646 research outputs found
Mutual Fund Performance Evaluation: A Comparison of Benchmarks and Benchmark Comparisons
Our primary goal in this paper is to ascertain whether the absolute and relative rankings of managed funds are sensitive to the benchmark chosen to measure normal performance. We employ the standard CAPM benchmarks and a variety of APT benchmarks to investigate this question. We found that there is little similarity between the absolute and relative mutual fund rankings obtained from alternative benchmarks which suggests the importance of knowing the appropriate model for risk and expected return in this context. In addition, the rankings are quite sensitive to the method used to construct the APT benchmark. One would reach very different conclusions about the funds' performance using smaller numbers of securities in the analysis or the less efficient methods for estimating the necessary factor models than one would arrive at using the maximum likelihood procedures with 750 securities. We did, however, find the rankings of the funds are not very sensitive to the exact number of common sources of systematic risk that are assumed to impinge on security returns. Finally, we found statistically significant measured abnormal performance using all the benchmarks. The economic explanation of this phenomenon appears to be an open question.
The Empirical Foundations of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory I: The Empirical Tests
This paper provides a detailed and extensive examination of the validity of the APT based on maximum likelihood factor analysis of large cross-sections of securities. Our empirical implementation of the theory proved in capable of explaining expected returns on portfolios composed of securities with different market capitalizations although it provided an adequate account of the expected returns of portfolios formed on the basis of dividend yield and own variance where risk adjustment with the CAPM employing the usual market proxies failed. In addition, it appears that the zero beta version of the APT is sharply rejected in favor of the riskless rate model and that there is little basis for discriminating among five and ten factor versions of the theory.
Diversification and the Optimal Construction of Basis Portfolios
Nontrivial diversification possibilities arise when a factor model describes security returns. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive examination of the merits of various strategies for constructing basis portfolios that are, in principle, highly correlated with the common factors underlying security returns. Three main conclusions emerge from our study. First, increasing the number of securities included in the analysis dramatically improves basis portfolio performance. Our results indicate that factor models involving 750 securities provide markedly superior performance to those involving 30 or 250 securities. Second, comparatively efficient estimation procedures such as maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood factor analysis (which imposes the APT mean restriction) significantly outperform the less efficient instrumental variables and principal components procedures that have been proposed in the literature. Third, a variant of the usual Fama-MacBeth portfolio formation procedure, which we call the minimum idiosyncratic risk portfolio formation procedure, outperformed the Fama-MacBeth procedure and proved equal to or better than more expensive quadratic programming procedures.
Correlating Fourier phase information with real-space higher order statistics
We establish for the first time heuristic correlations between harmonic space
phase information and higher order statistics. Using the spherical full-sky
maps of the cosmic microwave background as an example we demonstrate that known
phase correlations at large spatial scales can gradually be diminished when
subtracting a suitable best-fit (Bianchi-) template map of given strength. The
weaker phase correlations lead in turn to a vanishing signature of anisotropy
when measuring the Minkowski functionals and scaling indices in real-space and
comparing them with surrogate maps being free of phase correlations. Those
investigations can open a new road to a better understanding of signatures of
non-Gaussianities in complex spatial structures by elucidating the meaning of
Fourier phase correlations and their influence on higher order statistics.Comment: 6 pages plus 1 supplemental page, 4 figures, submitte
Challenges in the development of the orbiter radiator system
Major technical challenges which were met in the design and development of the Space Shuttle Orbiter Radiator System are discussed. This system rejects up to 30 kW of waste heat from eight individual radiators having a combined surface area of 175 sq m. The radiators, which are deployable, are mounted on the inside of the payload bay doors for protection from aerodynamic heating during ascent and re-entry. While in orbit the payload bay doors are opened to expose the radiators for operation. An R21 coolant loop accumulates waste heat from various components in the Orbiter and delivers the heat to the radiators for rejection to space. Specific challenges included high acoustically induced loads during lift-off, severe radiating area constraints, demanding heat load control requirements, and long life goals. Details of major design and analysis efforts are discussed. The success of the developed hardware in satisfying mission objectives showed how well the design challenge was met
Non-equilibrium electromagnetic fluctuations: Heat transfer and interactions
The Casimir force between arbitrary objects in equilibrium is related to
scattering from individual bodies. We extend this approach to heat transfer and
Casimir forces in non-equilibrium cases where each body, and the environment,
is at a different temperature. The formalism tracks the radiation from each
body and its scatterings by the other objects. We discuss the radiation from a
cylinder, emphasizing its polarized nature, and obtain the heat transfer
between a sphere and a plate, demonstrating the validity of proximity transfer
approximation at close separations and arbitrary temperatures.Comment: 4 pages, 2 figures, published version, minor changes (e.g. typos
Probing non-Gaussianities in the CMB on an incomplete sky using surrogates
We demonstrate the feasibility to generate surrogates by Fourier-based
methods for an incomplete data set. This is performed for the case of a CMB
analysis, where astrophysical foreground emission, mainly present in the
Galactic plane, is a major challenge. The shuffling of the Fourier phases for
generating surrogates is now enabled by transforming the spherical harmonics
into a new set of basis functions that are orthonormal on the cut sky. The
results show that non-Gaussianities and hemispherical asymmetries in the CMB as
identified in several former investigations, can still be detected even when
the complete Galactic plane (|b| < 30{\deg}) is removed. We conclude that the
Galactic plane cannot be the dominant source for these anomalies. The results
point towards a violation of statistical isotropy.Comment: 9 pages, 13 figures, accepted by Physical Review
Population Structure and Exploitation of Three Commercial Tree Species in Nguru ya Ndege Forest Reserve, Morogoro – Tanzania
Forests in tropical environments are unstable and hardly maintain fixed climax species composition over long periods. They are victims of modifications by variety of factors including human influences that result in long lasting disturbances. Having observed this, we investigated the population structure and rate of exploitation for three commercial tree species namely, Dalbergia melanoxylon, Pterocarpus angolensis and Afzelia quanzensis in Nguru ya Ndege Forest Reserve. Objectives were to determine the density, DBH distribution and the harvesting rate. We employed simple random procedure to select sampling points, where a map of the reserve was used to divide the study area into 100 equal grids. Fifty grids were then picked randomly, and within these grids, 20 by 20 m quadrats were established for counting stumps and trees with DBH ≥ 4 cm. In addition, saplings with DBH of ≤ 4 cm were counted inside 5 by 5 m quadrats placed within the 20 by 20 m quadrats. Results showed that, the density of P. angolensis was 19 stems/ha, A. quanzensis 8 stems/ha and D. melanoxylon 3.1 stems/ha. DBH graphs showed characteristic inversed J shapes for P. angolensis and A. quanzensis, but broken pattern for D.melanoxylon. Harvesting rates (stumps/ha) was 4.5 for A. quanzensis, 4.0 for P. angolensis and 1 for D. melanoxylon. We concluded that, all target species were found facing harvesting pressure, with the population structure of D. melanoxylon being disturbed. We recommended that harvest of trees in the reserve should be controlled.Keywords: Density, DBH distribution, Illegal harvest, Tropic
- …