Pilot Supply and Demand: A Quantitative Forecast Examining Changing Industry Dynamics

The aviation industry is constantly changing; therefore, it becomes critical to understand the historical and current state of the industry in order to progress into the future. The creation of Public Law 111-216, along with new flight time/duty time regulations and accelerating retirements, is creating a demand within the industry that the pilot labor supply may not be able to accommodate. This study produces a Pilot Labor Supply Forecast through analysis of current industry dynamics. Through a step-wise interactive linear regression, models were created and used to predict the number of new CFI’s being created, based upon the yearly percentage change in flight costs, the number of new pilots hired at major airlines, and a previously unknown interaction between the two. A Flight Cost Forecast as well as a Pilot Demand Forecast was created through this analysis. This study found that between 2012 and 2032, flight costs are expected to increase by approximately 11.468% based on 2012 dollars, and 111,971 pilots will be needed at major airlines by 2032. However, the CFI Labor Supply Forecast approximates the creation of only 52,117 CFI’s during the same time period. There will be an apparent shortage of pilots at the major airlines within this forecast period, which will cause problems in the aviation industry’s current structure. This study provides a tangible analysis to determine how the pilot labor supply has changed since previous forecasts, and provides the framework for continuing improvement as the aviation industry transforms

Broken Stone: Finding Dust and Dragons in Appalachia

Submitted to the faculty of Morehead State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Bachelor of Fine Arts in the Department of English at Morehead State University by Jonathan Lounsberry in May of 2010

Therapeutic Heat: Effects of Superficial and Deep Heating Modalities on Hamstring Flexibility

Poor muscle flexibility has often been associated with injury. Therapeutic heating modalities are frequently used to increase the extensibility of the muscle. The purpose of this study was to compare immediate changes in hamstring flexibility following the application of superficial (moist heat pack) and deep (1 MHz ultrasound) heating modalities. Twenty-four college aged subjects met the inclusion criteria and volunteered for this study. Subjects reported to the Athletic Training Lab and received either the ultrasound or moist heat pack treatment. Hamstring flexibility was measured pre and post treatment using an active knee extension test with an inclinometer. An average of three measurements was used in the analysis. Subjects who received the ultrasound treatment showed greater immediate gains in hamstring flexibility. Therefore ultrasound would be the recommended treatment for increasing extensibility of the hamstring muscles

Jet shoes

Jet shoes for space locomotio

A Basin Method of Nut Tree Culture

Nut tree culture in Iowa is confined almost entirely too selected and grafted varieties of the black walnut, Juglan nigra L. This tree is one of the dominants of the Elm-Ash-Walnut Associes of the Deciduous Forest Formation of eastern United States. Its native habitat is the upper flood-plains of rivers, creeks and even intermittent streams. In spite of the fact that Iowa is near the western limit of its range, the walnut thrives in the rich alluvial soil of well drained but moist floodplains throughout the state and attains a size almost as great as it does farther east near the center of its range

Editor\u27s Preface

Draftings In represents a new direction for the University of Northern Iowa Board of Student Publications: publication of noteworthy research and writing by UNI graduate students. Draftings In seeks to penetrate the often lonely domain of the scholar with samples of what fellow scholars at UNI are about. This series is designed to print interesting essays and valuable research for the university community and for the public at large. Like all serious scholarly journals, it seeks to print what is true, new, and important in disciplines across the curriculum

Editor\u27s Note

Draftings is pleased to begin its eighth year of publication by showcasing a new format, the work of its new graphic designer, Philip M. Fass. Professor Fass, who joined the University of Northern Iowa Department of Art in 1991, brings his artistry and professional skills to the design and production side of Draftings, with the results readily seen in both the readability and beauty of the following pages. Henceforward UNI\u27s student journal of research and writing will present not only the writing of UNI undergraduate and graduate students (assisted by UNI faculty advisors), but the design contributions of UNI graphic design students, under the supervision of Professor Fass. Draftings thus moves toward its vision of empowering UNI students - as writers and as artists-and of serving as a vehicle for students to return the fruits of their learning to the community

Prefatory Note

This Draftings volume is special, for it brings together the research and writing of students from two departments of the UNI College of Business Administration: the Department of Economics and the Department of Management. The five students whose work is showcased in the following pages selected their own subjects and conducted their own research, but then shared the drafts of their work-in-progress in writing groups led by Professor Donald Cummings from the Department of Economics and Professors Daniel Power, Lynda Goulet, and Susan Rueschhoff from the Department of Management

Alice Lounsberry Correspondence

Entries include a typed letter on personal stationery

The Canadian Neuromuscular Disease Registry 2010-2019: A Decade of Facilitating Clinical Research Througha Nationwide, Pan-NeuromuscularDisease Registry

We report the recruitment activities and outcomes of a multi-disease neuromuscular patient registry in Canada. The Canadian Neuromuscular Disease Registry (CNDR) registers individuals across Canada with a confirmed diagnosis of a neuromuscular disease. Diagnosis and contact information are collected across all diseases and detailed prospective data is collected for 5 specific diseases: Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS), Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD), Myotonic Dystrophy (DM), Limb Girdle Muscular Dystrophy (LGMD), and Spinal Muscular Atrophy (SMA). Since 2010, the CNDR has registered 4306 patients (1154 pediatric and 3148 adult) with 91 different neuromuscular diagnoses and has facilitated 125 projects (73 academic, 3 not-for-profit, 3 government, and 46 commercial) using registry data. In conclusion, the CNDR is an effective and productive pan-neuromuscular registry that has successfully facilitated a substantial number of studies over the past 10 years