RISK ASSESSMENT FOR VIOLATION OF ANTI-TRUST LEGISLATION BY STATE EXECUTIVE AUTHORITIES

The article deals with a problem of building an anti-trust compliance system in state executive authorities from the point of view of contemporary risk management. The authors expound a well-known instrument based on the bow-tie diagram construction which successfully helps to develop effective measures to prevent violation of anti-trust legislation cases by state executive authorities. They also give some numeric results of statistical modelling of anti-trust legislation violation risks by state executive authorities by means of the Monte-Carlo method

Aerosol and its radiative effects during the aeroradcity 2018 Moscow experiment

During the AeroRadCity-2018 spring aerosol experiment at the Moscow State University Meteorological Observatory the aerosol properties of the atmosphere and radiative aerosol effects were analyzed using a wide complex of measurements and model COSMO-ART simulations over Moscow domain. The program of measurements consisted of columnar aerosol AERONET retrievals, surface PM10, black carbon (BC) and aerosol gas precursors mass concentrations, as well as radiative measurements under various meteorological conditions. We obtained a positive statistically significant dependence of total and fine aerosol optical depth (AOD) mode (R2 ~0.4) with PM concentrations. This dependence has revealed a pronounced bifurcation point around PM10=0.04 mgm-3. The modelled BC concentration is in agreement with the observations and has a pronounced correlation with PM, but not with the AODs. The analysis of radiative effects of aerosol has revealed up to 30% loss for UV irradiance and 15% - for shortwave irradiance at high AOD in Moscow. Much intensive radiation attenuation is observed in the afternoon when remote pollution sources may affect solar fluxes at elevated boundary layer conditions. Negative (cooling) radiative forcing effect at the top of the atmosphere from -18 Wm-2 to -4 Wm-2 has been evaluated. Mean difference in visible AOD between urban and background conditions in Moscow and Zvenigorod was about 0.01 according to measurements and model simulations, while in some days the difference may increase up to 0.05. The generation of urban aerosol was shown to be more favorable in conditions with low intensity of pollutant dispersion, when mean deltaAOD550 was doubled from 0.01 to 0.02

ОЦЕНКА РИСКОВ НАРУШЕНИЯ АНТИМОНОПОЛЬНОГО ЗАКОНОДАТЕЛЬСТВА ИСПОЛНИТЕЛЬНЫМИ ОРГАНАМИ ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОЙ ВЛАСТИ

The article deals with a problem of building an anti-trust compliance system in state executive authorities from the point of view of contemporary risk management. The authors expound a well-known instrument based on the bow-tie diagram construction which successfully helps to develop effective measures to prevent violation of anti-trust legislation cases by state executive authorities. They also give some numeric results of statistical modelling of anti-trust legislation violation risks by state executive authorities by means of the Monte-Carlo method.В работе предлагается взгляд на проблематику построения системы антимонопольного комплаенса в исполнительных органах государственной власти с позиции общей философии, теории и практики современного риск-менеджмента. Изложен известный метод анализа рисков, основанный на построении диаграммы «галстук-бабочка», позволяющий осознанно разрабатывать эффективные меры предупреждения рисков нарушения антимонопольного законодательства исполнительными органами государственной власти. Приведены результаты статистического моделирования рисков нарушения антимонопольного законодательства исполнительными органами государственной власти при помощи метода Монте-Карло

Severe Diverticulitis Associated to <i>Clostridioides difficile</i> Infection in a 91 Year Old Patient (Clinical Case)

Aim. To present a clinical case of a 91-year-old patient with a severe course of diverticulitis combined with the development of Clostridioides difficile-associated disease.Key points. On admission the patient complained of pain in the left iliac region, increased body temperature, constipation and bloating. The medical history showed that constipation increased on the background of prolonged bed rest and discontinuation of psyllium. According to the laboratory and instrumental examinations, the patient had signs of acute diverticulitis, antibacterial therapy was corrected twice, positive dynamics of the condition was noted. However, a few days later, the patient developed a clinic of C. difficile-associated disease, which required the prescription of anticlostridial therapy (vancomycin), until the laboratory confirmation of the accession of this infection was obtained. Combined therapy of exacerbation of diverticular disease and C. difficile-associated disease made it possible to achieve a steady improvement of the condition.Conclusion. The exclusion of possible development of C. difficile-associated disease on the background or prior antibiotic therapy is an important condition for correct and adequate management of a patient with exacerbation of diverticular disease. If the patient develops a clinical picture of C. difficile-associated disease, treatment may be initiated before laboratory confirmation

Comparative effectiveness of antiepileptic drugs in juvenile myoclonic epilepsy

Objective: To study the effectiveness and tolerability of antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) commonly used in juvenile myoclonic epilepsy (JME). Methods: People with JME were identified from a large database of individuals with epilepsy, which includes detailed retrospective information on AED use. We assessed secular changes in AED use and calculated rates of response (12-month seizure freedom) and adverse drug reactions (ADRs) for the five most common AEDs. Retention was modeled with a Cox proportional hazards model. We compared valproate use between males and females. Results: We included 305 people with 688 AED trials of valproate, lamotrigine, levetiracetam, carbamazepine, and topiramate. Valproate and carbamazepine were most often prescribed as the first AED. The response rate to valproate was highest among the five AEDs (42.7%), and significantly higher than response rates for lamotrigine, carbamazepine, and topiramate; the difference to the response rate to levetiracetam (37.1%) was not significant. The rates of ADRs were highest for topiramate (45.5%) and valproate (37.5%). Commonest ADRs included weight change, lethargy, and tremor. In the Cox proportional hazards model, later start year (1.10 [1.08-1.13], P&nbsp;&lt;&nbsp;0.001) and female sex (1.41 [1.07-1.85], P&nbsp;=&nbsp;0.02) were associated with shorter trial duration. Valproate was associated with the longest treatment duration; trials with carbamazepine and topiramate were significantly shorter (HR [CI]: 3.29 [2.15-5.02], P&nbsp;&lt;&nbsp;0.001 and 1.93 [1.31-2.86], P&nbsp;&lt;&nbsp;0.001). The relative frequency of valproate trials shows a decreasing trend since 2003 while there is an increasing trend for levetiracetam. Fewer females than males received valproate (76.2% vs 92.6%, P&nbsp;=&nbsp;0.001). Significance: In people with JME, valproate is an effective AED; levetiracetam emerged as an alternative. Valproate is now contraindicated in women of childbearing potential without special precautions. With appropriate selection and safeguards in place, valproate should remain available as a therapy, including as an alternative for women of childbearing potential whose seizures are resistant to other treatments

Comparative effectiveness of antiepileptic drugs in patients with mesial temporal lobe epilepsy with hippocampal sclerosis

OBJECTIVE: Mesial temporal lobe epilepsy with hippocampal sclerosis (MTLE-HS) is a common epilepsy syndrome that is often poorly controlled by antiepileptic drug (AED) treatment. Comparative AED effectiveness studies in this condition are lacking. We report retention, efficacy, and tolerability in a cohort of patients with MTLE-HS. METHODS: Clinical data were collected from a European database of patients with epilepsy. We estimated retention, 12-month seizure freedom, and adverse drug reaction (ADR) rates for the 10 most commonly used AEDs in patients with MTLE-HS. RESULTS: Seven hundred sixty-seven patients with a total of 3,249 AED trials were included. The highest 12-month retention rates were observed with carbamazepine (85.9%), valproate (85%), and clobazam (79%). Twelve-month seizure freedom rates varied from 1.2% for gabapentin and vigabatrin to 11% for carbamazepine. Response rates were highest for AEDs that were prescribed as initial treatment and lowest for AEDs that were used in a third or higher instance. ADRs were reported in 47.6% of patients, with the highest rates observed with oxcarbazepine (35.7%), topiramate (30.9%), and pregabalin (27.4%), and the lowest rates with clobazam (6.5%), gabapentin (8.9%), and lamotrigine (16.6%). The most commonly reported ADRs were lethargy and drowsiness, dizziness, vertigo and ataxia, and blurred vision and diplopia. SIGNIFICANCE: Our results did not demonstrate any clear advantage of newer versus older AEDs. Our results provide useful insights into AED retention, efficacy, and ADR rates in patients with MTLE-HS

Comparative effectiveness of antiepileptic drugs in juvenile myoclonic epilepsy

OBJECTIVE: To study the effectiveness and tolerability of antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) commonly used in juvenile myoclonic epilepsy (JME). METHODS: People with JME were identified from a large database of individuals with epilepsy, which includes detailed retrospective information on AED use. We assessed secular changes in AED use and calculated rates of response (12‐month seizure freedom) and adverse drug reactions (ADRs) for the five most common AEDs. Retention was modeled with a Cox proportional hazards model. We compared valproate use between males and females. RESULTS: We included 305 people with 688 AED trials of valproate, lamotrigine, levetiracetam, carbamazepine, and topiramate. Valproate and carbamazepine were most often prescribed as the first AED. The response rate to valproate was highest among the five AEDs (42.7%), and significantly higher than response rates for lamotrigine, carbamazepine, and topiramate; the difference to the response rate to levetiracetam (37.1%) was not significant. The rates of ADRs were highest for topiramate (45.5%) and valproate (37.5%). Commonest ADRs included weight change, lethargy, and tremor. In the Cox proportional hazards model, later start year (1.10 [1.08‐1.13], P < 0.001) and female sex (1.41 [1.07‐1.85], P = 0.02) were associated with shorter trial duration. Valproate was associated with the longest treatment duration; trials with carbamazepine and topiramate were significantly shorter (HR [CI]: 3.29 [2.15‐5.02], P < 0.001 and 1.93 [1.31‐2.86], P < 0.001). The relative frequency of valproate trials shows a decreasing trend since 2003 while there is an increasing trend for levetiracetam. Fewer females than males received valproate (76.2% vs 92.6%, P = 0.001). SIGNIFICANCE: In people with JME, valproate is an effective AED; levetiracetam emerged as an alternative. Valproate is now contraindicated in women of childbearing potential without special precautions. With appropriate selection and safeguards in place, valproate should remain available as a therapy, including as an alternative for women of childbearing potential whose seizures are resistant to other treatments

Сравнение эффективности и токсичности афлиберцепта и бевацизумаба в комбинации с режимом FOLFIRI во 2‑й линии лечения пациентов с метастатическим раком толстой кишки: ретроспективный анализ многоцентрового исследования

Objective: to compare the efficacy and toxicity of aflibercept and bevacizumab in combination with fOLfIRI in secondline therapy for patients with metastatic colon cancer.Materials and methods. we performed a retrospective analysis of data on patients with metastatic colon cancer treated in 9 clinics in the Russian federation. The inclusion criteria were as follows: metastatic or locally advanced colon cancer; treatment with bevacizumab or aflibercept plus fOLfIRI in the second-line therapy. The primary outcome measure was progression-free survival (PfS). Secondary outcome measures included objective response rate and incidence of adverse events.Results. A total of 271 patients with metastatic colon cancer who received second-line therapy with bevacizumab (n = 81) or aflibercept (n = 190) between 2014 and 2018 were selected for this study. Study groups were matched for main prognostic signs. The objective response rate was 18.1 % in the bevacizumab group and 20.5 % in the aflibercept group (p = 0.7). The median PfS was 5 months (95 % confidence interval 3.8–6.1) in the aflibercept group and 7 months (95 % confidence interval 0.81–2.1) in the bevacizumab group (hazard ratio 1.4; 95 % confidence interval 0.99–2.1; p = 0.04). multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that the type of the targeted drug independently had no effect on PfS (hazard ratio 1.3; 95 % confidence interval 0.9–1.9; p = 0.2). we observed no statistically significant differences in the incidence of complications of any grades between the groups (58 % vs 72 %, p = 0.1). Patients receiving aflibercept were more likely to develop grade III–Iv arterial hypertension (2 % vs 9.5 %) and diarrhea (0 % vs 5.4 %), whereas thrombotic complications were more common in the bevacizumab group (10 % vs 1.8 %).Conclusion. we observed no significant differences in objective response rate and PfS between patients with metastatic colon cancer receiving bevacizumab or aflibercept in combination with fOLfIRI as second-line therapy. The toxicity profiles were different. Our findings can be used for choosing an optimal targeted drug for second-line treatment.Цель исследования – сравнение эффективности и токсичности афлиберцепта и бевацизумаба в комбинации с режимом fOLfIRI во 2-й линии лечения пациентов с метастатическим раком толстой кишки.Материалы и методы. Проведен ретроспективный анализ базы данных пациентов с метастатическим раком толстой кишки в рамках наблюдательного исследования работы 9 клиник РФ. Критерии включения в исследование: больные метастатическим или местно-распространенным раком толстой кишки; проведение терапии с включением бевацизумаба или афлиберцепта в комбинации с режимом fOLfIRI во 2-й линии лечения. Основной критерий эффективности – выживаемость без прогрессирования (ВбП). дополнительные критерии: частота объективных эффектов, частота развития нежелательных явлений.Результаты. Отобран 271 пациент с метастатическим раком толстой кишки, которым в 2014–2018 гг. проводилась 2-я линия терапия с включением бевацизумаба (n = 81) и афлиберцепта (n = 190). группы статически значимо не различались по основным прогностическим признакам. частота объективных эффектов составила 18,1 % в группе бевацизумаба и 20,5 % в группе афлиберцепта (р = 0,7). медиана ВбП составила 5 мес (95 % доверительный интервал 3,8–6,1) в группе афлиберцепта и 7 мес (95 % доверительный интервал 0,81–2,1) в группе бевацизумаба (отношение рисков 1,4; 95 % доверительный интервал 0,99–2,1; р = 0,04). многофакторный регрессионный анализ не подтвердил независимого влияния характера таргетного препарата на ВбП (отношение рисков 1,3; 95 % дИ 0,9–1,9; р = 0,2). Не отмечено статистически значимых различий в частоте развития осложнений всех степеней (58 % против 72 %, р = 0,1); среди негематологических осложнений артериальная гипертензия III–Iv степени (2 % против 9,5 %) и диарея (0 % против 5,4 %) чаще наблюдались в группе афлиберцепта, тромботические осложнения чаще наблюдались в группе бевацизумаба (10 % против 1,8 %).Выводы. Не отмечено статистически значимых различий между бевацизумабом и афлиберцептом в сочетании с режимом fOLfIRI во 2-й линии терапии пациентов с метастатическим раком толстой кишки ни в отношении достижения объективного эффекта, ни в отношении ВбП. Профили токсических реакций были различными. Полученные данные можно учитывать при выборе таргетного препарата во 2-й линии терапии

Оценка токсичности и эффективности терапии комбинацией FOLFIRI и афлиберцепта при метастатическом раке толстой кишки в РФ: первые результаты многоцентрового ретроспективного исследования

oai:oai.tumors.elpub.ru:article/629Purpose. To assess the incidence and severity of adverse events; to explore clinical factors associated with grade 3–4 non-hematologic toxicity; to assess the immediate efficacy and progression-free survival during treatment with the FOLFIRI regimen in combination with aflibercept in Russia.Materials and Methods. A retrospective multicenter study has been conducted with data collected from 20 clinics in 15 regions of Russia. There was no statistical hypothesis. Progression-free survival was the main efficacy criterion. The statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPPS Statistics v. 20 software.Results. FOLFIRI and Aflibercept combination was administered to 264 patients. The mean number of treatment cycles was 6 (1 to 29). The toxicity of aflibercept was addressed by dose reduction and dosing delay in 10.1 % and 11.4 % of patients, respectively, and dose reductions and dosing delays in any of FOLIFRI components were reported in 20.1 % of participants. The objective response rate was 20.3 %. The median progression-free survival in patients receiving second-line treatment was 6 months (95 % CI: 5.3–6.6 months). Seventy-two percent of patients experienced any grade of adverse events most of which were limited to grade 1–2 (62.1 %). Non-hematologic toxicity was reported in 64 % of patients (grade 3–4 in 17.9 %). Hematologic events were detected in only 17.9 % of patients. Multifactorial analysis has shown that drug therapy for concomitant diseases (OR 1.98, 95 % CI: 1.04–3.78, p = 0.037) and the number of chemotherapy lines prior to aflibercept (ОR 1.5, 95 % CI: 1.06–2.11, p = 0.02) were independent predictors of grade 3–4 non-hematologic toxicity.Conclusions. Objective response rate, progression-free survival, and frequency of toxicity-related aflibercept discontinuations in the Russian study with patients receiving aflibercept in combination with FOLFIRI regimen as a second-line treatment has shown the results that were comparable with VELOUR study. Comorbidities requiring drug treatment and the number of prior chemotherapy lines appear to be risk factors for grade 3–4 nonhematological toxicity events. Цель исследования. Оценить частоту развития и тяжесть нежелательных явлений; изучить клинические факторы, ассоциированные с развитием негематологической токсичности 3-4 степени; оценить непосредственную эффективность выживаемость без прогрессирования при применении комбинации FOLFIRI с афлиберцептом в РФ.Материалы и методы. Проведено ретроспективное многоцентровое исследование. Собраны данные 20 клиник 15 регионов РФ. Статистическая гипотеза отсутствовала. В качестве основного критерия эффективности рассматривалась выживаемость без прогрессирования. Статистический анализ проводился с помощью программ статистического пакета SPSS (IBM SPPS Statistics v. 20).Результаты. Режим FOLFIRI афлиберцепт был назначен у 264 пациентов. Среднее число составило 6 (от 1 до 29). В связи с токсичностью доза афлиберцепта в процессе терапии была редуцирована у 10,1% пациентов, задержали очередное введение афлиберцепта — у 11,4%; отсрочка и редукция доз химиопрепаратов в режиме FOLFIRI описана у 20,1 %. Частота объективных эффектов составила 20,3%. Во второй линии терапии медиана выживаемости без прогрессирования составила 6 месяцев (95% ДИ 5,3-6,6 месяцев). Нежелательные явления любой степени зарегистрированы у 72 % пациентов и чаще были ограничены 1-2 степенью (62,1%). Негематологические осложнения развились у 64% (3-4 степень — у 17,9%). Гематологические осложнения представлены только у 17,9 % пациентов. По результатам многофакторного анализа лекарственная терапия по поводу сопутствующей патологии (ОШ 1,98, 95%ДИ 1,04-3,78, р=0,037) и число линий терапии (ОШ 1,5, 95%ДИ 1,06-2,11, р=0,02), предшествующих афлиберцепту, явились независимыми предсказывающими факторами развития нежелательных явлений негематологического профиля 3-4 степени.Выводы. Частота объективных эффектов, выживаемость без прогрессирования и частота отмены афлиберцепта в связи с токсическими реакциями при применении комбинации FOLFIRI + афлиберцепт во второй линии среди пациентов в РФ аналогична результатам исследования VELOUR. Сопутствующая патология, требующая медикаментозной коррекции, и число линий терапии предшествующих афлиберцепту, по-видимому, являются факторами риска развития негематологических явлений 3-4 степени

Факторы, ассоциированные с эффективностью комбинации FOLFIRI и афлиберцепта при метастатическом раке толстой кишки

Objective: to identify factors associated with efficacy of an aflibercept-chemotherapy combination in patients with metastatic colon cancer.Materials and methods. This retrospective multicenter study was conducted in 20 clinics from 15 regions of the Russian Federation. The main efficacy outcome was progression-free survival (PFS). We performed univariate and multivariate analysis to assess the impact of various factors of PFS.Results. Two hundred and fifty-seven patients received aflibercept-containing chemotherapy; of them, 175 participants (68.1 %) received it as a second-line therapy. The objective response rate and median PFS were 18.7% and 5 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 4.2—5.8) respec -tively. The following factors were found to have a positive effect of PFS at multivariate analysis: grade I—II adverse events to aflibercept therapy (hazard ratio (HR) 0.58; 95 % CI 0.38—0.89; p = 0.01), therapy for concomitant diseases (HR 0.47; 95 % CI 0.29—0.76; p = 0.002), and ECOG performance status of 0 (HR 0.53; 95 % CI 0.34—0.81; p = 0.004). Patient with all 3 factors present had median PFS of 9 months, whereas patients without them demonstrated PFS of only 3 months (HR 1.9; 95 % CI 1.5—2.6; p &lt;0.001).Conclusions. Satisfactory performance status, adequate therapy for concomitant diseases, and adverse events to aflibercept therapy were associated with better PFS in patients receiving aflibercept-containing chemotherapy.Цель исследования — выявить факторы, ассоциированные с эффективностью комбинации химиотерапии и афлиберцепта у больных метастатическим раком толстой кишки.Материалы и методы. Проведено ретроспективное многоцентровое исследование. Собраны данные 20 клиник из 15 регионов Российской Федерации. В качестве основного критерия эффективности рассматривали выживаемость без прогрессирования (ВБП). Был проведен одно- и многофакторный анализ влияния различных признаков на ВБП.Результаты. Двести пятьдесят семь пациентов получали терапию с включением афлиберцепта, в том числе во 2-й линии — 175 (68,1 %) больных. Объективный эффект и медиана ВБП составили 18,7 % и 5 мес (95 % доверительный интервал (ДИ) 4,2—5,8) соответственно. По результатам многофакторного анализа благоприятными факторами прогноза в отношении ВБП выступали развитие побочных явлений I—II степени тяжести при терапии афлиберцептом (отношение рисков (ОР) 0,58; 95 % ДИ 0,38—0,89; p = 0,01), назначение терапии по поводу сопутствующих заболеваний (ОР 0,47; 95 % ДИ 0,29—0,76; p = 0,002) и функциональный статус пациента ECOG 0 (ОР 0,53; 95 % ДИ 0,34—0,81; p = 0,004). При наличии всех 3 факторов медиана ВБП составила 9 мес, при их отсутствии — 3 мес (ОР 1,9; 95 % ДИ 1,5—2,6; p &lt;0,001).Выводы. Удовлетворительный функциональный статус пациента, медикаментозный контроль сопутствующей патологии и развитие нежелательных явлений в процессе терапии афлиберцептом ассоциированы с улучшением ВБП в популяции пациентов, которым проводится терапия с включением афлиберцепта