Predicting serious complications in patients with cancer and pulmonary embolism using decision tree modelling: the EPIPHANY Index

Background: Our objective was to develop a prognostic stratification tool that enables patients with cancer and pulmonary embolism (PE), whether incidental or symptomatic, to be classified according to the risk of serious complications within 15 days. Methods: The sample comprised cases from a national registry of pulmonary thromboembolism in patients with cancer (1075 patients from 14 Spanish centres). Diagnosis was incidental in 53.5% of the events in this registry. The Exhaustive CHAID analysis was applied with 10-fold crossvalidation to predict development of serious complications following PE diagnosis. Results: About 208 patients (19.3%, 95% confidence interval (CI), 17.1-21.8%) developed a serious complication after PE diagnosis. The 15-day mortality rate was 10.1%, (95% CI, 8.4-12.1%). The decision tree detected six explanatory covariates: Hestia-like clinical decision rule (any risk criterion present vs none), Eastern Cooperative Group performance scale (ECOG-PS; = 2), O-2 saturation (= 90%), presence of PE-specific symptoms, tumour response (progression, unknown, or not evaluated vs others), and primary tumour resection. Three risk classes were created (low, intermediate, and high risk). The risk of serious complications within 15 days increases according to the group: 1.6, 9.4, 30.6%; P<0.0001. Fifteen-day mortality rates also rise progressively in low-, intermediate-, and high-risk patients: 0.3, 6.1, and 17.1%; P<0.0001. The cross-validated risk estimate is 0.191 (s.e. = 0.012). The optimism-corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve is 0.779 (95% CI, 0.717-0.840). Conclusions: We have developed and internally validated a prognostic index to predict serious complications with the potential to impact decision-making in patients with cancer and PE

Rate and duration of hospitalisation for acute pulmonary embolism in the real-world clinical practice of different countries : Analysis from the RIETE registry

publishersversionPeer reviewe

Venous thromboembolism in patients with glioblastoma multiforme: Findings of the RIETE registry.

There is uncertainty about the optimal therapy of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with glioblastoma multiforme (GBM). We used the RIETE (Registro Informatizado Enfermedad TromboEmbólica) database to compare the rate of VTE recurrences and major bleeding during the course of anticoagulation in patients with GBM, other cancers and in patients without cancer. As of September 2014, 53,546 patients have been recruited in RIETE. Of these, 72 (0.13%) had GBM and 11,811 (22%) had other cancers. Most patients in all 3 subgroups received initial therapy with low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH), but those with GBM received slightly lower doses than those with other cancers or without cancer. Then, most patients with GBM continued on LMWH for long-term therapy, at similar doses than those in the other subgroups. During the course of anticoagulation (mean, 202 days), 3 patients with GBM presented VTE recurrences (10.9 per 100 patient-years; 95% CI: 2.76-29.5) and 4 suffered major bleeding (one intracranial) (14.5 bleeds per 100 patient-years; 95%CI: 4.60-34.9). Compared with patients with other cancers, those with GBM had a similar rate of VTE recurrences and major bleeds, but had a higher rate of extracranial hematoma (p&lt;0.05). Compared with VTE patients without cancer, those with GBM had a higher rate of PE recurrences (p&lt;0.01) and major bleeding (p&lt;0.001), particularly extracranial hematoma (p&lt;0.001). Patients with GBM and VTE had a similar rate of VTE recurrences or major bleeds during the course of anticoagulant therapy than those with other cancers

Inferior vena cava agenesis in patients with lower limb deep vein thrombosis in the RIETE registry. When and why to suspect.

Limited data exist about the clinical presentation and outcomes of patients with inferior vena cava agenesis (IVCA) who develop deep vein thrombosis (DVT). We used the RIETE (Registro Informatizado Enfermedad Trombo Embólica) registry to compare clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with lower limb DVT, according to the presence or absence of IVCA. Major outcomes included recurrent DVT, major bleeding and post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS). Among 50,744 patients with lower-limb DVT recruited in October 2018, 31 (0.06%) had IVCA. On multivariable analysis, patients aged &lt; 30 years (odds ratio [OR]: 17.9; 95%CI: 7.05-45.3), with unprovoked DVT (OR: 2.49; 95%CI: 1.17-5.29), proximal (OR: 2.81; 95%CI: 1.05-7.53) or bilateral DVT (OR: 11.5; 95%CI: 4.75-27.8) were at increased risk to have IVCA. Patients with DVT and IVCA had lower odds to present with coexisting PE (OR: 0.22; 95%CI: 0.07-0.73). During the first year of follow-up, the rates of DVT recurrences (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.30; 95%CI: 0.07-6.43), pulmonary embolism (HR: 2.30; 95%CI: 0.11-11.4) or major bleeding (HR: 1.32; 95%CI: 0.07-6.50) were not significantly different with those with versus those without IVCA. One year after the index DVT, IVCA patients had a higher rate of skin induration (OR: 3.70; 95%CI: 1.30-9.52), collateral vein circulation (OR: 3.57; 95%CI: 1.42-8.79) or venous ulcer (OR: 5.87; 95%CI: 1.36-1.87) in the lower limb than those without IVCA. Certain clinical features such as unprovoked and bilateral proximal DVT in young patients should raise the suspicion for IVCA. Patients with IVCA had higher odds for symptoms of post-thrombotic syndrome

Inferior vena cava agenesis in patients with lower limb deep vein thrombosis in the RIETE registry. When and why to suspect

Background: Limited data exist about the clinical presentation and outcomes of patients with inferior vena cava agenesis (IVCA) who develop deep vein thrombosis (DVT). Methods: We used the RIETE (Registro Informatizado Enfermedad Trombo Embólica) registry to compare clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with lower limb DVT, according to the presence or absence of IVCA. Major outcomes included recurrent DVT, major bleeding and post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS). Results: Among 50,744 patients with lower-limb DVT recruited in October 2018, 31 (0.06%) had IVCA. On multivariable analysis, patients aged < 30 years (odds ratio [OR]: 17.9; 95%CI: 7.05–45.3), with unprovoked DVT (OR: 2.49; 95%CI: 1.17–5.29), proximal (OR: 2.81; 95%CI: 1.05–7.53) or bilateral DVT (OR: 11.5; 95%CI: 4.75–27.8) were at increased risk to have IVCA. Patients with DVT and IVCA had lower odds to present with coexisting PE (OR: 0.22; 95%CI: 0.07–0.73). During the first year of follow-up, the rates of DVT recurrences (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.30; 95%CI: 0.07–6.43), pulmonary embolism (HR: 2.30; 95%CI: 0.11–11.4) or major bleeding (HR: 1.32; 95%CI: 0.07–6.50) were not significantly different with those with versus those without IVCA. One year after the index DVT, IVCA patients had a higher rate of skin induration (OR: 3.70; 95%CI: 1.30–9.52), collateral vein circulation (OR: 3.57; 95%CI: 1.42–8.79) or venous ulcer (OR: 5.87; 95%CI: 1.36–1.87) in the lower limb than those without IVCA. Conclusions: Certain clinical features such as unprovoked and bilateral proximal DVT in young patients should raise the suspicion for IVCA. Patients with IVCA had higher odds for symptoms of post-thrombotic syndrome

Recurrence of venous thromboembolism in patients with recent gestational deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism: Findings from the RIETE Registry

Introduction The aim of this study was to investigate the recurrence rate of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and the prevalence of major bleeding or death in patients with previous VTE in pregnancy and puerperium. Risk factors for VTE recurrence were also assessed. Materials and methods We evaluated a cohort of patients enrolled in the international, multicenter, prospective Registro Informatizado de la Enfermedad Trombo-Embólica (RIETE) registry with objectively confirmed VTE. Results In the registry, 607 women were presenting with VTE that occurred during pregnancy or puerperium. The 2-year VTE recurrence rate was 3.3% (CI: 95 1.5-5.0%) and the recurrent VTE incidence rate was 2.28 events/100 patients-year. Among the 16 cases of VTE recurrence 11 cases appeared during drug treatment while only five cases were diagnosed after therapy discontinuation. No significant difference was found in treatment duration among these two subgroups of VTE recurrence cases and women without recurrence. Furthermore, the use of thrombolytics and inferior vena cava filter in initial treatment was associated to an increased risk of VTE recurrence. Conclusions The current study provides new insights on VTE recurrence rate in patients with deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE) that occurred in pregnancy or postpartum period. These findings can contribute to risk assessment of thrombotic burden, thereby allowing for better decision making regarding antithrombotic management in this clinical setting

Predicting serious complications in patients with cancer and pulmonary embolism using decision tree modelling: the EPIPHANY Index.

Our objective was to develop a prognostic stratification tool that enables patients with cancer and pulmonary embolism (PE), whether incidental or symptomatic, to be classified according to the risk of serious complications within 15 days. The sample comprised cases from a national registry of pulmonary thromboembolism in patients with cancer (1075 patients from 14 Spanish centres). Diagnosis was incidental in 53.5% of the events in this registry. The Exhaustive CHAID analysis was applied with 10-fold cross-validation to predict development of serious complications following PE diagnosis. About 208 patients (19.3%, 95% confidence interval (CI), 17.1-21.8%) developed a serious complication after PE diagnosis. The 15-day mortality rate was 10.1%, (95% CI, 8.4-12.1%). The decision tree detected six explanatory covariates: Hestia-like clinical decision rule (any risk criterion present vs none), Eastern Cooperative Group performance scale (ECOG-PS; We have developed and internally validated a prognostic index to predict serious complications with the potential to impact decision-making in patients with cancer and PE

Predicting serious complications in patients with cancer and pulmonary embolism using decision tree modelling: the EPIPHANY Index

Background: Our objective was to develop a prognostic stratification tool that enables patients with cancer and pulmonary embolism (PE), whether incidental or symptomatic, to be classified according to the risk of serious complications within 15 days. Methods: The sample comprised cases from a national registry of pulmonary thromboembolism in patients with cancer (1075 patients from 14 Spanish centres). Diagnosis was incidental in 53.5% of the events in this registry. The Exhaustive CHAID analysis was applied with 10-fold crossvalidation to predict development of serious complications following PE diagnosis. Results: About 208 patients (19.3%, 95% confidence interval (CI), 17.1-21.8%) developed a serious complication after PE diagnosis. The 15-day mortality rate was 10.1%, (95% CI, 8.4-12.1%). The decision tree detected six explanatory covariates: Hestia-like clinical decision rule (any risk criterion present vs none), Eastern Cooperative Group performance scale (ECOG-PS; = 2), O-2 saturation (= 90%), presence of PE-specific symptoms, tumour response (progression, unknown, or not evaluated vs others), and primary tumour resection. Three risk classes were created (low, intermediate, and high risk). The risk of serious complications within 15 days increases according to the group: 1.6, 9.4, 30.6%; P<0.0001. Fifteen-day mortality rates also rise progressively in low-, intermediate-, and high-risk patients: 0.3, 6.1, and 17.1%; P<0.0001. The cross-validated risk estimate is 0.191 (s.e. = 0.012). The optimism-corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve is 0.779 (95% CI, 0.717-0.840). Conclusions: We have developed and internally validated a prognostic index to predict serious complications with the potential to impact decision-making in patients with cancer and PE