165 research outputs found

    Four short stories

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    Thematic issue on evolutionary algorithms in water resources

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    Special Issue on Evolutionary Algorithms.H.R. Maier, Z. Kapelan, J. Kasprzyk, L.S. Matot

    Determination of Coenzyme A and Acetyl-Coenzyme A in Biological samples Using HPLC with UV Detection

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    Coenzyme A (CoA) and acetyl-coenzyme A (acetyl-CoA) play essential roles in cell energy metabolism. Dysregulation of the biosynthesis and functioning of both compounds may contribute to various pathological conditions. We describe here a simple and sensitive HPLC-UV based method for simultaneous determination of CoA and acetyl-CoA in a variety of biological samples, including cells in culture, mouse cortex, and rat plasma, liver, kidney, and brain tissues. The limits of detection for CoA and acetyl-CoA are \u3e10-fold lower than those obtained by previously described HPLC procedures, with coefficients of variatio

    Uncertainty-based multi-criteria calibration of rainfall-runoff models: a comparative study

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    The final publication is available at Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00477-014-0855-xThis study compares formal Bayesian inference to the informal generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) approach for uncertainty-based calibration of rainfall-runoff models in a multi-criteria context. Bayesian inference is accomplished through Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling based on an auto-regressive multi-criteria likelihood formulation. Non-converged MCMC sampling is also considered as an alternative method. These methods are compared along multiple comparative measures calculated over the calibration and validation periods of two case studies. Results demonstrate that there can be considerable differences in hydrograph prediction intervals generated by formal and informal strategies for uncertainty-based multi-criteria calibration. Also, the formal approach generates definitely preferable validation period results compared to GLUE (i.e., tighter prediction intervals that show higher reliability) considering identical computational budgets. Moreover, non-converged MCMC (based on the standard Gelman-Rubin metric) performance is reasonably consistent with those given by a formal and fully-converged Bayesian approach even though fully-converged results requires significantly larger number of samples (model evaluations) for the two case studies. Therefore, research to define alternative and more practical convergence criteria for MCMC applications to computationally intensive hydrologic models may be warranted.NSERC Discovery Gran

    Improving the efficiency of Monte Carlo Bayesian calibration of hydrologic models via model pre-emption

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    Final published version available at: Shafii, M., Tolson, B., & Shawn Matott, L. (2015). Improving the efficiency of Monte Carlo Bayesian calibration of hydrologic models via model pre-emption. Journal of Hydroinformatics, 17(5), 763–770. https://doi.org/10.2166/hydro.2015.043Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) sampling are popular methods for uncertainty analysis in hydrological modelling. However, application of these methodologies can incur significant computational costs. This study investigated using model pre-emption for improving the computational efficiency of MCMC and SMC samplers in the context of hydrological modelling. The proposed pre-emption strategy facilitates early termination of low-likelihood simulations and results in reduction of unnecessary simulation time steps. The proposed approach is incorporated into two samplers and applied to the calibration of three rainfall-runoff models. Results show that overall pre-emption savings range from 5 to 21%. Furthermore, results indicate that pre-emption savings are greatest during the pre-convergence 'burn-in' period (i.e., between 8 and 39%) and decrease as the algorithms converge towards high likelihood regions of parameter space. The observed savings are achieved with absolutely no change in the posterior set of parameters.Bryan Tolson's NSERC Discovery Gran
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