Games for the Strategic Influence of Expectations

We introduce a new class of games where each player's aim is to randomise her strategic choices in order to affect the other players' expectations aside from her own. The way each player intends to exert this influence is expressed through a Boolean combination of polynomial equalities and inequalities with rational coefficients. We offer a logical representation of these games as well as a computational study of the existence of equilibria.Comment: In Proceedings SR 2014, arXiv:1404.041

The Relationship of UK University Students with Alcohol: Binge Drinking and its Risks

Il presente studio è stato effettuato per comprendere le abitudini degli studenti universitari britannici in termini di consumo di alcol e i rischi legati a due fenomeni frequenti nel Regno Unito: il binge drinking (consumo eccessivo di alcol in un breve lasso di tempo, spesso per raggiungere velocemente lo stato di ebbrezza) e, in misura minore, il drink spiking (contaminazione di bevande con droghe o alcol). Attraverso un’analisi di studi accademici, sondaggi e articoli della stampa britannica, verrà presentato nella prima parte il ruolo dell’alcol nel Regno Unito, verranno fornite varie definizioni di binge drinking ed evidenziate le variazioni di significato del termine nel tempo. Saranno, poi, presentati i livelli di assunzione di riferimento di alcol emessi dall’NHS, il sistema sanitario nazionale del Regno Unito, seguiti da un’analisi sull’uso dell’alcol nel Regno Unito. Per quanto riguarda gli studenti universitari, verranno analizzati i motivi che li spingono al consumo di alcol, il binge drinking e le NekNomination (giochi alcolici online), l’uso dei pre-drinks (ritrovi serali tra amici per bere alcol prima di uscire) e le modalità in cui college e università aiutano gli studenti per evitare loro di incorrere in rischi legati all’alcol. In particolare, verranno analizzati drink spiking, violenze sessuali e fisiche, rischi per la salute e morte accidentale, e verranno presentate alcune strategie applicate per evitarli. La seconda parte verterà sull’analisi e discussione dei risultati di un sondaggio realizzato a Durham (Regno Unito) nel febbraio 2015 attraverso interviste a studenti universitari britannici e portieri di college e proprietari e membri dello staff di pub e bar locali con domande basate sulle loro esperienze, opinioni ed eventuali testimonianze riguardo il consumo di alcol, i fenomeni e i rischi sopra menzionati. Lo studio ha portato a vari risultati che hanno permessi di confermare e ampliare conoscenze pregresse sui temi trattati

Games for the Strategic Influence of Expectations

We introduce a new class of games where each player's aim is to randomise her strategic choices in order to affect the other players' expectations aside from her own. The way each player intends to exert this influence is expressed through a Boolean combination of polynomial equalities and inequalities with rational coefficients. We offer a logical representation of these games as well as a computational study of the existence of equilibria. © 2014 V. Bruyère, E. Filiot, M. Randour & J.-F. Raskin.Godo acknowledges support from the Spanish projects EdeTRI (TIN2012-39348-C02-01) and AT (CONSOLIDER CSD 2007-0022). Marchioni acknowledges support from the Marie Curie Intra-European Fellowship NAAMSI (FP7-PEOPLE-2011-IEF).Peer Reviewe

On triangular norms and uninorms definable in ŁΠ12

AbstractIn this paper, we investigate the definability of classes of t-norms and uninorms in the logic ŁΠ12. In particular we provide a complete characterization of definable continuous t-norms, weak nilpotent minimum t-norms, conjunctive uninorms continuous on [0,1), and idempotent conjunctive uninorms, and give both positive and negative results concerning definability of left-continuous t-norms (and uninorms). We show that the class of definable uninorms is closed under construction methods as annihilation, rotation and rotation–annihilation. Moreover, we prove that every logic based on a definable uninorm is in PSPACE, and that any finitely axiomatizable logic based on a class of definable uninorms is decidable. Finally we show that the Uninorm Mingle Logic (UML) and the Basic Uninorm Logic (BUL) are finitely strongly standard complete w.r.t. the related class of definable left-continuous conjunctive uninorms

Logics for Non-Cooperative Games with Expectations

International audienceWe introduce the logics E(G) for reasoning about probabilistic expectation over classes G of games with discrete polynomial payoff functions represented by finite-valued Lukasiewicz formulas and provide completeness and complexity results. In addition, we introduce a new class of games where players’ expected payoff functions are encoded by E(G)-formulas. In these games each player’s aim is to randomise her strategic choices in order to affect the other players’ expectations over an outcome as well as their own. We offer a logical and computational characterisation of this new class of games

Logics for Non-Cooperative Games with Expectations

We introduce the logics E(G) for reasoning about probabilistic expectation over classes G of games with discrete polynomial payoff functions represented by finite-valued Lukasiewicz formulas and provide completeness and complexity results. In addition, we introduce a new class of games where players' expected payoff functions are encoded by E(G)-formulas. In these games each player's aim is to randomise her strategic choices in order to affect the other players' expectations over an outcome as well as their own. We offer a logical and computational characterisation of this new class of games.Godo acknowledges support from the Spanish projects EdeTRI (TIN2012-39348-C02-01) and AT (CONSOLIDER CSD 2007-0022). Marchioni acknowledges support from the Marie Curie Project NAAMSI (FP7-PEOPLE-2011-IEF).Peer Reviewe

Average rates of return, working capital, and NPV-consistency in project appraisal: A sensitivity analysis approach

In project appraisal under uncertainty, the economic reliability of a measure of financial efficiency depends on its strong NPV-consistency, meaning that the performance metric (i) supplies the same recommendation in accept-reject decisions as the NPV, (ii) ranks competing projects in the same way as the NPV, (iii) has the same sensitivity to perturbations in the input data as the NPV. In real-life projects, financial efficiency is greatly affected by the management of the working capital. Using a sensitivity analysis approach and taking into explicit account the role of working capital, we show that the average return on investment (ROI) is not strongly NPV-consistent in accept-reject decisions if the working capital is uncertain and changes under changes in revenues and costs. Also, it is not strongly NPV-consistent in project ranking. We also show that the internal rate of return (IRR) is not strongly NPV-consistent and economic analysis may even turn out to be impossible, owing to possible nonexistence and multiplicity caused by perturbations in the input data, as well as to possible shifts in the financial meaning of IRR under changes in the project’s value drivers. We introduce the straight-line rate of return (SLRR), based on the notion of average rate of change, which overcomes all the problems encountered by average ROI and IRR: It always exists, is unique, strongly NPV-consistent for both accept-reject decisions and project ranking, and has an unambiguous financial nature