Generalized time-frequency coherency for assessing neural interactions in electrophysiological recordings

Time-frequency coherence has been widely used to quantify statistical dependencies in bivariate data and has proven to be vital for the study of neural interactions in electrophysiological recordings. Conventional methods establish time-frequency coherence by smoothing the cross and power spectra using identical smoothing procedures. Smoothing entails a trade-off between time-frequency resolution and statistical consistency and is critical for detecting instantaneous coherence in single-trial data. Here, we propose a generalized method to estimate time-frequency coherency by using different smoothing procedures for the cross spectra versus power spectra. This novel method has an improved trade-off between time resolution and statistical consistency compared to conventional methods, as verified by two simulated data sets. The methods are then applied to single-trial surface encephalography recorded from human subjects for comparative purposes. Our approach extracted robust alpha- and gamma-band synchronization over the visual cortex that was not detected by conventional methods, demonstrating the efficacy of this method

Wind speed prediction using multidimensional convolutional neural networks

Accurate wind speed forecasting is of great importance for many economic, business and management sectors. This paper introduces a new model based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for wind speed prediction tasks. In particular, we show that compared to classical CNN-based models, the proposed model is able to better characterise the spatio-temporal evolution of the wind data by learning the underlying complex input-output relationships from multiple dimensions (views) of the input data. The proposed model exploits the spatio-temporal multivariate multidimensional historical weather data for learning new representations used for wind forecasting. We conduct experiments on two real-life weather datasets. The datasets are measurements from cities in Denmark and in the Netherlands. The proposed model is compared with traditional 2- and 3-dimensional CNN models, a 2D-CNN model with an attention layer and a 2D-CNN model equipped with upscaling and depthwise separable convolutions.Comment: 8 pages, 6 figure

Block method for numerical solution of fuzzy differential equations

In this paper the 2 point 2 step method for solving fuzzy initial value problem is proposed. This method at each step will estimate the solutions of the fuzzy initial value problem at two points simultaneously using variable step size. The stability of the proposed method is discussed. Examples are presented to illustrate the computational aspect of the method

SmaAt-UNet: Precipitation Nowcasting using a Small Attention-UNet Architecture

Weather forecasting is dominated by numerical weather prediction that tries to model accurately the physical properties of the atmosphere. A downside of numerical weather prediction is that it is lacking the ability for short-term forecasts using the latest available information. By using a data-driven neural network approach we show that it is possible to produce an accurate precipitation nowcast. To this end, we propose SmaAt-UNet, an efficient convolutional neural networks-based on the well known UNet architecture equipped with attention modules and depthwise-separable convolutions. We evaluate our approaches on a real-life datasets using precipitation maps from the region of the Netherlands and binary images of cloud coverage of France. The experimental results show that in terms of prediction performance, the proposed model is comparable to other examined models while only using a quarter of the trainable parameters.Comment: 9 pages, 4 figure

Deep coastal sea elements forecasting using U-Net based models

The supply and demand of energy is influenced by meteorological conditions. The relevance of accurate weather forecasts increases as the demand for renewable energy sources increases. The energy providers and policy makers require weather information to make informed choices and establish optimal plans according to the operational objectives. Due to the recent development of deep learning techniques applied to satellite imagery, weather forecasting that uses remote sensing data has also been the subject of major progress. The present paper investigates multiple steps ahead frame prediction for coastal sea elements in the Netherlands using U-Net based architectures. Hourly data from the Copernicus observation programme spanned over a period of 2 years has been used to train the models and make the forecasting, including seasonal predictions. We propose a variation of the U-Net architecture and further extend this novel model using residual connections, parallel convolutions and asymmetric convolutions in order to introduce three additional architectures. In particular, we show that the architecture equipped with parallel and asymmetric convolutions as well as skip connections outperforms the other three discussed models.Comment: 12 pages, 11 figure

TransCORALNet: A Two-Stream Transformer CORAL Networks for Supply Chain Credit Assessment Cold Start

This paper proposes an interpretable two-stream transformer CORAL networks (TransCORALNet) for supply chain credit assessment under the segment industry and cold start problem. The model aims to provide accurate credit assessment prediction for new supply chain borrowers with limited historical data. Here, the two-stream domain adaptation architecture with correlation alignment (CORAL) loss is used as a core model and is equipped with transformer, which provides insights about the learned features and allow efficient parallelization during training. Thanks to the domain adaptation capability of the proposed model, the domain shift between the source and target domain is minimized. Therefore, the model exhibits good generalization where the source and target do not follow the same distribution, and a limited amount of target labeled instances exist. Furthermore, we employ Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) to provide more insight into the model prediction and identify the key features contributing to supply chain credit assessment decisions. The proposed model addresses four significant supply chain credit assessment challenges: domain shift, cold start, imbalanced-class and interpretability. Experimental results on a real-world data set demonstrate the superiority of TransCORALNet over a number of state-of-the-art baselines in terms of accuracy. The code is available on GitHub https://github.com/JieJieNiu/TransCORALN .Comment: 13 pages, 7 figure

Deep Graph Convolutional Networks for Wind Speed Prediction

In this paper, we introduce a new model for wind speed prediction based on spatio-temporal graph convolutional networks. Here, weather stations are treated as nodes of a graph with a learnable adjacency matrix, which determines the strength of relations between the stations based on the historical weather data. The self-loop connection is added to the learnt adjacency matrix and its strength is controlled by additional learnable parameter. Experiments performed on real datasets collected from weather stations located in Denmark and the Netherlands show that our proposed model outperforms previously developed baseline models on the referenced datasets