Global Burden of Sickle Cell Anaemia in Children under Five, 2010-2050: Modelling Based on Demographics, Excess Mortality, and Interventions

The global burden of sickle cell anaemia (SCA) is set to rise as a consequence of improved survival in high-prevalence low- and middle-income countries and population migration to higher-income countries. The host of quantitative evidence documenting these changes has not been assembled at the global level. The purpose of this study is to estimate trends in the future number of newborns with SCA and the number of lives that could be saved in under-five children with SCA by the implementation of different levels of health interventions.First, we calculated projected numbers of newborns with SCA for each 5-y interval between 2010 and 2050 by combining estimates of national SCA frequencies with projected demographic data. We then accounted for under-five mortality (U5m) projections and tested different levels of excess mortality for children with SCA, reflecting the benefits of implementing specific health interventions for under-five patients in 2015, to assess the number of lives that could be saved with appropriate health care services. The estimated number of newborns with SCA globally will increase from 305,800 (confidence interval [CI]: 238,400-398,800) in 2010 to 404,200 (CI: 242,500-657,600) in 2050. It is likely that Nigeria (2010: 91,000 newborns with SCA [CI: 77,900-106,100]; 2050: 140,800 [CI: 95,500-200,600]) and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (2010: 39,700 [CI: 32,600-48,800]; 2050: 44,700 [CI: 27,100-70,500]) will remain the countries most in need of policies for the prevention and management of SCA. We predict a decrease in the annual number of newborns with SCA in India (2010: 44,400 [CI: 33,700-59,100]; 2050: 33,900 [CI: 15,900-64,700]). The implementation of basic health interventions (e.g., prenatal diagnosis, penicillin prophylaxis, and vaccination) for SCA in 2015, leading to significant reductions in excess mortality among under-five children with SCA, could, by 2050, prolong the lives of 5,302,900 [CI: 3,174,800-6,699,100] newborns with SCA. Similarly, large-scale universal screening could save the lives of up to 9,806,000 (CI: 6,745,800-14,232,700) newborns with SCA globally, 85% (CI: 81%-88%) of whom will be born in sub-Saharan Africa. The study findings are limited by the uncertainty in the estimates and the assumptions around mortality reductions associated with interventions.Our quantitative approach confirms that the global burden of SCA is increasing, and highlights the need to develop specific national policies for appropriate public health planning, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Further empirical collaborative epidemiological studies are vital to assess current and future health care needs, especially in Nigeria, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and India

EAACI position paper on occupational rhinitis

The present document is the result of a consensus reached by a panel of experts from European and non-European countries on Occupational Rhinitis (OR), a disease of emerging relevance which has received little attention in comparison to occupational asthma. The document covers the main items of OR including epidemiology, diagnosis, management, socio-economic impact, preventive strategies and medicolegal issues. An operational definition and classification of OR tailored on that of occupational asthma, as well as a diagnostic algorithm based on steps allowing for different levels of diagnostic evidence are proposed. The needs for future research are pointed out. Key messages are issued for each item

Benchmarking heart rate variability to overcome sex-related bias

Since the seminal studies by Sayers (Ergonomics 16:17\u201332, 1973) and Akselrod et al. (Science 213:220\u2013222, 1981) a few decades ago, it became clear that beat-by-beat oscillations in RR interval length (i.e. heart-rate variability [HRV]) contain information on underlying neural-control mechanisms based on the instantaneous balance between parasympathetic and sympathetic innervation. Over the years, the number of studies addressing HRV has increased markedly and now outnumbers 23,000. Despite such a large interest, there is still a continuing debate about interpretation of indices produced by computer analysis of HRV. The main part of studies relies on spectral techniques to extract parameters that are linked to hidden information. The general idea is that these proxies of autonomic regulation can be useful to clinical applications in various conditions in which autonomic dysregulation may play a role. There are, however, serious shortcomings related to algorithms, interpretation, and the hidden value of individual indices. In particular, it appears that specific training is necessary to interpret the hidden informational value of HRV. This technical complexity represents a severe barrier to large-scale clinical applications. Moreover, important differences in HRV separate the sexes, and age plays an additional confounding role. We present here a preliminary application of a novel unitary index of RR variability (Autonomic Nervous System Index of cardiac regulation) capable of providing information on the performance of autonomic regulation using a percentile rank position as projected on a large benchmark population. A summary of the underlying sympatho-vagal model is also presented