2,601 research outputs found
Mobile Communication Signatures of Unemployment
The mapping of populations socio-economic well-being is highly constrained by
the logistics of censuses and surveys. Consequently, spatially detailed changes
across scales of days, weeks, or months, or even year to year, are difficult to
assess; thus the speed of which policies can be designed and evaluated is
limited. However, recent studies have shown the value of mobile phone data as
an enabling methodology for demographic modeling and measurement. In this work,
we investigate whether indicators extracted from mobile phone usage can reveal
information about the socio-economical status of microregions such as districts
(i.e., average spatial resolution < 2.7km). For this we examine anonymized
mobile phone metadata combined with beneficiaries records from unemployment
benefit program. We find that aggregated activity, social, and mobility
patterns strongly correlate with unemployment. Furthermore, we construct a
simple model to produce accurate reconstruction of district level unemployment
from their mobile communication patterns alone. Our results suggest that
reliable and cost-effective economical indicators could be built based on
passively collected and anonymized mobile phone data. With similar data being
collected every day by telecommunication services across the world,
survey-based methods of measuring community socioeconomic status could
potentially be augmented or replaced by such passive sensing methods in the
future
Weighted evolving networks: coupling topology and weights dynamics
We propose a model for the growth of weighted networks that couples the
establishment of new edges and vertices and the weights' dynamical evolution.
The model is based on a simple weight-driven dynamics and generates networks
exhibiting the statistical properties observed in several real-world systems.
In particular, the model yields a non-trivial time evolution of vertices'
properties and scale-free behavior for the weight, strength and degree
distributions.Comment: 4 pages, 4 figure
Attention on Weak Ties in Social and Communication Networks
Granovetter's weak tie theory of social networks is built around two central
hypotheses. The first states that strong social ties carry the large majority
of interaction events; the second maintains that weak social ties, although
less active, are often relevant for the exchange of especially important
information (e.g., about potential new jobs in Granovetter's work). While
several empirical studies have provided support for the first hypothesis, the
second has been the object of far less scrutiny. A possible reason is that it
involves notions relative to the nature and importance of the information that
are hard to quantify and measure, especially in large scale studies. Here, we
search for empirical validation of both Granovetter's hypotheses. We find clear
empirical support for the first. We also provide empirical evidence and a
quantitative interpretation for the second. We show that attention, measured as
the fraction of interactions devoted to a particular social connection, is high
on weak ties --- possibly reflecting the postulated informational purposes of
such ties --- but also on very strong ties. Data from online social media and
mobile communication reveal network-dependent mixtures of these two effects on
the basis of a platform's typical usage. Our results establish a clear
relationships between attention, importance, and strength of social links, and
could lead to improved algorithms to prioritize social media content
Close relationships: A study of mobile communication records
Mobile phone communication as digital service generates ever-increasing
datasets of human communication actions, which in turn allow us to investigate
the structure and evolution of social interactions and their networks. These
datasets can be used to study the structuring of such egocentric networks with
respect to the strength of the relationships by assuming direct dependence of
the communication intensity on the strength of the social tie. Recently we have
discovered that there are significant differences between the first and further
"best friends" from the point of view of age and gender preferences. Here we
introduce a control parameter based on the statistics of
communication with the first and second "best friend" and use it to filter the
data. We find that when is decreased the identification of the
"best friend" becomes less ambiguous and the earlier observed effects get
stronger, thus corroborating them.Comment: 11 pages, 7 figure
Phenomenological Models of Socio-Economic Network Dynamics
We study a general set of models of social network evolution and dynamics.
The models consist of both a dynamics on the network and evolution of the
network. Links are formed preferentially between 'similar' nodes, where the
similarity is defined by the particular process taking place on the network.
The interplay between the two processes produces phase transitions and
hysteresis, as seen using numerical simulations for three specific processes.
We obtain analytic results using mean field approximations, and for a
particular case we derive an exact solution for the network. In common with
real-world social networks, we find coexistence of high and low connectivity
phases and history dependence.Comment: 11 pages, 8 figure
Weighted Evolving Networks
Many biological, ecological and economic systems are best described by
weighted networks, as the nodes interact with each other with varying strength.
However, most network models studied so far are binary, the link strength being
either 0 or 1. In this paper we introduce and investigate the scaling
properties of a class of models which assign weights to the links as the
network evolves. The combined numerical and analytical approach indicates that
asymptotically the total weight distribution converges to the scaling behavior
of the connectivity distribution, but this convergence is hampered by strong
logarithmic corrections.Comment: 5 pages, 3 figure
"It's making contacts" : notions of social capital and implications for widening access to medical education
Acknowledgements Our thanks to the Medical Schools Council (MSC) of the UK for funding Study A; REACH Scotland for funding Study B; and Queen Mary University of London, and to the medical school applicants and students who gave their time to be interviewed. Our thanks also to Dr Sean Zhou and Dr Sally Curtis, and Manjul Medhi, for their help with data collection for studies A and B respectively. Our thanks also to Dr Lara Varpio, Uniformed Services University of the USA, for her advice and guidance on collating data sets and her comments on the draft manuscript.Peer reviewedPublisher PD
Geospatial analysis and living urban geometry
This essay outlines how to incorporate morphological rules within the exigencies of our technological age. We propose using the current evolution of GIS (Geographical Information Systems) technologies beyond their original representational domain, towards predictive and dynamic spatial models that help in constructing the new discipline of "urban seeding". We condemn the high-rise tower block as an unsuitable typology for a living city, and propose to re-establish human-scale urban fabric that resembles the traditional city. Pedestrian presence, density, and movement all reveal that open space between modernist buildings is not urban at all, but neither is the open space found in today's sprawling suburbs. True urban space contains and encourages pedestrian interactions, and has to be designed and built according to specific rules. The opposition between traditional self-organized versus modernist planned cities challenges the very core of the urban planning discipline. Planning has to be re-framed from being a tool creating a fixed future to become a visionary adaptive tool of dynamic states in evolution
Semi-Markov Graph Dynamics
In this paper, we outline a model of graph (or network) dynamics based on two
ingredients. The first ingredient is a Markov chain on the space of possible
graphs. The second ingredient is a semi-Markov counting process of renewal
type. The model consists in subordinating the Markov chain to the semi-Markov
counting process. In simple words, this means that the chain transitions occur
at random time instants called epochs. The model is quite rich and its possible
connections with algebraic geometry are briefly discussed. Moreover, for the
sake of simplicity, we focus on the space of undirected graphs with a fixed
number of nodes. However, in an example, we present an interbank market model
where it is meaningful to use directed graphs or even weighted graphs.Comment: 25 pages, 4 figures, submitted to PLoS-ON
Entanglement between Demand and Supply in Markets with Bandwagon Goods
Whenever customers' choices (e.g. to buy or not a given good) depend on
others choices (cases coined 'positive externalities' or 'bandwagon effect' in
the economic literature), the demand may be multiply valued: for a same posted
price, there is either a small number of buyers, or a large one -- in which
case one says that the customers coordinate. This leads to a dilemma for the
seller: should he sell at a high price, targeting a small number of buyers, or
at low price targeting a large number of buyers? In this paper we show that the
interaction between demand and supply is even more complex than expected,
leading to what we call the curse of coordination: the pricing strategy for the
seller which aimed at maximizing his profit corresponds to posting a price
which, not only assumes that the customers will coordinate, but also lies very
near the critical price value at which such high demand no more exists. This is
obtained by the detailed mathematical analysis of a particular model formally
related to the Random Field Ising Model and to a model introduced in social
sciences by T C Schelling in the 70's.Comment: Updated version, accepted for publication, Journal of Statistical
Physics, online Dec 201
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