On convergence to stationarity of fractional Brownian storage

With M(t) := sups2[0,t] A(s) − s denoting the running maximum of a fractional Brownian motion A(·) with negative drift, this paper studies the rate of convergence of P(M(t) > x) to P(M > x). We define two metrics that measure the distance between the (complementary) distribution functions P(M(t) > · ) and P(M > · ). Our main result states that both metrics roughly decay as exp(−#t2−2H), where # is the decay rate corresponding to the tail distribution of the busy period in an fBm-driven queue, which was computed recently [16]. The proofs extensively rely on application of the well-known large deviations theorem for Gaussian processes. We also show that the identified relation between the decay of the convergence metrics and busy-period asymptotics holds in other settings as well, most notably when G¨artner-Ellis-type conditions are fulfilled

Gaussian queues in light and heavy traffic

In this paper we investigate Gaussian queues in the light-traffic and in the heavy-traffic regime. The setting considered is that of a centered Gaussian process $X\equiv\{X(t):t\in\mathbb R\}$ with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(\cdot)$, equipped with a deterministic drift $c>0$, reflected at 0: $$Q_X^{(c)}(t)=\sup_{-\infty<s\le t}(X(t)-X(s)-c(t-s)).$$ We study the resulting stationary workload process $Q^{(c)}_X\equiv\{Q_X^{(c)}(t):t\ge0\}$ in the limiting regimes $c\to 0$ (heavy traffic) and $c\to\infty$ (light traffic). The primary contribution is that we show for both limiting regimes that, under mild regularity conditions on the variance function, there exists a normalizing function $\delta(c)$ such that $Q^{(c)}_X(\delta(c)\cdot)/\sigma_X(\delta(c))$ converges to a non-trivial limit in $C[0,\infty)$

Large deviations of infinite intersections of events in Gaussian processes

The large deviations principle for Gaussian measures in Banach space is given by the generalized Schilder's theorem. After assigning a norm ||f|| to paths f in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space of the underlying Gaussian process, the probability of an event A can be studied by minimizing the norm over all paths in A. The minimizing path f*, if it exists, is called the most probable path and it determines the corresponding exponential decay rate. The main objective of our paper is to identify the most probable path for the class of sets A that are such that the minimization is over a closed convex set in an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. The `smoothness' (i.e., mean-square differentiability) of the Gaussian process involved has a crucial impact on the structure of the solution. Notably, as an example of a non-smooth process, we analyze the special case of fractional Brownian motion, and the set A consisting of paths f at or above the line t in [0,1]. For H>1/2, we prove that there is an s such that