Analysis of error propagation in particle filters with approximation

This paper examines the impact of approximation steps that become necessary when particle filters are implemented on resource-constrained platforms. We consider particle filters that perform intermittent approximation, either by subsampling the particles or by generating a parametric approximation. For such algorithms, we derive time-uniform bounds on the weak-sense $L_p$ error and present associated exponential inequalities. We motivate the theoretical analysis by considering the leader node particle filter and present numerical experiments exploring its performance and the relationship to the error bounds.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/11-AAP760 the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Efficient delay-tolerant particle filtering

This paper proposes a novel framework for delay-tolerant particle filtering that is computationally efficient and has limited memory requirements. Within this framework the informativeness of a delayed (out-of-sequence) measurement (OOSM) is estimated using a lightweight procedure and uninformative measurements are immediately discarded. The framework requires the identification of a threshold that separates informative from uninformative; this threshold selection task is formulated as a constrained optimization problem, where the goal is to minimize tracking error whilst controlling the computational requirements. We develop an algorithm that provides an approximate solution for the optimization problem. Simulation experiments provide an example where the proposed framework processes less than 40% of all OOSMs with only a small reduction in tracking accuracy

A robust design methodology suitable for application to one-off products

Robust design is an activity of fundamental importance when designing large, complex, one-off engineering products. Work is described which is concerned with the application of the theory of design of experiments and stochastic optimization methods to explore and optimize at the concept design stage. The discussion begins with a description of state-of-the-art stochastic techniques and their application to robust design. The content then focuses on a generic methodology which is capable of manipulating design algorithms that can be used to describe a design concept. An example is presented, demonstrating the use of the system for the robust design of a catamaran with respect to seakeeping

The Venus ionosphere in the northern polar region

PLASLIFE is a computer simulation which assists in the interpretation of high latitude ionospheric observations and, in this study, is applied to the polar regions of Venus. The Venus Express spacecraft samples the high latitude ionosphere in the northern hemisphere of the planet. On 4 August 2008 it was inserted into a new orbit with pericentre located below 200 km close to 86° N. The ASPERA-4 instrument on the spacecraft records the first extended in situ data set of the plasma environment in this sector. The observed ionospheric ion and electron populations exhibit significant variation between orbits and, by compensating for the effects of solar zenith angle and altitude, the relative contributions of photoionisation and plasma transport can be investigated. These variations are discussed with respect to parameters including local time and solar flux. Comparisons are drawn with the terrestrial ionosphere

Factors associated with not testing for HIV and consistent condom use among men in Soweto, South Africa.

BackgroundBesides access to medical male circumcision, HIV testing, access to condoms and consistent condom use are additional strategies men can use to prevent HIV acquisition. We examine male behavior toward testing and condom use.ObjectiveTo determine factors associated with never testing for HIV and consistent condom use among men who never test in Soweto.MethodsA cross-sectional survey in Soweto was conducted in 1539 men aged 18-32 years in 2007. Data were collected on socio-demographic and behavioral characteristics to determine factors associated with not testing and consistent condom use.ResultsOver two thirds (71%) of men had not had an HIV test and the majority (55%, n = 602) were young (18-23). Of those not testing, condom use was poor (44%, n = 304). Men who were 18-23 years (aOR: 2.261, CI: 1.534-3.331), with primary (aOR: 2.096, CI: 1.058-4.153) or high school (aOR: 1.622, CI: 1.078-2.439) education, had sex in the last 6 months (aOR: 1.703, CI: 1.055-2.751), and had ≥1 sexual partner (aOR: 1.749, CI: 1.196-2.557) were more likely not to test. Of those reporting condom use (n = 1036, 67%), consistent condom use was 43% (n = 451). HIV testing did not correlate with condom use.ConclusionLow rates of both condom use and HIV testing among men in a high HIV prevalence setting are worrisome and indicate an urgent need to develop innovative behavioral strategies to address this shortfall. Condom use is poor in this population whether tested or not tested for HIV, indicating no association between condom use and HIV testing

Implementing a BIM collaborative workflow in the UK construction market

BIM Level 2, as defined by the UK government, sets out processes and standards that formalise and regulate the collaborative methods for producing, sharing and exchanging information during different stages of any construction project. For overseas organisations that are looking to invest in the UK construction market, they will most certainly need to consider developing their understanding and ability related to BIM in order to enable developing their capability and competency to compete. This paper presents a case study that focuses on the implementation of collaborative based BIM workflow at a large Chinese engineering and construction organisation, which has recently established operations in the UK. The BIM implementation has been achieved under a Knowledge Exchange Partnership framework between the organisation and an academic institution in the UK. The main aim for this partnership project was to transform the organisation’s traditional workflow to achieve a BIM based collaborative workflow, and to comply with BIM Level 2 requirements. The case study has been achieved by adopting an action research methodology, whereby the project affiliate was an active part of the implementation project and was managing and coordinating the partnership project between the organisation and academic partner. Results to date from the project will be documented in this paper. This includes highlighting key challenges, adopted strategies and tactics to overcome the obstacles, pockets of improvements and potential areas for future development

Suprathermal electrons at Saturn's bow shock

The leading explanation for the origin of galactic cosmic rays is particle acceleration at the shocks surrounding young supernova remnants (SNRs), although crucial aspects of the acceleration process are unclear. The similar collisionless plasma shocks frequently encountered by spacecraft in the solar wind are generally far weaker (lower Mach number) than these SNR shocks. However, the Cassini spacecraft has shown that the shock standing in the solar wind sunward of Saturn (Saturn's bow shock) can occasionally reach this high-Mach number astrophysical regime. In this regime Cassini has provided the first in situ evidence for electron acceleration under quasi-parallel upstream magnetic conditions. Here we present the full picture of suprathermal electrons at Saturn's bow shock revealed by Cassini. The downstream thermal electron distribution is resolved in all data taken by the low-energy electron detector (CAPS-ELS, <28 keV) during shock crossings, but the higher energy channels were at (or close to) background. The high-energy electron detector (MIMI-LEMMS, >18 keV) measured a suprathermal electron signature at 31 of 508 crossings, where typically only the lowest energy channels (<100 keV) were above background. We show that these results are consistent with theory in which the "injection" of thermal electrons into an acceleration process involves interaction with whistler waves at the shock front, and becomes possible for all upstream magnetic field orientations at high Mach numbers like those of the strong shocks around young SNRs. A future dedicated study will analyze the rare crossings with evidence for relativistic electrons (up to ~1 MeV).Comment: 22 pages, 5 figures. Accepted for publication in Ap