. It is based on a Constrained Application Protocol application server, called Actinium, and on a graphical editor, called ClickScript. Especially the latter one has been substantially modified in order to communicate with Actinium and to interact with the constrained resources made available by the WSN. The effectiveness of the proposed solution has been tested through a real use case that has demonstrated the validity of the whole system

Analysis of mode distribution for PMMA Whispering gallery mode resonators

Polimetilmetakrilāta (PMMA) čukstošo galeriju modu (ČGM) mikro sfēru rezonatori ir komerciāli pieejami ar tipiskajiem labuma (Q) faktoriem 10^3-10^4. Izmantojot attēlu apstrādes tehniku ar augstu izšķirtspēju (1.9µm/px), ir iespējams monitorēt absorbcijas spektru. Šajā darbā tika izstrādāta jauna veida attēlu apstrādes metode priekš ČGM mikro rezonatoriem, lai analizētu intensitātes sadalījumu atsevišķos (40-70µm) PMMA ČGM mikro rezonatoru reģionos mainot ārējos fizikālos apstākļus. Intensitātes izmaiņas var tikt izmantotas lai raksturotu augstāku kārtu modu mijiedarbību un integrētu sensoru sistēmā.Poly methyl methacrylate acrylic (PMMA) whispering gallery mode (WGM) micro sphere resonators are commercially available with typical optical quality factor of 10^3-10^4. Using image processing techniques, with (1.9µm/px) high resolution, the absorption spectrum could be monitored. In the present work a new type of image processing for WGM micro-resonators was developed, to analyze intensity distribution in separate regions for PMMA WGM micro-resonators (40-70 µm) by changing the external physical properties such as temperature and wavelength. The intensity changes can be used as a representation of higher order spacial mode groups and integrated into optical sensors

Компьютерное моделирование электрических потерь в многоабонентских сетях напряжением 0,4 кВ

Диссертация на соискание академической степени магистра технических наук по специальности 1-40 80 04 «Математическое моделирование, численные методы и комплексы программ». Научный руководитель : к.т.н., доцент Токочаков В.И