Tracking coverage, dropout and multidimensional equity gaps in immunisation systems in West Africa, 2000-2017.

BACKGROUND: Several West African countries are unlikely to achieve the recommended Global Vaccine Action Plan (GVAP) immunisation coverage and dropout targets in a landscape beset with entrenched intra-country equity gaps in immunisation. Our aim was to assess and compare the immunisation coverage, dropout and equity gaps across 15 West African countries between 2000 and 2017. METHODS: We compared Bacille Calmette Guerin (BCG) and the third dose of diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP3) containing vaccine coverage between 2000 and 2017 using the WHO and Unicef Estimates of National Immunisation Coverage for 15 West African countries. Estimated subregional median and weighted average coverages, and dropout (DTP1-DTP3) were tracked against the GVAP targets of ≥90% coverage (BCG and DTP3), and ≤10% dropouts. Equity gaps in immunisation were assessed using the latest disaggregated national health survey immunisation data. RESULTS: The weighted average subregional BCG coverage was 60.7% in 2000, peaked at 83.2% in 2009 and was 65.7% in 2017. The weighted average DTP3 coverage was 42.3% in 2000, peaked at 70.3% in 2009 and was 61.5% in 2017. As of 2017, 46.7% of countries (7/15) had met the GVAP targets on DTP3 coverage. Average weighted subregional immunisation dropouts consistently reduced from 16.4% in 2000 to 7.4% in 2017, meeting the GVAP target in 2008. In most countries, inequalities in BCG, and DTP3 coverage and dropouts were mainly related to equity gaps of more than 20% points between the wealthiest and the poorest, high coverage regions and low coverage regions, and between children of mothers with at least secondary education and those with no formal education. A child's sex and place of residence (urban or rural) minimally determined equity gaps. CONCLUSIONS: The West African subregion made progress between 2000 and 2017 in ensuring that its children utilised immunisation services, however, wide equity gaps persist

COVID-19 vaccination implementation in 52 African countries: trajectory and implications for future pandemic preparedness.

INTRODUCTION: To end the COVID-19 pandemic, the WHO set a goal in 2021 to fully vaccinate 70% of the global population by mid-2022. We projected the COVID-19 vaccination trajectory in 52 African countries and compared the projected to the 'actual' or 'observed' coverage as of December 2022. We also estimated the required vaccination speed needed to have attained the WHO 70% coverage target by December 2022. METHODS: We obtained publicly available, country-reported daily COVID-19 vaccination data, covering the initial 9 months following the deployment of vaccines. We used a deterministic compartmental Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-type model and fit the model to the number of COVID-19 cases and vaccination coverage in each African country using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach within a Bayesian framework. FINDINGS: Only nine of the 52 African countries (Tunisia, Cabo Verde, Lesotho, Mozambique, Rwanda, Seychelles, Morocco, Botswana and Mauritius) were on track to achieve full COVID-19 vaccination coverage rates ranging from 72% to 97% by the end of December 2022, based on their progress after 9 months of vaccine deployment. Of the 52 countries, 26 (50%) achieved 'actual' or 'observed' vaccination coverage rates within ±10 percentage points of their projected vaccination coverage. Among the countries projected to achieve <30% by December 2022, nine of them (Chad, Niger, Nigeria, South Sudan, Tanzania, Somalia, Zambia, Sierra Leone and Côte d'Ivoire) achieved a higher observed coverage than the projected coverage, ranging from 12.3 percentage points in South Sudan to 35.7 percentage points above the projected coverage in Tanzania. Among the 52 countries, 83% (43 out of 52) needed to at least double their vaccination trajectory after 9 months of deployment to reach the 70% target by December 2022. CONCLUSION: Our findings can guide countries in planning strategies for future global health emergencies and learning from each other, especially those that exceeded expectations and made significant progress towards the WHO's 2022 COVID-19 vaccination target despite projected poor coverage rates

A scorecard of progress towards measles elimination in 15 west African countries, 2001-19: a retrospective, multicountry analysis of national immunisation coverage and surveillance data.

BACKGROUND: The WHO Regional Office for the Africa Regional Immunization Technical Advisory Group, in 2011, adopted the measles control and elimination goals for all countries of the African region to achieve in 2015 and 2020 respectively. Our aim was to track the current status of progress towards measles control and elimination milestones across 15 west African countries between 2001 and 2019. METHODS: We did a retrospective multicountry series analysis of national immunisation coverage and case surveillance data from Jan 1, 2001, to Dec 31, 2019. Our analysis focused on the 15 west African countries that constitute the Economic Community of West African States. We tracked progress in the coverage of measles-containing vaccines (MCVs), measles supplementary immunisation activities, and measles incidence rates. We developed a country-level measles summary scorecard using eight indicators to track progress towards measles elimination as of the end of 2019. The summary indicators were tracked against measles control and elimination milestones. FINDINGS: The weighted average regional first-dose MCV coverage in 2019 was 66% compared with 45% in 2001. 73% (11 of 15) of the west African countries had introduced second-dose MCV as of December, 2019. An estimated 4 588 040 children (aged 12-23 months) did not receive first-dose MCV in 2019, the majority (71%) of whom lived in Nigeria. Based on the scorecard, 12 (80%) countries are off-track to achieving measles elimination milestones; however, Cape Verde, The Gambia, and Ghana have made substantial progress. INTERPRETATION: Measles will continue to be endemic in west Africa after 2020. The regional measles incidence rate in 2019 was 33 times the 2020 elimination target of less than 1 case per million population. However, some hope exists as countries can look at the efforts made by Cape Verde, The Gambia, and Ghana and learn from them. FUNDING: None

Diagnosis of malaria in children's outpatient departments in Abuja, Nigeria.

Over-diagnosis of malaria has previously been described, especially in East Africa. Abuja is the capital of the most populous country in Africa. Over-prescription of artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT) antimalarials in Nigeria on the scale reported from other countries will result in substantial unnecessary use of this class of drug. In a study of 1000 children seen in the outpatient paediatric clinics of four district hospitals in Abuja, 669 had history of fever, of whom 616 (92%) were diagnosed with malaria. Only 24 (3.8%) where confirmed by positive malaria slides. Of 82 malaria tests requested, 32 (40%) were not available when clinicians wrote their prescriptions. Of 256 children prescribed an ACT, 11 (4.4%) were test negative, eight (3.1%) test positive, in 11 (4.3%) the test was not available and the test was not requested for 219 (86%). The proportion of available negative slides for patients treated with an antimalarial was 23/26 (88%), which was similar to the 22/24 (91%) treated with an antimalarial who were test positive. Testing for malaria made almost no impact on ACT prescription or on all other antimalarials and antibiotics. Based on these findings there is high possibility of massive over prescription of antimalarials

COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy amongst healthcare workers: An assessment of its magnitude and determinants during the initial phase of national vaccine deployment in Nigeria.

Background: While vaccination plays a critical role in the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic, vaccine rollout remains suboptimal in Nigeria and other Low- and Middle-income countries (LMICs). This study documents the level of hesitancy among health workers (HWs) during the initial COVID-19 vaccine deployment phase in Nigeria and assesses the magnitude and determinants of hesitancy across Nigeria. Methods: A cross sectional study across all States in Nigeria was conducted with over 10,000 HWs interviewed between March and April 2021. Data were cleaned and analyzed with proportions and confidence intervals of hesitancy documented and stratification by HW category. We compared the level of confidence/acceptance to be vaccinated across Nigeria and documented the sources of negative information amongst HWs who refused the vaccine. Findings: Among the 10 184 HWs interviewed, 9 369 [92% (95% CI= 91, 92)] were confident of the COVID-19 vaccines and were already vaccinated at the time of this survey. Compared to HWs who were less than 20 years old, those aged 50 - 59 years were significantly more confident of the COVID-19 vaccines and had been vaccinated (OR=3.8, 95% CI=2.3 - 6.4, p<0.001). Only 858 (8%) of the HWs interviewed reported being hesitant with 57% (479/858) having received negative information, with the commonest source of information from social media (43.4%.). Interpretation: A vast majority of HWs who were offered COVID-19 vaccines as part of the first phase of national vaccine roll out were vaccinated and reported being confident of the COVID-19 vaccines. The reported hesitancy was due mainly to safety issues, and negative information about vaccines from social media. The issues identified remain a significant risk to the success of subsequent phases of the vaccine rollout in Nigeria. Funding: None

Data from: Attitude and subjective well being of non-compliant mothers to childhood oral polio vaccine supplemental immunization in Northern Nigeria

Introduction: Attitude and subjective well-being are important factors in mothers accepting or rejecting Oral Polio Vaccine (OPV) supplemental immunization. The purpose of the study was to determine the role of mothers’ attitude and subjective wellbeing on non-compliance to OPV supplemental immunization in Northern Nigeria. Methods: The study utilized a cross-sectional design to assess attitude and subjective well-being of mothers using previously validated VACSATC (Vaccine Safety, Attitudes, Training and Communication-10 items) & SUBI (Subjective Well-being Inventory-40 items) measures. A total of 396 participants (equal number of non-compliant and compliant mothers) from 94 non-compliant settlements were interviewed, after informed consent. T-test was run to assess difference in mean scores between the non-compliant and compliant mothers on VACSATC and SUBI measures. Results: The research showed a significant difference in mean scores between the non-compliant and compliant groups on VACSATC measure of mothers’ attitude (M=18.9 non-compliant, compared to 26.5 compliant; p 0.05). Conclusion: The research has shown that negative attitude is more commonly present in non-compliant mothers and may be a factor in vaccine refusal in Northern Nigeria

Data from: Attitude and subjective well being of non-compliant mothers to childhood oral polio vaccine supplemental immunization in Northern Nigeria

Introduction: Attitude and subjective well-being are important factors in mothers accepting or rejecting Oral Polio Vaccine (OPV) supplemental immunization. The purpose of the study was to determine the role of mothers’ attitude and subjective wellbeing on non-compliance to OPV supplemental immunization in Northern Nigeria. Methods: The study utilized a cross-sectional design to assess attitude and subjective well-being of mothers using previously validated VACSATC (Vaccine Safety, Attitudes, Training and Communication-10 items) & SUBI (Subjective Well-being Inventory-40 items) measures. A total of 396 participants (equal number of non-compliant and compliant mothers) from 94 non-compliant settlements were interviewed, after informed consent. T-test was run to assess difference in mean scores between the non-compliant and compliant mothers on VACSATC and SUBI measures. Results: The research showed a significant difference in mean scores between the non-compliant and compliant groups on VACSATC measure of mothers’ attitude (M=18.9 non-compliant, compared to 26.5 compliant; p 0.05). Conclusion: The research has shown that negative attitude is more commonly present in non-compliant mothers and may be a factor in vaccine refusal in Northern Nigeria

Routine immunization community surveys as a tool for guiding program implementation in Kaduna state, Nigeria 2015–2016

Abstract Background Routine childhood immunization remains an important strategy for achieving polio eradication and maintaining a polio-free world. To address gaps in reported administrative coverage data, community surveys were conducted to verify coverage, and guide strategic interventions for improved coverage. Methods We reviewed the conduct of community surveys by World Health Organization (WHO) field volunteers deployed as part of the surge capacity to Kaduna state and the use of survey results between July 2015 and June 2016. Monthly and quarterly collation and use of these data to guide the deployment of various interventions aimed at strengthening routine immunization in the state. Results Over 97,000 children aged 0–11 months were surveyed by 138 field volunteers across 237 of the 255 wards in Kaduna state. Fully or appropriately immunized children increased from 67% in the fourth quarter of 2015 to 76% by the end of the second quarter of 2016. Within the period reviewed, the number of local government areas with < 80% coverage reduced from eight to zero. Conclusions The routine conduct of community surveys by volunteers to inform interventions has shown an improvement in the vaccination status of children 0–11 months in Kaduna state and remains a useful tool in addressing administrative data quality issues

COVID-19 vaccination implementation in 52 African countries: trajectory and implications for future pandemic preparedness

Introduction To end the COVID-19 pandemic, the WHO set a goal in 2021 to fully vaccinate 70% of the global population by mid-2022. We projected the COVID-19 vaccination trajectory in 52 African countries and compared the projected to the ‘actual’ or ‘observed’ coverage as of December 2022. We also estimated the required vaccination speed needed to have attained the WHO 70% coverage target by December 2022.Methods We obtained publicly available, country-reported daily COVID-19 vaccination data, covering the initial 9 months following the deployment of vaccines. We used a deterministic compartmental Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-type model and fit the model to the number of COVID-19 cases and vaccination coverage in each African country using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach within a Bayesian framework.Findings Only nine of the 52 African countries (Tunisia, Cabo Verde, Lesotho, Mozambique, Rwanda, Seychelles, Morocco, Botswana and Mauritius) were on track to achieve full COVID-19 vaccination coverage rates ranging from 72% to 97% by the end of December 2022, based on their progress after 9 months of vaccine deployment. Of the 52 countries, 26 (50%) achieved ‘actual’ or ‘observed’ vaccination coverage rates within ±10 percentage points of their projected vaccination coverage. Among the countries projected to achieve &lt;30% by December 2022, nine of them (Chad, Niger, Nigeria, South Sudan, Tanzania, Somalia, Zambia, Sierra Leone and Côte d’Ivoire) achieved a higher observed coverage than the projected coverage, ranging from 12.3 percentage points in South Sudan to 35.7 percentage points above the projected coverage in Tanzania. Among the 52 countries, 83% (43 out of 52) needed to at least double their vaccination trajectory after 9 months of deployment to reach the 70% target by December 2022.Conclusion Our findings can guide countries in planning strategies for future global health emergencies and learning from each other, especially those that exceeded expectations and made significant progress towards the WHO’s 2022 COVID-19 vaccination target despite projected poor coverage rates

Polio Research_1

Primary data of the research stored in SPSS version 2