Time Series Forecasting of New Cases for COVID-19 Pandemic in Jordan Using Enhanced Hybrid EMD-ARIMA

In this study, the enhanced hybrid empirical mode decomposition with autoregressive integrated moving average (EMD- ARIMA) method is proposed and applied to forecast daily new COVID-19 reported cases in Jordan. The EMD method is applied to decompose the COVID-19 data into a number of IMFs components as a simple time series. Then, the appropriate ARIMA(p,d,q) model is applied to evaluate the forecasting value for the low-frequency components. Then, the forecasting results are collected together. Data for this study are collected from the Jordanian Ministry of Health. Seven forecasting accuracy measures are employed to compare the forecasting results of the proposed technique with the results of seven forecasting methods. The comparison of forecasting results shows that the enhanced EMD-ARIMA method is better than selecting forecasting methodologies in COVID-19 data

Incremental Evaluation of Rules and its Relationship to Parallelism

Rule interpreters usually start with an initial database and perform the inference procedure in cycles, ending with a final database. In a real time environment it is possible to receive updates to the initial database after the inference procedure has started or even after it has ended. We present an algorithm for incremental maintenance of the deductive database in the presence of such updates. Interestingly, the same algorithm is useful for parallel and distributed rule processing in the following sense. \\'hen the processors evaluating a program operate asynchronously. then they may have different views of the database. The incremental maintenance procedure we present can be used to synchronize these views

Fine needle aspiration cytological diagnosis of thyroid nodule with its clinical correlation

Background: Nodular goiter is common in Bangladesh. Thyroid nodules are important for their malignant potential especially the solitary and cold ones and when functionally euthyroid. Objectives: This study was designed to investigate the frequency of malignancy and cellular aberration detected by fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) in euthyroid nodules and its correlation with clinical findings. Methods: Subjects with nodular goiter attending Endocrine out patient department [n=150, nonpregnant, age (mean± SD): 37±12 years; sex (male: female): 21:129] were recruited for this study. All subjects underwent clinical risk stratification, estimation ofFT4 and TSH as well as ultrnsonogram (USG) and isotope scan of thyroid. Thyroid nodules were categorized into malignant, suspicious, benign and indeterminant on the basis of cellular character by FNAC. Statistical analysis was done by Chi-square and multiple regression analysis. Results: Patients were mostly females (86%) and 4.7% had family history of thyroid problems. Some had recent changes of size (14.7%), pain in the nodule (4%) and dysphagia (6%). Nodules were solitary in 45.3% and the rest (54.7%) had multinodular goiter. Enlarged regional lymph node was found in 12.7% patients. About 41 % were partially-cold followed by cold nodules (26.7%), patchy (16.7%), isoform (12%) and hot (4%) by isotope scan. Frequency of malignant (10%) character was highest in cold nodules followed by uniform (5.6%), patchy (4.0%) and partially cold (1.6%) while none in hot nodules; which were 22.5%, 11.1 %, 4.0%, 9.8% and 16.7% respectively for suspicious nodules. About 17% showed cellular aberration and 4.7% were clearly malignant, whereas 124 (82.7%) were benign. Of the malignant, 4 were solitary and 3 were multinodular; which were 10 and 9 among the suspicious ones. A significant number (77%, 20 out of 26) among the malignant/suspicious nodules fell into moderate to high risk category (x2=22.861, p<0.001), while 23.1 % of the FNAC proven malignant/suspicious nodules were of low risk category. Enlarged lymph nodes (p<0.001), increased diameter of nodules of >4 cm (p=0.039) and recent changes in nodular size (p=0.042) were independently and signifi­cantly related to cellular aberration. Conclusions: FNAC is a useful tool for cellular diagnosis of thyroid nodules. Clinical suspicion for malignancy strongly correlates with the FNAC findings. But a good number of clinically Low risk categories would escape malignant cellular character unless FNAC is done

Dukungan Sosial Pada Penderita Kanker

In Indonesia, death from cancer increase rapidly from year to year. So it is importent to give attention and serious intervention on the problem of cancer. This Study was designed to asses the relationship between social support and depression; to identity the social-support source which contributes the most to cancer patient; an to assessed the level of depression of the cancer patients. The subjects were 51 cancer patients of the radio therapy unit of the RSUP Dr. Sardjito Yogyakarta. The results show that there is a negative correlation between social support and depression. The result also suggests that 46.15% of the subjects are depressed, although they receive high social support (the highest support comes from spouses parents, and families)

Effect of concentrate supplementation on reproductive performance of rabbit does and litter performance during preweaning period under ruralconditions

The experiment was conducted under rural condition over a period of October, 2001 to February, 2002 to see the effect of concentrate supp!ementation on the reproductive performances of meat type rabbit. Sixteen female New Zealand White crossbred aged about 3.5 to 4.5 months, weighing on average 9.5 to 13.0 kg were assigned randomly into two feeding regimes, Ti (farmers own diet ) and T2 (farmers own diet + concentrate' 75 g/day) with four replications, in a complete randomized design (CAD). All animals had free access to the locally available green grass. The percent of does kidded, gestation Period, litter size and individual kit weight at birth were similar (13>0.05) irrespective of level of treatments. The litter weight (g) and individual kit weight (g) at weaning, daily average weight gain of kit and kit mortality up to weaning differed significantly (P<0.01) and the mean values were 969.30±99.13 vs. 427.11±105.97, 408.12±3.85 vs. 310.62±3.56, 352.62±2.65 vs. 255.75±2.76 and 26.92±10.70 vs. 45.00±10.07 for T2 and Ti groups, 'respectively. These results reveal that supplementation of concentrate (75 g/d) in addition to adlibitum green grass may improve reproductive performance of rabbit under rural condition

EFFECT OF CONCENTRATE SUPPLEMENTATION ON GROWTH AND REPRODUCTIVE PERFORMANCE OF RABBIT UNDER RURAL CONDITION

Crossbred New Zealand White meat type 8 male and 16 female rabbits aged 3.5 to 4.5 months weighing 9.5 to 13.0 kg were used in a 128 day trial to study the effects of concentrate supplementation on growth and reproductive performance of rabbit under rural condition. Rabbits were divided according to live weight into two treatment groups, i.e. T1 (conventional diet) and T2 (conventional diet + concentrate 75 g/d per rabbit) with four replications per treatment in a Complete Randomized Design (CRD). All animals had free access to locally available green grasses. Results showed that, average daily live weight gain was significantly (p&lt;0.01) higher in T2 (13.02 ± 0.43 g/d) than T1 (5.30 ± 0.43 g/d) group. Litter weight at birth was better (p&lt;0.05) in T2 (180.38 ± 16.37g) than T1 (137.19 ± 16.37g) group. Litter size at weaning differed (p&lt;0.05) and the mean values were 1.37 ± 0.30 for T1 and 2.37 ± 0.27 for T2 group. Kit weight at weaning was superior (p&lt;0.01) in T2 (408.12 ± 3.85g) than T1 (310.62 ± 3.56g) group. Kit mortality up to weaning was higher (p&lt;0.01) in T1 (45.0 ± 10.07 %) than T2 (26.92 ± 10.7 %) group. These results indicate that, supplementation of concentrate in addition to conventional feeding may improve growth and reproductive performance of rabbit under rural condition

Epidemiology and Outcomes of Burn Injuries at a Tertiary Burn Care Center in Bangladesh

Globally, burns are among some of the most devastating injuries and account for more than 265,000 deaths worldwide. In Bangladesh alone, nearly 3000 people die annually from burn-related injuries. This study was conducted at the National Institute of Burn and Plastic Surgery in Dhaka, Bangladesh in June of 2016. Data included conducting surveys of hospitalized burn patients (N=66) and a chart review of deceased burn patients (N=88). In addition to reporting on the demographic profile of patients, information was also obtained on clinical measures during hospitalization. For non-fatal burns, high risk groups included young adult males (early 30s) of lower socioeconomic status. Among children, the most vulnerable group was found to be children less than eight years old. The most common non-fatal types of burn injuries were flame (35%), electrical (31%) and scald (24%). Discharged patients had an average hospital stay of around 30days with half of all patients requiring surgical intervention, thus indicating the severity of those cases and the need for resource-intensive care. Among the discharged patient population, factors significantly associated with a longer duration of hospital stay included severity of injury, not having received prior treatment before admission and whether or not patients required surgery during hospitalization. Among the mortality cases, the high-risk groups also included young adult males and children of around eight years of age. The average total body surface area (TBSA) sustained in these cases was 46.4%, with 65% of deaths attributable to complications from flame burns. These findings highlight the frequency and severity of burn injuries, identify vulnerable population groups and list common causes of burns in this large developing country of 160 million people. Furthermore, these findings may be applicable to the epidemiology and outcome of burns in similar low and middle income countries

Cardiac rupture during stress echocardiography

A case of acute cardiac rupture during dobutamine stress echocardiography testing that was performed on the sixth day after admission for an acute inferoposterior myocardial infarction is reported. Following successful surgical repair, the postoperative course was complicated by severe mitral regurgitation secondary to papillary muscle rupture