5,646 research outputs found

    Modelling health state preference data using a non-parametric Bayesian method

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    This paper reports on the findings from the application of a recently reported approach to modelling health state valuation data. The approach applies a nonparametric model to estimate the revised version of the Health Utilities Index Mark 2 (HUI 2) health state valuation algorithm using Bayesian methods. The data set is the UK HUI 2 valuation study where a sample of 51 states defined by the HUI 2 was valued by a sample of the UK general population using standard gamble. The paper presents the results from applying the nonparametric model and compares these to the original model estimated using a conventional parametric random effects model. The two models are compared in terms of their predictive performance. The paper discusses the implications of these results for future applications of the HUI 2 and further work in this field

    NICMOS Images of the GG Tau Circumbinary Disk

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    We present deep, near-infrared images of the circumbinary disk surrounding the pre-main-sequence binary star, GG Tau A, obtained with NICMOS aboard the Hubble Space Telescope. The spatially resolved proto-planetary disk scatters roughly 1.5% of the stellar flux, with a near-to-far side flux ratio of ~1.4, independent of wavelength, and colors that are comparable to the central source; all of these properties are significantly different from the earlier ground-based observations. New Monte Carlo scattering simulations of the disk emphasize that the general properties of the disk, such as disk flux, near side to far side flux ratio and integrated colors, can be approximately reproduced using ISM-like dust grains, without the presence of either circumstellar disks or large dust grains, as had previously been suggested. A single parameter phase function is fitted to the observed azimuthal variation in disk flux, providing a lower limit on the median grain size of 0.23 micron. Our analysis, in comparison to previous simulations, shows that the major limitation to the study of grain growth in T Tauri disk systems through scattered light lies in the uncertain ISM dust grain properties. Finally, we use the 9 year baseline of astrometric measurements of the binary to solve the complete orbit, assuming that the binary is coplanar with the circumbinary ring. We find that the estimated 1 sigma range on disk inner edge to semi-major axis ratio, 3.2 < Rin/a < 6.7, is larger than that estimated by previous SPH simulations of binary-disk interactions.Comment: 40 pages, 8 postscript figures, accepted for publication in Ap

    Cholesterol and coronary heart disease: screening and treatment

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    Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the United Kingdom, accounting for just under one quarter of all deaths in 1995: 27% among men and 21% among women.1 Although many CHD deaths occur among elderly people, CHD accounts for 31% of male and 13% of female deaths within the 45–64 age group

    Right ventricular responses to CPAP therapy in obstructive sleep apnoea: CMR analysis of the MOSAIC randomised trial

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    Effects of continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) on right ventricular (RV) function in patients with untreated mild-to-moderate obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are unclear. In this exploratory analysis of cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)-derived indices of RV function in patients with minimally symptomatic OSA from the MOSAIC randomized control trial we found no effect of CPAP on RV CMR parameters. In those with lower RV ejection fraction and higher RV end-diastolic volume (EDV) at baseline, CPAP treatment appeared to improve RV function with a significant reduction in both RV EDV and RV end-systolic volume although between-group effects were not observed. These data suggest potential merit in a larger randomized study of CPAP in patients with mild-to-moderate OSA and a greater breadth of RV dysfunction

    The circumstellar environment of T Tau S at high spatial and spectral resolution

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    We have obtained the first high spatial (0.05'') and spectral (R~35000) resolution 2 micron spectrum of the T Tau S tight binary system using adaptive optics on the Keck II telescope. We have also obtained the first 3.8 and 4.7 micron images that resolve the three components of the T Tau multiple system, as well as new 1.6 and 2.2 micron images. Together with its very red near-infrared colors, the spectrum of T Tau Sb shows that this T Tauri star is extincted by a roughly constant extinction of Av~15 mag, which is probably the 0.7''x0.5'' circumbinary structure recently observed in absorption in the ultraviolet. T Tau Sa, which is also observed through this screen and is actively accreting, further possesses a small edge-on disk that is evidenced by warm (390 K), narrow overtone CO rovibrational absorption features in our spectrum. We find that T Tau Sa is most likely an intermediate-mass star surrounded by a semi-transparent 2-3 AU-radius disk whose asymmetries and short Keplerian rotation explain the large photometric variability of the source on relatively short timescales. We also show that molecular hydrogen emission exclusively arises from the gas that surrounds T Tau S and that its spatial and kinematic structure, while providing suggestive evidence for a jet-like structure, is highly complex.Comment: accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal; 41 pages, 10 figure
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